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Friday, June 04, 2004

Rasmussen Poll Roundup

Posted by DavidNYC

Kos has a big Rasmussen poll roundup, including swing states MO, OH, OR, PA and VA. And how do ya like this: We're back one point in MO, two in OH, one in OR, one in PA and (this is somewhat amazing to me) just two in VA. No trendlines on VA, but that's still mighty close. (MoE's for each of these polls are different, ranging from 3% to 5%.)

Posted at 09:33 PM in General | Technorati


I don't understand PA numbers at all. Unless Bush is doing extremely well in some counties in PA Kerry should win PA by at least 5 percentage points.

Posted by: ben at June 5, 2004 11:14 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I wouldn't put too much stock in the Rasmussen Poll results, good or bad. Their results tend to be extremely volatile, and with some frequency, wildly wrong. For example, four years ago, their final national poll had Bush winning the popular vote by a margin of 9%, which was by far the least accurate prediction by any national polling organization. Here is an article on the accuracy of the various national polls:


Posted by: gary at June 5, 2004 12:03 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

How about the huge lead Kerry has in Maine? Supposedly a swing state this year. Kerry is kicking but up there. An indication of strength. It must make the Bushies very nervous.

Maine: Kerry 54% Bush 35%

State data from National Survey of 15,000 Likely Voters May 1-31, 2004Maine 2004

Presidential Ballot

Bush 35%
Kerry 54%
Other 3%
Not Sure 7%

June 5, 2004--Before the Democrats settled on a candidate from the state next door, Maine was thought to be a battleground state for Election 2004. However, the latest Rasmussen Reports survey finds Senator John F. Kerry with a huge 54% to 35% lead in that state over President George W. Bush.

Posted by: Rock_nj at June 5, 2004 08:23 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I do not understand how Bush could possibly win after his record in his present presidency. To vote for him is to show disregard for the wrong he has done to this country. I pray to God we dont get four more years of him.

Posted by: Louis Morales at October 22, 2004 10:52 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Speaking of Rasmussen, does anybody know which states they'll be releasing poll numbers for today? And are there any other state polls people are anticipating?

Posted by: Mark at October 22, 2004 11:32 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment