could Simmons

win again in CT-5?  I have Christopher Murphy standing at Likely D in his race right now, you'd think that Simmons's entry would move it to Lean at the very least.

23, Male, Democrat, OH-13

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by: StephenCLE @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 00:26:43 AM UTC

You have your districts mixed up

Simmons represented CT-02, which is now held by Joe Courtney.

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by: James L. @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 00:27:48 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

And to answer your question

Yeah, I think Simmons could win again. That's not to say that he WOULD win, just that it'd be possible. That district has always been very competitive, despite a clear Dem lean on the Presidential level. Gejdenson may have held it for 20 years before getting knocked off by Simmons in 2000, but he had a few close calls along the way.

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by: James L. @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 00:30:53 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I've always felt the CT GOP should get firmly behind McMahon and her bottomless checkbook

Simmons should indeed run for his old House seat.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

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by: andyroo312 @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 00:30:38 AM UTC

Well, he shouldn't

But if he was smart, he would.

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by: James L. @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 00:31:43 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Shhhhh

Why are you guys giving them such good ideas?   :)

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.

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by: arealmlc @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 02:26:38 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

McMahon's lead doesn't surprise me.

She's one Sexy Bitch!

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by: Tyler Oakley @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 00:45:32 AM UTC

Let me understand this

Linda McMahon's family is in charge of an organization that has an abundance of athletic, attractive women, and Linda is the one you would describe as a "sexy bitch"?

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by: Don't Tase Me, Bro! @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 01:47:36 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Her yacht says so!

To appreciate the influx of wealth in the top political races in Connecticut, you have to go nautical. At first, you might be impressed with Democratic gubernatorial hopeful Dannel Malloy's 28-foot powerboat or with Republican Senate candidate Rob Simmons's J-22 sailboat.

But they're humble dinghies next to the 47-foot "Sexy Bitch," the sports yacht that Republican Linda McMahon's husband docks in Boca Raton, Fla.

http://www.stamfordadvocate.co...

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by: Tyler Oakley @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 01:51:31 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

So

I suppose Joe Lieberman's yacht is just called bitch then. :)

Tried that one out yesterday and got nothing.


Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

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by: hoosierdem @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 01:58:24 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Ill give that a laugh!!!

hahahahahahahahaha!!!  (this is real, not just pity ps.  :)  )

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by: Andrew @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 02:18:43 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Thanks

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

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by: hoosierdem @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 02:21:48 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Nice

I like it too but I think Douche is much more appropriate.  

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by: kman23 @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 21:04:42 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

That article saysTom Foley in the CT Gov race

has a 100-foot ship (and with a name meaning 'slave' in Turkish).

Is it just me or does it seem like the number of mega-rich Repub/conservative candidates running this year is way more than average?

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by: homerun @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 02:16:34 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

It doesn't really mean "slave" in Turkish

I mean, it sort of does -- it means "harem girl" -- but it also means "mistress", and it's the title of any number of 19th century paintings:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/F...

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by: boojumsnark @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 19:02:05 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

20 points.That's one impressive turnaround

by McMahon over Simmons in only 2 months. Quite a surge going from 10 down to 10 up.
And also the Undecideds are pretty low, too, at 12 points in their primary.
All this time I was thinking she was a joke candidate, albeit certainly wealthy.
It would be hilarious if Simmons lost to her in the primary, and not even make it to the fall to lose to Blumenthal.

Poor guy, Simmons probably originally thought he had an easy path to the Senate, just having to cakewalk past the unelectable Chris Dodd.

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by: homerun @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 00:59:14 AM UTC

Indeed.

 McMahon's millions are doing a great job of glad-handing the voters.  

24, Male, GA-05

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by: cilerder86 @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 02:26:55 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Thank You Chris Dodd!!!

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

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by: hoosierdem @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 01:06:20 AM UTC

Seconded!

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Twitter
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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)

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by: californianintexas @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 01:16:48 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Question

How is Blumenthal on the issues? I thought I read he is more moderate on gay rights and some other things.  It would suck if a very blue state like Connecticut got two moderate Senators.  I am not saying we should replace him, I am just wondering.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

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by: hoosierdem @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 02:40:05 AM UTC

I

recall reading an article awhile back on how Blumenthal wasn't willing to fight for marriage equality back when it was illegal in Connecticut based on the fact that it was illegal in the state. Since then I haven't heard anything about his position on gay rights. It would suck to have him only supportive of civil unions especially since Dodd came out for marriage equality.  

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  

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by: GayTeen4Obama @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 04:00:15 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

This poll is bad news for the Dems....

Not to bring doom & gloom here but I am sure Simmons is seeing the same thing in this poll that we all are. I can't see how he stays in this race. It is not the race he signed up for. He didnt plan on running against Blumenthal (let alone a McMahon).

Dropping down to try to retake his old Congressional seat is really the only smart move. All the cash he raised for the senate race can transfer over and as we all said CT-02 is a "swingy" district that could lean right in a GOP wave year with the right candidate running.

Also think McMahon's millions might be the only thing that could stop Blumenthal. Her checkbook makes a slam dunk race into a contest that Blumenthal will be forced to raise money for. That could divert cash that could be used in other places (IL, DE, MO, OH, NH, and others).

Simmons dropping out & running for CT-02 is really the best move for him & the GOP & the worst for the Dems.

Fight global warming & help disaster relief efforts by raising money for Music for Relief when you search the web! Click here for more info:
http://searchmfr.swagbucks.com...

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by: izengabe @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 15:28:32 PM UTC

Unless Blumenthal pulls a Coakley, this should be Safe-to-Likely Dem

I suspect we'll see a voter model around...

Democrat - 40%
Republican - 30%
Independent - 30%

Blumenthal - 90/15/53 = 57%
McMahon - 10/85/47 = 43%

Nonetheless, I agree that McMahon will cause headaches for the DNSCC. If she's really prepared to drop $50M+ into this thing, they're bound to wind up diverting key $$$ into a race they shouldn't need to worry about.

If Simmons can rebound and win the nomination, I think Dems will breathe a sign of relief. He ain't raising diddly-squat.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

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by: andyroo312 @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 18:12:36 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Blumenthal will be largely able to fund himself

AG candidates always raise big bucks. And he has a lead to play with.

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by: conspiracy @ Thu Mar 18, 2010 at 20:59:50 PM UTC

[ Parent ]