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CA-36: Rep. Jane Harman (D) to Resign

by: DavidNYC

Mon Feb 07, 2011 at 12:23 PM EST


The first resignation of the 112th Congress:

California Rep. Jane Harman (D) will resign from Congress, according to two senior Democratic leadership aides, a surprise announcement that will set off a special election in her 36th district.

NBC's Andrea Mitchell, who broke the news of Harman's resignation, has reported that the California Congresswoman will take over as director of the Woodrow Wilson Center in Washington. That job is currently held by former Indiana Rep. Lee Hamilton (D).

This district went for Obama 64-34 and Kerry 59-40, almost identical to the numbers in CA-10, which saw a special election last year to replace the departing Ellen Tauscher. In that race at the other end of the state, Dems held on with a closer-than-desirable 10% (but for 2010, I'll take it). In recent years, Harman had twice faced primary challenges from the left from liberal activist Marcy Winograd, but Winograd never came close - Harman's unbelievable personal wealth (worth something like $200 million) and good connections kept her safe.

Harman also faced a pretty hefty scandal last year - she was accused of offering to help reduce espionage charges against politically-connected lobbyists in exchange for assistance in lobbying Nancy Pelosi for the top spot on the intelligence committee. Pelosi never did appoint Harman to the post, an incident cited as evidence of the frosty relationship between the two. I'm willing to speculate that that - being on the outs with House leadership - combined with being deep in the minority and not knowing what your district will look like in a year's time, was the motivating factor in Harman's departure.

L.A. City Councilwoman Janice Hahn (who lost the Lt. Gov. Dem primary to Gavin Newsom last year) has in the past told people she's interested in running for Harman's seat. Given that Hahn brought this up while Harman was still in office, I wonder if she had any reason to believe Harman would soon be leaving. Anyhow, I'm sure we'll hear other names soon. Also note that this race will be held under California's new "top-two" jungle-type primary rules (voted into place by ballot proposition last fall). This means that all candidates face off in a single primary, and the top two vote-getters move on to the second round.

UPDATE: While House vacancies in California usually unleash a torrent of state legislators looking to move up, thanks to the state's term limits law, but that may not be the case here: the state Senate district that overlaps most of CA-36 is SD-28, currently vacant with the October death of Jenny Oropeza (whom you might remember from losing the CA-37 special election primary to Laura Richardson a few years ago). The two Assembly members in the district are both pretty new (Betsy Butler in AD-53, elected in 2010, and Bonnie Lowenthal in AD-54, elected in 2008), leaving the most prominent local legislator an ex-legislator: Ted Lieu, who just got termed out of AD-53 and is currently running in the special election in SD-28. SoS Debra Bowen also represented SD-28 until 2006, so conceivably she could make a run here, but she may be eyeing something else statewide as her next move. (On the Republican side, most likely we'll see a candidacy from Tom McClintock.)

Jerry Brown must call the special election for within 112 to 126 days after the vacancy is declared.

ANOTHER UPDATE: Wow, here's some evidence that Debra Bowen is heading toward this race, post haste: her campaign consultant is already saying that she is "very, very seriously considering running."

One other interesting consideration we didn't mention: Harman is a Blue Dog, one of the few from a suburban district and, of all the Blue Dogs, the one with the fourth bluest district (CA-36's D+12 puts her slightly behind GA-13's David Scott, CA-29's Adam Schiff, and CA-43's Joe Baca). Harman's departure, on top of the onslaught suffered by Blue Dogs in red southern districts, means that the ranks of the Blue Dogs will be down to 25, down from 54 before the 2010 election.

YET ANOTHER UPDATE: And we have our first announced candidate already: it's Los Angeles city councilor Janice Hahn. Hahn's been trying to move up for a long time now: she ran for the Lt. Gov. nomination in 2010 (losing to Gavin Newsom), but way back in 1998, when CA-36 was an open seat, she ran and lost against GOPer Steve Kuykendall. (Harman, first elected here in 1992, had vacated to run for Governor; she came back and won her old seat back from Kuykendall in 2000.) Kuykendall may be the GOP's best bet here if he decides to run (he ran for AD-55 in 2004 and lost, so he may still be looking to get back in the game), but through a mix of boundary-moving in 2002 and bluening of the suburbs, this is a much safer Dem district than it was in 1998.

DavidNYC :: CA-36: Rep. Jane Harman (D) to Resign
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Deadlines
What are the deadlines for having a primary and a general election, assuming she resigned in the next day or so?

Just added
that to the text of the story, see above.

[ Parent ]
Supposedly Steve Kuykendall might be interested in running
He's the one-termer who succeeded Harman when she ran for Governor in '98, then she came back and beat him in '00.

I can't imagine he'd get very far, since he barely won when the district was presumbly more marginal.


It's top two
so he might make it to a second round if enough Dems run. Even that's rather unlikely.

32, M, MI-6, Iconoclastic Leftist

[ Parent ]
I think he wants
to run. He was on my campus last year for the Congress to Campus program. He kept talking about fair redistricting and how he would run again.  

TX-13,22,Dem

[ Parent ]
McClintock? Really?
Why would he run? Seems like a sure loss for any Republican.  

Tongue in cheek.
He's already IN Congress.

It's just he's known as a carpetbagger.  He's representing a district in NORTHERN California when he's lived basically his whole life in SOUTHERN California.


[ Parent ]
Yeah, that
might have been a little too subtle even by my standards.

[ Parent ]
Ah
I thought it may have been a typo. Sarcasm is lost on the interwebs.

26 White Male. Born and raised in MN-8, currently living in MN-5.

"A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything."


[ Parent ]
You know, I thought he was a congressman...
But then I was confusing him with Tom Campbell.

Anyway, the sarcasm was lost on me.  


[ Parent ]
Lungren did that too
...and the Brown family has shifted back and forth between Northern and Southern Cal multiple times. California seems to have much less regional identity/cohesion than one would initially assume.

Moderate Libertarian Republican, MA-8 (college) / MD-7 (hometown)

[ Parent ]
so did Harmer (see below)
He ran against Garamendi in the CA10 special election and then against McNerney in CA11 in the regular election.

41, Ind, CA-05

[ Parent ]
I, for one,
welcome any opportunity to make fun of Tom McClintock. Maybe Charlie Brown will also run for this seat...

[ Parent ]
The ten percent victory
That doesn't seem so terrible for a first-time candidate--for this particular seat, I mean. And what sort of candidate was Harmer? Was he an average Republican, or was he a nutjob?  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

Nutjob.
He wanted to abolish public schools.  Not just the Department of Education like Rand Paul does.  ALL PUBLIC SCHOOLS.

Remember, Harmer then carpetbagged next door to run against Jerry McNerney last November, and McNerney BARELY pulled it out against him.


[ Parent ]
He's not
the same guy that was heavily vested in a home schooling company, was he? I'm pretty sure that guy was from Oregon or Washington, but I don't remember exactly.

Anyway, thankfully he still lost.  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?


[ Parent ]
I don't think so.
Harmer's father was the former Lt. Governor of California when Ronald Reagan was our Governor.

FWIW, it seems Harmer no longer believes in outright abolishing public schools, as his kids go to public schools.  That op-ed was written over a decade ago, though in the heat of campaign season, of course it's going to be brought up.


[ Parent ]
Saying he was LG under Reagan is kind of inaccurate
...he was only LG for a few weeks in late 1974 after Reinecke resigned.

Calling all trivia buffs: why did Reinecke do that? Was it to focus on his campaign, was he just bitter about losing the nomination to Flournoy, or something else?

Moderate Libertarian Republican, MA-8 (college) / MD-7 (hometown)


[ Parent ]
*Bad phrasing in that subject line
not inaccurate, but more like overstating his importance.

Moderate Libertarian Republican, MA-8 (college) / MD-7 (hometown)

[ Parent ]
And he also ran in UT-2 in 1996
Lost the GOP primary there. He's quite the experienced carpetbagger.

24, male, African-American, CA-24, Democrat. Chair of the SSP Black Caucus.

[ Parent ]
Trying to succeed Enid Waldholtz!
Now she was a piece of work!

[ Parent ]
L.A. City
Why would a city counsel member run in a suburban district? Yea, it's the same county, but If I am not mistaken there is zero overlap between the city of Los Angeles and the 36th. Seems odd to me.

26 White Male. Born and raised in MN-8, currently living in MN-5.

"A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything."


CQ / Roll Call
says that a good 295,807 Los Angeles residents live in CA-36.  That's a higher population than any other municipality included in CA-36.  (I'm not sure what dataset those population figures are from.)

http://www.rollcall.com/race_d...

23, male, Democrat, IA-02 (previously CA-26, PA-06, CA-06)


[ Parent ]
Got it
Venice, Wilmington, and San Pedro are not cities, but neighborhoods. Keen distinction, I suppose.

26 White Male. Born and raised in MN-8, currently living in MN-5.

"A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything."


[ Parent ]
Part of LA is definitely in the district.
I used to live there in college... the Palms neighborhood, near the intersection of the 10 and 405.  I guess it could be classified as "suburban," but you have Venice and Culver City right there also.  It does snake down to get those Beach Cities, though.

[ Parent ]
Wow!
I had no idea LA city council districts were so Gerrymandered...

28, Unenrolled, MA-08

[ Parent ]
It's not that the council districts are gerrymandered
It's that the city limits are so irregular; L.A.'s core is attached by a thin corridor to the harbor area.

[ Parent ]
It's the city of Los Angeles that's gerrymandered there, if anything.
The territory on either side of that strip isn't in the city of Los Angeles -- it's mostly other incorporated cities. The bulk of LA proper is to the north of that seat.

Looking at the full map, though, gerrymandering does seem at play.

30, male, MI-11 (previously VA-08). Evangelical, postconservative, green.


[ Parent ]
James Traficant!
If being in jail can't stop you from running for congress, why should being from another state slow you down?

"Earnestness is stupidity sent to college"
P. J. O'Rourke


Traficant
The man wouldn't even be allowed to vote in my district, let alone run for office.

26 White Male. Born and raised in MN-8, currently living in MN-5.

"A man who stands for nothing will fall for anything."


[ Parent ]
Good riddance
Dear Jane Harman,

You were my former Congresswoman and YOU. WERE. AWFUL. You gave cover to Bush's warrantless wiretapping and then cried like a little bitch when you got caught doing something horribly illegal in a wiretap. I seriously kinda hate you. Seriously. Good riddance to bad rubbish. Now please, fuck off and never return to politics.

Love,
arealmlc

PS - No seriously, on my list of politicians I hate the most, you're #3 after only Evan Bayh and Joe Lieberman.

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


hmmmmmm
I'm gonna bookmark this comment of you calling a Congresswoman a whiny bitch so I can retaliate appropriately the next time you chew me out for saying, "You betta work, bitch."  Don't think I forgot about that.  :)

[ Parent ]
Wurk!


19, Self Appointed Chair of the SSP Gay Caucus (I claimed it first :p), male, Dem, IN-09 (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

[ Parent ]
So this reminds me of...
a slightly contentious conversation I had with Winograd's husband on DailyKos last year after she lost the primary.  I think I may have given him some campaign advice for a future run by Marcy by the end of that.  :-)

Bowen is considering it
http://blogs.sacbee.com/capito...


24, male, African-American, CA-24, Democrat. Chair of the SSP Black Caucus.

I bet Star Parker somehow runs for this


For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

I hope so.
As a Democrat, I admire any Republican who manages to do slightly worse than an Independent candidate (who, from what I can tell, had pretty much no money at all in 2008) while raising three times as much as her Democratic opponent in the biggest Republican year in several cycles. Sure, it's an absurdly Democratic district, but she couldn't even manage a little improvement against a seemingly corrupt opponent.  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

[ Parent ]
Wow, a welcome retirement feels good.
After she decisively won the primary the last two times, it was beginning to look like she'd be there forever.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


Special Election Dates
Looks like Brown has 14 days to announce the primary, which would then happen no later than 70 days later & the general would be 8 weeks after that.

By that schedule the primary would be no later than May 2nd and the General on June 28th...could be as early as April 5th (56 day minimum from tomorrow, assuming she vacates immediately) with the General Election then on May 31st (the day after Memorial day, ugh!)

"Earnestness is stupidity sent to college"
P. J. O'Rourke


Gov. Brown has already proposed a statewide special election for June
So I suspect (and hope) that one of the CA-36 special election dates will coincide with that special election.

23, male, Democrat, IA-02 (previously CA-26, PA-06, CA-06)

[ Parent ]
date of election
First, Brown's June thing is vote-by-mail only, and I'm not sure a special election for Congress can be vote-by-mail only without changing the law.

Second, Harman wrote that she pledged to remain in Congress "some weeks", so Brown can't set dates for the primary and general until there is a vacancy. http://www.dailybreeze.com/lat...

One more point, and this is weird, she

pledged to remain in Congress "some weeks" to ensure an "orderly transition" for her successor.
whatever the hell that means, She'd be long gone before her successor is known (I'm assuming it will go a top-two general election). So what is this transition?

[ Parent ]
If Bowen Were to Run and Win
How would she be replaced? Would Gov. Brown name someone? Or is there a special election?

Governor appoints a replacement
Presumably there would be a special election in 2012 for the remainder of the term, though I'm not entirely sure; the last two appointments were in the latter half of the term (McPherson appointed to SOS in 2005, beaten by Bowen in 2006, and Maldonado appointed LG in 2010, beaten the same year).

[ Parent ]
Bowen
Gov. Brown would get to appoint someone to replace her. I do hope she stays on as SoS though. I think she's doing a great job as SoS, and she has great future statewide potential.

I can't even think of potential replacements for her - but the blue bench in California is pretty deep.  

26, Liberal Democrat, gay male, CA-38


[ Parent ]
I was under the impression
that Carly Fiorina or Meg Whitman would be picked, a la Team of Rivals.  

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

[ Parent ]
Even
if Brown does that, which I think would never happen. Their nominations would never get through the assembly and the senate. Remember, Maldonado's confirmation was blocked by Democrats in the house while Bass was still speaker. It took some wheeling and dealing on Perez's part to get Maldonado through the assembly.

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

[ Parent ]
I was entirely kidding.


"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?

[ Parent ]
Sorry
my humor compass is broken. Especially after seeing Groupon's tasteless ad mocking Tibetan culture yesterday.

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

[ Parent ]
I didn't watch
the game or anything surrounding it, but I did see the commercial for Chrysler with Eminem. As the link below says, it's like the city of Detroit is standing up for itself.

http://www.tnr.com/blog/jonath...

"I have never deliberately given anybody hell. I just tell the truth on the opposition-and they think it's hell."--President Harry Truman. President Obama, are you listening?


[ Parent ]
their framing of the auto industry
As a public entity for the city of Detroit is really interesting.  Makes me compare that to Target here in Minneapolis.  Such a slap in the face that they donated to Emmer but I also know that they spend much, much more on improving the city.  When you all visit Mpls for Netroots Nation, you'll assuredly end up at Nicollet Mall, which is a pedestrian mall and the center of commerce for the state with all the high-end stores and major office towers.  On this street you will see peace keepers riding around on those two-wheel things rich white people own (brain fart) and instead of guns they have watering cans and walkies connected to the police.  Target completely funds this as they want their downtown nice.

(Hence why I boycotted them for like a week and that was it.)


[ Parent ]
Brown would appoint
I assume State Senate would confirm, like when Schwarzeneggar appointed Bruce McPherson to replace Keven Shelley.  

[ Parent ]
Sure seems like if you want a special election in your CD
running for the Democratic nomination for Lt. Governor of California is a sure fire way to get one.  First Jackie Speier, then John Garamendi, now Janice Hahn.  On that note, I hope Rep. Pete Stark and Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (Representatives of Liz Figueroa and Gavin Newsom respectively) continue to serve out their terms and potentially longer (though Stark is 79) rather than triggering any more special elections.

2006
Lt. Gov election, all three of the major candidates (McClintock, Speier, and Garamendi) are now in congress and Speier and Garamendi got there via special elections. But Bowen or Hahn would be good, both would be an upgrade over Harman who was a good fit for her socially liberal, fiscally conservative district back in the 90's but is way out of step of how the district is configured now.

Really, I expect Bowen to throw her hat into the ring, she has nothing to lose and Newsom probably has a lock for the governor's mansion in 2014 if Brown decides not to run for a 2nd term and I see Harris being the front runner for Boxer's seat in 2016 if she chooses to retire.

19, Male, Independent, CA-12


[ Parent ]
Or DiFi's seat in 2018.


19, Self Appointed Chair of the SSP Gay Caucus (I claimed it first :p), male, Dem, IN-09 (College IN-09) (Raised IL-03, IL-09)

[ Parent ]
I suspect you are right on all counts
but I can't help but look back with fond memory at 2008 when rumors floated about Bowen running for Senate in 2012 whether the seat was open or not. These were rumors and I have no idea where they originated and therefore have no clue of their authenticity Even if the rumors were true, I think the change in political climate from 2008 to 2010 would have killed any thought of it.  Such a shame though, having Boxer and Bowen in the Senate and Hahn in the House would be way cooler than Boxer and Feinstein in the Senate and Bowen in the House.

[ Parent ]
What I don't get
is how being one of 435 beats holding statewide office in the largest state in the union.

32, M, MI-6, Iconoclastic Leftist

[ Parent ]
I think it represents that DiFi is solid for running again
and there is nowhere for her to go in four years, except totally rolling the dice for Gov, and having to face Newsom and anyone else.

This way she can run for the Senate someday, after having run statewide, but have a sage House seat in the meantime.

Besides that, I don't expect SoS is a laugh a minute kinda job...


[ Parent ]
Asuming Brown retires that is
and if he doesn't she's stuck... also Harris would be running for a second term as would Newsom, so she really is boxed in.

DiFi's fault.. :)


[ Parent ]
Debra Bowen
seems a perfect fit here. She represented this area for 14 years, first in the State Assembly, and then in the State Senate before becoming SoS.
I'd always assumed she'd look at other statewide offices after she's termed out in 4 years, and would've been a good candidate for Gov. or Senate. But you got to seize opportunities when they arise.

Are Special Election Primaries now top 2 regardless of Party?


"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

In California
all primaries are now top-two regardless of party.  They were instituted by last year's Prop. 14.

23, male, Democrat, IA-02 (previously CA-26, PA-06, CA-06)

[ Parent ]
Redistricting
I doubt the upcoming redistricting had any role in Harman's decision (as speculated in the writeup) since she's more than wealthy enough to overcome whatever changes the new boundaries look like.

However, the new independent bipartisan redistricting commission is a complete loose cannon, and they could do almost anything with the boundaries, more so than in 2000's incumbent protection redistricting. And the new law specifically excludes considering incumbent's place of residence when drawing lines.
So I wonder if other marginal Reps in CA as well might be open to exit opportunities considering this.


Good riddance, part 2
Harman has had a negative influence for years, including influencing the dummymander to get a needlessly overly blue district.

On the very positive, Bowen versus Hahn would be a rare thing in California politics: two solid candidates running for a seat where non one has an "entitled to" or "it's his/her turn" card to play.  Either candidate should be strong enough to hold the district regardless of how it is redistricted... and that is especially good news because there is a good chance the commission will not repeat the oddball gerrymander that reaches up from Orange county to grab Palos Verdes for Rohrbacher.

Also, good to have a test of the top two system.


Didn't she complain
About getting more liberal areas put into her district in the last redistricting or am I thinking of someone else?

That was Tauscher
.

[ Parent ]
Tauscher
Really slips in those liberal areas. Her district goes over to El Cerrito which is not too similar to the San Ramon Valley and she picks up some Democratic eastern Contra Costa cities too.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


[ Parent ]
Winograd thinking of running
http://www.politico.com/blogs/...

Earlier this year she signed a petition pledging not to support Obama for renomination.  I doubt that'll go over well with most Democrats in her district.  http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/...

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



Here is what I want:
Congresswoman Bowen, SoS Hahn. Is that possible?

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

I hope:
That happens. I do pray that it has to happen.

[ Parent ]
Why is that?


Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
SSP sticklers asleep at the wheel?
Normally people here make me feel less self-conscious about my own quasi-OCD, but no one here has pointed out that the CA-10 special election was in 2009...:P

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


Bowen
is apparently in if the Chairman of the CA Democratic Party is to be believed:

California Democratic Party Chair John Burton added fuel to the Bowen candidacy chatter, calling the elections chief the "only candidate that has officially informed the California Democratic Party that they are running in the 36th congressional district" in an e-mail blast late yesterday.

Read more: http://blogs.sacbee.com/capito...

19, Male, Independent, CA-12



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