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Michigan & Missouri Primary Results Open Thread

by: DavidNYC

Tue Aug 03, 2010 at 8:00 PM EDT


9:41pm: Follow us over here.
9:40pm: I don't think we've even mentioned the Kansas Dem Senate primary, not that we really need to. Lisa Johnston leads at 35, with Charles Schollenberger at 23, and David Haley (a state Senator and former SoS candidate, no less) a woeful 17.
9:39pm: Switching back to Kansas, things are getting tighter between Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt. Moran leads 49-44 with about 8% in.
9:36pm: Speaking of MI-02, that GOP primary may be the night's most exciting match. It's currently Huizenga 26, Kuipers 25, Riemersma 24, Cooper 19.
9:34pm: Although Peter Hoekstra can take some comfort in the fact that he's still well-liked back home. He's up 50-25 over Snyder within the bounds of MI-02.
9:33pm: As we close in on 20% statewide in Michigan, things are looking fairly stable in the governor's races. Virg Bernero leads 58-24 over Andy Dillon for the Ds. For the GOP, it's Snyder 36, Hoekstra 27, Cox 25, Bouchard 10. Looks like cornering the moderate market worked out for tough nerd Snyder.
9:31pm: Thanks to a big margin in the Lower Peninsula, Jason Allen's pulling into the lead in MI-01, now 39-38 over Dan Benishek.
9:30pm: As more votes pour in, things are tightening up in MI-13. Hansen Clarke still leads Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick, but with about 10% in, it's still a pretty big Clarke lead: 50-32. At least she's over the Bob Inglis line for worst incumbent primary performance.
9:28pm: The most drama in Missouri seems to be in the GOP field in MO-04, where social con Vicki Hartzler leads state Sen. Bill Stouffer 39-34.
9:27pm: What am I bid for a House seat? With about 10% reporting, auctioneer Billy Long is cruising in MO-07, with 40%. State Sen. Gary Nodler's stronghold of Newton Co. hasn't reported yet though (he's only at 8, with J. Goodman at 22).
9:25pm: Show Me the money! The AP has called the GOP Senate primary in Missouri, no surprise, for Roy Blunt. He's beating Chuck Purgason 72-13 in one of the cycle's bigger cases of teabagger fail.
9:23pm: Wow, major momentum shift in MI-02 again. Now teabagger Bill Cooper's in 4th! Huizenga and Kuipers share the lead at 26, with about 15% in.
9:21pm: Only 5% in in KS-01, but in the R primary there, birther real estate agent Tracey Mann leads at 32, with CfG fave Tim Huelskamp at 27 and 'moderate' Jim Barnett at 20. No runoffs in Kansas.
9:20pm: I think most people had forgotten that Lynn Jenkins in KS-02 was getting a semi-legit teabagger challenge (state Sen. Dennis Pyle). She's winning, but with an underwhelming 60-40 margin with about 3% in.
9:19pm: Hmm, things much tighter suddenly in MI-01 GOP primary. Benishek leads Allen 40-38.
9:18pm: Switching over to Kansas, Jerry Moran is in the lead, 52-40. Moran leads 73-22 in KS-01, while Todd Tiahrt leads 55-38 in KS-04.
9:16pm: In MI-09, Rocky Raczkowski is way in the lead in the GOP primary: 50-28 over Paul Welday, Joe Knollenberg's former CoS.
9:15pm: And in MI-07, the guy who was teabagging before it was called teabagging, Tim Walberg, looks like he'll be back for revenge. He's beating establishment choice Brian Rooney 55-34.
9:13pm: In MI-03: state Rep. (and teabagger) Justin Amash is running away with it at 47%, with Hardiman at 17 and Heacock at 19.
9:12pm: Check out MI-02: teabagging businessman Bill Cooper's in the lead at 30 with nearly 10% in, with those three Dutch-named guys all clumped in the low 20s.
9:08pm: It's early, but get a load of netroots fave Sean Tevis in KS-02 -- the dude is in third place against a pair of Some Dudes!
9:06pm: Hoekstra's leading 47-27 in his home CD, but in 3rd elsewhere.
9:04pm: In MI-06, Fred Upton has nosed down to 55% against wingnut's wingnut Jack Hoogendyk.
9:01pm: Back in Michigan, Virg Bernero has shot up to a 59-41 lead over Andy Dillon. For the Republicans, Rick Snyder is ahead of Pete "The Incredible Hoek" Hoekstra by 35-28. Just over 7% of precincts reporting.
8:57pm: Though this was a foregone conclusion, the Associated Press has called the Dem Senate nomination in Missouri for Robin Carnahan.
8:55pm: Just a handful of votes in in MI-13, but Hansen Clarke is leading Carolyn Cheeks Kilpatrick by 43-17 so far.
8:51pm: Some more GOP House race updates: In MI-01, Benishek leads Allen by 45-30; in MI-02, Kuipers leads Riemersma by 26-23 (with Huizenga very close behind); in MI-07, Walberg leads Rooney by 55-34.
8:49pm: Wow, check out MI-06 -- Republican incumbent Fred Upton is only at 55.5% against teabagging ex-state Rep. Jack Hoogendyk. 20% of precincts are reporting.
8:43pm: A good sign for Dan Benishek in MI-01 (R): he's leading 53-19 in the UP, but also edging out Jason Allen 35-34 in the LP.
8:40pm: Regional divisions are becoming pretty evident in a few races. In MI-Gov (R), Peter Hoekstra's scoring 61% in his home district while only 27% elsewhere. In KS-Sen (R), Jerry Moran's getting 73% in his home district to Tiahrt's 22%; he's also leading 59-34 in the rest of the state. Nothing in Tiahrt's home district's reported though.
8:39pm: The AP's called KS-Gov (R) for Sam Brownback.
8:24pm: House races for the GOP: In MI-07, Walberg's out to an early lead with 66%; in MI-01, with two UP precincts in, Dan Benishek's up 37-26 over Jason Allen. In Missouri, Vicki Hartzler is up 36-28 over Bill Stouffer in MO-04.
8:22pm: A few results in Michigan, where on the Dem side, Andy Dillon has a 3% advantage over Virg Bernero. On the GOP side, Peter Hoekstra's out to an early lead with 35%, with Mike Cox behind at 28% and Rick Snyder at 23.
8:18pm: A surprising result in MO-08 (R) so far, with incumbent Jo Ann Emerson earning only 60%.
8:12pm: Our first results in for the night, a lonely precinct in Missouri where Roy Blunt has 55% to Chuck Purgason's 37% in the GOP Senate primary.


