Google Ads


Site Stats

SSP Daily Digest: 6/4 (Morning Edition)

by: DavidNYC

Fri Jun 04, 2010 at 8:07 AM EDT


  • AR-Sen: We knew the SEIU wasn't going to fuck around. Their newest (and probably final) ad buy on behalf of Bill Halter (which we mentioned yesterday) is on the order of $370K. The League of Conservation Voters is also putting down $100K for a buy of their own, also in support of Halter.
  • KY-Sen: Rand Paul, the son of Ayn Rand and a Somali warlord, must be dying inside: He actually felt compelled to call for more regulation of offshore drilling. Upon hearing this, a thousand Austrian School economists tried to jump off a bridge, but couldn't find one as the free market had decided a bridge was unnecessary.
  • NH-Sen: Former AG Kelly Ayotte is being called to testify before a state senate committee investigating the collapse of a mortgage company called FRM which is accused of running a Ponzi scheme - and which was allowed to continue in operation while Ayotte's department was supposedly regulating it. It's belated, but at least someone is watching the watchmen.
  • AL-Gov: Artur Davis: "I have no interest in running for political office again. The voters spoke in a very decisive way across every sector and in every section of the state. A candidate that fails across-the-board like that obviously needs to find something else productive to do with his life."
  • NM-Gov: Diane Denish is already out with a negative ad trying to paint GOP opponent Susana Martinez as an ineffective prosecutor, saying she went soft on DWI felons and had the worst conviction record in New Mexico. No word on the size of the buy, though the Denish campaign says, according to Heath Haussamen, that the ad "is running statewide on network and cable television."
  • NY-Gov: Andrew Cuomo is trying to kill off the Working Families Party. He says he doesn't want their ballot line this fall, without which the WFP has almost no hope of getting the 50,000 votes it needs to stay on the ballot for the next four years. The party is under investigation by the Manhattan US Attorney's Office, and hyper-ventilators like the Daily News editorial page accuse it of sponsoring a "job-killing agenda," so you might think there's sufficient reason for Cuomo to avoid the WFP on the merits.
  • But I don't think that adds up, because few voters pay attention to this stuff, which means that Cuomo will miss out on more votes without the WFP line than he'd risk losing by accepting the party's endorsement - so it looks like a power play to me. (Note that state lawmakers friendly to the WFP are trying to introduce legislation which would allow a party to remain on the ballot if it got 50K votes in any statewide election, which would allow the party to bootstrap itself to, say, the Schumer or Gillibrand campaigns.)

  • FL-08: Uh, is this really an endorsement that you want? Former state House Speaker Daniel Webster, hoping to challenge Alan Grayson in the fall, secured the backing of ex-Rep. Tom Feeney. Feeney was last seen apologizing to voters for his role in the Abramoff scandal while getting his ass kicked by Suzanne Kosmas.
  • ID-01: I know we all miss Vaughn Ward terribly, but I think we'll enjoy having Raul Labrador to kick around, too. It turns out that Labrador forgot to get his cooties vaccination, because the NRCC is keeping him in one of those glove-box containment zones. GOP brass has no plans, says Politico, to add the Lab to their Young Guns list - even though it already contains an absurd 110 names. Michael Steele, though, seems to like Raul just fine (which makes sense), sending some cash to help the Idaho GOP.
  • AL-Ag. Comm'r: May the Flying Spaghetti Monster bless Dale Peterson:
  • Boy!  We put up a tough fight in round one.  The thugs made a full court press to stop me by making hundreds of thousands of "robo calls" with lies about me.  

    Rest assured, Dummy and the thugs at ALFA will not go quietly - so expect them to launch a full-scale attack against John McMillan in the coming weeks as the July 13 runoff draws near.  Just remember, the word "truth" is not in their vocabulary.

    Because good ol' Dale gives a RIIIIIP about Alabama, he promises that he's "not going away." Hooray!

  • Rasmussen: Commenters here have been all over it, but Markos lays out in bright orange letters exactly how fucked up Rasmussen's recent polling in CT-Sen and KY-Sen has been.
  • DavidNYC :: SSP Daily Digest: 6/4 (Morning Edition)
    Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , (All Tags)
    Print Friendly View Send As Email

    Is Dale thinking about running as an Independent?!
    Run, Dale, Run!

    23, Male, PA-05 (summer) PA-12 (winter)

    The filing deadline for independents was the same day as the primary
    Also, it's incredibly hard to get on the ballot as an independent in Alabama.

    [ Parent ]
    Dale Peterson will be back
    Justice and decency demand it be so

    [ Parent ]
    Massachusetts filing deadline
    Republicans filed in every district except MA-08. Last time they filed in 9/10 districts was 1996; if they had filed a full slate, it would have been the first time since 1956.

    Huh, very interesting
    What's your source for that data?

    [ Parent ]
    Interesting
    I haven't lived in the state in years but none of those names for any US House seat (other than MA-10) ring any bells. Clearly some of the (small) GOP delegation on Beacon Hill are running for higher offices, and I imagine Brown is causing some of that optimism, but mostly for things like Treasurer and Sheriff and what not. (Hilariously, no one, Republican or Democrat, filed to run against Martha Coakley for AG, so she's ironically free to coast through an election cycle this time.)

    Although it's been a while since we've seen lots of contested Republican Congressional primaries; many will get at least token media coverage in their respective areas, and of course the MA-10 primary will get quite a bit more than that. I don't really see much vulnerability among the nine incumbents running.  

    Five (!) candidates apparently have filed for the MA-03 primary to take on McGovern.  Five-way GOP races can be interesting if none of them is an obvious frontrunner or co-frontrunner; even in liberal districts, they can turn into amusing wingnut derbies.  


    36, M, Democrat, MD-03


    [ Parent ]
    The Clerk of the House has archived election results back to 1920
    http://clerk.house.gov/member_...

    I just combed through until I found a year with a full Republican slate. Amusingly, Tip O'Neill faced only a Communist opponent one year.


    [ Parent ]
    AL-Gov
    Well, at least Davis finally appears to have gotten the message. I give him credit for that much.

    And NM-Gov is seriously on the table now. Denish wouldn't risk going negative this early unless either she believes Martinez to be winning or is getting some spectacularly bad campaign advice. Combined with probably losing our shot at FL-Gov with Chiles in the race, not a good week for Dem gubernatorial prospects.

    At least the Senate's looking a lot better lately.  


    Davis seems to have been running for a K Street job
    all along, imho.

    As for Denish, someone from NM on dKos told me in late winter or early spring that showed her ahead were wrong.  This person said that Richardson and the legislature conservaDems had been too lethargic, unwilling to do anything progressive, and in the case of the legislature pretty clearly corrupt stuff in the back rooms.  So it's New Jersey II.  Denish is apparently pretty much the victim but you can't blame voters for not wanting to enable that crap any longer.

    I'm hoping this election clears out deadwood from the NM state legislature.  I didn't expect them to legalize gay marriage, but a decent Democratic legislature of a state with a small but real Democrat majority at least considers domestic partnerships seriously.  It definitely repeals the laws disenfranchising probationers and parolees.  The NM state legislature didn't bother to take either matter seriously in either 2007 or 2009- and for that I want some conservaDems voted out.


    [ Parent ]
    Davis seems to have been running for a K Street job
    all along, imho.

    As for Denish, someone from NM on dKos told me in late winter or early spring that showed her ahead were wrong.  This person said that Richardson and the legislature conservaDems had been too lethargic, unwilling to do anything progressive, and in the case of the legislature pretty clearly corrupt stuff in the back rooms.  So it's New Jersey II.  Denish is apparently pretty much the victim but you can't blame voters for not wanting to enable that crap any longer.

    I'm hoping this election clears out deadwood from the NM state legislature.  I didn't expect them to legalize gay marriage, but a decent Democratic legislature of a state with a small but real Democrat majority at least considers domestic partnerships seriously.  It definitely repeals the laws disenfranchising probationers and parolees.  The NM state legislature didn't bother to take either matter seriously in either 2007 or 2009- and for that I want some conservaDems voted out.


    [ Parent ]
    White House
    Davis's old chief of staff was a big part of the transition team.  I heard he was told the White House would find a job for him if the Gov's race didn't work out for him.

    [ Parent ]
    Cuomo has a history as a party killer.
    He's the one who pulled the plug on the Liberal Party back in 2002 by formally dropping out just before the election.

    Heard this rumor about two weeks ago including a suggestion that the WFP might be looking for a celebrity candidate such as Alec Baldwin to help them keep their ballot line.

    Two things to keep in mind.  The WFP scared many Democrats to death in 2009 when they organized and took out more than one incumbent in the NYC Democratic primaries.

    Second that the labor unions are none too happy with Democrats over proposed cuts affecting public employees.  This unhappiness while it won't affect the top of the ticket (Governor/US Senator) may well hurt us in holding the state Senate.  Having Cuomo try to kill the union ballot line won't help.

    NY-13, Democrat. Blog @ http://infinitefunction.wordpr...


    Without a WFP Line
    I guess Cuomo wont get my vote.  

    [ Parent ]
    Why? n/t


    "I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
    --  Will Rogers  


    [ Parent ]
    Another wild ass swing from Rasmussen.
    This time 11 points in favor of Toomey, who now "leads" 45-38 after being down 46-42 maybe two weeks ago.

    http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    Well
    I guess the good voters of Pennsylvania forgot that this year is supposed to be 1994 v2.0, and got a friendly reminder of such from Scott.

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    [ Parent ]
    He just can't help himself
    Let me guess, he thinks the "controversy" over Obama is the reason?

    [ Parent ]
    Yup
    Nearly three-out-of-four voters in the state say they have been following news stories about the secret Obama White House job offer to Sestak in hopes that he would drop his primary challenge of Specter, and 52% say that offer is at least somewhat important in terms of how they will vote. Forty-one percent (41%) view the job offer as unimportant. This includes 29% for whom it is Very Important and 20% who say it's Not At All Important.

    Sixty-nine percent (69%) of those who say the offer is Very Important to their vote prefer Toomey. Sixty-one percent (61%) of voters who regard it as Not At All Important favor Sestak.



    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    In other words
    Back to a tie next time around. Nonsense.

    [ Parent ]
    Good to know
    That the data backs up my point from yesterday.  I don't think anyone did anything illegal here, but it def doesn't pass the smell test.


    [ Parent ]
    Not exactly the most reliable source though
    I need to see it from someone else before I give it much credence. Still, I doubt it sticks whatever.

    [ Parent ]
    Yup, Scotty just wanted to provide false credibility
    to the wingnut meme that such attacks are a way to hurt President Obama and D candidates. I see that one of the more conservative users on this board has bought into it as well.  

    [ Parent ]
    Dem poll the other day had Sestak up 7
    http://politicalwire.com/archi...

    Since rASS is a partisan poll as well, I guess we can call the race even.


    [ Parent ]
    Particulary since
    "The current polling shows that 19% of Democratic voters are undecided or prefer some other candidate. Only 7% of Republicans fall into this category. That suggests Sestak has some work remaining to unify his party following the primary battle."

    Why would people who supported Specter not support Sestak? Nonsensical.  


    [ Parent ]
    Bruised feelings from the primary
    That should pass.

    [ Parent ]
    Sorry I wasn't clear.
    Eleven point SWING for Toomey, from -4 to +7.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    Oh.
    I hope we can get a PPP poll here. I think Sestak's post primary bounce could be wearing off, but not that much.  

    [ Parent ]
    Probably a mixture
    Bounce wearing off and Ras finding an exaggerated sample of people upset over the job offer.

    [ Parent ]
    Not out of step with other polls...
    With a plus or minus of five percent, this poll is in line with the R2000/Daily Kos poll from last week and the previous polling for the most part.

    The other numbers seem to be very consistent with the other polling as well and even more pro-Democratic.  Obama's numbers are on the high end of the polling we have seen out of the state over the last few months.  So are Rendell's.  Democrats should largely be happy with this poll as Rendell's numbers are improving, which means it might help Onorato stay afloat in the Governor's race.

    23, male, center-right cynical Republican, PA-7


    [ Parent ]
    Not to quibble
    But the MoE is actually +/-4.5 percentage points thus outside the Research 2000 figure which was on the extreme anyway.

    Now, the Indiana numbers are more believable.

    Coats 47
    Ellsworth 33

    http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

    Lots of undecided Democrats and perhaps most importantly unaffiliated voters break evenly. Ellsworth can win if he runs a great campaign that highlights Coats baggage and the fact that he is not a generic Democrat.


    [ Parent ]
    Ellsworth can win
    But like Kentucky, I'm not counting on it.  Both would be gravy.  PA, OH, IL, MO, is more the meat.

    [ Parent ]
    In remain of the view
    That the firewall is CO, IL, PA. Everything else is gravy.

    [ Parent ]
    NV is starting to creep in there
    as part of the firewall, but I'm not quite convinced yet.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    I'm becoming very confident about Nevada
    I would add it to the firewall.  

    [ Parent ]
    Waiting for the primary to shake out
    and see what the polls say then.  Good news is that the Republicans' problem doesn't seemed to be division among Republican voters.  They're all getting very solid Republican support in the GE matchups according to R2K.  Their problem is that they are turning off independents and consolidating Dems behind Reid.  That is good news for Reid because it suggests that the primary winner is not going to get a big bump from consolidating Republicans.  Bad news for Reid is he is still stuck in the low 40's.  

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    I think Reid would lose
    to anyone but Angle.  People are making fun of Lowden, and she is running a bad campaign, but that will be forgotten by October.  

    Angle's extremism won't.  She reminds me of Ollie North.


    [ Parent ]
    Ollie North would have won
    If not for ex-GOP state AG Marshall Coleman running as an independent--and with Sen. John Warner's endorsement.

    [ Parent ]
    Ugh
    http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/...

    The supposed blockbuster employment report has turned out to be pretty anemic.

    Be prepared for Republicans endlessly harping on the near non-existent private sector job growth.

    Male, 23, DC-At Large


    At least it's growth.
    Lackluster but not catastrophic.  It was a tough May all around.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    Growth in 6 out of the last 7 months
    Not great, but far better than the year prior to that.  Dems need to make the case that things are moving in the right direction, albeit slowly.  A reprise of Reagan's "stay the course" mantra in 1982 may be in order.

    [ Parent ]
    Yeah we would have killed
    For 41k new jobs as little as two months ago. People only really look at the rate anyway and the census jobs made that drop so could be worse.

    [ Parent ]
    Guess I'm Tekzilla.
    Playing the part of Tekzilla today is Tallsy. This is bad news, and there's no good way to spin it. The White House was talking about a number over 500k. Any private sector job growth less than 100k is not good news. Looking behind the numbers is not any better, people are beginning to leave the job market again.

    [ Parent ]
    There were months last year
    When the losses were greater. The overall trend was still shrinking. No, it isn't good news, but neither is it a disaster.

    [ Parent ]
    No way to spin it...
    There is no way to spin these numbers.  I really would not want to wage a campaign on economic issues at the moment.  Regardless of the validity of the plans offered by either side, which I disagree with both sides more often than not, the party in power is going to be blamed.  

    The economy is not going to wipe out the Democrats, but taken in conjunction with a few hundred paper cuts, it is going to hurt a lot to say the least.

    23, male, center-right cynical Republican, PA-7


    [ Parent ]
    There is a way to spin it.
    It's progress.  It's slow, sporadic progress, but it's progress.  As measured against expectations, this probably qualifies as very bad.  As measured against recent history, it's on the good side.

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

    [ Parent ]
    It's the psychology
    (a subject I never studied). But if voters believe the economy is improving, based on data that could be cherry picked, that's good enough to retain a D majority.

    I believe that voter psychology will be driven by unemployment numbers, but consumer confidence is still improving. And such improvements are associated with the party in power.


    [ Parent ]
    You know,
    Chris Bowers did an interesting analysis a few months ago, showing that election results have little correlation to unemployment.  Counterintuitive, but it is supported by the facts.  A good example is 1982, where Dems made relatively modest gains even though unemployment was well above 10% and rising on election day.  And of course unemployment was not bad at all in 1994.

    It's the overall state of the economy that matters more, and we've made a lot of progress on a lot of indicators.  

    34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


    [ Parent ]
    I agree
    Unemployment is way overblown as an issue per se.  It works underground in making people agitated and wanting to see government do the generally right things in the economic arena, like pay unemployment benefits and push through reforms in ethical problem spots where large money flows are not providing their due in social benefit (i.e. banking and 'financial industry' and offshoring).

    [ Parent ]
    Why are unions spending so much on Ark-Sen ??
    Lincoln is already done for. Save that money for Kentucky or wherever come November. Halter or Lincoln are toast in November regardless.  Do they not have a strategist thinker in that crowd?

    Hell, spend it against Jim DeMint.  That would be a better investment at the moment.  


    Lincoln isn't "done for" until the final vote is
    counted after the run off.  If she manages to eek out a win the unions lose all credibility here, so they have to put the final nails in the coffin.

    Also, this isn't necessarily about the general.  This is about sending a message to the other Lincolns in the party.


    [ Parent ]
    Why
    This is for the future votes.  If they knock of Lincoln, Democrats who may be tempted to stab labor in the back in the future, will have to have second thoughts.

    [ Parent ]
    Good luck getting Barbara Boxer types elected in Dixie.
    This titanic deck chair re-arrangement is essentially writing off any seats in the Deep/Border South even in good Dem years.  Labor better hope the Northeast and Mid-West and Mountain West don't turn back to their GOP leanings anytime soon.    

    John Boozman will take care of Lincoln with or without Labor's help.  Too bad Labor won't have the funds to save Jack Conway(KY) or Carahan (MO)or Fisher (OH).


    [ Parent ]
    No one is asking for Boxer types.
    Halter isn't Boxer.  And Halter is electable, though most likely not this year.

    But Labor, and some argue other groups as well, need to stand up against incumbants too.  Otherwise, everyone will see that they've got immunity once they're elected as there are no consequences.


    [ Parent ]
    Unions
    have plenty of money to use so I wouldn't worry about them being forced to pick and choose their races because they spent down in Arkansas. Besides, Arkansas is a pretty cheep state to advertise in.

    Oh and Blanche Lincoln has an new ad up using Bill Clinton to bash unions. Too bad its a few days too late:



    19, Male, Independent, CA-12


    [ Parent ]
    I think many Democrats
     Who were against the Supreme Court ruling that classified corporations as "people" did not look at one thing. The ruling allowed unions to spend freely and the unions are big supporters of Democrats.  

    for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




    17, CA-06,  


    [ Parent ]
    That's
    a poor argument justifying Citizens United. Sure unions can spend freely now, but Corporations usually can outspend unions by like a 5 to 1 ratio. And I don't like the fact that unions and corporations can spend wildly now to influence an election.

    19, Male, Independent, CA-12

    [ Parent ]
    Agreed, unions are clearly a very big step up from corporations
    But it's not like they dont have their own narrow views that are not the best for the country, like one being again comprehensive immigration reform to keep current illegals from being able to take factory jobs and such.

    [ Parent ]
    Alibguy is right
    And Democrats have played this beautifully from Day 1. They came out against the ruling, which was politically popular, then crafted a bill to restrict corporations from spending, while exempting unions. In the end, the ruling ends up benefiting them twice.

    And unions have far less to lose from advertising for one party or another. Republicans know that labor will oppose them 95 times out of 100. Corporations will almost invariably have customers from both sides of the aisle, so they'll be wary about being seen as a "Republican corporation" or a "Democratic corporation."


    [ Parent ]
    In part
    For profit corporations may have to worry about what you said.  But even there, unpopular corporations like oil companies can spend unlimited amounts of money against their opponents.

    But other "corporations" aka front groups for ideological groups or for for-profit corporations can spend as they please.  So basically, a company like eBay can form a dummy corporation for the purpose of hiding their election spending from the public.



    [ Parent ]
    How appropriate
    The guy who stabbed labor (and non-labor blue collar workers) in the back with NAFTA doing a union-bashing spot for the woman who stabbed labor in the back on EFCA.

    [ Parent ]
    I wouldn't say that Lincoln
    stabbed people in the back on EFCA.  She had made her position clear pretty early.  And rumor has it that she was willing to support a compromise bill, and one was ready to pass until Brown won the seat in Massachusetts.  

    What you said about Clinton was right, he did stab them in the back.  Clinton went around in 1992 proudly stating his opposition to NAFTA, and then turned around and twisted arms to pass it in 1993.  Had Clinton just stayed on the sidelines, the unions would have defeated NAFTA in the House.  

    I know this is probably not kosher on this site, but I really dislike the Clintons.  I temporarily left the Democratic Party in the late 1990s due to them, and I suspect many more did so too, and many left permanently.  I supported Bush for Governor and almost did so for President in 2000 in large part due to Clinton.  


    [ Parent ]
    CA oracle
    Looks like the final pre-primary Field Poll will be released in dribs and drabs. First up, Whitman leads Poizner, 51-25.

    http://www.field.com/fieldpoll...


    Newsweek overview of 2010 election trends and themes
    http://www.newsweek.com/blogs/...

    I found this article to be an excellent recap of many of the points discussed here at SSP.

    One thing I think was implied in the expectations game -- if Ds hold both houses with a reasonable margin, Ds will have an "unexpected victory" and will have some momentum to continue to legislate in the next Congress.


    Looks like those in the know
    Are looking at a similar ballpark to me - 25-30 seats down in the House and 5-7 in the Senate.

    [ Parent ]
    And the article implictly excluded
    Charlie Cook from the "in the know" list

    [ Parent ]
    Are you serious about the house?
    Because i'm just not seeing the seats for Republicans to pick up, it's hard for me to find even 15 individual races where they appear to have the edge.  

    [ Parent ]
    Deadly
    We cannot ignore the generic ballot.

    [ Parent ]
    What was the D lead in the '08 generic ballot?
    Can't find anything  authoritative, but I get the impression that it was 9 or 10 points.

    aka, while we might break even with a tiny bit less, given incumbency, the current generic ballot is nowhere near that good for Ds. And short of unemployment falling below 8% by election day, I don't see that happening.

    If those assumptions hold, the generic ballot will lead to some unexpected losses in the House.


    [ Parent ]
    To clarify a bit
    I'm guessing that D's will have some small generic ballot lead going into Nov, but leavened by R enthusiasm.

    In other words, it'll take some success by Plouffe, etc. to bring new '08 voters to the polls in '10 to retain about 230 seats in the House.  


    [ Parent ]
    It looks to me right now
    They are about tied with RV. Republican enthusiasm gives them perhaps up to a five point lead with LV.

    [ Parent ]
    i concur fully...
    My numbers right mow are exactly the same..

    [ Parent ]
    The caveat to the generic ballot of course
    Is that it isn't an exact science since there are lots of safe seats on both sides and lots of people running unopposed. Which is why we have to take into account race by race factors in addition.

    [ Parent ]
    mine also

    Though I'm hopeful that we get/hold 2-3 more Senate seats.

    [ Parent ]
    I See Your Point
    I don't know about 15, but I have trouble seeing big Republican gains (30 or over) looking at individual races. But I do think there is some merit to historical trends. From Moneyball, there are ways looking at things individually can actually lead you astray.

    [ Parent ]
    Good analysis
    I would like to see a pollster do a national poll, or maybe of a few key states, that had data divided down socioeconomic, educational and rural/suburban/urban lines. Then we might have a better picture of what is happening.  The special elections and off year elections we have seen are giving results that contradict many of the assumptions people would make and some solid polling would be enlightening on the matter.

    23, male, center-right cynical Republican, PA-7

    [ Parent ]
    That was an excellent read
    I am confident, and therefore I cannot wait until November 3rd when Red State is going to be pissing and moaning about not winning as many seats as they would have wanted, while dems hold both houses.

    I think this may even depress Conservative turnout in 2012, with many believing that if the 2010 election was supposed to be a referendum on Obama, they may just say "screw it, this county has turned to socialism" and not care again until 2016.

    20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)


    [ Parent ]
    I'd think the opposite would happen
    The "Save America" rhetoric would increase, especially if we pass more progressive politics.  

    21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



    [ Parent ]
    Agreed, tea-baggers are completely clueless
    And will just start blaming more people instead of just Obama, Pelosi, and Reid.

    [ Parent ]
    Way too early for this sentiment
    Things can definitely get worse. It's crazy to be confident at this point. Wait till September.  

    [ Parent ]
    Redstate will be declaring victory regardless
    They are too stupid to realize when they get curb stomped, like with NY-23.  They view losing as sending a message to the GOP establishment; you either listen to us or you lose!

    Morans!


    [ Parent ]
    We won't have Artur to kick around anymore.


    Paging desmoinesdem
    I know Iowa is far from one of our highest pickup opportunities, but Grassley's 57-31 lead on Conlin is still upsetting. Do you know why he's winning 25% of Dems when he spread so many vicious lies about HCR? Surely Iowa is no AR or WV when it comes to DINOs.

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    Whoops
    sorry, this is referring to the PPP poll of Iowa.

    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    [ Parent ]
    What do you mean by "highest pickup opportunities"?
    Iowa-Sen is a long shot at best. Race to Watch to Likely R.

    "I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
    --  Will Rogers  


    [ Parent ]
    hence "far from" (eom)


    21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
    please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


    [ Parent ]
    Duh!
    Sorry.

    "I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
    --  Will Rogers  


    [ Parent ]
    I read it that way too
    wups  :)

    [ Parent ]
    K Ayotte is not having an easy bid

    She can be the next.


    Copyright 2003-2010 Swing State Project LLC

    Primary Sponsor

    You're not running for second place. Is your website? See why Campaign Engine is ranked #1 in software and support among Progressive-only Internet firms. http://www.mediamezcla.com/

    Menu

    Make a New Account

    Username:

    Password:



    Forget your username or password?


    About the Site

    SSP Resources

    Blogroll

    Powered by: SoapBlox