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NRCC Adds 32 Names to Young Guns Program

by: DavidNYC

Tue Oct 27, 2009 at 9:03 PM EDT


Today, the NRCC added 32 candidates to its Young Guns program:

District Candidate Incumbent PVI 2008 (D) Margin
AR-02 Tim Griffin Snyder R+5 53%
AZ-08 Jesse Kelly Giffords R+4 12%
CO-07 Ryan Frazier Perlmutter D+4 27%
CT-05 Justin Bernier Murphy, C. D+2 15%
FL-22 Allen West Klein D+1 9%
IL-10 Beth Coulson OPEN D+6 -5%
IL-10 Bob Dold OPEN D+6 -5%
IL-10 Dick Green OPEN D+6 -5%
IL-14 Ethan Hastert Foster R+1 16%
IN-09 Todd Young Hill R+6 19%
MI-07 Tim Walberg Schauer R+2 2%
MO-03 Ed Martin Carnahan D+7 36%
MO-04 Bill Stouffer Skelton R+14 32%
MO-04 Vickie Hartzler Skelton R+14 32%
MS-01 Alan Nunnelee Childers R+14 11%
NC-08 Lou Huddleston Kissell R+2 11%
NY-01 Randy Altschuler Bishop R+0 17%
NY-13 Michael Allegretti McMahon R+4 28%
NY-19 Nan Hayworth Hall R+3 17%
NY-29 Tom Reed Massa R+5 2%
OH-16 Jim Renacci Boccierri R+4 11%
OH-18 Bob Gibbs Space R+7 20%
OR-01 Rob Cornilles Wu D+8 54%
PA-06 Steven Welch OPEN D+4 -4%
PA-07 Pat Meehan OPEN D+3 19%
TN-04 Scott DesJarlais Davis, L. R+13 21%
TN-08 Stephen Fincher Tanner R+6 100%
VA-02 Scott Rigell Nye R+5 5%
VA-11 Keith Fimian Connolly D+2 12%
WI-03 Dan Kapanke Kind D+4 29%
WI-07 Sean Duffy Obey D+3 22%
WI-08 Reid Ribble Kagen R+2 8%

These candidates have all been added to the bottom rung of the NRCC's list, which they call "On the Radar." The Republican House campaign committee has also bumped up nine previously-added names to their middle tier, "Contenders":

District Candidate
AL-02 Martha Roby
CO-04 Cory Gardner
FL-12 Dennis Ross
ID-01 Vaughn Ward
MD-01 Andy Harris
NH-01 Frank Guinta
NM-02 Steve Pearce
OH-01 Steve Chabot
OH-15 Steve Stivers

Of those initial thirteen picks, four didn't make the jump: Van Tran (CA-47), Adam Kinzinger (IL-11), Charles Djou (HI-01), and Jon Barela (NM-01). (Kinzinger, for what it's worth, has been officially endorsed by the NRCC, the only candidate other than Dennis Ross in FL-12 to be so honored.) Two other dudes who were added later (but before this round) also stay put: David Harmer (CA-10) and Greg Ball (NY-19). I have to believe this means the GOP is writing off any hope of a stunning Harmer upset in next week's special election.

Interestingly, the NRCC seems to have no reservations about naming more than one candidates running in the same race to their program - they've done so in IL-10, MO-04, and NY-19. This is something I don't recall the DCCC doing with Red to Blue over the past couple of cycles. However, all of these multiple-choice challengers are still only at the "On the Radar" level. I wouldn't be surprised if the NRCC narrowed things down if certain candidates started to show more promise than others.
DavidNYC :: NRCC Adds 32 Names to Young Guns Program
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NRCC Adds 32 Names to Young Guns Program | 80 comments
NH-01
Wow, they just don't get it, do they? The Beltway refused to believe that Bradley was even vulnerable in 2006, gasped and tsk'ed when dirty grassroots hippie CSP beat him, wrote her off as gone in the '08 rematch, sighed and wagged their fingers at CSP for beating him again, and now the NRCC is seriously bumping up this race to "contender" even though Guinta has been nothing if not an absolute trainwreck of a candidate and CSP still has the same grassroots network in place that's made her career.

Well, good. If they insist on wasting more money here, let 'em. Let this race be the futile money pit for the NRCC that New Jersey always turns into for the NRSC. Serves 'em right.

Also, interesting to see that Pete Sessions thinks that ID-01 and MD-01 are merely middle tier races. Personally, I think he's right. We're way more likely to lose a few underperformers in swing districts like Kilroy and Arcuri than we are to lose either of those guys, both of whom seem a lot more like Chet Edwards than Nick Lampson.

Shea-Porter may be a good grassroots
campaigner but I'm sure the nearly 2.5 million dollars the DCCC and their allies spent helped a lot. Hopefully she will have an easier time this round although they will probably still need to prop her campaign
[ Parent ]
Sessions is waiting in ID-01 and MD-01
to see how the fields shape up.  That's especially true in MD-01, where he'd really like to not have to raise any money for Harris.  He's hoping E. J. Pipkin or someone else gets in so he can fund a candidate who can actually win.

I know he's willing to fund multiple candidates in some seats, but that's something a bit different.  In IL-10, the field has already shaped up, so funding all the candidates just helps along whoever ends up winning.  In MD-01, funding Harris now would actively discourage a stronger candidate from making the race.  That would be a massive miscalculation on Sessions' part, and he seems to know it.

[ Parent ]
If the NRCC wanted to win MD-01
they would get anyone but Andy Harris. Harris lost this R+13 district in 2008 because he was too extreme.
I get the impression
that Harris decided to run his grudge match against Kratovil without really consulting with anyone first, and the NRCC can't get rid of him so they're pretty much just along for the ride.

The other thing hurting Harris besides his extremism was the fact that he's from Baltimore. That tiny part of Baltimore has no business being in an Eastern Shore district at all. It probably also didn't help that much of the general electorate was a bit PO'd that the GOP purity trolls torpedoed Gilchrest and voted for Kratovil out of spite; Gilchrest's endorsement there helped a lot. Without the Gilchrest factor and with the kind of wingnut that Harris appeals to having the greatest enthusiasm to turn out, it might be a different story. If Harris loses again, though, Kratovil will probably have this seat for life thanks to the GOP's inability to nominate a Gilchrest-like moderate, which is what the district actually wants.  

[ Parent ]
Gilchrest factor
Why wouldn't he endorse Kratovil again?
[ Parent ]
MD-01
The GOP could come up with someone more suitable for that seat to the sort of voter who'd value Gilchrest's endorsement. Of course such a candidate have to get by a well-funded Harris (he's a doctor with lots of friends in the medical industry, plus the Club For Growth largesse) in a GOP primary.

Of course I think Wayne ended up endorsing Obama, so that's a bridge burning move in a way that even endorsing Kratovil might not have been.

It's a great district for Republicans on paper. It includes most of the reddest precincts in the Baltimore burbs (excepting Carroll County, which is in MD-06) along with the generally-GOP-friendly Eastern Shore. It'd be perfect for a guy like E.J. Pipkin, who incidentally, can self-fund.

As we've seen in some previous diaries/threads, Kratovil's future re-elections could get a whole lot easier if he survives 2010 and the Democrats hold onto both houses and the Governor's Mansion in Annapolis.    

[ Parent ]
Vis a vis Annapolis
The legislature being Democratic is always going to be a foregone conclusion, and thus far it doesn't seem as if any top-tier contender has stepped up to take on O'Malley (who IIRC is sitting on reasonable approvals) or is even making moves to do so. Ergo, methinks that if Kratovil survives 2010 (which I would consider betting on if Harris is the nominee again), he's sitting pretty.
[ Parent ]
Gilchrest did endorse Kratovil
[ Parent ]
I think he meant for 2010
n/t
[ Parent ]
Ah, understood now in full context
n/t
[ Parent ]
More on MD-01
In all fairness, the Shore only has enough people for about 60% of a CD. So however you draw the lines, 40% of the population is going to be on the other side of the Chesapeake and/or Susquehanna. It's hard to say what areas would constitute a "community of interest" in common with the Shore beyond perhaps the harbor town of Annapolis and the areas immediately adjacent to the US-50 and I-95 bridges. They seem to see themselves as something apart from the rest of the state - usually this means voting Republican, but this time it worked to the Democrats' advantage.  

Since the priority with the map drawing last time was turning MD-02 and MD-08 blue that meant writing off two districts, MD-01 and MD-06. So the non-Shore parts of MD-01 are a collection of heavily Republican areas so that MD-02 (and MD-03) don't include them, making them safer for Democrats than they otherwise would be.

