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Arizona, Florida, and Vermont Primary Results Thread #3

by: James L.

Tue Aug 24, 2010 at 10:58 PM EDT


1:35am: Follow us over here.
1:34am: And yet another lead change in Vermont. Now Peter Shumlin is back on top by 121 votes over Doug Racine, thanks to only two more precints reporting (now 232 out of 260).
1:28am: Meanwhile, back in Arizona, the AP has called the AZ-08 GOP primary for Jesse Kelly, who unexpectedly beats establishment favorite Jonathan Paton 49-40.
1:26am: We've moved up to 29% reporting; Miller still leads Murkowski by about 500.
1:24am: Via the Twitter, Taniel is reminding us that Don Young trailed early in the GOP 2008 primary (against now-Gov. Parnell), and came back slowly as the late precincts from the Bush (where they like and in fact depend on their pork, and thus love the old-school Alaska politicians, in which category Murkowski seems to fall) trickled in.
1:20am: At least the indestructible Don Young is cruising; he leads the AK-AL GOP primary over Sheldon Fisher 70-24.
1:18am: We've got gubernatorial results in Alaska too. On the Dem side, Ethan Berkowitz is leading, though maybe not as big a margin as expected; he leads Hollis French 48-42. On the GOP side, Sean Parnell also leading by a not overwhelming margin, 48 over 35 for Bill Walker and 14 for Ralph Samuels.
1:15am: Wow, this is big. We're just getting the first Alaska results (via the state site, the AP has nothing) and we've got a real race in the AK-Sen GOP primary. Joe Miller leads Lisa Murkowski 51-49, with 27% reporting (119 of 438).
1:11am: We're rounding the halfway mark in AZ-Sen D (1100 out of 2239), and it's looking like Rodney Glassman is on track to face John McCain. He's at 35, with Cathy Eden at 28, J. Dougherty at 24, and Randy Parraz back at 13.
1:09am: The AP has called AZ-05, where David Schweikert is still at 39% atop a crowded field. That's with only 38% reporting, but he's well ahead of Susan Bitter Smith, at 25.
1:07am: Contrast that with Arizona, where nothing interesting has happened since the initial rollout of votes. In AZ-01, we're up to 66% reporting, and it's still the exact same, with Paul Gosar over Sydney Hay 32-23. Rusty Bowers, who on paper seemed like he should have been the frontrunner thanks to his long-ago legislative tenure and then his duties lobbying on behalf of the sand and gravel industry, is in 4th place at 14, trailing B. Beauchamp.
1:03am: I don't think this Vermont race could get any closer if we tried. Doug Racine pulled back into the lead, by a whopping 13 votes over Peter Shumlin. That's with 230 out of 260 precincts reporting (88% in).
1:00am: In AZ-03, we're up to 48% reporting. Looks like Ben Quayle going crying to mommy and daddy may have saved him in the end; he's still holding at 23, beating Jim Waring and Steve Moak, both at 18.
12:51am: The Peter Shumlin lead is declining a bit in Vermont: he's up by 45 now, 16,401 to 16,366 over Doug Racine, with Deb Markowitz at 15,621. (That's 25-25-24.) 88% are reporting.
12:29am: We're up to 35% reporting in AZ-03, and Ben Quayle has inched up to 23%, ahead of Waring at 19% and Moak at 18%. A Quayle win would certainly breathe a bit of life into well-financed Democrat Jon Hulbard's campaign...
12:25am: Shumlin's lead is now down to 75 votes (over Racine). Markowitz trails by 768 votes.
12:21am: Smoke 'em if you got em, fellow Swingnuts.
12:17am: Over in AZ-06, GOP incumbent Jeff Flake is at a somewhat underwhelming 67% against his Some Dude opponent.
12:11am: Get your Florida election law on. Automatic recounts are the name of the game if the final margin is less than 0.5%. In FL-24, Adams leads SnakesinaPool by 0.8% with one measly precinct outstanding.
12:05am: Not much has happened in the Arizona House Races. Gosar's lead in AZ-01 is 10% of 5,500 votes with 51% reporting; nothing else new from AZ-03, 05, or 08.
12:03am: Shumlin's now up to a 250-vote lead in VT-Gov, which is probably the largest lead of the night. Markowitz is still about 550 behind Racine.
12:00am: Still no call in FL-24, where we're missing only one precinct in Brevard County. The last one added no votes, leaving Adams' lead at 560, or 0.85%. SSP Legal is looking to Florida's recount laws...
11:54pm: In AZ-Sen (D), we're at 19% reporting; Glassman leads Eden 35-29, with Parraz in a distant fourth at 12.
11:48pm: More precincts keep flowing (dripping) in Vermont, where Racine is now 49 votes behind Shumlin. Markowitz is another 618 votes behind with 85% in.
11:46pm: Just two precincts left outstanding in FL-24, where Sandy Adams continues to hold her 560-vote lead over Karen SnakesInAPool (TM) Diebel, though both of them are in reptile-infested Brevard County.
11:41pm: Checking in on the Arizona house races, Paul Gosar has a 33-22 over retread Sydney Hay in AZ-01; Ben Quayle has a 22-19-18 lead over Jim Waring and Steve Moak in AZ-03. Dave Schweikert's seem to have done fine despite his recanted hubris, leading Susan Bitter Smith by 6,000 votes or 39-25 in their AZ-05 rematch; the teabaggish Jesse Kelly has a 50-39 lead over establishment pick Jonathan Paton in AZ-08.
11:37pm: Back in VT-Gov, Peter Shumlin has now taken a 126-vote lead over Doug Racine; Deb Markowitz has now fallen another 526 votes back.
11:34pm: The Glass Man is up to 36-29 over Eden. Over in AZ-08, Kelly leads Paton by 50-39. In AZ-01, it's 33-23 for rogue dentist Gosar over Sydney Hay.
11:31pm: We'd be remiss if we didn't mention the one other competitive statewide race in Florida, the AG race on both sides. For the Dems, state Sen. Dan Gelber beat fellow state Sen. Dave Aronberg (who the DCCC had tried to lure into FL-16), 59-41. And on the GOP side, Sarah Palin-approved Pam Bondi beat Charlie Crist's estranged Lt. Governor, Jeff Kottkamp, 38-33.
11:28pm: Well, that was fast. The AP has called AZ-Sen R for John McCain! (Good news!)
11:20pm: In the 5th, David Schweikert leads Susan Bitter Smith and Jim Ward 39-25-23. And in the 8th, this may be the big surprise of the night: teabagger Jesse Kelly is leading NRCC fave Jonathan Paton by a pretty wide 55-40.
11:19pm: In the House races, Paul Gosar's over Sydney Hay 36-23 in the 1st. In the 3rd, Ben Quayle is leading 22-19-18 over Jim Waring and Steve Moak.
11:17pm: Finally, some data's trickling in from Arizona. (Check out the SoS site, not the AP.) John McCain is crushing J.D. Hayworth 60-30. Rodney Glassman has a small lead over Cathy Eden, 33-31. (Randy Parraz is in 4th.)
11:12pm: Check out the raging enthusiasm with which the RGA greeted Rick Scott's awesome victory!
"Rick Scott is the nominee, the general election has begun, and our party now looks forward."

