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Saturday, June 05, 2004

Assessing the Accuracy of Polls

Posted by DavidNYC

Gary in the comments of a post below points us to a short but useful article from a few years back by the National Council on Public Polls. The NCPP examined the accurary of all the major polling organizations based on their predictions for the 2000 election. The best was Harris. The worst was Rasmussen, which used a very strange method of collecting answers.

Anyhow, as they say on Wall Street, past performance is no guarantee of future results. But this list is handy inasmuch as it provides a brief track-record for the big polling outfits. I'd love to see a more comprehensive analysis done over a longer time-period. When I get back from my college reunion (five years, wow) later this weekend, I'll poke around for something along those lines.

Posted at 01:50 PM in General | Technorati