Premium Sponsor


Featured Sponsor


Our Sponsors


Ad Networks

Advertise Liberally

Buy an ad on all of the top liberal blogs with just one click.

Site Stats

SSP Daily Digest: 6/2

by: Crisitunity

Tue Jun 02, 2009 at 2:24 PM EDT


UT-Sen: Democrats nailed down a candidate in dark-red Utah, not a likely place for a pickup but somewhere we want to be standing by to clean up in case the Republican primary turns into an insane bloodbath: Sam Granato, the head of the state Liquor Control Board.

Speaking of which, a third challenger just got into the GOP primary against long-time incumbent Bob Bennett: businesswoman and activist Cherilyn Eagar, who's never run for office before but seems connected to some of the fringier members of Utah's legislature, such as state Senator Margaret Dayton, who praised Eagar in that: "She's a very impressive woman in her looks, intelligence and presentation." Eagar's rationale is that, in her words, "Utah's conservative principles are no longer being represented in the U.S. Senate and no conservative has entered this race," which seems bizarre considering that AG Mark Shurtleff and former Utah County GOP chair Tim Bridgewater are already challenging the very conservative Bennett from the right. Eagar also offered up this very strange mix of literary allusions: "Gulliver has been tied down by socialist gnomes for many years, but he's starting to wake up."

AZ-Gov: Arizona's AG Terry Goddard is probably the Dems' best chance to take back this seat, which just went to Republican ex-SoS Jan Brewer when Janet Napolitano vacated it (Brewer has not announced whether she'll run for a full term). He recently stated that he "intends" to run for governor. (Arizona Republicans then tried to invoke Arizona's resign-to-run law, which would require him to give up his AG job to become a governor's candidate; so this weekend Goddard issued a lengthy explanation of why "intent" doesn't make him a candidate.)

NM-Gov: Lt. Gov. Diane Denish has been considered Bill Richardson's heir apparent in 2010, but it seems like she may not get a free ride on the way to the nomination. Senate Majority Leader Michael Sanchez, according to his Facebook page, has formed an exploratory committee. Denish has a $1.7 million headstart on fundraising, though.

MD-04: Rep. Donna Edwards, who won a surprise primary in 2008 against out-of-touch incumbent Al Wynn, but is facing some within-the-district misgivings from local Jewish leaders (apparently up to 15% of the active electorate in her district is Jewish). This turns mostly on her decision to vote 'present' on January's resolution recognizing Israel's right to defend itself and condemning Hamas. State Delegate Herman Taylor has been gauging support within the Jewish community for a primary challenge to Edwards. While this wouldn't seem to be a dominant issue in this African-American-majority district, two successful primary challenges from the right in 2002 (Artur Davis over Earl Hilliard in AL-07 and Denise Majette over Cynthia McKinney in GA-04) focused largely on Israel policy.

MD-06: Rep. Roscoe Bartlett, who turns 83 tomorrow, is often the source of open seat speculation. However, today he announced that he'll be back for another term in his R+13 district in Maryland's rural west.

SC-04: As an occasionally sane Republican (who voted for the bailout and against the Surge) in an R+15 district that's an evangelical hotbed, Rep. Bob Inglis seems vulnerable this year, as the revved-up base seems less and less tolerant of apostasy. State Sen. David Thomas announced he's seriously thinking of challenging Inglis and will make his announcement within days; Solicitor (equivalent to DA) Trey Gowdy also just announced that he's entering the race. They'll join an already crowded field including businessmen Andrew Smart and Jim Lee and professor Christina Jeffrey. While Inglis looks poised to win against this fractured field, if he does it with less than 50%, he's facing a one-on-one runoff.

Gay marriage: The New York Senate is the only remaining obstacle to gay marriage in New York, and now state Senator Thomas Duane, prime mover of the legislation, says he now has the votes to get it passed (without naming names). Meanwhile, it's not full marriage, but Nevada is poised to adopt domestic partnership. Over the weekend, both chambers of the legislature just overrode Governor Jim Gibbons' veto of previously passed domestic partnership legislation (there was doubt whether it could clear the Assembly, where it passed by a bare 28-14 margin).

Meta: Wow, that year went fast: it's my one-year blogiversary on SSP's front page. Thanks to David and James for taking an interest in my writing, and to all the readers and commenters as well.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 6/2
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
Reactions
AZ-GOV - Republicans are stupid

McKinney, honestly she had more problems than Israel policy. Good riddance to bad rubbish.

NY Gay Marriage - You got the votes? I'll believe it when I see it.

Daily Open Thread "Rights" - I'm going back to watching the Sony Press Conference. Anyone else been following E3 this year? M$ did very well yesterday and Nintendo seems to have announced some games to keep my Wii from continuing to gather dust.


If Duane has the votes, now would be a good time
There are no guarantees about next year or the year after.  

SC - 4
If David Thomas gets in too, there is a 85-90% chance of a runoff here, IMO.

Geography will come into play here as Gowdy comes from Spartanburg. He could pile up a big lead in sizeable but 2nd largest Spartanburg County, while the others split the  Greenville vote.  Then it's a battle between Inglis and Thomas for the other slot.

It could get messy, and bad blood could spill over into the GOP race for Governor both in the primary/runoff and even the general.      


man
I mean... i hate to see this... But I guess its like, what can you do. You have these Republicans that are, oh, I don't know, sane, that actually want to help the country get out of the mess we're in, and because they might actually support something that a Democrat does, they're going to be tossed out of office. It just frustrates me because I want to see a viable Republican Party again that can survive outside the South and the Mormon Triangle. Its good for this country to have sane and opposing ideas battling it out, even when I don't agree with them.

This is the same feeling I get when I see people screaming for ideological purity on the left as well. Especially in like D +1 districts... lol  


[ Parent ]
Fuck the GOP, it's about time that zombie elephant went extinct
I mean look at the disasters they have created over the past 30 years. The only good republicans (Eisenhower and Lincoln) are long gone, and since the late 60's they've been a party based on racism, homophobia, war, religious fundamentalism, voter suppression, and economic exploitation. The GOP needs to die, and then we can have a debate between progressive dems, moderate dems, and conservative dems. I'm glad that he voted against the surge, but he's still not sane since he supported the bank bailout, but not the stimulus package.

[ Parent ]
even if they do die
There will always be a conservative party, it will just be in war fighting between progressives and blue dogs.  

[ Parent ]
At least blue dogs can be reasoned with
I think the conservative party's will be the libertarian party(liberal social issues, conservative economics), a moderate conservative party (blue dogs), and a really wingnutty party like the constitution party. I think a multi party system will be better to allow more checks and balances.

[ Parent ]
GOP drives people left
It can't be overstated how important the GOP has been in moving parts of the country far to the left.  New England, New York and California still have tons of wealthy people who should be Rockefeller Republicans.  They still are not progressives, but today these people have not just become democrats, but their politics have moved far to the left (on gay rights most clearly) due in part to the extreme hatred spewed by the fringe GOP.

So, we can use the fringe GOP for another decade or so, pushing the moderate and bluedog 40% center many points to the left.  In other words, the GOP helps relocate the political center to the left. Come 2020 they can go the way of the dodo, but for now, the GOP is our friend (with CfG GOPers being the most obvious friends).

http://www.dailykos.com/story/...


[ Parent ]
One year
of great writing. Very well deserved. One year of making SSP the first read for congressional politics.

To many more years to come!
And yeah, that was fast!

[ Parent ]
Seems like just yesterday
The Out of Wack, er, "PVI-Voting Pattern Index." 2008 was a good year for discovering awesome numbers driven bloggers. Cheers to Nate and Crisitunity and to SSP for getting one of them.  

[ Parent ]
Yeah, I remember reading about Crisitunity's joining the staff back when
[ Parent ]
man
I so very much want NY to pass marriage equality, and then New Hampshire soon there after. And it is true, that domestic partnerships in Nevada are not marriage, they are the first step in a state that most likely is not ready for full marriage equality today.

I was talking with my father who came out for my graduation, pun intended, about marriage equality. He is super scary Republican, the kind that users on this site have nightmares about lol, and I told him, Republicans really screwed up gay marriage. Had they just embraced Civil Unions back in 2000 in Vermont, marriage might not be the issue that it is today... At the very least they could have posponed the fight over marriage much longer. I told him, now, I'll settle for nothing less than full equality, because, now, I know that is what I deserve.


NH Gay Marriage
Everything seems to have worked out with New Hampshire's gay marriage bill and that will be all done tomorrow with Lynch signing it.

That'd make 8 by the end of the year with NY and NJ.


Add California by ballot in 2010
and DC right after the November elections when it's clear we've retained a large majority and that's 10. Then Minnesota and Washington in 2011. What next? Ballot initiative in Oregon maybe?  

[ Parent ]
I know its early
and I also know its not full marriage, but I think North Carolina might be a good place to try for limited rights or domestic partnerships. Its moving our direction pretty quickly, who knows, it may be a virtual non-issue in NC in a few years. Especially Domestic partnerships.

[ Parent ]
I bet Washington could pass it now
They've been slowly working their way up to it and the next one is marriage (they never did civil unions but pretty much do).

Oregon could probably overturn their ballot initiative and they should try to do that soon, 2012 maybe?  IIRC, it won with like 57% of the vote so that only needs to have shifted 8% in our favor, and it most certainly has.

If we win MN-Gov, there is probably little doubt we could pass it, if we keep our bloated majorities.  Plenty of wiggle room for DFL'ers to vote no, we could lose like what, a third or fourth of our caucus and still squeak it through?  Gov is kind of a must win for us.  I bet we could at least override a civil unions bill.


[ Parent ]
I don't see Edwards being vulnerable
For a start, J-Street is probably going to have a sizeable well of support amongst the Jewish voters in that district.

McKinney and Hilliard were both targetted for other reasons, their comments on Israel just helped the warchests of their opponents.

In addition, the netroots played a large role in Edwards' 2008 victory and in a district this Democratic they're going to have no compunction about going all in here.

Edwards to win with at least 65%, probably 75%.


compunction
I had to look this word up, it is going in my vocabulary!  (Although I could figure out by the context)

I didnt contribute to her before but I would this time if need be.  She would certainly get a ton of money from the netroots and w'd go all in.


[ Parent ]
very good points, my thoughts exactly
I did a diary on this at The Progressive Electorate

Hilliard was an ethical nightmare (one reason I'm very concerned about his son running for the AL-07 vacancy in 2010; that's another diary though)


[ Parent ]
NJ-Gov: quick question; general date?
VA-State House
State senate is not up.

[ Parent ]
NJ Legislature too, I think. n/t


[ Parent ]

Copyright 2003-2009 Swing State Project LLC

Primary Sponsor

Talk to your supporters, not tech support. Campaign Engine is the powerful, affordable Progressive Campaign Software.

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


About the Site

SSP Resources

SSP Race Ratings

Blogroll

Powered by: SoapBlox