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Thursday, July 01, 2004

SUSA Michigan Poll

Posted by DavidNYC

Obviously, there haven't been enough polls around here today... anyhow, I don't usually post Survey USA polls - not because I don't approve of their methodology (which some people complain about), but mostly because Polling Report doesn't carry them. Anyhow, SUSA has a new poll in MI (PDF), with numbers that oughta be pleasing (5/31 - 6/2 trendlines in parens):

Kerry: 51 (47)
Bush: 41 (43)
Other: 6 (7)
Undecided: 2 (4)
(MoE: ��4.1%)

I don't have much to say, except that this is the first time we've seen Kerry with a lead this big since early April. (And that was also SUSA.) Most of the other outfits have shown a much closer race, though if the undecided break for us (as they are traditionally believed to do for the challenger), then Michigan looks pretty good for us.

(Thanks to JoshInPHL.)

Posted at 07:50 PM in Michigan | Technorati


Hmmm. A 10 point lead for Kerry, and just days after Fox reported K44-B43 or K40-B42-N5. I wonder if something could be wrong with someone's methodology?

Speaking of methodology, I wonder if anyone at Zogby is concerned about the way their interactive WSJ "Battleground" polls bounce around in such a volatile way?

Posted by: Ed Fitzgerald (unfutz) at July 2, 2004 02:41 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

The Dippers did well in Windsor and the Soo in the recent Canadian election.
Maybe it's a spill over effect :D

Posted by: Al at July 2, 2004 09:12 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Thanks, David, for this website. I work closely with Megan and MMOB. One of my assignments is to provide the zipcodes to our list-providers for our letter-writing parties. I just finished Michigan and in the course of my research happened upon the shift in the party balance in the house from 2000 to 2002. There was redistricting due to the state losing a seat, but CDs 9 and 10 went from being strong Dem to strong Rep and a close seat(CD 8) also became a strong Rep. Could somebody tell me what happened?

Posted by: Greg Hewlett at July 30, 2004 08:01 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment