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SSP Daily Digest: 4/24

by: Crisitunity

Fri Apr 24, 2009 at 3:18 PM EDT


NY-20 (pdf): Last evening's total from the BoE had Scott Murphy leading Jim Tedisco by 401. With his chances approaching the "statistically impossible" realm, we may reportedly see a Tedisco concession today.

MN-Sen: Norm Coleman could take a few pointers from Jim Tedisco. The five justices of the Minnesota Supreme Court who'll hear the election contest (two justices who've been actively involved in the count recused themselves) announced that their expedited hearing isn't all that expedited: it'll happen on June 1, to give the parties adequate time to file briefs and replies. In the meantime, that gives Minnesotans more than one more month with just one senator.

GA-Gov, GA-03: Just one day after his name was suddenly floated for GA-Gov, Rep. Lynn Westmoreland flushed that idea, saying he'll stay in the House.

PA-Gov: Allegheny County Executive Dan Onorato was bandied about as the early front-runner for the Democratic nomination for the open governor's race in 2010, but we've heard nary a peep from him on the matter. Apparently, he is in fact interested, as he says he's "laying the groundwork" and expects a formal announcement later in the year.

TN-Gov: Businessman Mike McWherter made official his candidacy for the Democratic nod in the open Tennessee governor's race. McWherter hasn't held elective office, but benefits strongly from links with his father, popular ex-governor Ned McWherter.

SC-Gov: Lawyer Mullins McLeod (and apparent scion of a political family, although one that pales in comparison to the Thurmonds or Campbells) announced his bid for the Democratic nomination in the open governor's race. He joins two Democratic state senators Vincent Shaheen and Robert Ford in the chase.

CA-10: Assemblywoman Joan Buchanan, who previously issued an internal poll showing her leading senator Mark DeSaulnier, has officially jumped into the special election field. With Lt. Gov. John Garamendi's entry into the race, splitting the white-guy vote, Buchanan probably feels that her hand has been strengthened.

CO-03: Rep. John Salazar has drawn a solid Republican challenger in this R+5 district: Martin Beeson, who's the district attorney for Pitkin, Garfield, and Rio Blanco Counties. Blue Dog Salazar has had little trouble with re-election despite the district's lean.

CA-36: Jane Harman's high-profile role in the still-unfolding wiretap scandal has liberal activists in the 36th, long frustrated by Harman's hold on this D+12 district, wondering if they finally have an opening to defeat her in a primary. Marcy Winograd, who won 38% against Harman in 2006, has been urged to run again and is "thinking about it."

MI-07: For real? Republicans in DC (read: the NRCC) are telling MLive.com's Susan J. Demas that their top choice to take on frosh Dem Mark Schauer is none other than... ex-Rep. Joe Schwarz, who was ingloriously defeated in a 2006 primary by wingnut Tim Walberg. Schwarz, who went so far as to endorse Schauer over Walberg last fall, tells Demas that he's not interested in running again. (J)

NH-02: Democratic New Hampshire State Rep. John DeJoie has formed an exploratory committee for the seat Paul Hodes is leaving open. (D)

KS-04: Democrats have their first candidate in the open seat in the 4th: Robert Tillman, a retired court services officer, and former precinct committeeman and NAACP local board member. There's more firepower on the GOP side of the aisle in this now-R+14 district, including RNC member Mike Pompeo and state senator Dick Kelsey.

Redistricting: Republican Ohio state senator John Husted (who will probably be the GOP's candidate for SoS in 2010) has introduced legislation that would totally change the way redistricting is done in Ohio. It would create a 7-member bipartisan commission that would draw both congressional and state district lines (removing congressional district authority from the legislature, and legislative district authority from the 5-member panel that Dems currently control). It remains to be seen, though, whether this proposal would make it past the Democratic governor and state house.

Nostalgia: Yahoo is shutting down the venerable Geocities. What ever will former Louisiana senate candidate John Neeley Kennedy do? (D)

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 4/24
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Remarkable
Its amazing how Republicans always discover redistricting reform in states where they no longer control the process. I wonder who long it will take them to start pushing for bipartisan commissions and committees in Michigan and Pennsylvania?

I know,
In one of the most partisan gerrymanders of 2002, which the party backed, now they want indepedent panels? At least Democrats take their lumps when they aren't in control, except when they can win.

It will probably be incumbent protection, too., which isn't bad cause we picked up 4 new Ohio Democrats in two cycles. Still...there are room I think for Democrats to pick up two seats with the right map. I like having Colombus split because it gives two districts a strong Republican tilt. PAt Tiberi has just never had a strong candidate to run against him.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus


[ Parent ]
I tend to support moves towatds independent redistricting
If we're talking about a state where control is split anyway.  But in Ohio's case I wouldn't support it because we need to use our control of the state legislature redistricting panel to undo the 2002 republican gerrymander.  

The Ohio State Senate districts are absurdly gerrymandered for republicans and badly needs a more fair remap.  


[ Parent ]
we control the state senate though


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
In Ohio?
No, not even close.  Republicans control it something like 21-12.

[ Parent ]
I'm thinking of the state house then


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
best time for independant commissions
is when power is split.  Do it now.  That will undo the gerrymander.

[ Parent ]
Not necessarily
This sounds more like an incumbent protection board rather than an independent board.  Iowa is an example of good independent redistricting, New Jersey a bad example.  This plan sounds closer to New Jersey than Iowa.  

[ Parent ]
New Jersey doesn't have a panel
its done by the STate Legislature too.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
I'm pretty sure
It's done by a panel of equal number repubs and dems.  Which always results in an incumbent protection map.

[ Parent ]
no...


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
What is this thing then?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/N...

The New Jersey Redistricting Commission is a constitutional body of the government of New Jersey. Like Arizona, Idaho, Hawaii, Montana, and Washington; the redistricting is completed within an independent, bipartisan commission. The apportionment of members of the Redistricting Commission is carefully balanced between legislative and executive majorities and is purposefully titled to allow the minority party an equal amount of seats on the commission.

There shall first be appointed 12 members as follows:
(1) two members to be appointed by the President of the Senate;
(2) two members to be appointed by the Speaker of the General Assembly;
(3) two members to be appointed by the minority leader of the Senate;
(4) two members to be appointed by the minority leader of the General Assembly; and
(5) four members, two to be appointed by the chairman of the State committee of the political party whose candidate for the office of Governor received the largest number of votes at the most recent gubernatorial election and two to be appointed by the chairman of the State committee of the political party whose candidate for the office of Governor received the next largest number of votes in that election.



[ Parent ]
i thought that was from legislative seats?


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Chad is absolutely right


[ Parent ]
There is no such things as a
"incumbent protection board".  That's just what most redistricting boards are.

Indpenedant ones are a good idea, even if redistricting is not objective 90% of the time no matter who does it.


[ Parent ]
I know that
Just calling when it effectively is.  Incumbent protection boards is not true independent redistricting.  It's every bit as crappy as partisan redistricting in my view.

[ Parent ]
Tedisco just called Murphy to congratulate him
Tedisco just conceded: http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo...

:)


Good
we've got some solid candidates lining up. McWherter in TN and even two solid candidates in SC although I wish one of them would take a shot at Demint.

Also. Conrgats to Rep. Murphy.

So far Steele has made a fool out of himself, lost a critical election and may see his party officially urge their main opposition to change their name to the "Democrat Socialist Party." I really want to win big in VA and NJ in 09.  


If offered a split decision for VA and NJ
I would take it.

[ Parent ]
Virginia is more important
It could determine who controls redistricting there, whereas New Jersey won't.  I still owulnd't take a split.  We should be able to win both.  Polls in Jersey almost always show our candidates in worse shape than they really are, especially this far out.

[ Parent ]
How about that flat-top guy
Bob Conley?

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]
Schwarz
Unless it's a very crowded republican primary field he has very little chance of winning their nomination.

CA-36
Yeah, I've never understood how Harman can get away with her Blue Dog Dem tactics in this Venice Beach district. I realize that the liberal beach temperament is counterbalanced by staid, middle-class Torrance, but still, Harman's views seem more suited for David Dreier's district in the mountain suburbs of east LA County than Venice!

Schwarz
There is no reason for the sane and pragmatic Joe Schwarz to want to become a part of the GOP caucus and to be harassed by the likes of Eric Cantor and Virginia Foxx.  The party of Gerald Ford and Nelson Rockefeller types is dead.  

Please donate to amcharities.org to help build more after school centers in the Miami area.  

He can't win a primary
He only won in 2004 because it was a crowded field.  No way he can win a primary in 2010.

[ Parent ]
You're completely right Chad
To tell you the truth if Schauer had not gotten in I think the netroots should have pushed for Schwarz, but that probably would not have gone over well.  

Please donate to amcharities.org to help build more after school centers in the Miami area.  

[ Parent ]
You're thinking too rationally
Netroots, even if liberal, aren't the most strategically sensible of people.

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]
MI-07
MI-07: For real? Republicans in DC (read: the NRCC) are telling MLive.com's Susan J. Demas that their top choice to take on frosh Dem Mark Schauer is none other than... ex-Rep. Joe Schwarz, who was ingloriously defeated in a 2006 primary by wingnut Tim Walberg. Schwarz, who went so far as to endorse Schauer over Walberg last fall, tells Demas that he's not interested in running again. (J)

That's hilarious on so many levels.

I think that's all that needs to be said.


SC Gov.
Mullins McLeod is too young (37) and inexperienced (no elective offices).  He should run for state senate or something first, Charleston is turning blue anyway.  

Vincent Shaheen is a good choice, and he doesn't need to spend his firepower in a primary.  McLeod is from the best city to be from (Charleston), but that is about all he really brings to the table.  


where is Shaheen from?


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Camden /Kershaw County
It is very slowly becoming a bedroom exurb of Columbia.  The last D Governor, Jim Hodges was from a very similiar  county to the north of Kershaw, Lancaster County.    

[ Parent ]
Why is Charleston good?
And what about Columbia?

(I don't know my South Carolina geography.)

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...


[ Parent ]
It's the swing region ...
Columbia (Richland County) is very blue, along with the smaller rural counties along the I-95 corridor. Columbia's suburbs (Lexington county)are red however.  Greenville, Spartanburg and the upstate are very red.  

Charleston is a lighter shade of red but turning blue, and the swing city.  Their voters also support the local candidate regardless of party. Whoever wins Charleston usually wins the state.  

At the moment the Governor, Speaker and Senate President are all from Charleston. The city votes very parochically.

The GOP Lt. Governor moved there, whereas his former state senate seat is 120 miles from Charleston. He is running for the GOP nod for Governor against the A.G. and an upstate congressman, Gresham Barrett.      


[ Parent ]
State Rep. John DeJoie
How did State Rep. John DeJoie (D) vote on the same sex marriage bill that passed the NH house?  

He voted yes


Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens

[ Parent ]
Comments
GA-Gov/03: Looks like Westmoreland is trying not to be too ambitions uppity.

CA-32: I welcome a primary challenge, at the very least to make sure Representative Harman knows what she's doing.

MI-07: I wasn't aware that Schwarz pulled a Gilchrest and endorsed Schauer.  Nice.

Redistricting: What's the other state so far where the Republicans have put up a defense map, in anticipation of the Democrats possibly regaining redistricting control?

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...



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