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OH-Sen, OH-Gov: Fisher & Brunner Take the Lead in Latest Q-Poll, Strickland Leads by 5

by: James L.

Wed Mar 31, 2010 at 11:26 AM EDT


Quinnipiac (3/23-29, registered voters, 2/16-21 in parens):

Lee Fisher (D): 41 (37)
Rob Portman (R): 37 (40)
Undecided: 21 (21)

Jennifer Brunner (D): 38 (35)
Rob Portman (R): 37 (40)
Undecided: 23 (23)
(MoE: ±2.5%)

Ted Strickland (D-inc): 43 (44)
John Kasich (R): 38 (39)
Undecided: 15 (15)
(MoE: ±2.5%)

Compared to many of the other offerings we've seen out of Ohio lately, this poll contains some pretty welcome news. Still, it's worth keeping in mind that Quinnipiac has had one of the friendlier records for Democrats in the gubernatorial race, probably due to the fact that Quinnipiac does not screen for likely voters.

Still, there's good news to be found here for sure: Obama's job approval has improved from 44-52 in February to 47-48 today, and the favorability of healthcare reform has shot up to 43-50 from 36-55. Those are the kinds of numbers that Democrats will need to see stabilized in order to have a shot in the Senate race.

James L. :: OH-Sen, OH-Gov: Fisher & Brunner Take the Lead in Latest Q-Poll, Strickland Leads by 5
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The Ohio Senate race is still very winnable
Even if Quinnipiac's poll is more friendly to the Democrats than reality, there is still a very good likelihood that Fisher (I'm presuming that he'll be the nominee) can paint Portman as the free-trader that he really is.

This cycle may yet be decent for the Democrats.

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


Re: OH-Gov
If the economy, and in particular the unemployment situation improves at all prior to November, I really don't see how Strickland loses.  Kasich's main point of emphasis is going to be on the economy and spending.  If things get better, he's going to have to make it a referendum on health care (and posssibly on social issues), which is a loser.  

Again, I think Strickland has been a good governor.  People are just blaming him for their personal economic troubles, and that's a shame.  In particular, he's done great things for the state's educational systems.  At least our colleges and universities are on par with other states now as their costs skyrocket while ours stay relatively frozen.  

23, Male, Democrat, OH-13


That's just life
for a chief executive.  Really, it's amazing that Obama's approvals stay in the high 40's to low 50's given the state of unemployment.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
Well
California's consistently high Obama approvals, and high unemployment rate, kinda help.

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
Yeah...
we just take it out on Arnold, and are smart enough to figure out who's not helping our economic situation.

[ Parent ]
Another reason for me to be proud of my home state. nt


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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]

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