wow, they're keeping you busy, lol

busy day.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 16:32:09 PM UTC

I take your point well James

With Schakowsky now out of the picture, we can turn our eyes to Illinois AG Lisa Madigan, who is keeping her options open for 2010. While the nomination would be hers for the taking, somehow I'd still be surprised if she decided to pursue the opportunity.

On the other hand, the PPP poll back at the end of April showed Schakowsky, while certainly behind, at least in a position of being reasonably competitive against Giannoulias (it was Giannoulias 38, Schakowsky 26, and Burris 16). She might think that Madigan (who was 33 points ahead of Schakowsky) intends to enter the race after.

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

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by: DGM @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 16:40:23 PM UTC

Good News

Good news from my anyone-but-Burris perspective.  Burris seems to have a fairly strong base of support of maybe 20%, with the potential to pick up a few more percentage points at most.  Not enough to win a two or even three person race, but maybe enough for him to squeak through in a four or five person primary.  This race will not go wanting for a top quality candidate.

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by: sicembears @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 16:41:08 PM UTC

I don't agree with that

The last PPP poll of a potential primary shows Burris with pretty weak support (in a one-on-one with Giannoulias, Burris got 20% with Giannoulias getting 49%; in a three-way with Schakowsky and Giannoulias; Burris was getting 16%, with 38% going to Giannoulias and 26% going to Schakowsky; in a four way including Madigan Burris gets 13% with Madigan getting 44%, Giannoulias getting 19%, and Schakowsky getting 11%). Even among black voters, Burris's numbers aren't impressive and with the latest crap coming out about Burris and Blago's brother, I don't see him doing any better.

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

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by: DGM @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 16:52:24 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

I don't know

$850 goes a long way.

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by: conspiracy @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 17:38:57 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

LOL

This might be comment of the day.

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by: DavidNYC @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 20:15:23 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

He's had a couple more months

It's at least $970 by now.

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by: tommypaine @ Tue Jun 09, 2009 at 01:07:01 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Too bad

She would have made the best, and most progressive, senator of the bunch.

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by: Paleo @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 17:41:23 PM UTC

I actually agree.

I don't mind Madigan from what I know of her ideologically, but she reeks of the Chicago machine.  Schakowsky would have been the best choice, hands down.  Is Alexi even that progressive?  He seems like an okay-but-blah choice whose only claim to fame is as a FOB.

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

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by: Tiger in BlueDenver @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 21:00:58 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Madigan

I think that Lisa Madigan will run. People like Pat Quinn and I think that rather than have a bitter primary, it would be beneficial for voters to continue to have both of them in office. In addition, the senate race would be a cakewalk for her. I think she will take the opportunity to have Obama's seat and give in to the pressure of the DSCC like Charlie Crist gave into the pressure of the RSCC in Florida.

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by: jmartin4s @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 17:41:40 PM UTC

Also

Running for Senate dilutes some of the "too much power in the Madigan family" arguments. Rather than Lisa and Michael controlling two of three arms of Illinois' state government, choosing the Senate route gives her a clear race without any obvious line of attack-- regardless of how valid that line is.

Also, the more I hear about him, the more I like Pat Quinn. I'm not an Illinois voter, but I've talked to a few people that know him or have met him, and he just sounds like a nice guy. Not that that ever matters in politics.

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by: Fitzy @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 19:15:57 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Pat Quinn vs Lisa Madigan

Quinn has done OK as Gov. so far. And seems to be liked (tho anyone would be viewed favorably after Blago). He's done nothing worthy of being replaced by the voters.
I'd guess if they polled a Quinn vs Madigan primary now, it would come out fairly even, but with undecided getting the most responses by far.

I realize Madigan has been aiming for the governors office for years, but that was always assuming that Blago would likely be her primary opponent. But now I'm hoping she doesn't try to oust Quinn, but sets her sights elsewhere. And there just happens to be a large opportunity ripe for the taking at the moment.
If Madigan goes to the Senate for a term or two, she can always come back and run for Gov. when Quinn decides to leave. (Sen. KBH from TX is doing just that).

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by: homerun @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 20:40:15 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Kirk Getting Divorced

Mark Kirk announced that he and his wife are getting divorced after eight years.  Even if it goes amicably, this cannot be electorally helpful to him.  

http://www.politico.com/blogs/...

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by: sicembears @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 20:03:25 PM UTC

Not downstate, no

But I seriously doubt anyone from Chicagoland (my boundary--Halvorson on the south, parts of Manzullo and west-14th to the southwest and west) gives a damn...unless some kinky sex scandals emerge from it.  

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

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by: Tiger in BlueDenver @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 21:04:57 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Why did she decide against it?

Do you think she decided she was unlikely to win?

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  

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by: Pan @ Mon Jun 08, 2009 at 23:54:35 PM UTC