Let's do this thing.

Results:

     Kansas: Associated Press | Politico

     Michigan: Associated Press | Politico | MI DoS

     Missouri: Associated Press | Politico | MO SoS

DavidNYC :: Michigan & Missouri Primary Results Open Thread
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Looks like Purgason is done
Blunt is up by 500 votes.

There are some Kansas results too
Moran is leading Tiahrt 61-22 (of course the vote total is 117 to 43 :P)

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


Could you please provide a link?


[ Parent ]
Go to Politico's Kansas link
http://www.politico.com/2010/m...

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


[ Parent ]
Blunt has early leads on Purgason in Purgason's state senate district
and Susan Montee might shatter the record for best primary percentage by a Democrat. She's leading 1862-134 on Abdul Akram with 16 precincts in. Which is 93% to 7%. Symington topped 90% in a few primaries, Eagleton had high 80s, but usually Missouri Dem frontrunners win by 85-15 or less (like 78-22).

Bernero is ahead
By 6 points and his lead seems pretty uniform.

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


Big jump for Hoekstra
As some precincts from Ottawa Co. in his home area come in.  Hopefully that doesn't hold for long.

28, Male, MI-09 (home), MD-07 (school)

Moran
Up 67%-25%, only 0.1% percent in though.

MI-06 R
Fred Upton is at only 56% with 5% in.

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

54-46 now with 10% in
Anybody see this coming.

[ Parent ]
I recall seeing something
But it was a few months ago, at least, and it was just a "this might be something to keep an eye on."  Nothing since then and I don't think this had really been on anyone's radar, at least no one I know or read.  Everyone assumed if a MI incumbent went down, it would be Kilpatrick (which, of course, she still might).

28, Male, MI-09 (home), MD-07 (school)

[ Parent ]
Upton in MI-6
Up only 56-44.  

MO-4
feel free to notice the primary on the Republican side.

Ike Skelton's primary opponent is a truck driver with an epic mane


haha
I think yard signs with the candidate's picture on them are discouraged, but this dude should have put his picture on yard signs. If he had enough money or supporters to do either.

He's apparently running for mayor of Jefferson City, so we'll see how that goes.


[ Parent ]
?
he doesn't quite look Asian, and most Asian guys don't really have much facial hair (let alone THAT much). I'd say from his last name and look he is most likely Jewish.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
LOL. Aslan not Asian
as in the lion in Chronicles of Narnia.  

[ Parent ]
Lol, fail xD
for some reason I always confuse I's and L's with the font on this site. For the longest time I thought former Republican NV-Sen Mark Amodei was Mark Amodel...so I thought he was like, a model or something. :P

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
photoshop?
i'm thinking yes

[ Parent ]
MI-Gov Republican
Who are we rooting for there again? I thought Snyder was the weaker candidate, if I remember correctly

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)

Rick Snyder is the most moderate of the GOP
Unless there's something shady about him, he might be the most difficult to beat.

[ Parent ]
I thought that he was dependent
on union votes, and that that would make him a weak candidate against Bernero, who is obviously enormously popular with unions

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)

[ Parent ]
the polls haven't closed in ks
why'd they call it

18, Dem, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college, next year). social libertarian, economic liberal, fiscal conservative.   Everybody should put age and CD here. :)

They've closed in most of the state...
except for a few barely populated counties, but given the policy of not calling elections until the entire state is in I guess it is slightly surprising.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
I'm looking at turnout in MO and MI
It's pretty clear what's gonna happen in KS as well as who the nom's are gonna be. With exception to MI, I'm really just looking at turnout. And as for who I'm rooting for in MI GOP it's a tie between Cox and Hoekstra... they both have conservative baggage in a very union and liberal state.

Glad Hartzler is up
I've come to the realization that I am incredibly shallow (for the most part) in these primary races when there's no clear favourite or electability factors.

I usually always go for the good-looking/female/minority candidate rather than the "West Wing Republican" (ugly/fat/old/southern/bad complection).

Stouffer could have been the next Reagan but I guess we'll never know.

Michigan GOP Gubernatorial primary, now that's a pickle.....


MI-13
Finally, some results. Clarke 43%, Kilpatrick 17%. Just 0.2% in.

Those numbers are really bad for Dillion
Especially given that there has been nothing in from Ingham County (where most of Lansing is).

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


MI-Gov: Wow
Republicans are really kicking our ass in turnout right now. Is to be expected given that Detroit hasn't reported yet, or should we be worried?

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)

We should be worried
But we knew that already.

[ Parent ]
I'd at least reserve judgment
Until Detroit, Flint, Lansing, Kalamazoo, and Ann Arbor come in.  They're probably still going to do better in turnout, but those places should help us.

28, Male, MI-09 (home), MD-07 (school)

[ Parent ]
KS-02
Oy. Sean Tevis is getting punished for effing not campaigning or even getting his fracking website going before the primary--he's losing to BOTH of the other candidates so far, with Hudspeth leading at 37%, Koch at 33% at Tevis at 29% with no results from either of their base counties (Hudspeth=Crawford, Koch=Leavenworth).

Jenkins is holding a 60-40 lead thus far, an improvement over her 51-49 victory over Jim Ryun last time around.

Of course, it's early, but oy. Oy vey.

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.


Tevis probably isn't helped by the whole
home town on the ballot thing, since he lives in KS-3

[ Parent ]
MI-13
Hansen way up, 51-15.

In Kansas
 The results are pretty interesting for Senate in Johnson County. Although I thought it was economically conservative instead of socially conservative, Tiahart is only losing by seven points while being crushed in the rural areas outside of it although Johnson County is not in Tiahart's district (and the counties in his district are not in either.)

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


Quick question
Runoffs in MO?

Politico
has Cooper in 4th place with 19% in.

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

That has to do
with MI-02

28, Liberal Democrat, CA-26

[ Parent ]
Prop C
is passing with 72% of the vote.

Expected but will be used as a weapon by GOP.


MI-Gov (R)
I'm amused by the fact that Mike Bouchard is currently losing his (and my) home county to Rick Snyder.

Dear Mike, people clearly don't want you to run for statewide office, especially those who know you best.  Please give it up.

xoxo,

Everyone

28, Male, MI-09 (home), MD-07 (school)


dillon is only popular
in the LP part of MI-1.  

18, Dem, CA-14 (home) CA-09 (college, next year). social libertarian, economic liberal, fiscal conservative.   Everybody should put age and CD here. :)

MO-Sen GOP - So many candidates
Yikes.  NINE candidates, in a race where Blunt is blowing everyone out?  Talk about "some dudes".  

I'm disappointed that Purgason crapped out.  If Purgason had one, Carnahan would've crushed him.


Purgason doesn't have one?
Poor dude. :)

[ Parent ]
MO-Sen Other
That's unusual.  The Constitution Party and the Libertarian Party actually had primaries for the MO-Sen seat.

our requirements are easy
something like a receipt of a $100 or $200 check and that's all

[ Parent ]
turnout
At least the Dems are totally beating the Libertarians and Constitutionals(?) in turnout. :-)

[ Parent ]
KS-Sen
Moran 49, Tiahrt 44. Sedgwick county is coming in.

Quick, someone stole 18% from Dillon! n/t


Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


A local Detroit radio station
has called it for Bernero

http://www.wxyz.com/dpp/news/l...

So who will his running mate be? I'm hoping for Alma Wheeler Smith

Some Dude, 19, Democrat, NH-02 (residence), MA-08 (college)


MI gov
Looks like Snyder may be taking some moderate votes from Dillon. I'd like to see some exit polling on that race: how many of Snyder's votes came from, say, people who voted for Granholm in 2006.

41, Ind, CA-05

MI Gov -- Snyder crossover
The Dem crossover votes would not all (or perhaps even mostly) have been Dillon supporters.  I think the largest percentage were actual swing voters, followed by disheartened liberals who figured a Republican win was inevitable, and Snyder the least bad.  Given Dillon's baggage, a fair share of both groups would have voted for Bernero or stayed home if they couldn't have crossed over.

[ Parent ]

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