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Thursday, May 13, 2004

Kerry Up Big in New Ohio Poll

Posted by DavidNYC

ARG just released a new poll for Ohio. Yes, I know it's only one poll, and we are many months away from the election. But this is some good, good news:

Kerry: 49
Bush: 42
Nader: 2
Undecided: 7

Sans Nader:

Kerry: 50
Bush: 43
Undecided: 7
(MOE: ��4%)

I know I was a bit rough on the Kerry campaign in yesterday's post, though I still maintain that we need a strong Ohio presence, pronto. In fact, I think poll results like these make that argument more powerful, by showing that we can definitely win this hugely important state, and that we have a lead worth defending.

(Thanks to paperbag.)

Posted at 03:27 PM in Ohio | Technorati


Do you know if they disaggregated the polling data by geography. I am curious if there is any SE Ohio/Appalachia data avaiable because as of now, I am not seeing that much data coming out of SW PA or even PA in general.

Posted by: fester at May 13, 2004 04:07 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Fester, I'm not sure. They only asked two questions, apparently (for whom are you voting, and approval/disapproval). I'm not an expert on polling, so I guess the only way they could break this down geographicaly is based on the phone numbers they called - and that data is not available on the ARG site. There might be some sort of premium subscription available, or this kind of data might be broken out at PollingReport.com (which is also a for-pay site).

Posted by: DavidNYC at May 13, 2004 04:24 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

The Bush people will have to go negative. Kerry playing it low key has been good for him. Things look good. i think we won't really know anything until October.

GOTV baby, GOTV, Ohio or Florida...here i come.

Posted by: steve at May 13, 2004 05:27 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

It appears as if Kerry is finally opening some field offices in Ohio and has hired the Edwards' campaign spokeswoman as his campaign's Ohio communications director:


Posted by: Cindy at May 13, 2004 07:44 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment