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Tuesday, April 19, 2005

VA-Gov: Tim Kaine Trailing by 8

Posted by Bob Brigham


April 16, 2005--In the race to become Virginia's next Governor, Republican Jerry Kilgore leads Democrat Tim Kaine by eight percentage points, 44% to 36%.

Forty-nine percent (49%) of Virginia have a favorable opinion of Kilgore while 33% have an unfavorable opinion. Eighteen percent (18%) are not sure.

For Kaine, the numbers are 44% favorable, 31% unfavorable, and 25% not sure. [...]

The telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted Thursday night, April 14, 2005. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points, with a 95% level of confidence.

If Kaine's strategy isn't working, at what point would the campaign make the necessary adjustments?

Posted at 06:36 PM in 2005 Elections, Virginia | Technorati


Kaine aint no Mark Warner thats for sure. Get used to saying Governor Kilgore I guess..

Posted by: Falcon4e [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 20, 2005 02:37 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

The last time you quoted a poll in this race (April 7), Kaine was down by 10. Now he's down by 8. If the polls you rely on for your conclusions about Kaine's strategy are to be believed, that strategy has closed the gap by a couple of points.

It's more likely, though, that the analysis in this article is true: much of the difference in these polls is the result of a name recognition differential, and not a referendum on campaign strategy.

Posted by: redsoxkangaroo [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 21, 2005 10:53 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment