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« AZ-Sen: Jim Pederson Cuts Kyl Lead From 29 to 7 | Main | Games People Play »

Thursday, May 18, 2006

Correlating Presidential Approval with Midterm Performance

Posted by DavidNYC

A diarist at DailyKos, dmsilev, has a fascinating diary examing the correlation, if any, between presidential approval ratings and the performance of the president's party in midterm elections. The meat of it can be seen in this graph:

Looks like there is a pretty close correlation indeed. While there are some outliers, almost all of the notable ones are quite old (the most recent being 1958). Go read the entire piece for the diarist's full findings.

Posted at 09:53 PM in Elections | Technorati

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