Quinnipiac...

...had Sink, not McCollum, up by 4.

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by: Politik @ Thu Jun 25, 2009 at 23:03:57 PM UTC

Hm, you are correct

I will fix.

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by: James L. @ Thu Jun 25, 2009 at 23:05:39 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

crist is under 50?

seems suspicious.  unless all of the conservatives are w/holding support until after the primary.  even then rubio only gets about 15-30% in the primary, so it doesn't seem like rubio's supporters withholding suport wouldf have much of an effect.

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

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by: doug_tuttle @ Thu Jun 25, 2009 at 23:47:19 PM UTC

There isn't a chance

There is now FL-Gov is that lopsided, even at this early juncture. Sink has strong statewide approval ratings, and she's spent her time in office smartly positioning herself as a pragmatist, a contrast to McCollum's unabashed conservatism. I'm not saying Sink is a shoo-in by any means, but this race is a dead heat in 2009.

The Times' findings are certainly damaging, but I doubt they'll seriously affect her numbers in the long term.

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by: virgiltexas @ Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 01:44:20 AM UTC

*"There is no way"

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by: virgiltexas @ Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 01:45:31 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

His approval ratings are better

It's his race to lose...  and I have faith in him.

But at this point we are clearly behind.

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by: tommypaine @ Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 09:42:45 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Don't you mean "her"?

Alex Sink is female. In fact, she's married to Bill McBride.

Or are you saying you have faith in McCollum? ;)

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by: corran horn @ Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 13:39:39 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

FL

I told you guys Alex Sink is not the slam dunk candidate you all thought she was.  We will most likely lose FL-GOV by a decent margin.

29/D/Male/NY-01

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by: Tekzilla @ Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 14:31:03 PM UTC

cracked

Everyone from Florida seems to think otherwise.  How well do you know of her as a candidate?  When did you become such a troll?  If you are going to make these downer statements then back it up a bit better.

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by: Andrew @ Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 15:41:13 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

He doesn't know her and he's always been a troll

Remember, this is the same guy who predicted that Tedisco would win NY-23 by double digits. His predictions are about as useful as Farmer's Almanac.

As for the poll, if it were June 2010, I'd be concerned, but it's 2009. Plenty of time to gain the lead. Plus, I've learned to take early Rasmussen #s with a grain of salt because they tend to be really screwy until about the September before the election.

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by: corran horn @ Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 19:12:48 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

BS

Are you UpstateDem in disguise? Not one person said she was a slam dunk. Not one. What everybody said was that she is the best possible nominee. She is. This is the fourth poll, two are tied, Sink leads in one, McCollum in the other. Total tossup.

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by: conspiracy @ Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 20:20:39 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Nah, not UpstateDem

That's BillNolan's DK moniker (I think).

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by: corran horn @ Sat Jun 27, 2009 at 00:17:21 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

what kind of idiot polls Florida in June for a general?

oh, that's right... a net pollster looking for a little pub in a summer lull.

the snowbirds are gone this time of year.

not so bad for a primary since the Sept primaries are timed to occur while the transplants are away but for a general?

I am almost curious enough to pay the twenty bucks to see Rassmussen's crosstabs since no one else has had over 80 percent of voters able to rate Sink's favorability one way or the other.

Still, reckon the overall read we can take from the conflicting polls is this is a dogfight.

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by: pinhickwv @ Fri Jun 26, 2009 at 22:36:45 PM UTC