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Monday, May 03, 2004
General Election Cattle Call, May 3
Posted by Chris BowersNational Popular Two-Party Vote Projection
Bush: 50.9
Kerry: 49.1
Status: Too close to call, swing states in play
Electoral Vote Projection:
Bush 227
Kerry: 220
Too close to call: 91 (IA, FL, NH, NM, OH, OR, PA)
Even though all of the details of the new Sacred Heart poll are not out yet, and even though their poll has 0% undecideds (exactly the sort of thing I hate), I���m going to go ahead and post a May 3rd GECC anyway. Why?
Two words: New rule
From now on, each of the three categories will be required to have at least two data points, so that one new poll is unable to wildly change the standings. Thus, in addition to including the new Sacred Heart poll, I���ve added two old favorable / unfavorable polls, and removed the Marist national poll.
Expect changes of this sort to take place once and a while. And hey, please offer suggestions for how else I should tinker with the GECC.
Posted at 11:05 PM in General Election Cattle Call | Technorati