With a Dem incumbent there are different priorities.    

[ Parent ]
Who is in the top tier?
Maybe I didn't read this right but if ID-01 and AL-02 are in the middle tier who's in the top tier?
No one, yet (eom)

[ Parent ]
Interesting that they add Michael Allegretti in NY-13 now...
....considering Michael Grimm (whose resume sounds far impressive) just put his foot in the door just recently and is being supported by former Borough President and still powerful Republican power broker Guy Molinari.

http://www.silive.com/news/adv...

The fact that Molinari
Spent the last months of the campaign regularly chatting on the phone with TPM's Eric Kleefeld to complain about how awful the situation was & how he couldn't do anything, I tend to doubt he has much power anymore.
[ Parent ]
Don't underestimate Guy...
...especially now that the end of the Fosella machine has left a big vacuum in the local Republican Party.  He's still widely popular (you'd be surprised how many votes Molinaro gets because people think he's actually Molinari) and still casts a big shadow.
[ Parent ]
I wonder if we can Sherlock Holmes this list
I see no names for a few Ds that I think may be vulnerable in 2010, such as Scott Murphy (NY-20), Dina Titus (NV-03) and Tom Perrillo (VA-05).

Perhaps they just don't have names in these districts, or are the candidates "too old" to be a "young gun"?

Age has nothing to do with it
They chose this ridiculous name in spite of the fact that they have guys like Steve Pearce and Steve Chabot on the list.
[ Parent ]
In NY-20
Tedisco just announced last week that he wasn't running, so someone should step up soon.

In NV-03, there just aren't a lot of obvious candidates.  Presumably some state senator will make the race.

In VA-05, GOP recruiting has been a train wreck, and losing Virgil Goode basically gutted the entire party apparatus.  I doubt they will be able to salvage this one.

[ Parent ]
NV-03
Joe Heck moved from the gubernatorial race.
[ Parent ]
There are
pretty good recruits in NV-03 (Joe Heck) and VA-05 (Rob Hurt).  Pretty recent developments, both of them.
[ Parent ]
NY-01
Altschuler really worries me in my district as hes willing to spend a ton of money and the district is very swingy.
Wow Something worries you...
That's a real streach since you worry about every damn seat held by a Dem.
[ Parent ]
Start looking at the MA 6th Congressional District
This district should be a Republican District.  We have our own "young gun" a political novice named Bill Hudak who has left a successful law practice to run as a solid conservative Republican challenger here in the heart of liberalism.  Hudak out raised the incumbent Tierney during the last quarter and is building a solid grass roots base.  There will be another shot heard round the world coming from MA next year.
yeah that's going to happen lol

[ Parent ]
We quake in fear n/t

[ Parent ]
Yeah, but it will probably be in Roxbury
ba dum ch
[ Parent ]
Sure Hudak will knock off Tierney...
After that pigs will fly and hell will freeze over. In the meantime you should retire to the Free Republic, your right wing friends are waiting for you lol.
[ Parent ]
And this is going to happen
When Scott Brown becomes the next Senator from MA, right?
[ Parent ]
fuck off
(figured someone needed to say something rude to this troll)
[ Parent ]
Unacceptable
This language is uncalled for. The OP may be ridiculous, but one off-the-wall comment doesn't deserve to be repaid with rudeness.

Besides, the comment was unintentionally hilarious.

[ Parent ]
Sorry Mr. Hudak
I know you probably took quite a leap of faith, signing up for a SSP account to promote your longshot campaign, but I admire that.  But please, don't feel the need to speak of yourself in the third person.  You don't have to be ashamed of the fact that you have such little support that you're relegated to posting on liberal boards trying to get any notice at all.  Well, good luck with that Mr. Hudak.
[ Parent ]
It might not be him.
It might be an overeager supporter. Even longshot candidates usually have a few of them, whom the campaign may or may not know anything about.

Not that I'm suggesting that this person be taken seriously, mind you.  