11:11pm: Switching back over to Vermont, now that we're pretty much done with Florida and Arizona hasn't given us anything yet. It's Racine and Shumlin both at 25 (Racine up by 43 votes) with Markowitz at 24.
11:07pm: This just gets tastier and tastier. McCollum isn't conceding yet. He's saying "this'll go into the wee hours of the morning."


RESULTS:

James L. :: Arizona, Florida, and Vermont Primary Results Thread #3
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What's the holdup in Arizona?
Polls closed an hour ago but not even a single precinct reporting.  Anyone know anything?

They
were waiting for everything to report before any results were released.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
in thread 2
it says they wait until al ballots are counted, then release them at once. or a giant ganja break?

18, Dem, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college, next year). social libertarian, economic liberal, fiscal conservative.   Everybody should put age and CD here. :)

[ Parent ]
Never mind
No daylight savings time, so basically they're on Pacific time.

[ Parent ]
Indian reservations are on DST though


21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
The ganja must be some really good shit.
So much so that the ganja break is extra-long.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Results
Should be coming any minute now. The SoS said 8 PST, and it is 8:03 PST. They are holding them until they are all counted, so no excitement.  

[ Parent ]
They've started reporting.
They were holding them back for an hour for some reason.
I voted for JD Hayworth and Ben Quayle - let's see if I am representative of my district or not.

http://results.enr.clarityelec...

25, M, Indep(former GOP), AZ-03


[ Parent ]
I take it you are a lover of cat fud?


21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
9 votes
Between Markowitz an Shumlin for 2nd place.  

Say hello to Florida's next Governor


20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)

Voldemort
::shudders::

[ Parent ]
He should ask John Mica where he gets his toupees
n/t

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

[ Parent ]
No way hahaha.
Sink will mop the floor with him. Florida is not the best place to be dealing with medicare fraud hahaha.  

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

[ Parent ]
An alternative campaign poster for Rick Scott:
Photobucket

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
Creeeeepy...


My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
AZ-SoS
Has some results up.  

Glassman isn't the front runner
WTF NUGGETS?

20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)

[ Parent ]
Still not over Scotts win the GOP nod.
Best chance to have a Democratic Governor in 12 years.

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

Even though the Gov cannot veto a redistricting plan in Florida....
does he/she at least get a seat at the table?

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
The Governor does have veto power
over Congressional redistricting (according to FairVote.org):

The Governor has veto power over the congressional plan but not the state legislative district plan; that plan is adopted by joint resolution of the legislature.

http://archive.fairvote.org/re...


[ Parent ]
Why veto it
FL clearly has the most interesting congressional district designs of any state.  Do we really want to give that up?

[ Parent ]
disagreed
the most beautiful gerrymandered district is PA-06, FL's freakazoid tentacle monsters aren't as cool.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
That's a single district
But for a whole state, FL wins.

[ Parent ]
Personally, I vote for CA
While PA-06 wins my vote for best district overall, CA is still a treasure trove of beauts, including masterpieces like CA-44 (a big blob of Riverside County attached to the Pacific by a strip of Orange County), CA-15 (a weird backwards 7 in Santa Clara County), and CA-11 (the Jaws of Life with an arm into Contra Costa).

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Iowa is square country.
My state does non-partisan redistricting to avoid gerrymandering, so there's nothing interesting here.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
Are you from Iowa or New Jersey?
New Jersey's bipartisan redistricting has produced some pretty results. I love NJ-06 as well as NJ-07 and NJ-12 both of which have a cool zigzaggy thing going on. NJ-03 and NJ-04 have a cool shape as well.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
I'm from New Jersey.
I'm just saying that you don't see obviously gerrymandered districts here like in Florida.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
Really...?
I'd cite all of the districts I mentioned as obviously gerrymandered.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Yeah, but not gerrymandered solely by any one side.
I guess you could call it bipartisan gerrymandering.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
It is indeed
but a bipartisan gerrymander is still a gerrymander. Hell, even gerrymanders that aren't partisan in nature (eg AZ-01) or are required under the VRA (eg NC-01) are still gerrymanders.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Um, Maryland, anyone?
MD-02 and MD-03 put all others to shame.

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

[ Parent ]
Except for the ultimate gerrymander...Wyoming!
ok, this might be a sign I need to sleep, lol.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Yes, but some GOP gerrymanders make sense
To ensure a Republican wins.

In the FL districts, it seems like the gerrymander is not really needed.  Some of FL's gerrymanders seem senseless as the districts are pretty dang partisan and could still be safe for certain parties with far less gerrymanders.


[ Parent ]
Eh it seems pretty necessary...
I can't imagine how they milk so many Republican districts out of a supposedly 50-50 state otherwise. But Florida is just so overrated, man.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Nah
I love it.  And if they keep doing it this way, it will only get more fun.

We already know PA will get less gerrymanders.  Republicans had all 3 seats at the table last time and the Supreme court intervened and we still ended up with what we have currently.  So figure they'll try to do it less this time, since it backfired last time in numerous ways.


[ Parent ]
Practically speaking, you have one now
Crist is going to try his darndest to convince moderate Floridians that he's an old school Dixiecrat for the next 10 weeks.  

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

[ Parent ]
Thats true
But at the end of the day besides breaking a few times with the GOP over Felon voting rights, The teacher debacle and stimulus money he still has been fairly conservative during his first term. Allthough I suspect he would be a much more progressive senator then he was governor.  

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

[ Parent ]
79.6% counted
in Vermont.  Racine leads by 32 votes.

Insanely close - though I think Racine wins because of the outstanding precincts in Burlington...


Best race of the night.


[ Parent ]
Shumlin takes the lead
and all of the big towns are in.  What is left is Shelburne (Racine's home town), St Albans and some smaller towns.
Shumlin leads by 170 votes.

[ Parent ]
wow
if shumlin wins, it will be by the sheer brute force of windham county.  just wow.

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

[ Parent ]
Towns that have come in
Guilford he wins 59% of the vote, and a 200 vote margin.  In Putney he wins 70% of the vote and a 300 vote margin.

