PA-Sen, PA-Gov: Specter Leads Toomey, Sestak Slips Behind

by: James L.

Fri Mar 12, 2010 at 3:49 PM EST

First, PA-Sen (3/8-10, likely voters, 8/10-12/2009 in parens):

Arlen Specter (D-inc): 51 (48)
Joe Sestak (D): 32 (33)
Undecided: 17 (19)
(MoE: ±5%)

Arlen Specter (D-inc): 47 (45)
Pat Toomey (R): 41 (40)

Joe Sestak (D): 39 (42)
Pat Toomey (R): 42 (41)
(MoE: ±4%)

PA-Gov (no trend lines):

Dan Onorato (D): 19
Joe Hoeffel (D): 12
Jack Wagner (D): 10
Anthony Williams (D): 3
Undecided: 56
(MoE: ±5%)

Dan Onorato (D): 34
Tom Corbett (R): 40

Joe Hoeffel (D): 31
Tom Corbett (R): 41

Jack Wagner (D): 32
Tom Corbett (R): 41

Anthony Williams (D): 19
Tom Corbett (R): 47
(MoE: ±4%)

All around, these numbers closely resemble Quinnipiac's recent work in the state, making this the second recent poll suggesting that Specter can still win the general election. The only key difference is the slight advantage that Quinnipiac gives to Onorato relative to his gubernatorial primary-mates in the general election. Quinnipiac essentially found him in the same starting position as the likes of Hoeffel and Wagner.