[ Parent ]
If a Massachusetts district were to flip
it would be MA-10. But that would require an open seat, weak Democratic candidate, strong Republican candidate, and bad Democratic year.
[ Parent ]
OR-01
Yeah, okay.

ha.  

definitely OR-1
because Portland is well-known for it's love of republicans. If only the NRCC would dump millions into this race hahaha
[ Parent ]
Don't laugh too hard.
Washington County is historically very Republican, only more in a "Mark Hatfield moderate" kind of way. Also, Wu is an idiot and has accomplished absolutely nothing since he was elected. The problem for the GOP is that their bench in OR-01 royally sucks, not that most of the district isn't suburban moderates open to voting for the right kind of R.  
[ Parent ]
It would take a "Tom Campbell" R to beat Wu
Washington County is part of the "Silicon Forest," socially liberal, economically old-line conservative. IMO, it's a district tailor made for a Tom Campbell-type, who represented part of the Silicon Valley for a while.
[ Parent ]
Well
the Tom Campbell's of the GOP are called RINO's by today's GOP.  
[ Parent ]
Generally the Tom Campbells
of the GOP have become independents and endorsed/voted Obama in 2008.  

I suspect that as the GOP becomes a teabagger party, more sane people on the center-right will do so too.

[ Parent ]
And we'll then have to make more room for blue dogs
We can't gain adherents on the center-right without accepting the headaches associated with that wing of the Democratic party.
[ Parent ]
No we don't
Most Blue Dogs represent areas that are mostly Southern rural conservatives, less educated, socially conservative, often racist.  That is now teabagger country.  We're about as likely to win there as the GOP is likely to win in suburbia in the Northeast.  That is, it will occasionally happen, but usually not.

The center-right people I'm talking about college educated whites who lean GOP, but only slightly so, and hate the wingnuts in the GOP.  This also includes a good number of Hispanics who voted for McCain.  They like reasonable level headed Republicans such as McCain, but not the Becks, Limbaughs, Wilsons, and Palins.  And they almost look down on rednecks.  They aren't thrilled with Obama, but would prefer him to the wingnut faction of the Repubs.

It is the new version of the "Reagan Democrats", who didn't really like Reagan's economic agenda, but disliked the Democrats post-1960s agenda even more.

[ Parent ]
The overall effect will be the same
More people in the Democratic Party who are not on board with a progressive agenda. More Olympia Snowes still mean no real economic change.

IMO, what you're suggesting is a trade - to give up on social blue dog - and take in economic blue dogs.

On economic issues, I believe we progressives have more in common with said "rednecks". It is unfortunate that our party is having such trouble communicating our economic goals with them.

[ Parent ]
Eventually that is what will happen
But in the next few years, we will get those votes for free, just by not being GOP wingnuts.  Eventually after losing a few elections, when the GOP gets its act together (or less likely, dies and is replaced by another centrist party), we will have to fight to keep those voters.  The Southern rural whites are and will be the base of the GOP for years to come.

On economic issues, I believe we progressives have more in common with said "rednecks". It is unfortunate that our party is having such trouble communicating our economic goals with them.

There are two reasons for this.  One is Faux News, the other is race.  Many of these voters would probably agree with every plank of the progressive plan for health care and financial regulation, but would automatically oppose it if a black President was proposing it.

[ Parent ]
As they told me when training my dog
NILIF (Nothing in life is free)

The center-rights who join - if they join - will exact their price.

If Al Gore ever gets his media project going, we can negate Fox News. And w/r/t electoral votes, Bill Clinton didn't have any more success in the South than Barack Obama.

If HCR is successful, our African-American President will have had more success than our last "good ol' boy" white President

And I believe that will be confirmed when 2010 shows less of a Republican rebound than 1994.

So while I do see an effect of racism - overall, racism makes no difference in the overall calculation.

[ Parent ]
I disagree
What price did Reagan have to pay for the getting millions of blue collar Democrats to vote for him?  None.

Same thing now.  If 15 Southern Blue Dogs were replaced by 15 Democrats from swing districts in California, Illinois, and Michigan, a public option with Medicare rates would go through easily in the House.  Those representatives would be party-line Democrats, even if they have to feign their independence every once in a while.  The difference between a Betsy Markey (the kind of New Dem who would likely represent these kinds of districts) and a Mike Ross is huge.

2010 will show little to no GOP rebound outside the South.  In the South 2010 will be worse than 1994.  

I predict that the GOP will gain no more than 5 net outside the South and may lose net seats. In the South, I predict a double digit pick up for the GOP.

[ Parent ]
In addition
The center-rights who vote for Obama over Palin (or whomever the teabaggers nominate) are not voting for Obama.  They are voting, in their mind, to save America from Palin.
[ Parent ]
The Presidential Level is different from the Congressional Level
And if Palin is nominated, she has a chance if things go to heck - artificially or otherwise.

I'd rather she never be nominated.

[ Parent ]
Obama would beat Palin
if we had 20% unemployment in 2012.

Just like Nixon would have beaten McGovern even if Watergate had completely exploded before the 1972 election.

Some candidates are just unelectable.

[ Parent ]
This is very superficial
And w/r/t electoral votes, Bill Clinton didn't have any more success in the South than Barack Obama.

If HCR is successful, our African-American President will have had more success than our last "good ol' boy" white President

Obama is much more hated in the South than Bill Clinton was.  Bubba had a strong residual amount of support among a minority of Southern whites at least until Lewinsky.  Obama, in many Southern states, lost half the white support from John Kerry.

[ Parent ]
Any D would be "more hated" by some in this environment
the net electoral effect in the South is the same - lose in some states, gain in others.
[ Parent ]
Yes and no
Gains come in urban and suburban areas, huge losses in rural areas and smaller losses in exurban areas.

Unfortunately most of the vulnerable Dems in the South are in the latter.

[ Parent ]
And the evidence that vulnerable Ds in the S will lose is thin
If I'm understanding correctly, your premise that there will be an anti-D sweep in the S is the poll that shows a huge difference in approval between regions - the R2K poll.

As much as I like the R2K poll, that's just one poll. Gallup shows different. Are there other polls showing such differences?

[ Parent ]
More than that
I also look at the support that Obama received among white voters in Southern states in 2008.  In many of those states he did worse than John Kerry among white voters, often much worse. In other states, he did about the same, which is falling behind, given that Obama did much better than Kerry nationwide.  
The exceptions to this were Virginia and North Carolina.

I also look at Southern districts where Obama did worse than John Kerry that Dems hold in the South.  Given that black turnout was through the roof, those areas are real trouble spots for Democrats.

AL-5
AR-1
AR-2
AR-4
FL-2
LA-3
OK-2
TN-4
TN-6
TN-8
VA-9

[ Parent ]
As I've said before
Those people don't rely solely on the AA vote to get elected. LA-3 will be very tough to hold without Melancon. Griffith is the only incumbent in big danger being a freshman with a small majority. Berry, Snyder, Ross, Boyd, Boren, Davis, Gordon, Tanner and Boucher all won with a minimum of 59% of the vote. A couple may well lose but I can't see a majority of them being swept away when they all have a history of getting white votes and many, many of them.  
[ Parent ]
I don't think they will all lose either
I'm predicting a loss of a 10-15 seats in the South, which would be another 1994 down there.  But you will really see the effects in some of the state legislatures.  I predict that the GOP will have control of the Alabama legislature in 2011.
[ Parent ]
The overall effect will be the same
More people in the Democratic Party who are not on board with a progressive agenda. More Olympia Snowes still mean no real economic change.

IMO, what you're suggesting is a trade - to give up on social blue dogs - and take in economic blue dogs.

On economic issues, I believe we progressives have more in common with said "rednecks". It is unfortunate that our party is having such trouble communicating our economic goals with them.

[ Parent ]
Mark Hatfield
was a pretty liberal Republican. People now occupying that segment of the political spectrum are called "Independents" or "Democrats."
[ Parent ]
As for Oregon, I'm surprised Scott Bruun isn't on the list (OR-05)
Our Kurt Schrader is a 1st termer - OR-05 is perhaps the most wingnut friendly metro-Portland district (from memory, the area made the difference in the anti-gay constitutional amendment in '04). Kari Chisolm of BlueOregon is skeptical about him, though - http://www.blueoregon.com/2009...  
[ Parent ]
I really like
how the GOP has somehow managed to convince themselves that they are going to knock off Ike Skelton. Really dumb of them too, since they should be favored to win the seat anyway when he eventually retires.
Is there an Ike Skelton Jr.?
'Cause that'd be great.
[ Parent ]
Ike Skelton?
Seriously?
Which is a more ridiculous target?
Ike Skelton or Russ Carnahan? Either way, flushing money down the toilet would take less effort and have the same effect. I guess they might hope they can prod Skelton into retiring in the near future if he actually has to lift a finger this time, but the idea of defeating Carnahan in a D+7 district when his sister, who will surely win the district by several percent at least, is at the top of the ticket, is quite ridonkulous.
[ Parent ]
I can understand Skelton
He's in a R+14 district. They picked off Harold Volkmer in a similar district years ago (MO-9 in 1996) but Carnahan being on that list is a joke. They may as well target Cleaver in MO-5.
[ Parent ]
Why not?
We're looking at a very deep red district with an incumbent who's not exactly battle-tested. If the shoe were on the other foot and this were a bright blue district with a GOP incumbent, this is exactly the type of district that Dems would be targeting. It's sound strategy to put guys like this on the defensive for a lot of reasons, not the least of which is to stretch out the playing field and put more Dem incumbents on the defensive.

I can't predict how this one will go -- there's a chance that Skelton will humiliate the competition in a Frank Wolf-like manner, but then again, he could find himself swamped by teabaggers.

[ Parent ]
Bingo
if the Republicans want to have any hope of retaking the House, they have to target Democrats in red districts. The Democrats won the House back in part by winning districts like CT-02, IA-02, and KY-03, districts that favor Democrats but had Republican incumbents.
[ Parent ]
Skelton equals
Mike Castle.
[ Parent ]
Skelton survived 1994.
And the worst of the Bush years.  
[ Parent ]
Am I missing something about TN-08's 100% margin?!
Did Tanner run unopposed or something?

Bill Hedrick for Congress
Yes
unopposed.  
[ Parent ]
Anybody know
what's up with Lincon Davis's poor fundraising?  He's raised less than $300K for the whole cycle and has only $121K on hand, just slightly more than Desjarlais.
AZ-08?
Right, they couldn't knock off Giffords with the State Senate Majority Leader last cycle, even though he ran a great campaign and raised lots of money.  So now they're going to beat her with some no-name Iraq War veteran who can't raise any money.  Right.  Keep on dreamin', Republicans.

What I don't understand is why they'd add Jesse Kelly to this list but not David Schweikert in AZ-05.  Schweikert is exactly the sort of candidate where the NRCC should get in the primary and endorse him and try to clear the field.  Last time he got bloodied in the primary by a bunch of ridiculous lobbyist-funded candidates with no support in the district, and still only lost by single digits.  With a clear shot this time and a better electoral climate, he could pull it off.

Or they could endorse Rusty Bowers in AZ-01.  I still don't think Bowers will turn out to be more than an empty suit given his complete lack of ties to the district, but Kirkpatrick is a freshman Congresswoman in an R-leaning district who hasn't demonstrated the kind of prodigious fundraising ability Giffords has.  If she isn't defeated this cycle, she could very easily be there for life.

But no, they come in for Jesse Kelly in AZ-08.  Real good thinking, Pete Sessions.  Tip of the hat to you.

That is
Bowers WON'T be more than an empty suit.
[ Parent ]
I think a lot of Arizona Democrats had
underwhelming margins compared to national Democrats because of John McCain's presence on the ballot.  Just like how we thought Stevens and Young were toast, and then Stevens barely lost and Young won by a decent margin (IIRC).  I wouldn't worry much about Democrats in Arizona.  
[ Parent ]
Young winning that race in Alaska was pathetic.
Is there any indication that he will lose that race big time next cycle?

Bill Hedrick for Congress
[ Parent ]
Their was a report
Last week finally connecting him to Veco "irregularities" so maybe.  
[ Parent ]
There

[ Parent ]
That's right
There wasn't a serious GOTV effort in the state since the Obama campaign stayed out and there were no other statewide races to compete in.  Don't know about registration drives, but I'm sure there are a lot of Latino and under-25 votes to find.

The Arizona Democratic Party apparatus ran an inept (basically TV and billboard) campaign mostly in Maricopa County to try to win state legislature seats.  To the net result of losing seats in both chambers.  The timid, conservative wing based election campaign style fails as states and districts turn Purple.

I think Democrats underperformed by about 3-5% statewide last November.  November 2010 or 2012 should be the first statewide majority wins, given trend.  But there's a thinness or absence of leadership and energy in the state Party that is palpable.  

[ Parent ]
Well Ann Kirkpatrick certainly didn't underwhelm
but I'm not so worried about her either, I actually think if McCain wasn't on the ballot, Obama would've won all the Arizona Democrats' district.

He actually did well in Mitchell's, that, I believe, was Obama's best district other than Pastor and Grijalva.  

[ Parent ]
NRCC Adds 32 Names to Young Guns Program | 80 comments

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