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Saturday, July 17, 2004

General Election Cattle Call, July 17

Posted by Chris Bowers

(Previous Numbers in Parenthesis)

National Two-Party Vote Projection
Kerry: 52.82 (52.69)
Bush: 47.18 (47.31)
Status: Lean Kerry

Electoral Vote Projection
Kerry: 322, 228 solid (same)
Bush: 216, 143 solid (same)
States Changing Hands from 2000: FL, MO, NH and OH
States Projected closer than three points: AR, LA, NV, NC and TN for Bush (46); MO and OH for Kerry (31)

This is the second largest lead Kerry has ever held in the national popular vote projection. All along, I have hoped that the lead can stretch to seven before the convention. Considering what should be significant coverage all of next week, that looks entirely possible.

This is also the largest number of data points to ever be included in the GECC--28. Ever since Edwards entered the race, it has been Pollapalooza.

Posted at 03:25 PM in General Election Cattle Call | Technorati

Comments

What polls are you basing NV and MO going for Kerry?

Posted by: Kath/Sonoma at July 19, 2004 01:28 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment