Google Ads


Site Stats

Rasmussen Reports, You Decide, Vol. 2

by: James L.

Mon Jan 25, 2010 at 8:38 AM EST


Another firehose-blast of Rasmussen polls....

AZ-Sen (1/20, likely voters, 11/18 in parens):

John McCain (R-inc): 53 (45)
J.D. Hayworth (R): 31 (43)
Chris Simcox (R): 4 (4)
Other: 3 (2)
Undecided: 8 (7)
(MoE: ±4.5%)

CA-Gov (1/19, likely voters, 9/24 in parens):

Jerry Brown (D): 43 (44)
Meg Whitman (R): 39 (35)
Other: 7 (3)
Undecided: 11 (18)

Jerry Brown (D): 45 (45)
Steve Poizner (R): 35 (32)
Other: 9 (5)
Undecided: 11 (18)

Dianne Feinstein (D): 43
Meg Whitman (R): 42
Other: 6
Undecided: 9

Steve Poizner (R): 39
Dianne Feinstein (D): 43
Other: 8
Undecided: 10
(MoE: ±4.5%)

GA-Gov (1/20, likely voters, no trendlines):

Roy Barnes (D): 42
John Oxendine (R): 44
Other: 6
Undecided: 8

Roy Barnes (D): 43
Nathan Deal (R): 42
Other: 7
Undecided: 8

Roy Barnes (D): 43
Karen Handel (R): 42
Other: 5
Undecided: 10

Thurbert Baker (D): 32
John Oxendine (R): 50
Other: 8
Undecided: 10

Thurbert Baker (D): 32
Nathan Deal (R): 49
Other: 7
Undecided: 11

Thurbert Baker (D): 34
Karen Handel (R): 46
Other: 8
Undecided: 11
(MoE: ±4.5%)

MO-Sen (1/19, likely voters, 12/15 in parens):

Robin Carnahan (D): 43 (46)
Roy Blunt (R): 49 (44)
Some other: 3 (4)
Not sure: 5 (6)
(MoE: ±4.5%)

NY-Gov (1/18, likely voters, 11/17 in parens):

David Paterson (D-inc): 38 (37)
Rick Lazio (R): 45 (41)
Other: 9 (13)
Undecided: 8 (8)

Andrew Cuomo (D): 54 (57)
Rick Lazio (R): 35 (29)
Other: 5 (6)
Undecided: 7 (9)
(MoE: ±4.5%)

NY-Sen-B (1/18, likely voters, no trendlines):

Kirsten Gillibrand (D-inc): 39
Republican Candidate: 34
Harold Ford, Jr. (I): 10
Not sure: 17
(MoE: ±4.5%)

PA-Sen (primary) (1/18, likely voters, 12/8 in parens):

Arlen Specter (D-inc): 40 (42)
Pat Toomey (R): 49 (46)
Other: 4 (4)
Undecided: 8 (8)

Joe Sestak (D): 35 (38)
Pat Toomey (R): 43 (44)
Some other: 6 (6)
Not sure: 16 (13)
(MoE: ±3%)

Arlen Specter (D-inc): 53 (48)
Joe Sestak (D): 32 (35)
Other: 4 (3)
Not sure: 11 (14)
(MoE: ±5%)

James L. :: Rasmussen Reports, You Decide, Vol. 2
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email
IN-Sen
47 Pence
44 Bayh

Bayh 44
Hostettler 41

Bayh 45
Stutzman 33

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


Link
http://politicalwire.com/archi...

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Why do I have this sickening feeling
I expect to read a headline later this week that goes "Pence announces Senate bid, Bayh retires."

I miss 2008. :-(

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26


[ Parent ]
Ugh, those Numbers look ugly for Bayh
What the hell is going on in the Hoosier State?

Remember North Dakota: You could be right. Rasmussen boosted Hoevens Chances and pushed Dorgan into Retirement.


[ Parent ]
Come on
I'm not terribly sanguine about our prospects in November, but do you REALLY think that one Rasmussen poll, taken at the absolute low ebb of Democratic popularity, showing a Pence lead within the statistical margin of error is really going to be enough to push out a well-liked, electorally-tested fundraising monster like Evan Bayh?

Maybe Pence will run, and maybe he'll even win, but this is in no way comparable with the North Dakota situation.

Male, 23, DC-At Large


[ Parent ]
I can buy Bayh/Pence being in a dead heat, but Hostettler's probably too far-right to be competitive


For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

[ Parent ]
And Hostettler is a total nutjob
Hostettler tried to bring a gun onto a plane. The pistol wasn't in his checked luggage, which is totally legal, but was on his person. He also accepted zero PAC money while in the House and never won a race with more than 55% of the vote in a district that was very Republican.
Bayh's campaign would eat him alive if he were the nominee.  

[ Parent ]
BS
He is just trying to get Pence to run.

[ Parent ]
Biden officially a "no" on Senate run
Beau's latest e-mail. No.
http://www.delawareliberal.net...

However, my first responsibilities are here in Delaware. I have a duty to fulfill as Attorney General - and the immediate need to focus on a case of great consequence. And that is what I must do. Therefore I cannot and will not run for the United States Senate in 2010. I will run for reelection as Attorney General.

Mister Vice President, if you didn't know for sure that your son was running, you shouldn't have arranged for a placeholder in your former Senate seat.


Paging Chris Coons...
n/t

Male, 23, DC-At Large

[ Parent ]
Who is Chris Coons?
n/t

[ Parent ]
New Castle County Executive
Widely talked up as the best stand-in candidate for Team Blue in the event Beau deferred.

Male, 23, DC-At Large

[ Parent ]
The guy
who is going to lose to Castle in the fall.  

[ Parent ]
Um what?
he hasn't even announced yet.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Much has changed since then
I'm positive he was running a year ago. And many here supported the move because they were "concerned" about nepotism. You reap what you sow.

[ Parent ]
CA gov, GA gov
I wish the dems had a better candidate than Jerry Brown for the governor's race. He's been around forever and that could hurt against Whitman. I'm curious about Roy Barnes & Georgia. Any ideas why he's polling so well in such a red state?

Sellers remorse?
Barnes has the built-in message of saying that Georgia was a far better place when he was governor that it has been under Republican rule.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
At this early stage, I would say name recognition.
The other candidates are not well known, or at least not as well known as a former goverrnor.

[ Parent ]
Guilt?
Maybe Georgians feel bad about kicking out Barnes and especially Cleland that year.  Cleland isnt running so Barnes gets all the sypmathy.

Of ocurse name recognition is probably more likely an explanation...


[ Parent ]
At least its 9.5 months out
Some of these look like worst case scenarios, but i guess the positive spin is that the candidates can react and get their butt's in gear.  

Living in PA, the Specter Sestak numbers are intriguing.  Too bad Joe can't get traction against Specter, I think he could beat Toomey.  Specter vs Toomey I think might keep a lot of people home in Philly, and particularly the Philly suburbs.

Oh, and I'm sorry, but not sure I see another Republican Governor in Cali this time.  I think that one might be too pessimistic.



Copyright 2003-2010 Swing State Project LLC

Primary Sponsor

You're not running for second place. Is your website? See why Campaign Engine is ranked #1 in software and support among Progressive-only Internet firms. http://www.mediamezcla.com/

Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


About the Site

SSP Resources

Blogroll

Powered by: SoapBlox