Yet another blast of polls from America’s most annoyingly prolific pollster.
LA-Sen (2/10, likely voters, 1/14 in parens):
Charlie Melancon (D): 33 (35)
David Vitter (R-inc): 57 (53)
Other: 3 (4)
Undecided: 7 (8)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
MI-Gov (2/9, likely voters):
Alma Wheeler Smith (D): 29
Mike Bouchard (R): 42
Other: 8
Undecided: 20Alma Wheeler Smith (D): 28
Peter Hoekstra (R): 44
Other: 8
Undecided: 20Alma Wheeler Smith (D): 30
Mike Cox (R): 45
Other: 8
Undecided: 18Andy Dillon (D): 32
Mike Bouchard (R): 40
Other: 10
Undecided: 18Andy Dillon (D): 34
Peter Hoekstra (R): 41
Other: 10
Undecided: 15Andy Dillon (D): 36
Mike Cox (R): 35
Other: 11
Undecided: 17Virg Bernero (D): 31
Mike Bouchard (R): 40
Other: 9
Undecided: 20Virg Bernero (D): 30
Peter Hoekstra (R): 43
Other: 7
Undecided: 19Virg Bernero (D): 34
Mike Cox (R): 40
Other: 9
Undecided: 17
(MoE: ±4.5%)
MO-Sen (2/10, likely voters, 1/19 in parens):
Robin Carnahan (D): 42 (43)
Roy Blunt (R): 49 (49)
Some other: 3 (3)
Not sure: 6 (5)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
ND-Sen (2/9-10, likely voters):
Tracy Potter (D): 17
John Hoeven (R): 71
Other: 4
Undecided: 8Heidi Heitkamp (D): 29
John Hoeven (R): 65
Other: 1
Undecided: 5
(MoE: ±4.5%)
ND-AL (2/9-10, likely voters):
Earl Pomeroy (D-inc): 40
Rick Berg (R): 46
Other: 3
Undecided: 11Earl Pomeroy (D-inc): 45
Kevin Cramer (R): 44
Other: 3
Undecided: 7Earl Pomeroy (D-inc): 47
Paul Schaffner (R): 38
Other: 5
Undecided: 10
(MoE: ±4.5%)
NH-Sen (2/10, likely voters, 1/12 in parens):
Paul Hodes (D): 39 (40)
Kelly Ayotte (R): 46 (49)
Other: 3 (3)
Not Sure: 13 (8)Paul Hodes (D): 44 (45)
Ovide Lamontagne (R): 38 (38)
Other: 4 (6)
Not Sure: 13 (11)Paul Hodes (D): 41 (43)
Bill Binnie (R): 42 (37)
Other: 3 (5)
Not Sure: 13 (15)
(MoE: ±4.5%)
PA-Gov (2/8, likely voters):
Jack Wagner (D): 28
Tom Corbett (R): 49
Other: 5
Undecided: 17Joe Hoeffel (D): 29
Tom Corbett (R): 51
Other: 5
Undecided: 15Dan Onorato (D): 26
Tom Corbett (R): 52
Other: 5
Undecided: 17
(MoE: ±4.5%)
PA-Sen (2/8, likely voters, 1/18 in parens):
Arlen Specter (D-inc): 38 (40)
Pat Toomey (R): 47 (49)
Other: 5 (4)
Undecided: 10 (8)Joe Sestak (D): 35 (35)
Pat Toomey (R): 43 (43)
Some other: 7 (6)
Not sure: 15 (16)
(MoE: ±3%)
Wasn’t there just a poll about a week ago that showed Pomeroy up like 7 or 8 on his challengers?
gonna lie, this polls hurt alot
are democrats.
Can Vitter really have a 57-33% lead? I know he’s been polling ahead of Melancon, that just seems way extreme to me. Then again, this is Rasmussen…
at 4.4%
http://www.bls.gov/lau/
plus they don’t have a deficit this year, so if pomeroy loses it won’t be the economy, at least not as the major issue. more likely, it will be a combination of the state’s republican and libertarian tendencies, campaign quality, and their attitudes toward the obama admin and dem congress. at least almost all of those variables can be controlled easier than the economy, that’s something.
I’ve been arguing that the vast majority of seats Dems will lose have to do with a regional alignment — the bottom falling out of the Democratic Party in the South and Appalachian regions as a result of demographic shifts and a racial backlash against Obama. By that theory, we’re due in the House for what 2004 was in the Senate — a wholesale housecleaning of Southern Conservadems in rock-red districts, but very little change in other regions.
If that theory is to hold, Dems like Pomeroy have to be able to stick it out in red regions that aren’t in the South. There’s very little realignment reason for Pomeroy to lose when he was able to survive against strong opponents in 1994, 2000, and 2002. If Pomeroy loses, it means the prognosticators are right, and I’m wrong — we’re in for a massive 1994-style wave as a reaction against Democratic policies.
So I’ll be watching this one very closely.
Rasmussen hasn’t polled IN-Sen. I wonder if there is any way to prove whether he sits on numbers that aren’t favorable to Republicans.
Regardless of the results, Rasmussen is putting out far, far more polls than anyone else.
Evan Bayh to retire:
http://hotlineoncall.nationalj…
Love or hate him, it’s a disaster
The sheer number of polls that Rasmussen is putting out makes it appear he is trying to drive/engineer a narrative to shape the national political environment.