As of this writing 250 vote lead.  BUT
Shelburne, Racine's home town is still, suspiciously, out.  So is St Albans.

I still think Racine wins.


[ Parent ]
I almost agree
I agree with your logic, but think shumlin could scrap by with a ten vote or so lead.

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

[ Parent ]
Racine nets 170 votes out
of Shelburne.  A bit of a dissapointment I would think when you compare that to Shumlin's margins in Windham County.  Chittenden County is now all in.

What's out is St Albans, Middlebury and Middlesex.  Racine might do well in Middlebury - though he and Shumlin have almost the same number of votes in Addison County.  

It is close.  Shumlin beat Racine by nearly 3,000 votes in Windham, and there are still votes left to count there.  

Shumlin leads by 75 votes with 88% in, though there is probably only about 8% of the total votes left.

You may be right: Shumlin may hang on.


[ Parent ]
Racine nets 170 votes out
of Shelburne.  A bit of a dissapointment I would think when you compare that to Shumlin's margins in Windham County.  Chittenden County is now all in.

What's out is St Albans, Middlebury and Middlesex.  Racine might do well in Middlebury - though he and Shumlin have almost the same number of votes in Addison County.  

It is close.  Shumlin beat Racine by nearly 3,000 votes in Windham, and there are still votes left to count there.  

Shumlin leads by 75 votes with 88% in, though there is probably only about 8% of the total votes left.

You may be right: Shumlin may hang on.


[ Parent ]
With 90% in, Shulin leads by 31 votes
There are too many votes left in Franklin County for Shumlin to win, I think.  Shumlin is running 12% behind Racine.

[ Parent ]
McCain 58%
Hayworth 30%

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

Bud Chiles cousin
Is Kay Hagan according to the Fix live chat.  

That's
old news to many of us. Kay Hagan interned for his father back in his senate days. She helped operate the capitol elevator when you didn't just press a button to take you to what floor you wanted.

19, Male, Independent, CA-12

[ Parent ]
McCollum not conceding may be delusional, but...
of the 460 or so precincts not reporting, only about 20 come from counties Scott carried, and the rest are favorable to McCollum, so that margin is going to get smaller.  (He needs to pick up 40k and it is hard see it being more than 10k.)

Looks like absentees have reported.
Quayle leading in my district.  McCain beating the tar out of JD.

25, M, Indep(former GOP), AZ-03

J.D.
You suck.

20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)

[ Parent ]
Can we have another election to ban Hayworth from physically entering the Senate?


[ Parent ]
The AZ SoS
Has a crappy website.  

Jeff Flake
is only at 67%.  

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

Flake
Flake is the Republican equivalent of Russell Feingold. He's a good devil's advocate, but he's never been a team player.  

41, Ind, CA-05

[ Parent ]
I wonder, if Ben Quayle wins
Do Democrats have a shot at AZ-03? We do after all have a good candidate there. I could see it joining the top ten Democratic targets if he does win.  

I think
the Democrat is a self-funder

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
Actually no
93% of Jon Hulbard's 775,000 dollars comes from individual donations.  

[ Parent ]
I haven't heard a peep from him
But then again, the Republican free-for-all has sucked up all the air.  I wouldn't hold out too much hope in this district in this year.  I voted for Quayle just as a lark and because I voted early, before Moak surged.

25, M, Rep (technically), AZ-03

25, M, Indep(former GOP), AZ-03


[ Parent ]
Word is Quayle's team sees blood in the water
They reportedly cancelled tonight's scheduled victory rally.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

[ Parent ]
J.D. Hayworth
GOP Moron of the year, in fact, I would go as far as to say he is THE moron of the year.  He was THIS close to winning this thing, but oops, we forgot, he is a retard.  Oh well, hopefully Glassman can get enough name rec to run for a statewide office next time.

Le Sigh...

20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)


John McCain sold his soul, honor, and ability to compromise just to win in a landslide?
He does not know how to bargain at all.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


But he still won, so this is...
1...

2...

3...

GREAT NEWS!

FOR JOHN MCCAIN!

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
I wasn't on any blogs when that meme came about. What inspired it?


Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
What the chances that one time loser David Schweikert win the primary
And what are his chances in the general?

