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Monday, October 30, 2006

New Majority Watch Polls

Posted by James L.

Constituent Dynamics & RT Strategies just dumped 40 or so House race polls over at their Majority Watch project website. I'd like to crow about seemingly good news out of districts like IL-10, CO-04 and KY-03, but there are too many weird results here for me to trust these polls too much: Shays with a 9 point lead? Loebsack only two points behind Leach? Maffei up by 9 points?

A little too unlikely, but some of the other races polled feel right. Give it a look.

Posted at 06:21 PM in 2006 Elections - House | Technorati

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Comments

The polls in a better format can be found:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/10/30/183737/55

or kos's post is:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2006/10/30/19835/298

Either way these MW polls are slightly better in the 'smell test' areas.

Some of the polls were/are crazy.

I still cannot believe the NY-20.
The NY-19 is closer to reality but still probably tied or still marginally Kelly.

I don't understand the massive massive PA-08 flip.
I get that its a hard hitting race but look at that those numbers flip.

We are getting some rather weird polls, but meh.
At least some group is polling the races no one else is polling.

-- MrMacMan

Posted by: MrMacMan at October 30, 2006 07:16 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

CT 4 is messed up. There are two completely different crosstabs. One which reflect the number they have, the other which I have shows Farrell up 7. I would just ignore it. How could Diane be doing the worst of all Democratic Challengers in the country?

Posted by: Democraticavenger at October 30, 2006 09:18 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment