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SSP Daily Digest: 11/4

by: Crisitunity

Wed Nov 04, 2009 at 5:35 PM EST


CA-Sen: The Carlyfornia Dreaming commenced today, as former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina officially  announced her bid for the GOP Senate nomination. In a development that's both DeLightful and DeLovely as the GOP barrels headlong into civil war, though, SC Sen. Jim DeMint endorsed GOP Assemblyman Chuck DeVore in the GOP primary, in his ongoing quest to have a Senate caucus of 30 pure Republicans.

DE-Sen: Also on the GOP civil war front, the movement/establishment split is even spilling over into Delaware, which most pundits look at as the GOP's closest to a sure thing. Conservative activist Christine O'Donnell, who lost badly to Joe Biden last year, will stay in the GOP field with or without Castle. O'Donnell is sitting on $2K CoH, along with $24K in debts from her previous run.

IL-Sen: Also on the GOP civil war front, one of Rep. Mark Kirk's minor-league GOP primary opponents -- not Patrick Hughes, but even lower down the food chain: Eric Wallace -- is looking at Doug Hoffman and saying "That could be me!" Wallace is dropping out of the GOP field and planning to run as an independent -- which could conceivably tip the race to Alexi Giannoulias in a close contest. Kirk, sensing trouble brewing on his right flank, is asking for help from an unlikely source (based on his attacks on her inexperience during the 2008 election). He's asking queen teabagger Sarah Palin for her endorsement!

NH-Sen: Also on the GOP civil war front, wealthy businessman William Binnie made official his run for the GOP nod in New Hampshire's Senate race. Sounds like lots of Granite Staters aren't buying GOP establishment candidate Kelly Ayotte's smoke-and-mirrors campaign.

OH-Sen: Finally, one item from what passes for the Democratic civil war. DSCC chair Bob Menendez all-but-endorsed Lt. Gov. Lee Fisher in Ohio, by mentioning only him in Ohio when talking about pickup prospects. Fisher faces a primary (for the time being) against underfunded SoS Jennifer Brunner.

CT-Gov: It looks like Ned Lamont, who beat and then lost to Joe Lieberman in 2006, is going to take a whack at the Connecticut gubernatorial race. Lamont just formed an exploratory committee; he'll face an uphill fight just to get out of the primary, though, against SoS Susan Bysiewicz.

FL-Gov: So many Kennedys, so little time. Yet another random member of the Kennedy clan is considering a quixotic run for office; this time it's Maria Shriver's brother Anthony Shriver (founder of a disabilities-related nonprofit), considering a race in the Democratic gubernatorial primary (which Alex Sink already seems to have locked down).

NY-Gov: If there's any doubt that AG Andrew Cuomo is gearing up for a gubernatorial run next year, Cuomo will be holding a big fundraiser in Washington in several weeks, hosted by DC power couple Tony and Heather Podesta.

CO-04: While state House minority whip Cory Gardner seemed to have impeccable conservative bona fides (running against freshman Dem Rep. Betsy Markey), there's some new information that calls that into question: it turns out in 1998 he was an active volunteer for Democrat Susan Kirkpatrick, who ran against then-Rep. Bob Schaffer in the 4th. (He even gave the seconding nominating speech for her at the Dem convention in the 4th.) In his defense, Gardner claims he was raised a Democrat, but became a Republican convert in college -- but he graduated from college in 1997. Looks like the teabaggers have one more insufficiently pure specimen to add to their hunting list.

FL-08: The netroots love them some Alan Grayson. Nov. 2's online moneybomb event netted the Florida rabblerouser over $500,000, from over 13,000 contributions averaging $40 each. (The GOP also has an answer site up -- "mycongressmanisnuts.com," a nice third-grade response to "congressmanwithguts.com", as apparently "poopyhead.com" was already taken -- which so far has brought in $4,000.)

FL-19: Charlie Crist has set a special election date for the election to replace resigning Rep. Robert Wexler (although there doesn't seem to be much drama here in this dark-blue district, as the wheels seem to be greased for state Sen. Ted Deutch). The primary will be Feb. 2, and the general will be April 6.

KS-04: Republican state Sen. Susan Wagle was considered on the short list for the open seat being left behind by Rep. Todd Tiahrt, but yesterday she confirmed that she won't run for it next year.

NY-23: The gift that keeps giving. Doug Hoffman is reportedly already sounding interested, via Twitter, in running again in the 23rd. (No clue as to what ballot lines he'd seek to run on.)

PA-19: Here's a surprise: long-time Republican Rep. Todd Platts may be looking for an exit strategy. He's applying to become the Comptroller General, an appointed position at the top of the government's nonpartisan Government Accountability Office. Platts has been safe so far in his York-based R+12 district, but as a Main Street Republican, he's rather out-of-whack with his red turf and may suddenly not be relishing the thought of having teabaggers using him for target practice in 2010.

NYC-Mayor: Well, somebody at the White House is feeling defensive over the decision not to get involved in the surprisingly-close mayoral race. When Rep. Anthony Weiner (who'd considered running) asked maybe if Obama should have helped out, an anonymous leaker snarled "Maybe Anthony Weiner should have manned-up and run against Michael Bloomberg."

NRSC: Having gotten the message from the rabid teabagging hordes, NRSC head John Cornyn is announcing that the NRSC won't be spending money in any Republican primaries next year. The NRSC has endorsed in four primaries so far (Florida, Illinois, Missouri, and Pennsylvania), but it's sounding like they may not endorse in any more, either... Cornyn admits "Endorsements, frankly, are overrated. They can to some extent be a negative." Guess who is coming to play in GOP Senate primaries, though? That's right, the Club for Growth, who are now threatening involvement in Illinois and Connecticut, saying that the best Mark Kirk and newly-converted teabag-carrier Rob Simmons can hope for is to be "left alone."

NRCC: Pete Sessions Deathwatch, Vol. 2? All over the punditosphere today are proclamations of the NRCC head as one of yesterday's top "losers," as the NRCC's special election losing streak had two more notches added to it. George Stephanopolous makes the case that Sessions actually managed to lose NY-23 twice, once with Scozzafava over the long haul, then over the weekend again with Hoffman.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 11/4
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Honestly, mycongressmanisnuts.com is clever
I don't know why we didn't grab that one for Bachman.  

I'm kicking myself
RUN! Go check and see if mycongressWOmanisnuts.com isn't taken.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
SORRY PAGE NOT FOUND!
OMG!  TOO PERFECT!  Ok, Alan shoots off his mouth, Bachman is nuts.

[ Parent ]
Leave it to
Republicans to believe not wanting people to die is nuts.

[ Parent ]
NY- 23 biggest non-surprise
Hoffman starting running for the regular seat, a welcome no surprise there.

Owens winning though denies us the year long spectacle of DeDe switching to Dem to face Congresscritter Hoffman.  That would have been fun.

On the other hand, Hoffman getting totally pounded next year will be fun too.


probably won't get pounded more than 56-44
even in a larger turnout general election.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Unknown - several pro-gay marriage NY Assembly Rs from NY-23
what they would do if Hoffman is the nominee in 2010 - three basic options:

1) Go the full DeDe: support Owens
2) Do what Rocky did in '64 to Goldwater (declare public neutrality)
3) Subvert their beliefs in order to stay "Republican," whatever that will mean in NY in 2010.


[ Parent ]
The Kennedy's certainly don't like starting
small and earning their right to run for office do they? First Caroline Kennedy tries to get appointed a Senate Seat despite little to no involvement in public policy her entire life, now two more Kennedy's looking to run against stronger Democrats in two high profile races.

The Landrieu's at least worked their way up, starting off at the level of state representative and spending two decades each working their way up political ladders and gaining experience and credibility before running for statewide office.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus


The "Right to Run"?
Last I checked anyone with the legal qualifications can run. I'm not a fan of only considering candidates legitimate if they've first been elected coroner or to the school board. There have been a number of successful and qualified people who've run for high office first - and acquitted themselves well in office. And as to this family, some Kennedys have run for minor offices too (Patrick Kennedy and Mark Shriver leap to mind).  

[ Parent ]
Yep, and I'd support them
They've earned their stripes and shown me their worthy of my support both as more experienced politicians with electoral bases and experience working in Government.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Club for Growth in CT?
I wonder if they would back Schiff or that State Senator Caliguri.  I would love to see Schiff and the Paulists run third party after the primary so Dodd could have a better chance at both seats.  I wonder which moderate the Club for Growth would attack given McMahon's socially liberal views and Dem donations or Simmons due to his voting record in the House.

Please donate to amcharities.org to help build more after school centers in the Miami area.  

I personally would love to see
A union between the Paulists and the teabaggers... but I wonder if Schiff is not just too weird for the CfG. Then again, Rob Simmons seems to be doing us some favors by gallivating to the right on his own.

[ Parent ]
Can't blame the WH
for that sentiment.

Well, somebody at the White House is feeling defensive over the decision not to get involved in the surprisingly-close mayoral race. When Rep. Anthony Weiner (who'd considered running) asked maybe if Obama should have helped out, an anonymous leaker snarled "Maybe Anthony Weiner should have manned-up and run against Michael Bloomberg."

Weiner himself decided against running for mayor in part because he didn't think he'd win. A little hypocritical there. Not to mention, some of the stuff Weiner's been saying/doing on health care reform has been a play to the base in case he wants to run for mayor in four years. The WH has reason to be annoyed with Weiner.

As I stated yesterday
was that the Obama administration and the DNC's preferred candidate was Bloomberg.  Bloomberg is just too valuable of as a "bipartisan" ally with very minimal cost (Bloomberg effectively governs NYC like a pro-business Democrat) than a Democratic mayor of NYC in a state that is safe.

Had the polls shown a close race, I suspect Obama might have endorsed Bloomberg, or at least sent messages that Bloomberg was their favored choice.


[ Parent ]
As not mayor of New York
Bloomberg would have more money and time to parade around, or hold an administrative position.  

[ Parent ]
However as a Republican elected official
his support of Obama's national agenda carries "bipartisan" weight.  This the reason why Obama wants Bloomberg and Schwarzenegger in office.  They may be Republicans locally, but nationally they are allies.

Bloomberg was far more valuable as mayor than Thompson.


[ Parent ]
A wash
the White House had an ally no matter who won, the trick was to not make an enemy out of the winner.

Still, the first woerds that came through my mouth last night when it became clear the race was surprisingly close was "That fucking coward Anthony Weiner"

He chickened out of a race that it's now clear he could have won...and he likely would've had some institutional support as he was the party's #1 choice for Mayor.


[ Parent ]
Both are allies
but Bloomberg is a Repub, which makes his "bipartisan" endorsement much more useful than a liberal Democrat.

[ Parent ]
Your right Smith with what you said
I don't have to go on because i've already said it in numerous threads. DTO your right as well. Anthony Weiner can complain all he wants to the White House but the fact remains is he had the chance to run againist Bloomberg but chose not to because he thought he would lose, that's very cowardly right there. So don't go crying to the WH about this, you had a chance to run but chose not to and if you did the WH and everyone else would of backed you up 110 percent in your run. Including the voters and netroota.

[ Parent ]
I wouldn't be surprised however
if the White House told Weiner that if he ran, he couldn't count on Obama's support.  As I said, the White House wanted Bloomberg reelected, regardless whom the Democratic opposition was.  

[ Parent ]
You may be right on that
But knowing how much of a firebrand Weiner would of ran regardless of what the WH told him. I think what happened is Weiner saw the poll numbers and said screw it i'll run when Mike retires. That's just my opinion.

Not that I disagree with your views on Obama and Bloomberg, but how exactly did you know Obams wanted Bloombo to win because he's very valuable to him on a national level? I jst want to know how you came up with this, i'm curious.


[ Parent ]
It's
a scratch my back and I'll scratch yours relationship between Obama and Bloomberg. Obama would of gladly endorsed Bloomberg...had the Dems decided to sit this one out. I'm not surprised if the NY Dem party received a few phone calls from the White House asking them to field a no body or no candidate at all against Bloomberg.

[ Parent ]
You could say that
Obama likes Bloombo and there's nothing wrong with that so I could see the WH makining a few calls saying don't bother fielding a candidate. But you know they couldn't of done it even if wanted to. It's NYC how stupid would it look for the Dems not to field any type of candidate againist Bloomberg. So they sent out a second tier guy in Thompson to run againist him and the rest is history. It worked out for everyone.

Plus I have to agree with Smith on this one, Bloomberg on the national level would be a good ally to the WH.


[ Parent ]
Presidential race
I wonder if Obama also has some love for Bloomie based on him not entering the 08 Pres. race. As an Indy/Third Party candidate, of course. If i recall correctly all the talk about Bloomie running stopped when it was clear Obama would be nominated. And, had Bloomberg run, i would think hed have taken alot more votes from Obama than McCain.  

[ Parent ]
I'm pretty sure
Bloomberg said he wouldn't run as an indy if Obama ran because he didn't want to be the known as the guy who deny the country it's first african-american president. I'll give to to bloomy, atleast he had common sense can't say the same for Ralph Nader.

But no question had he run he would of siphoned voted from Obama because his beliefs are for the most part are insync with someone who would of voted for Obama. Plus I think generally Obama likes Bloomberg and I can't blame him for that and I think the same goes with Bloomberg. But him not running as a Indy in '08 could also be the reason for the love. Who really knows.


[ Parent ]
Well I think he would have sapped
a lot from McCain too.  Many of the soft racists and the PUMAs would have voted for him rather than a Republican.  Also there were many moderate Repubs/independents who were anti-Bush but voted for McCain because they thought Obama was too liberal or inexperienced, those would probably go to Bloomberg.

[ Parent ]
In Weiner's defense
The polls never looked anything close to what the results ended up being.  I cant recall a single poll showing it winnable.

[ Parent ]
Right
The polls were way off but still alot of people including Anthony Weiner took the polls seriously and that's why he decided not to run. That's why I have no symphony with him on this.

[ Parent ]
Given that Thompson lost by only 5 points
I think Weiner actually would have won. I like Weiner a lot. I'm not sure I would have voted for him against Bloomberg, but I would have considered it, and actually did vote for him in the Mayoral primaries when he ran in them. I think there's quite a decent chance he would be a good Mayor. I also think he's very ambitious and a likely candidate in the future to run for Governor, Senator, and possibly even President (a position I don't see a New York Jew winning any time soon - but then, I thought the first black President would be a conservative Republican, so what do I know?). In the meantime, I love what he's been doing on health care in the House.

[ Parent ]
Question Pan
You said you would be undedided if it was between Bloomberg and Weiner in the NYC Mayoral race. Why that.

And I got to agree he's been a beast on health care reform in the House. If he keeps this up he'll be out of the House and into a higher office in no time.


[ Parent ]
Undecided
Only because Weiner hasn't already shown what he can do as Mayor. But he's a really smart guy and would get a lot of attention from me. I've thought for several years now that he's the best candidate for Mayor the Democrats have in this city.

[ Parent ]
Perhaps, although...
...there is the argument that for all the better Weiner could've done than Thompson among white Dems in Brooklyn and Queens, he could've also had a more difficult time turning out the minority vote Thompson so strongly managed to deliver. Ultimately, I think it would've been closer, but Bloomy probably would've pulled it out nonetheless.

[ Parent ]
What is your evidence
For this charge:

Not to mention, some of the stuff Weiner's been saying/doing on health care reform has been a play to the base in case he wants to run for mayor in four years.


[ Parent ]
David I think what he meant was
Since Anthony has taken such a strong position as the point man so to say for the public option that when he ever does runs for Mayor he'll have something to run on that will bring people out to vote for him. Atleast that's what I got out of it.

[ Parent ]
Weiner
May be a strong advocate for the public option to be included in the bill but i also know hes very strongly for a single payer system instead. He just probably knows what will get passed and what wont so hes not trying to push the single payer and instead is pushing the PO.

I even remember him aaying, in an interview, how he thinks the health insurance companies shouldnt even exist. unless it was taken totally out of context. so yeah hes probably a hardcore single payer supporter.


[ Parent ]
I knew Weiner supported single payer
But unlike Dennis Kucinich, he knows what will get passed in the bill and what will die and he knows that the public option has a good chance on being in the final and not single payer so that's why he's become a very good pointman in the House on the issue and i've gained alot of respect for him over it. I know what I said about him regarding the NCY Mayoral race but if keeps this up, he be in a higher office in no time.

[ Parent ]
IL-SEN
Capitol Fax heard that Kirk is planning to swing to the right. That might be delayed now, with NY-23 collapsing, but since it's not like the teabaggers are gonna stop, I suspect Kirk will do it eventually.

Which is just bizzare. He's really not got much competition in the primary, and even if he did, it'll absolutely kill him in General. This isn't even upstate NY, you can't run a conservative campaign here. Even toying with the idea is gonna damage you.


There's in't much competition now...
but Kirk and everyone is betting that there is high chances they're will be.

I wonder how much support Palin is going to bring in.


[ Parent ]
I Guess I sorta hope they're right...
...but I doubt it. IL ballot access laws are so crummy that the field is basically set. And the primary is in February, so if one of the no-names facing him in the primary is gonna catch fire, we'll need to see a spark soon.

BTW, in terms of pure campaign mechanics, Kirk has to be up there with Fiorina in terms of failure. His botched entry into the race, the Twitter thing, the China and Climate quotes, now this leaked memo...this guy is amateur hour.


[ Parent ]
KY-Sen
Why is Mongiardo still leading in the primary after his temper tantrum on tape about Gov. Steve Beshear. He can't win and we have an absolute money bomb and strong candidate who could win if Mongiardo would just aside. This is rediculous!

I concur
That guy should just drop out, I like Conway more anyway.

Bill Hedrick for Congress

[ Parent ]
FL & the CfG
If that Chocola interview isn't a shot across Crist's bow, I don't what is.
If NY-23 was a warm up battle in the GOP civil war; FL-Sen should be a real doozy.

Especially with Crist's recent approval numbers dropping to 42, his lowest ever:
Crist's approval rating hits new low


Between that....
And Pat Buchanan basically outing him with an oblique reference to gay issues on MSNBC last night, ole Charlie may be in for the race from Hell.

And now, just because we could use some cheer, I present, on behalf of the great state of Maine, 12 pictures of Charlie Crist looking really gay.  


[ Parent ]
only number the second to last one
on that website is gay looking.  I certainly lol'd though.  

[ Parent ]
I hate that stuff
Setting aside the question of whether it's right to vote against someone because of their sexuality --

This is such middle-school-level stuff. Spreading rumors that someone is gay is in such poor taste. The long gap between Crist's marriages doesn't indicate that he's a homosexual, and that doesn't make his wife a "beard." For all we know he's a happily married straight man.

I would hope that progressives in particular would refrain from spreading these rumors and cracking jokes about them.  


[ Parent ]
He'll be switching parties
at the rate his numbers with Republicans are dropping.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Party of it.
Part of Crists approval raitings dropping is because he is a Governor.
Republican governors are getting hammered as well, especially ones in states that aren't rabid extremist.  

[ Parent ]
Can we please get a map of NY-23?
Seeing that painted blue will make me so happy!

Corzine
was apparently having second thoughts about continuing his now failed reelection campaign over the summer.

http://www.nj.com/news/index.s...


The White House should have intervened
I personally think that Corzine should have been selected as Secretary of Treasury.  That would have got him out of New Jersey and at the same time we might have gotten a better Treasury Secretary.

[ Parent ]
Corzine for all his faults
was a pretty good progressive.  I'd have preferred this former Goldman CEO over the Wall Street lackey we have there now.

[ Parent ]
Good point
I mean I know Corzine's a hack but that's about it. If Geithner steps down in the fiture and Obama named him I don't think I have a problem because this is what he knows best. He guess wasn't good at governing. But neither will Christie so sweet jesus thank god I don't like in NJ.

[ Parent ]
That could have only hurt Obama
Corzine was as politically toxic a year ago as he is now.

[ Parent ]
Maybe in New Jersey
but Corzine would have been a much better Treasury Secretary than Geithner.  For one, despite being the former CEO of Goldman Sachs, he is not a lackey of Wall Street.  

I think Corzine, being a politician, would have sided with Axelrod and curbed the executive pay packages.


[ Parent ]
I'd definitely get on that boat.
I agree that Corzine wouldn't be any worse than Geithner at the Treasury. I was only excited about Geithner in the first place because he wasn't Larry Summers. I'm just glad that Maria Cantwell has started making noise about him...perhaps other Democrats will come onboard. Finding a new Treasury Secretary would show voters that Obama can learn from his mistakes.

[ Parent ]
The Nation endorsed him in late 2008
They said that he was a choice from the "Democratic wing of the Democratic Party".

http://www.thenation.com/blogs...


[ Parent ]
Treasury Sec.
IMO, Obama would have gotten alot of heat and controversy for nominating a guy to Sec. of Treasury who is seen as ineffective as Gov. (including on NJ's economy). Whether he really is ineffective or not. And nominating a guy to this certain position just to win the 2009 election...would also not look good. But who knows...as Obama had alot of goodwill during the whole nomination period.

[ Parent ]
Dodd should do what Corzine didn't.
Yes Dodd is a great senator and hasn't done anything to warrant losing re-election, but no one wants another repeat of NJ (well excluding the excitement craves).
If Dodds numbers don't take a radical shift upwards in the next few months, than he needs to go for the sake of the country.

[ Parent ]
Dodd for Treasurary Secretary! :-P (n/t)


[ Parent ]
Scratch Pataki off NY-Sen
http://www.politico.com/blogs/...

Think he gives a damn about NY-Sen if he does give a damn about who the Manchester, NH mayor is?


DE-Sen: I bet O'Donnell causes problems for Castle...
She's a staunchly pro-life, FOX News-style conservative, and Castle's a pro-choice, pro-stem cell, pro-gay RINO. No way does he sail through the primary unscathed.

I'll go further
without the GOP establishment going in on the side of Castle, I think O'Donnell may win the primary.  Castle is old and doesn't campaign all that well.

[ Parent ]
I think that's unlikely but no longer out of the realm of the possible, post-Hoffman.
If O'Donnell won, that would be HILARIOUS.

[ Parent ]
If she runs, the DSCC should seriously consider
spending some money to promote her.  

[ Parent ]
Or Kos could just "endorse" Castle in the primary
Kos's endorsements seem to be quite a wingnut rallying cry...

[ Parent ]
What the GOP's gov wins mean for future Senate races
I have the bad political junkie habit of thinking way too far ahead to races that are eons away as far as politics go. Nevertheless, with the GOP getting the Gov/LG) positions in Jersey and all three statewide offices (Gov./AG/LG) in Virginia, is anybody else worried about the potential ramifications this could have for Dem held Senate seats down the road? Beyond the damage these guys can do in their statewide positions, it hurts to give the GOP potentially viable Senate candidates down the road.

No matter what the political environment looks like in 2012, I think it is likely that the GOP will mount a credible challenge to Jim Webb, be it in the form of Bill Bolling, Ken Cuccinelli or Macaca himself.

Bob Menendez seems less vulnerable in 2012 considering NJ's demographics and his political acumen, but Sen. Frank Lautenberg is in his mid-80's and he was just re-elected. If his seat became vacant, Christie would certainly appoint a Republican to fill the seat until a special election.

We need a Constitutional amendment mandating special election laws for vacant Senate seats.


You're Not Wrong, It's Just...
What do we do at this point, y'know? That's kind of the peril of losing.

In NJ, I guess we just have to pray for Frank. He seems spry, so it's not like the situation is dire. I'd suggest the Dem-heavy legislature pass a special election law, but I don't think they have the margins.

In VA, I actually think Webb fits the state well. And remember: he'll have the advantages of incumbency AND an electorate that looks a lot more like 2008 than 2009. The Republicans will certainly want his scalp, but I think he's going to have to commit a fireable offense for them to take it. And I haven't seen such an offense yet.


[ Parent ]
First Jim Webb has to run for reelection
I'm sure if he runs for reelection then he will win. However I'm not sure that he will run. He's not a career politician. He came out of retirement to run for the Senate in the first place. He could decide one term is enough and then leave us hanging. I don't want to lose him. Without Jim Webb we wouldn't have the GI Bill.

[ Parent ]
NJ-Sen
Well, I don't expect anything to happen to Lautenberg, but if anything does, I'm confident that the Dems can win the special election. Either Newark Mayor Cory Booker or Rep. Frank Pallone will be seeking higher office; one will probably run for Senate in 2014 (or in a special election), while the other will probably challenge (and defeat?) Christie in 2013.

Remember no Republican has won a Senate election in New Jersey since 1972. The last time a Republican was appointed to the Senate in NJ (Nicholas Brady, by Tom Kean, Sr., to replace Harrison Williams), the seat was in Democratic hands within a year.

Menendez is likely safe in 2012, but we'll see what happens between now and then.

I wouldn't get too worked up over Corzine's loss; it really has nothing to do with Obama or Dems in Congress, and everything to do with Corzine's inept governorship. I don't like Christie, but I will grant him my support in his efforts to clean up NJ (because God knows we need it).  


[ Parent ]
Pallone and Booker, yes
But I'd also look for Rush Holt.  I'm not sure he'd want to step up to Senate or that he could get through the machine that is New Jersey (and that he can't stand), but we could do a damn sight worse (possibly the understatement of the year...he's one of my favorites).

[ Parent ]
Wonder who Christie could appoint
Reps Frelinghuysen, LoBiondo & Lance seem like obvious choices. State Sen. Diane Allen could very well be their best choice in the general election, given how moderate she is (from what ive heard, anyway, shes pretty moderate). But could she survive a GOP primary? Christie Todd Whitman would be a good choice, i would suspect, but im sure shes done with politics. Of the Reps Frelinghuysen is probably the most moderate and hes from North Jersey (although in a GOP district) and comes from a prominent political family...but he seems so low profile and uninterested in moving up. Chris Smith, while moderate on economic and environmental issues, is just too culturally conservative to win statewide, IMO. Maybe he can win over some blue collar Catholic Democrats (especially older ones) but socially liberal swing voters wouldnt want to vote for him. Rep. Garrett? He could very well be the most conservative congressman in the entire northeast. No way he gets the nod and would get killed in the GE if he did.

[ Parent ]

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