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Illinois Primary Results Thread

by: James L.

Tue Feb 02, 2010 at 8:01 PM EST


9:57pm: Please join us in our new thread.
9:54pm: The Dem gov race is also tightening - Quinn is now up just 3.2% with 58% in.
9:53pm: Alexi's lead is back down to 3.5% with 59% of the vote in - but is there any way for Hoffman to catch up?
9:50pm: IL-10 just got a lot tighter - Seals' lead has shrunk to 48.1-46.5. But only 12% of precincts are left to count.
9:45pm: The GOP gov race is really, really tight. Andy McKenna is at 21.5, Kirk Dillard at 19.2, Jim Ryan at 17.2 and Bill Brady, also at 17.2 Adam Andrzejewski, the favorite of teabaggers and Lech Walesa, is all the way back in fifth place. My advice to him: Run as an independent this fall.
9:42pm: In non-Illinois news, Democrats have actually picked up an open seat in the Kentucky state House tonight, winning the seat that Republican Jimmy Higdon left behind after winning a special election to the state Senate. Nice score!
9:37pm: Quinn now leads by 4.6%, and Alexi by 4.3%.
9:35pm: Check out IL-14, where Randy Hultgren is ahead of Ethan Hastert by 51-49 with 9% in.
9:34pm: In IL-10, Seals now leads Hamos by 4.1% with 66% in. Bob Dold! leads by 9.
9:32pm: It looks like Alderman Toni Preckwinkle has won the Cook County Board Presidency.
9:31pm: Alexi is up by just 3.8% now, with 43% in. Quinn is up 5.
9:28pm: In the open-seat SoS Dem primary, it's a dogfight between Miller and Krishnamoorthi - Miller is up 47-46.
9:25pm: In IL-10, Seals now leads Hamos by 5.3%, while Bob Dold! is cruising by over 8% with 54% in.
9:23pm: Quinn now leads by 5.6%, and Alexi is up by 4.2%. For the GOP, McKenna and Dillard are now both ahead of ex-AG Jim Ryan.
9:17pm: In IL-14, Ethan Hastert has a mere 51-49 lead over Randy Hultgren, with just 3% reporting. Brothers and sisters, let us all pray for a protracted, nasty recount.
9:15pm: In IL-11, Adam Kinzinger is cruising with 62% of the vote. Is that low? Is that high? You tell me.
9:13pm: In IL-08, Some Dude Joe Walsh leads the pack with 34% with about 42% of votes counted. The winner here gets the privilege of taking on Melissa Bean.
9:11pm: In IL-07, Danny Davis, who had vacillated between running for re-election and seeking the Cook County Board Presidency, is taking about two thirds of the vote. Not terrific for an incumbent, but the remainder is split between several candidates.
9:05pm: As for the gube race, Quinn leads Hynes by 6.8 points on the nose, while Alexi leads Hoffman by 4.5%. Hoffman has widened his lead in Lake County, but that's more than offset by Giannoulias' strong performance downstate. With almost 39% reporting in IL-10, Seals leads Hamos by 51.5-43.1. For the Republicans, Bob Dold! leads Coulson by about 10 points.
8:55pm: The thing is, it seems like most of the big names on tonight's ballot call Chicago home... so it's hard to say who, if anyone, ought to be cleaning up in the Windy City.
8:52pm: Dave Wasserman tweets that Hoffman is only up narrowly in Lake County, a place where he should have expected to do well, and suggests it's a good sign for Alexi.
8:49pm: In IL-10, Dan Seals is up 51-44 over Julie Hamos with about 8% reporting. Bob Dold leads Elizabeth Coulson for the GOP nod, 38-30.
8:47pm: To no one's surprise, Mark Kirk is running away with the GOP nomination. My advice to Patrick Hughes: Run as an independent this fall.
8:45pm: So with 16% of the vote in on the Dem side, Quinn has a narrow 53-47 lead. For the GOPers, Andy McKenna leads with 27%, while Ryan, Dillard and Andrzejewski are at 20, 19, and 17 respectively.
8:42pm: Politico has much quicker results. In the Senate race, it's 37A-30H-26C, while Quinn is up 54-46 in the gov contest.
8:39pm: I don't know why the AP is being so slow - Lake County has already counted a bunch of votes. FWIW, they have Hoffman and Hynes up.
8:27pm: Congrats to the folks in DeKalb County, who clock in with the first precinct (out of 11,215) of the night.
8:24pm: Pass the dutchie 'pon the left hand side....

Polls are now closed in Illinois, where we've got hot Democratic and Republican primaries up and down the ticket. (For a full review of the biggest races to watch, check out DavidNYC's preview.) We'll be using this thread to track the results as they come in.

RESULTS: Associated Press | Chicago Tribune | Sun-Times | Politico

James L. :: Illinois Primary Results Thread
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Giannoulias
w/ 47% :)  

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  

Hynes
w/ 66%! :)  

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  

I hope Hynes can pull it off!!


Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
I don't have a horse in this race
I haven't really spent much time researching the candidates, though I do have a rough idea of the strengths/weaknesses of Hynes and Quinn. Either way, I'm counting on the Illinois GOP screwing up between now and November.

That said, a little piece of me is pulling for Pat Quinn. A year or so ago I spoke with a well-connected Chicago politician (though I won't say who for various reasons). This guy was incredibly cynical, had a low opinion of basically everyone, and really rubbed me the wrong way. But when Pat Quinn came up, this guy said Quinn was one of the hardest-working and most dedicated public servants he had ever met.

Now, this guy did end up endorsing Quinn and helping him some in the primary, so who knows what his motives might have been. But it struck me that it was one of the only positive things he had to say about anyone.

Anyway, that's my contribution. I think Hynes probably has a stronger chance at keeping the seat, but I think Quinn could still pull it off, too. At any rate, dedicated public servants are the types of people we should be cheering for regardless of whether they're our candidates.

(The same guy also said that Michelle Obama is smarter than her husband, which I find both interesting and unsurprising.)


[ Parent ]
By no means
am I saying he is a bad Governor, I just think Hynes will be stronger in the general.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Another results link with some very early returns
1 precinct in -
54-46 for Hastert for IL-14.

Seals winning 60-33
In Lake County over Hamos.

[ Parent ]
Dold. Bob Dold.
Seals ahead is disappointing, but Bob Dold is a gift from the gods.

[ Parent ]
Why would they pick Seals again?
Do they like him that much? I really don't get it.

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
how
in God's name is she losing???  

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  

[ Parent ]
Well
He better win else he can join Martha Coakley in the naughty corner for eternity.

[ Parent ]
38-30 overall
But only 8% in.

[ Parent ]
I'm guessing Hoffman needs to do a lot better to overcome Alexi's expected margins downstate


21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Bleh
Precinct-by-precinct would be nice for Cook so we could know how each neighborhood in Chicago is voting. :( would give us some clues for how other places will vote (also, I am interested in knowing how my precinct went)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


With half the City of Chicago in...
Preckwinkle's up huge for Cook County Board Pres. She should perform stronger in the suburbs than Brown and Stroger...things are looking good!

Stick a fork in Stroger
I can't see a way he gets out of this one

[ Parent ]
What's that southern county Hoffman needs to do well in?
Marion?

22, male, VA-10

Not sure why Marion's significant
Big "southern" Illinois counties are:

Rock Island (Rock Island)
Peoria (Peoria)
Sangamon (Springfield)
Macon (Decatur)
McLean (Bloomington-Normal)
Champaign (Urbana-Champaign)
Madison (Alton, St. Louis 'burbs)
St. Clair (St. Louis 'burbs)


[ Parent ]
Carbondale is in Marion
and it is a college town, with a fairly large dem base.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Thanks
Madison's the one I was thinking of. Politico wrote about how Madison county was important for some reason.

22, male, VA-10

[ Parent ]
My sis lives in Marion
and I was there a few days ago and Hoffman was winning the sign war, although strangley enough Lowden was winning the republican sign war, don't ask me!

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Wow
Kirk is underperforming a lot downstate. Hughes is actually winning in Henderson County on the IA border. Makes sense since his base is in Chicagoland but still.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


No surprise but lots more Dems voting than GOPers despite both having contested primaries
Hopefully a good sign...

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



eh.
Illinois is such a blue state, that's natural. but it's worth pointing out that more Dems voted in the MA-sen primary than Republicans (also true in 2008 in some red states even before McCain had things wrapped up)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
In MA Brown had no real opponent
I'm not saying it's a surprise. More it's not a bad sign.  

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
8th/10th
8th - some guy named Joe Walsh is winning the Republican nomination here despite having spent no money (no FEC report filed). Life's been good for him.

10th - looks like it will be a Seals/Dold contest. I win!


DuPage County
Nothing in from Dupage county yet. Second largest county in IL. GOP gov nomination will probably be decided here.

Hoffman needs to pull something big from here if he still wants to win.

23, dude, gay, IL-13


I'm not sure how Quinn hold this seat
unless his Republican opponent is unfunded and incompetent.

What are you talking about?
Do you see the vote totals between the Dems and the GOP? Or are Hynes voters really conservative?

[ Parent ]
Vote totals tonight are an insufficient indicator
There are lots of people who will show up in November that didn't vote today.  

[ Parent ]
Riiiiiiight...
Because all of the Democrats voted today, the first Tuesday in February, whereas most of the Republicans stayed at home.

Because, you know, Democrats always have higher turn out during primary elections in the winter.


[ Parent ]
The weather wasn't that bad today actually :)
and honestly, I really don't think primary turnout means anything. Remember, more Dems than Reps turned out in South Carolina in 2008. (and a few other states I believe)

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
It's is not disputed that there are many more Ds than Rs in IL
Right?

[ Parent ]
I doubt that's in dispute
But I think that generally speaking, primary ballot counts are a poor indicator of general election results.

[ Parent ]
Sounds like you're agreeing with me


[ Parent ]
Apparently I was
I wasn't paying attention to who wrote what and thought you were equating the Dem advantage in IL to the Quinn's chances in November.  My mistake

[ Parent ]
wtf @ Clark County
34% for some dude Marshall, Jackson with 24%, Hoffman with 20%, and Alexi with 16%..weird.

16, Male, Democrat, CA-42/sometimes CA-32.

WTF
is right!!!!

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Two Observations
Using the "Chicago Sun-Times" numbers:

1) There are a ton more people voting Democratic than Republican.

2) There are 4005 more Republicans voting in the Senatorial race than the Gubernatorial.  


Almost all results so far are from Cook County
There better be a lot more Dems than Rep voting.

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

[ Parent ]
The Governor's Race should not be called just yet
Downstate where Hynes is doing well has mostly not reported while Cook County is more than half in where Quinn is doing well. Still, it looks like Quinn will win.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


Hmm
Looking like IL-10 will be Seals vs. Dold.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


That Sucks!!!!!
Welcome Congressman Dold

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
bullshit
If dan runs a better campaign than 08 he will beat dold

2010 Race Tracker Wiki

[ Parent ]
Agreed
In fact I think that Seals could run the exact same campaign in IL-10 and still win. What I know is that Dold is a much weaker candiate than Kirk and what Coulsen would have been. Could Dold pull a Scott Brown and win in a upset? Yes but unlike in MA Deals is far from assumed to be the victor, altho I would say that a Seals-Dold is definitly Lean Democratic. Seals does benefit from not being part of the Chicago machine and with so much hatred towards incumbents that will help him.

[ Parent ]
Well
assuming that we have Dold as the opponent then we will not be bad off although I really have my doubts about Seals.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Seals
leading 49-45. Hopefully Hamos can pull it off :)  

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  

[ Parent ]
God I hope so
Not only would she cream Dold, but she would make a great Congresswoman.

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Seals
leading by only 48-47% now! :D  

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  

[ Parent ]
I have my fingers crossed


Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
As expected, Bobby Rush is cruising
which is a shame. he's a whackjob and I want to move a few blocks to the east because I like Jesse Jackson Jr. better. I hope Obama primaries Rush again, this time he'll probably win.

anyone see that Onion article about Obama running against McCain for Arizona senate? Hahahaha.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


Everything is getting closer
Quinn is at 53.2%, Gianuoulis is ahead by 3.3 and Seals is ahead by 5.7%. It's just a bit narrower but does this mean downstate is reporting?

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


Downstate doesn't affect Seals
but yes, it seems to be reporting.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
I checked
About more than 80% of the votes in are from Cook County in the Senate and Governor's races. Also, Cook is 60% in while 33% of the vote is in. This race is  still too close to call.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


[ Parent ]
Hoffman should be getting
more support down south right? Didn't he make a big media buy there going negative in the last week?

22, male, VA-10

[ Parent ]
I
was there a few days ago and I could not go 5 minuets without hearing how bad Alexi is.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Hoffman doesn't seem to be winning many
downstate counties though, probably due to low name ID, whereas Giannoulias has run statewide before.

[ Parent ]
KY House
Dems won an open KY House seat tonight.  Somehow, in a county McCain won, the D candidate won like 85% of the vote.  This even though the R did better than McCain in the other 2 counties.  It almost looks like a mistake.  Can anyone explain this?

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7

Home county
That and the fact that a local Democrat is very different from a national Democrat in Kentucky.

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


[ Parent ]
Good old boy politics
I know the area, I have been there before, and I think they have a good amount of Southern dems, and it really doesn't surprise me much.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
here is the link
McCain carried Marion county.  I understand hometown effect but this is amazing:

http://www.elect.ky.gov/NR/exe...

This is how dems keep the southern state legislatures that they still have.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7


[ Parent ]
My county
went HIGHLY for McCain, but only has one elected republican in the whole county, and that is for county clerk. We almost got a republican corner last time, but instead elected someone with no medical experince:) Don't try to understand the results!  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Where are you at?
I live in Hendricks Co, which hasn't voted for a Democrat at any level of government as far back as the county posts election results for (1996 I believe).

[ Parent ]
Southern Indiana


Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Looking at the results
a few reasons:

1. Friends-and-neighbors effect, with the Dem winning 89% (!) in Marion County, while the Republican won 83% in Casey and nearly 90% in Pulaski. The Democrat's superior GOTV campaign in Marion was probably what swung the election.

2. The Obama/McCain numbers aren't representative of the Democratic strength in the area. Bruce Lunsford won Marion County 58-42 in 2008.

3. These special elections in Kentucky are just bizarre.


[ Parent ]
yeah
I would get 60-40 or even 70-30 but almost 90-10 is unreal.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7

[ Parent ]
Hynes is narrowing the margin, now w/ 48%
Awesome.

16, Male, Democrat, CA-42/sometimes CA-32.

SoS
I did not know that was an open seat.

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

Minnesota Caucuses straw polls
Dems: About 13% in. Nobody above 20%, Kelliher and Ryback at 18%.

Rep: 5% in. Siefert leads Emmer 54-38.

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan


Hynes is getting closer
The Governor's race should be closer than expected with Hynes now leading 52.1%-47.9% and with 20,000 votes. 45% of the vote in with 70% in Cook County.  Hynes keeps getting closer but there is still alot of outstanding votes in Cook County where so far, about 80% of the votes reported are from there. Quinn is hovering in the 40's and even winning a few Downstate urban counties so maybe Quinn can prevent Downstate from going strongly towards Hynes.

On the Senate race, I think Giannoulis will win because he is winning Downstate and his margin there is larger than his margin in Cook County. I do not know what part of Cook County has reported but I am calling the Senate race for Giannoulis. The Gubernatorial race is too close to call but I am giving Hynes a more than 50% chance of winning it.  

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


Comptroller race
DEM Comptroller race is looking real TIGHT. Krishnamoorthi and Miller only separated by a few hundred votes.

23, dude, gay, IL-13

Raja all the way!!!!!!
Although we really have little chance of keeping that one in the general though.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
raja
JBT will be a tough candidate with alot of name recognition, but Raja seems kinda new and fresh... if he runs a good campaign he could have a decent shot at the office.

23, dude, gay, IL-13

[ Parent ]
Totally disagree.
JBT fundraising underwhelming, and she was last seen getting her ass handed to her by an already very damaged Rod Blagojevich.

This guy's a fundraising machine and a fresh face.  Should have a chance.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


[ Parent ]
I hope
My sister met that Raja guy at a rally and she said he seemed like a great guy who really cares. It sounds like he has a future if he can beat JBT.

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
4.5K right now
Krishnamoorthi is winning as he has taken the lead in Cook County.

Look's like he is holding even in Cook and Dupage and winning handedly in Lake, McHenry and Will.  


[ Parent ]
Raja
Large Indian-American population in DuPage. I'm hoping his campaign will turn them out!

23, dude, gay, IL-13

also in NW cook
rolling meadows, schaumburg, etc.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Hastert up by 12 votes with about 20% in
I hope there is a recount...

IL-10
Lake is all in. Seals won the county by 995 votes.

Cook is 261/290 in. Hamos is up by exactly 400 votes. She would need to somehow come up with a 600-vote margin with the remaining precincts, which I could only see happening if her House district were still out.


Ryan drops to 4th.
Hynes inching up frustratingly slowly.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

LOL
just a little over a month ago he was the front runner right? He fell quickly!!!

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
Kirk barely at 58%
Against all these no-names that is seriously underwhelming.

I'm calling it
for Brady vs. Quinn.  Too much Chi-town left for Hynes to win, not enough Chi-town left for Dillard to win.

Brady vs. Quinn.  Put them both together, and you have a pretty lousy backup quarterback who stumped for McCain.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


Well, as i read the results
- people are angry, somewhat dumbfounded, irritated and disappointed, and generally ready to go for "outsiders" against established politicians. Look at Lt. Gov races and projected winners there, Republican primary in 8th (not that it matters a lot, but still) and in 10th (money was also very big factor there but still Dold was more of "plain outsider guy" type) and some other results


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