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2010 House Open Seat Watch

by: James L.

Mon Apr 27, 2009 at 6:52 PM EDT

Last Updated: November 17, 2009 at 9:00 PM

"Age" = incumbent's age on election day, 2010.

Definite Retirements/Vacancies:

District	Incumbent	Party	PVI	Notes
AL-07	Artur Davis	D	D+18	Running for Governor
DE-AL	Mike Castle	R	D+7	Running for Senate
FL-12	Adam Putnam	R	R+6	Running for Ag Comm'r
FL-17	Kendrick Meek	D	D+34	Running for Senate
FL-19	Robert Wexler	D	D+15	Resigning to join non-profit
GA-09	Nathan Deal	R	R+28	Running for Governor
HI-01	Neil Abercrombie	D	D+11	Running for Governor
IL-10	Mark Kirk	R	D+6	Running for Senate
KS-01	Jerry Moran	R	R+23	Running for Senate
KS-04	Todd Tiahrt	R	R+14	Running for Senate
LA-03	Charlie Melancon	D	R+12	Running for Senate
MI-02	Peter Hoekstra	R	R+7	Running for Governor
MO-07	Roy Blunt	R	R+17	Running for Senate
NH-02	Paul Hodes	D	D+3	Running for Senate
OK-05	Mary Fallin	R	R+13	Running for Governor
PA-06	Jim Gerlach	R	D+4	Running for Governor
PA-07	Joe Sestak	D	D+3	Running for Senate
SC-03	Gresham Barrett	R	R+17	Running for Governor
TN-03	Zach Wamp	R	R+13	Running for Governor

Potential Retirements/Vacancies:

District	Incumbent	Party	PVI	Age	Notes
AK-AL	Don Young	R	R+13	77	Age/Legal issues
AZ-03	John Shadegg	R	R+9	61	Botched retirement attempt in 2008
CA-36	Jane Harman	D	D+12	65	Scandal/Primary challenge
CA-44	Ken Calvert	R	R+6	57	Primary challenge
FL-02	Allen Boyd	D	R+6	65	Primary challenge (Declined Senate run)
FL-10	Bill Young	R	R+1	79	Age/Strong challenge
GA-04	Hank Johnson	D	D+24	56	Possible primary challenge
IA-03	Leonard Boswell	D	D+1	76	Age/health
IN-03	Mark Souder	R	R+14	60	Primary challenge
IN-05	Dan Burton	R	R+17	72	Primary challenge
MD-04	Donna Edwards	D	D+31	52	Possible primary challenge
MI-08	Mike Rogers	R	R+2	47	Possible gubernatorial run
MI-10	Candice Miller	R	R+5	56	Possible gubernatorial run
MI-12	Sander Levin	D	D+12	79	Age/Primary challenge
MI-13	Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick	D	D+31	65	Possible primary challenge
MN-06	Michele Bachmann	R	R+7	54	Possible gubernatorial run
NC-06	Howard Coble	R	R+18	79	Age
NV-02	Dean Heller	R	R+5	50	Possible gube run (Declined Senate run)
NY-15	Charlie Rangel	D	D+41	80	Age/legal issues/possible primary
OR-02	Greg Walden	R	R+10	53	Possible gubernatorial run
OR-04	Peter DeFazio	D	D+2	63	Possible gubernatorial run
PA-11	Paul Kanjorski	D	D+4	73	Age/primary challenge
PA-19	Todd Platts	R	R+12	48	Seeking GAO appointment
SC-01	Henry Brown	R	R+10	74	Age/Primary challenge
SC-04	Bob Inglis	R	R+15	51	Primary challenge
TN-01	Phil Roe	R	R+21	65	Possible primary challenge
TN-09	Steve Cohen	D	D+23	61	Primary challenge
TX-03	Sam Johnson	R	R+14	80	Age
TX-04	Ralph Hall	R	R+21	87	Age
TX-06	Joe Barton	R	R+15	61	Possible Senate run
TX-23	Ciro Rodriguez	D	R+4	63	Primary challenge
UT-03	Jason Chaffetz	R	R+26	43	Possible Senate run

Off the Watch List:

District	Incumbent	Party	PVI	Age	Notes
AL-01	Jo Bonner	R	R+14	50	Declined gubernatorial run
AL-02	Bobby Bright	D	R+16	58	Declined gubernatorial run
CA-24	Elton Gallegly	R	R+4	66	Seeking re-election
CA-31	Xavier Becerra	D	D+29	52	Declined USTR/Commerce Sec'y
CA-47	Loretta Sanchez	D	D+4	50	Declined gubernatorial run
CT-03	Rosa DeLauro	D	D+9	67	Considered for Labor Sec'y
FL-03	Corrine Brown	D	D+18	63	Declined Senate run
FL-13	Vern Buchanan	R	R+6	59	Declined Senate/gubernatorial run
FL-14	Connie Mack	R	R+11	43	Declined Senate run
FL-20	Debbie Wasserman Schultz	D	D+13	44	Declined Senate run
FL-21	Lincoln Diaz-Balart	R	R+5	56	Declined to seek Senate appointment
FL-22	Ron Klein	D	D+1	53	Declined Senate run
FL-25	Mario Diaz-Balart	R	R+5	49	Never expressed interest in Senate run
GA-01	Jack Kingston	R	R+16	55	Declined gubernatorial run
GA-03	Lynn Westmoreland	R	R+19	60	Declined gubernatorial run
GA-08	Jim Marshall	D	R+10	62	Never expressed interest in gubernatorial run
IA-01	Bruce Braley	D	D+5	53	Declined Senate run
IA-05	Steve King	R	R+9	61	Declined gubernatorial run
IL-07	Danny Davis	D	D+35	69	Withdrew from run for local office
IL-06	Peter Roskam	R	D+0	49	Declined Senate run
IL-09	Jan Schakowsky	D	D+20	66	Declined Senate run
IL-13	Judy Biggert	R	R+1	73	Seeking re-election
KS-03	Dennis Moore	D	R+3	64	Declined Senate run/Won't retire
KY-01	Ed Whitfield	R	R+15	67	Declined Senate Run
KY-06	Ben Chandler	D	R+9	51	Declined Senate Run
MD-06	Roscoe Bartlett	R	R+13	84	Seeking re-election
MI-01	Bart Stupak	D	R+3	58	Never expressed interest in gubernatorial run
MO-01	Lacy Clay	D	D+27	54	Has not expressed interest in Senate run
MO-08	Jo Ann Emerson	R	R+15	60	Declined Senate run
NC-02	Bob Etheridge	D	R+2	69	Declined Senate run
NC-07	Mike McIntyre	D	R+5	54	Declined Senate run
NC-11	Heath Shuler	D	R+6	38	Declined Senate run
NH-01	Carol Shea-Porter	D	R+0	57	Declined Senate run
NJ-02	Frank LoBiondo	R	D+1	64	Not tapped for Lt. Governor
NY-02	Steve Israel	D	D+4	52	Declined Senate run
NY-03	Peter King	R	R+4	66	Declined Senate run
NY-04	Carolyn McCarthy	D	D+26	66	Declined Senate run
NY-09	Anthony Weiner	D	D+5	46	Declined mayoral run
NY-14	Carolyn Maloney	D	D+6	62	Declined Senate run
NY-16	Jose Serrano	D	D+41	67	Declined Senate run
OH-08	John Boehner	R	R+14	60	Averted primary challenge
OH-17	Tim Ryan	D	D+12	37	Declined Senate/Lt. Gov. run
OH-18	Zack Space	D	R+7	49	Declined Senate run
OK-04	Tom Cole	R	R+18	61	Declined gubernatorial run
PA-08	Patrick Murphy	D	D+2	37	Never expressed interest in Senate run
PA-13	Allyson Schwartz	D	D+7	62	Declined Senate run
SD-AL	Stephanie Herseth	D	R+9	39	Declined gubernatorial run
TN-04	Lincoln Davis	D	R+13	67	Declined gubernatorial run
TX-10	Mike McCaul	R	R+10	48	Declined AG run
TX-17	Chet Edwards	D	R+20	58	Declined VA Sec'y
UT-02	Jim Matheson	D	R+15	50	Declined gubernatorial run
VA-10	Frank Wolf	R	R+2	71	Seeking re-election
WI-01	Paul Ryan	R	R+2	40	Declined Senate run/Declined gube run
WI-03	Ron Kind	D	D+4	47	Declined gubernatorial run