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SSP Cash Power Rankings: 2Q Senate Edition

by: DavidNYC

Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 1:00 PM EDT


Just as we did for the House race scene (and as we did last quarter), we present our rankings according to the SSP Cash Power Index for competitive senate races. The main difference is that we include open seats in this chart; where there is no incumbent senator, the incumbent party candidate is used as a stand-in.

Note that the number of races on this list is a lot smaller than last time; that's because some folks have lost primaries, and also because we've left off the races which, at this point, are not competitive. So while it might look like Rick Noriega, say, has jumped a bunch, that's at least in part because the likes of Greg Fischer and Tony Raimondo aren't around anymore. Also, Tom Udall was previously ranked twice because he faced two primary opponents at the time.

UPDATE: Chart updated to reflect inclusion of KS-Sen.

Cash
Power
Rank
1Q
Rank
State Challenger Party CoH Incumbent Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 1 VA Warner D $5,103 Gilmore R $117 4,362%
2 2/3 NM Udall, T. D $2,889 Pearce R $533 542%
3 4 CO Udall, M. D $3,958 Schaffer R $2,817 141%
4 5 ME Allen D $3,129 Collins R-inc. $5,133 61%
5 6 MN Franken D $4,216 Coleman R-inc. $7,209 58%
6 9 LA Kennedy R $2,706 Landrieu D-inc. $5,515 49%
7 13 AK Begich D $804 Stevens R-inc. $1,681 48%
8 18 NC Hagan D $1,214 Dole R-inc. $2,706 45%
9 8 NH Shaheen D $2,158 Bununu R-inc. $5,105 42%
10 12 NE Kleeb D $454 Johanns R $1,247 36%
11 (n/a) NJ Zimmer R $411 Lautenberg D-inc. $1,291 32%
12 11 OK Rice D $748 Inhofe R-inc. $2,459 30%
13 15 MS Musgrove D $716 Wicker R-inc. $2,953 24%
14 (n/a) ID Rammell I $244 Risch R $1,022 24%
15 10 ID LaRocco D $242 Risch R $1,022 24%
16 19 KS Slattery D $599 Roberts R-inc. $2,870 21%
17 22 KY Lunsford D $1,341 McConnell R-inc. $9,136 15%
18 20 OR Merkley D $569 Smith R-inc. $4,452 13%
19 26 TX Noriega D $916 Cornyn R-inc. $9,368 10%
20 21 GA Martin D $330 Chambliss R-inc. $4,055 8%
21 (n/a) GA Jones "D" $150 Chambliss R-inc. $4,055 4%
DavidNYC :: SSP Cash Power Rankings: 2Q Senate Edition
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Bununu? lol
Guess it's no stranger a name than Sununu is.

On a positive note
We'll probably be able to equal or outspend many of the repub incumbents on this list thanks to the DSCC's massive cash advantage.  They've already committed many millions to many Dems on that list.

whoever made the chart should also have opportunistically insulted JNK
This Jones thing was the first funny thing I noticed.  Then I read ChadinFL's comment about Bununu.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Rasmussen NM-Sen: Udall still safely ahead
No bounce for Pearce.  Looks like that brutal primary crushed his chances.

http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

Udall (D)- 59 (58)
Pearce (R)- 34 (30)


k
I'm done now pretending it's a likley Democratic seat.  It's as safe as Virginia's and that is that.

[ Parent ]
Same here
Ever since Udall jumped in I thought it was too good to be true.  I've kept this race pegged at leans or likely Dem for the longest time.  We can't possibly win a NM Senate Seat in a landslide, can we?  Looks like the answer is "yes we can"!

[ Parent ]
Hopefully Udall will spend his loads of cash on an immense turnout operation
in NM-01 and NM-02.

Likewise, it sure would be great if Mark Warner spent heavily on turnout in VA-05 and VA-02, although in Virginia the presidential race is probably the more important focus.

Hopefully McCain's campaign will have collapsed by the end of the third debate, but one can't really count on that.

28, gay guy, Democrat, CA-08


[ Parent ]
Never, EVER, become complacent.
ESPECIALLY when regarding the presidential race.  We may be Senate and House geeks, but the biggest prize in the race is still the presidency.

But yeah, turnout operations in NM-01, NM-02, VA-02, VA-05, and VA-10.  We could have like a coordinated three-level campaign between Obama, Mark Warner, Glenn Nye, Tom Perriello, Judy Feder, and Gerry Connolly!

And is there any chance that ad markets in one targeted area will spill over into another next door?

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01


[ Parent ]
Absolutely
The pie in the sky is the Presidency.  I'd gladly take the Presidency and smaller margins in the house and senate over having huge majorities in the house and senate but not the Presidency.  Thankfully I think we're going to have 260+ house seats, 55+ in the Senate and a President Obama.  But it's going to be a dogfight all the way in getting Obama elected.

 


[ Parent ]
The presidency is crucial
If we ever want to have a say in the supreme court we need Obama Elected

John Paul Stevens can't stay on the court forever you know

Male 21 Dem Ca's 1st  


[ Parent ]
I'm not gonna lie
but I'm pretty complacent about the presidential race already...  I just finished reading my Time magazine and well, they have an excellent pic of McCain's head errupting like a volcano and I want to find a way to blow that up and turn it into a poster.  I dunno, I just dont see how we can lose this one, there is absolutely nothing going for McCain and everything going for Obama.

Not that being complacent means being lazy to me, I'll be busting my college balls on campus getting people to vote.  


[ Parent ]
Good to see Kleeb is so strong
But not hugely surprising. The DSCC has put NE, KS, OK, GA and TX on it's races to watch list. Kleeb is clearly the strongest of those candidates (why don't you have Kansas on the list though? Slatts is second) and would be the most progressive, IMO. With a million dollar investment the DSCC can close the gap in this super cheap media market.

I think OK is second
Roberts isn't as much of a lightning rod than Inhofe.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Hagan will close the gap on Dole
Between Hagan's COH and DSCC's $6 million in ads, she is going to close the gap on Dole big time.  Dole is still surviving on name recognition and star power.  When NC voters find out what a tool of W Dole has been - and who Hagan is, they will move over to Kay in droves.




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