All around, you have got to love those weak numbers for Mac The Knife! McCain's favorables have taken a dip from 47-46 in late March to 43-52 in this poll. What's especially remarkable about all of these numbers is that, of all the Senate and gubernatorial match-ups, McCain is the only Republican to earn double-digit support from Hispanic voters... and just barely so at a mere 10% of the vote! (Recall that 40% of Arizona Hispanics voted for McCain's Presidential bid in 2008.)
The gube numbers:
Jan Brewer (R): 32
Buz Mills (R): 14
Dean Martin (R): 13
John Munger (R): 5
Undecided: 36
(MoE: ±5%)
Terry Goddard (D): 48
Jan Brewer (R-inc): 42
Undecided: 10
Terry Goddard (D): 47
Dean Martin (R): 35
Undecided: 18
Terry Goddard (D): 48
Buz Mills (R): 34
Undecided: 18
Terry Goddard (D): 47
John Munger (R): 30
Undecided: 23
Remember when Jan Brewer was considered dead in the water in the Republican primary thanks to her apostasy on taxes? (One Rasmussen poll even had her at 10%!) Looks like that was nothing that some good ol' fashioned racism couldn't cure, although she's still given a big assist from the fractured nature of the Republican primary field... and "Undecided" is currently beating her by four points.
Note that the general election numbers are extremely close to PPP's take on this race in late April. One difference, though, is that PPP gave Brewer a more favorable performance among Hispanics. In their poll, Goddard was beating her by 71-25 among Hispanic voters, while R2K gives Goddard an even more commanding 74-9 lead in that demographic.
