« George Will Looks at Arizona | Main | "The Multilevel Marketing of the President" »

Friday, April 23, 2004

No Kool-Aid For You!

Posted by DavidNYC

Ruy tells us what's really happening in the swing states - and his conclusions may pleasantly surprise you.

Posted at 01:21 PM in General | Technorati


According to 2.004k.com, if current polls are accurate, AND if Pennsylvania, Ohio and Oregon vote for Kerry in November (very possible, really), then we have:

269 Electoral Votes for Bush
269 Electoral Votes for Kerry


Posted by: PollFan at April 23, 2004 06:50 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Today I was talking to one of the guys on the line. He mentioned that he liked to listen to Hanity. I asked him why he was a Rebulican, and he stated it was a morality thing - he specifically mentioned abortion, and gay rights. He is the third person that I've talked to that said it was morality that made him a republican - 3 out of 3 I've talked to in the last few years.

No matter how bad Bush does, many people will vote for him because of the perception that republicans are the morally correct party - due in large part to the Lewinsky scandal. Liberals are making a HUGE mistake making a stance on abortion right, and gay rights.

This is the reason the poles are not shifting.

Kerry is not looking strong to me. I thought he looked terrible on Meet the Press. In hind site, I think Dean would have been doing better. DOn't get me wrong, I like Kerry, but his campaign leaves something to be desired.

Posted by: Dan Schulz at April 23, 2004 07:55 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Sorry for the double post. According to my count, from http://www.swingstateproject.com/ the count is...

Bush 278
Kerry 261

Posted by: Dan Schulz at April 23, 2004 07:56 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Kerry needs a coherent campaign message. I'm a diehard Democrat, and fully intend on voting for Kerry, but I really don't know what his message is?!? He needs a message about rebuilding America and creating new jobs in new areas to replace the ones being lost to outsourcing. Look at what the Contract For America did for the Republicans in 1994. That's the sort of thing Kerry needs to put together for this election. A plan that the American people will understand and want to vote for. The American people react to that sort of thing. Get people excited about voting for you and your vision. It will increase Kerry's vote total by at least 4-5%, enough to win comfortably.

Posted by: Rock_nj at April 23, 2004 11:27 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I disagree strongly that Dean would have been a better choice. I think Kerry was the best of a talented group. Even though I actually agreed with Dean on more of the issues, the GOP would have run the same garbage on him as they are doing now. The people's perception of Dean was already bad enough without the attack ads. I supported Kerry through the whole primary process, from December 2002 on.

Having said that, I agree with you that he has not run a good race in the last month. He has not been effective. I can not see him going lower-by any means- than 45%, and I think that is worst case scenario. He CAN recover, and even after the bad month, he is still pretty much tied according to Rasmussen. That's nothing to get too upset about.

Posted by: steve at April 24, 2004 05:20 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I am shocked that individuals living in the information age would actually say, "I'm a die hard democrat and I'm voting for Kerry, but I still don't know what his message is". WOW! How irresponsible could you be. Look up his less then desirable record, I did it's right there online. No one is lying about Kerry's record, but Kerry. After reading it, I knew why. When he showed up for work, he voted against security, against tax cuts, and against our soldiers he helped to put in harms way. I read this for myself. Why don't you do a little digging. I could go on and on, but if you wanted to know the truth you would have been proactive and found it. Like you said, you're a die-hard democrat you'd vote that way no matter what lack luster person they put up there. Hearing ignorant statements like the one mentioned above, is what is wrong with this country. I guess ignorance is bliss.

Posted by: Ashley Kelley at October 19, 2004 09:39 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment