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2010 House Open Seat Watch

by: James L.

Mon Apr 27, 2009 at 6:52 PM EDT


Last Updated: September 2, 2009 at 9:00 PM

"Age" = incumbent's age on election day, 2010.

Definite Retirements/Vacancies:

District Incumbent Party PVI Notes
AL-07 Artur Davis D D+18 Running for Governor
CA-10 Ellen Tauscher D D+11 Appointed to State Dept.
FL-12 Adam Putnam R R+6 Running for Ag Comm'r
FL-17 Kendrick Meek D D+34 Running for Senate
GA-09 Nathan Deal R R+28 Running for Governor
HI-01 Neil Abercrombie D D+11 Running for Governor
IL-07 Danny Davis D D+35 Running for local office
IL-10 Mark Kirk R D+6 Running for Senate
KS-01 Jerry Moran R R+23 Running for Senate
KS-04 Todd Tiahrt R R+14 Running for Senate
LA-03 Charlie Melancon D R+12 Running for Senate
MI-02 Peter Hoekstra R R+7 Running for Governor
MO-07 Roy Blunt R R+17 Running for Senate
NH-02 Paul Hodes D D+3 Running for Senate
NY-23 John McHugh R R+1 Appointed Sec'y of Army
OK-05 Mary Fallin R R+13 Running for Governor
PA-06 Jim Gerlach R D+4 Running for Governor
PA-07 Joe Sestak D D+3 Running for Senate
SC-03 Gresham Barrett R R+17 Running for Governor
TN-03 Zach Wamp R R+13 Running for Governor

Potential Retirements/Vacancies:

District Incumbent Party PVI Age Notes
AK-AL Don Young R R+13 77 Age/Legal issues
AZ-03 John Shadegg R R+9 61 Botched retirement attempt in 2008
CA-36 Jane Harman D D+12 65 Scandal/Primary challenge
CA-44 Ken Calvert R R+6 57 Primary challenge
DE-AL Mike Castle R D+7 71 Possible Senate run/Strong challenge
FL-02 Allen Boyd D R+6 65 Primary challenge (Declined Senate run)
FL-03 Corrine Brown D D+18 63 Possible Senate run
FL-10 Bill Young R R+1 79 Age/Strong challenge
GA-04 Hank Johnson D D+24 56 Possible primary challenge
IA-03 Leonard Boswell D D+1 76 Age/health
IN-05 Dan Burton R R+17 72 Primary challenge
MD-04 Donna Edwards D D+31 52 Possible primary challenge
MI-01 Bart Stupak D R+3 58 Possible gubernatorial run
MI-08 Mike Rogers R R+2 47 Possible gubernatorial run
MI-10 Candice Miller R R+5 56 Possible gubernatorial run
MI-12 Sander Levin D D+12 79 Age/Primary challenge
MI-13 Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick D D+31 65 Possible primary challenge
MN-06 Michele Bachmann R R+7 54 Possible gubernatorial run
NC-02 Bob Etheridge D R+2 69 Possible Senate run
NC-06 Howard Coble R R+18 79 Age
NC-07 Mike McIntyre D R+5 54 Possible Senate run
NV-02 Dean Heller R R+5 50 Possible gube run (Declined Senate run)
NY-15 Charlie Rangel D D+41 80 Age/legal issues/possible primary
OR-02 Greg Walden R R+10 53 Possible gubernatorial run
OR-04 Peter DeFazio D D+2 63 Possible gubernatorial run
PA-11 Paul Kanjorski D D+4 73 Age/Possible primary challenge
SC-01 Henry Brown R R+10 74 Age/Primary challenge
SC-04 Bob Inglis R R+15 51 Primary challenge
TN-01 Phil Roe R R+21 65 Possible primary challenge
TN-09 Steve Cohen D D+23 61 Primary challenge
TX-03 Sam Johnson R R+14 80 Age
TX-04 Ralph Hall R R+21 87 Age
TX-06 Joe Barton R R+15 61 Possible Senate run
TX-23 Ciro Rodriguez D R+4 63 Primary challenge
UT-03 Jason Chaffetz R R+26 43 Possible Senate run
WI-03 Ron Kind D D+4 47 Possible gubernatorial run

Off the Watch List:

District Incumbent Party PVI Age Notes
AL-01 Jo Bonner R R+14 50 Declined gubernatorial run
AL-02 Bobby Bright D R+16 58 Declined gubernatorial run
CA-24 Elton Gallegly R R+4 66 Seeking re-election
CA-31 Xavier Becerra D D+29 52 Declined USTR/Commerce Sec'y
CA-47 Loretta Sanchez D D+24 50 Declined gubernatorial run
CT-03 Rosa DeLauro D D+9 67 Considered for Labor Sec'y
FL-13 Vern Buchanan R R+6 59 Declined Senate/Gubernatorial run
FL-14 Connie Mack R R+11 43 Declined Senate run
FL-19 Robert Wexler D D+15 49 Declined Senate run
FL-20 Debbie Wasserman Schultz D D+13 44 Declined Senate run
FL-21 Lincoln Diaz-Balart R R+5 56 Declined Senate appointment
FL-22 Ron Klein D D+1 53 Declined Senate run
FL-25 Mario Diaz-Balart R R+5 49 Never expressed interest in Senate run
GA-01 Jack Kingston R R+16 55 Declined gubernatorial run
GA-03 Lynn Westmoreland R R+19 60 Declined gubernatorial run
GA-08 Jim Marshall D R+10 62 Never expressed interest in gubernatorial run
IA-01 Bruce Braley D D+5 53 Declined Senate run
IA-05 Steve King R R+9 61 Declined gubernatorial run
IL-06 Peter Roskam R D+0 49 Declined Senate run
IL-09 Jan Schakowsky D D+20 66 Declined Senate run
IL-13 Judy Biggert R R+1 73 Seeking re-election
KS-03 Dennis Moore D R+3 64 Declined Senate run/Won't retire
KY-01 Ed Whitfield R R+15 67 Declined Senate Run
KY-06 Ben Chandler D R+9 51 Declined Senate Run
MD-06 Roscoe Bartlett R R+13 84 Seeking re-election
MO-01 Lacy Clay D D+27 54 Has not expressed interest in Senate race
MO-08 Jo Ann Emerson R R+15 60 Declined Senate run
NC-11 Heath Shuler D R+6 38 Declined Senate run
NH-01 Carol Shea-Porter D R+0 57 Declined Senate run
NJ-02 Frank LoBiondo R D+1 64 Not running for Lt. Governor
NY-02 Steve Israel D D+4 52 Declined Senate run
NY-03 Peter King R R+4 66 Declined Senate run
NY-04 Carolyn McCarthy D D+26 66 Declined Senate run
NY-09 Anthony Weiner D D+5 46 Declined mayoral run
NY-14 Carolyn Maloney D D+6 62 Declined Senate run
NY-16 Jose Serrano D D+41 67 Declined Senate run
OH-08 John Boehner D R+14 60 Averted primary challenge
OH-17 Tim Ryan D D+12 37 Declined Senate/Lt. Gov. run
OH-18 Zack Space D R+7 49 Declined Senate run
OK-04 Tom Cole R R+18 61 Declined gubernatorial run
PA-08 Patrick Murphy D D+2 37 Never expressed interest in Senate run
PA-13 Allyson Schwartz D D+7 62 Declined Senate run
SD-AL Stephanie Herseth D R+9 39 Declined gubernatorial run
TN-04 Lincoln Davis D R+13 67 Declined gubernatorial run
TX-10 Mike McCaul R R+10 48 Declined AG run
TX-17 Chet Edwards D R+20 58 Declined VA Sec'y
UT-02 Jim Matheson D R+15 50 Possible gubernatorial run
VA-10 Frank Wolf R R+2 71 Seeking re-election
WI-01 Paul Ryan R R+2 40 Declined Senate run/Declined gube run

Resolved vacancies.

James L. :: 2010 House Open Seat Watch
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