20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)

This is in AZ-05 BTW


20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)

[ Parent ]
Jensen
chimes in on PPP's blog:

If Rick Scott is the GOP nominee 47% of Chiles voters are Republicans and 30% are Democrats. If Bill McCollum is the nominee 46% of Chiles voters are Republicans and 42% are Democrats


19, Male, Independent, CA-12

VT Gov
Who is the most progressive of the Dems candidates, and who is the most likely to beat Dubie? I did a quick scan of Shumlin, Markowitz, and Racine's website, but Shumlin seems like a bit of a d-bag to me. He even called himself a fiscal conservative.

19, gay male, IL-7, MN 4 (college), Dem

Who did
Sanders or Leahy endorse?

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
No one
I would remind you Bernie is not a Democrat.

[ Parent ]
Yes I know.
But I would think Bernie would be active in trying to make sure Dubie is not governor next year.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
no one
they stayed neutral.  Shumlin worked to pass gay marriage, override douglas' budget in 09, which was mainly balanced with cuts, with a budget mainly balanced with taxes and cuts and shumlin has opposed the nuke plant in vernon.  Also and yes, this may not seem credible as i worked for dubie, but some in VT do consider Shumlin less than ethical.  7days, the local independent weekly has chided shumlin for ethics problems before.  I'll provide a link later, the site seems to be overloaded.  Racine has lots of labor and progressive party endorsements, but is seen as too meek for bare knuckle politics needed for really progressive accomplishments.  Markowitz is a dukakis style (in my opinion) technocrat.

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

[ Parent ]
site is up
here are links

http://www.7dvt.com/2010legisl...

shumlin ranked most ethically challenged, most informed, 2nd best deal maker, best orator and 2nd biggest flirt, among others.

here's his profile.

http://www.7dvt.com/2010peter-...

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.


[ Parent ]
I worked for Racine in his first race
for Gov.  

Isn't he kind of a has been in a way?


[ Parent ]
They've all been running from the left
Shumlin calls himself a fiscal conservative because he is a budget hawk. In reality he falls well on the progressive side of the spectrum economically, supporting things like more education funding, single payer health care, more energy funding, etc. I don't think there really was a "most progressive" just because all of the candidates had to run far to the left partially to make sure they also didn't draw a Progressive spoiler opponent in the general.

I supported Shumlin mostly because he has a more solid legislative record than the rest of the candidates and has experience pushing forward progressive legislation, particularly single payer. But I don't have a problem with Racine.

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)


[ Parent ]
Adams will win the initial count
By my math, only about 700 votes are outstanding in Brevard, and Diebel would need 90% of those to pass her. The Adams lead is 0.8%; does that mean an automatic recount?

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

And also...
with Adams' poor fundraising, would she be the candidate Kosmas wants to face in November?  Or would Democrats be doing the happy dance if the Snakes in a Pool lady won the primary?

[ Parent ]
Mental instability
is the ticket I'd like the GOP to run on this November.

Of course, they're not really that far off already...


[ Parent ]
My guess is Kosmas wants Diebel
For a few reasons:

1. Adams has raised $400K, Diebel $650K. While a quarter million is nothing to snort at, they're in the same general category, and Diebel had NRCC backing for a while.
2. Miller and Diebel attacked each other a lot, so Adams will probably have an easier time than Diebel at consolidating Miller's supporters (about 28% of the primary voters.)
3. Snakes in a Freakin' Pool! :)

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08


[ Parent ]
Yeah, I figured...
the Snakes in a Pool incident, not to mention the tinfoil hat theories of Democrats spying on her home computer, would be such opposition gold as to outweigh any fundraising advantages she could have.  :-)

[ Parent ]
Pamela Gorman is bombing.
Just like those other crazy candidates with crazy ads.  I wonder how Erickson feels about this.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


She didn't
Have any money. No surprise.  

[ Parent ]
I know, but why did Erickson endorse her?
I mean, Bill Halter was a strong fundraiser and nearly beat Lincoln.  Gorman on the other hand is on the road to wipe-out.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
Record
In the legislature and most conservative in the race.  

[ Parent ]
Perhaps
that gun ad she did. And she's in not 3rd or 4th place but in 6th!

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
He endorsed her
Before.  

[ Parent ]
No response.
But I love reading the election blogs over there.  

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
^For me, this comment is up there with the "Ben Nelson Is Good Looking" one
I love the randomness you get on SSP this time of night

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

[ Parent ]
we need a comment hall of fame


[ Parent ]
man, imagine how long this'd take if vermont had people in it


I am morally opposed to any spawn of Quayle getting into congress
Especially one who makes his father look like a genius...

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


AZ-AG
There's also a pretty competitive primary on both sides for Attorney General in Arizona.  Given the noises Brewer's been making, I think this race should deserve some attention, with Goddard leaving it to run against her for Governor.

On the Dem side we have the State House minority leader David Lujan, and two former assistant attorneys general in Arizona, Felecia Rotellini and Vince Rabago.  On the GOP side, it's between superintendent of public instruction Tom Horne and former Maricopa County attorney Andrew Thomas.

And with 32.7% of the precincts reporting, on the Dem side, it's:

Rotellini 80,751 43%
Lujan     76,270 41%
Rabago    30,735 16%

And on the GOP side:

Thomas  179,286 51%
Horne   173,820 49%

The numbers seem to have stabilized a bit in the last couple updates, but there's still enough votes out there that this is still anyone's game on either side (well, except for Rabago).

The AG seat has been in Dem hands for 12 years (Janet Napolitano held it before Goddard).  Are Dems favored to keep the seat?  Anyone know?


Rotellini
sounds like a type of pasta. That name really makes me hungry.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Is Alaska
not reporting until 1:00am EST?

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

Ben Quayle
That would be a surprise.

If Kelly instead of Paton wins in AZ-08, how good is that for Giffords' chances?


Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


Very good, from what I've heard
Not only would she have a 20:1 cash advantage, but Kelly is also a very crude candidate from the various comments I've heard from AZ-08 residents and he has very little experience to run on. He's very young and unpolished. It would shift the race to likely Dem.  

[ Parent ]
Then why are Republicans there shooting themselves in the foot?
When Paton came in, there were murmurs that he could very possibly beat Giffords.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!


[ Parent ]
Because that's what Republicans do best.
BTW, Kelly was the one who dated Giffords, right?

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
No, Paton
Kelly is 32. That would have been kind of awkward.

26 Right-leaning, Euro-Conservative, Anti-Tea Party Independent

[ Parent ]
Judging from appearance alone,
I'd guess Gabby is in her 30s. but apparently she is actually 40 so that does indeed smack of pedobear.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Actually
Kelly is 29, and just turned it on July 20th. So it would be doubly so.

26 Right-leaning, Euro-Conservative, Anti-Tea Party Independent

[ Parent ]
Here comes Alaska!
And Miller leads Murkowski with a quarter of the vote in!

20, CD MA-03/NH-01/MA-08

Holy Snap
That is all

[ Parent ]
Since this isn't a D pickup anyway
I guess I'm rooting for Murkowski. But it would be interesting to see the shit hit the fan in Alaska.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Its only 500 votes
I wish it were more votes.  I'd love to hear more about Palin as kingmaker right up until November, such silliness can only help.

[ Parent ]
I'm really surprised at the Alaska numbers
I was sure that Murkowski wouldn't trail at all, not even in early returns. With 27% in, this could get really fun.

24, male, African-American, CA-24, Democrat. Chair of the SSP Black Caucus.

Parnell is down too
I'm guessing this has something to do with which precincts have reported.  Isn't Alaska known to love incumbents like no other state?

[ Parent ]
Really?
AP shows Parnell leading 48-36  with 29% in.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Sorry, typing trailed my brain
I meant down below 50%

[ Parent ]
she'll catch up
When the small towns and villages in the Bush report their results.  

They are the folks who depend on federal pork for survival, they won't vote for a wing-nutty tea-bagging challenger over an incumbent who delivers for them.

The early results are coming from places like Wasilla where the fundies and anti-government types predominate.

Still, surprising to see she has a real race on her hands - and kind of fun to see more cat fud flying about


[ Parent ]
How much has Scott McAdams raised?
Does he have a chance against Miller? This might turn into a sleeper pickup for us

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)

I don't know about that
his photo on his website kind of freaks me out

http://www.scottmcadams.org/


[ Parent ]
Small town, big mayor.


[ Parent ]
I think his website makes him sounds like a good guy
He's centrist and libertarian, as you would expect in Alaska. He seems to care about education and the environment. I'm for him! And I think he looks OK. If only he had a chance in hell, which I suspect he doesn't.

[ Parent ]
As of the second quarter, $9k
so no.

[ Parent ]
More?
But can he raise a decent amount now that the primary is over?

[ Parent ]
AP Declares Jesse Kelly the winner in AZ-08.
Congratulations, Giffords, you dodged a bullet.

Ad hoc, ad loc and quid pro quo!
So little time, so much to know!



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