Brunner's quarter must have been pretty bad

She mentioned in a news article that it was lower than her last quarter, but didn't specify a number. Any bets out there?

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by: James L. @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 00:26:01 AM UTC

She's gotta drop back to SoS, right? eom

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by: zac @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 00:49:34 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Refresh my memory

What was Brunner's Q2 fundraising again?

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

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by: DGM @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 01:09:13 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

$228k raised, $255k spent, $165k cash on hand.

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by: Johnny Longtorso @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 01:43:17 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Wow... that's pretty bad

Let's see here, my money's on her raising only $150K this time around.

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

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by: DGM @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:00:43 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

My money's on her

dropping back to the Sec of State race within a week, now that she's convinced her protege Marilyn Brown to let her have another shot.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...

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by: Nonpartisan @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:16:56 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Wow, I totally didnt even draw that conclusion

The main competitor for the Dems dropping out amidst Brunner's downright embarrassing fundraising, she must be going back to SoS.  

Hell, her inability to fundraise really makes me wonder wtf is wrong? She is a formidable opponent and should be able to be hauling in more than candidates for House who I even deem to be doing poorly....

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by: Andrew @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 07:08:22 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Some candidates are just bad at raising money

Take it from someone who has done fundraising before, there are some candidates that are great at fundraising and some where it is like pulling teeth.  Being a "formidable" opponent does not get you money.  It's about being willing to put in the daily hours to do calltime, hosting events, and wringing out every connection you have in getting fundraising dollars.  Moreover, you need to expand your donor base and for a state as large as Ohio you need to have a strong infrastructure in place and have multiple folks across the state - in this case, you would need branches in Cleveland and Cincinnati to go beyond her Columbus base.  From what I've heard she didn't get many returns out of southern Ohio and she hasn't expanded her donor base beyond her SoS bid - hence why her burn rate was so bad.  It's too bad, but she has proven she can't raise enough to go beyond a 2nd tier statewide office, which will likely hurt her if she were to try for Governor one day.

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by: DFLer @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 18:33:09 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

You're right, but

no doubt her fundraising could have been a lot better with the party fully behind her. Instead, they've been leaning towards Fisher all along, if not explicitly.

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by: NJCentrist @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 20:11:32 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

If she was as great as many suggested

That would not matter. Much larger scale obviously but think Obama/Clinton.

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by: conspiracy @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 20:17:52 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Exactly

Folks put a lot of weight on whether or not someone has party endorsement or is supported by a big national organization, and they overestimate those groups' effect.  Good fundraisers shouldn't have to be reliant on those groups to make their money.  As a rule, a campaign should NEVER have to rely on national groups or the party to make fundraising ends meet.  Party endorsements don't mean as much if you can raise the money - just look at Sestak in PA or Madia in MN as examples of candidates that could raise money without party backing.

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by: DFLer @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 20:48:59 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

NC Sen - Marshall raised $178k and only has

$164k COH.  that's not good compared to Burr's 3.46 million.

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by: bennytoothpick @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 00:31:04 AM UTC

Marshall's prospects

D'oh. Money was her Achilles heel in the Erskine Bowles/Dan Blue Senate primary in 2002. Shades of Jennifer Brunner. If she magically transformed into a good fundraiser, she'd be the strongest candidate, but I'm starting to think someone else could be a better bet. (ie-Cal Cunningham, perhaps...were there fundraising numbers for him?)

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.

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by: arealmlc @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 19:05:34 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Go Coakley!!!!!!!

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by: jmartin4s @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 00:41:17 AM UTC

CT-Sen

Is McMahon self-financing?

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by: mkpowers @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 00:53:14 AM UTC

Yup, 2 mil so far in October

http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo...

Former World Wrestling Entertainment CEO Linda McMahon, one of the candidates for the Republican nomination against Sen. Chris Dodd (D-CT), has been spending a lot of her own money on the race -- $2 million of it in just two weeks, the Hartford Courant reports:

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by: tietack @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 01:42:45 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

That's impressive stuff

Spending that kind of money she can make a serious challenger just by not being a political gadfly, which I feel she is unfortunately, (I'd love to have Dodd running against her), still she may pick up an odd combination of business moderates and low end blue collar Republicans who like her populism.

As it is Dodd must be smiling, Simmons is moving to the right, and at the same time he's facing multiple different well funded candidates and he has to run a contentious multi-faceted primary campaign before he can even get to Dodd.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:02:13 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

It also helps that Dodd's numbers have been improving

Really, I think reports of Dodd's demise have been greatly exaggerated.

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

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by: DGM @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:04:43 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I'm guessing Dodd

pulls off his final term in the end, probably pretty narrow, and he'll have to work his ass off, and he'll win by getting voters to vote against the Republican, which in any environment there should still be enough of in Connecticut. Kinda of like NJ, except CT still has proven fruitful for moderate Republicans on a state level, but finally that has fallen apart to degrees with the loss of Shays, Simmons, and Johnson, (thank god she is gone, Chris Murphy is one of my heroes for obliterating the biggest Insurance Company lobbyist in the state). That being said by FAR Simmons was the most conservative of the CT Republicans, despite having easily the most Democratic district. I mean this guy even donated money to Tom DeLay's legal fund, he has no place in CT statewide politics.

That being said aren't politics odd? It seems to me that Lieberman has become more conservative than the man he beat, Wofford. Not only on foreign policy issues, but with his hesitance for the Public Option despite the fact that forget nationally, it has CT support more than 15 points above the national average, R2000 said like what? 72% in CT? I feel Wofford would have backed it, in fact I might have read something by him supporting it. I really can't remember why I bought into that favorable ideology crap in 06; at the time I only ended up supporting Lamont because of Lieberman's sheer arrogance and pomposity, his faux outrage that in a Democracy someone dare to run against him and make him defend his beliefs. I mean, (and I think this is what is was for most and was what drove Lamont's victory), I supported him and supported him and supported and finally he made it to where I couldn't anymore, finally he made yet another idiotic and flammatory statement attempting to decry anyone opposing him as a radical and yadda yadda and how he had a right to his Senate seat and I put my hands down and said no more.

But really, going back, on the most crucial votes of the last decade Lieberman hasn't been there with Democrats on a lot of them.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:18:36 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Harris Wofford

was a liberal Democratic Senator from Pennsylvania who lost to Rick Santorum.  You're thinking of Lowell Weicker.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...

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by: Nonpartisan @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:26:05 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Yes I am

Sorry...Ws and all.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:34:38 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Lieberman was ALWAYS to the right of Weicker

Weicker was arguably the last genuinely liberal Republican in the Senate - not moderate, downright liberal. Lieberman ran a campaign of character assassination against Weicker, with support from the Buckleys and other right-wing Republicans who hated Weicker. It's only people who haven't followed that snake's Senatorial career from the beginning who are surprised by any of his right-wing posturing and dubious loyalty to the Democratic Party. But what's really disgusting is his sanctimonious claims to give a damn about ethics and morality. Bearing false witness is still a violation of one of the Ten Commandments, last I checked.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  

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by: Pan @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 04:05:29 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I'm actually starting to think...

...Linda McMahon may very well be the strongest competitor against Dodd. Sure, she's got baggage in the form of WWE video clips of her, as well as a scumbag husband who can't possibly be anything but a problem for her in this sort of situation, but I suspect McMahon may try to paint herself as a right-of-center (not tea-baggy) political outsider, and that could really appeal to Indepedents who are completely disillusioned with Dodd.

I don't think Foley or Caliguri will prove very competitive in the Primary, and Schiff only seems to appeal to the Ron Paul crew. Rob Simmons is still probably the front-runner, don't get me wrong, but if he's indeed running to the right for the Primary, and if McMahon does run a sort of centrist/business-focused campaign, she may be able to just run up the numbers among moderates and win the nod.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

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by: andyroo312 @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 03:05:22 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Schumer is a MACHINE.

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by: andgarden @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 01:21:40 AM UTC

That's what being former head of the DSCC gets you I suppose :)

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!

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by: DGM @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 01:31:17 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

No, they appointed him head of the DSCC

Because he was a machine. I recall that in 2004 despite having no opponent basically, (the Republicans nominated a laid back moderate State Representative who ended up basically saying by the end of the election he was voting for Schumer himself), and Schumer still managed to raise something like 23 million dollars I believe and spending it building the state party apparatus, especially upstate, so that he could run the margin up, which he did indeed.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 01:59:22 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

tx and ut

Are Barton and Chaffetz seriously considering running?  Chaffetz' numbers certainly don't look like he's running, and Barton's numbers aren't impressive considering he's ranking member on Energy and Commerce.

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by: clemensol @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 01:48:17 AM UTC

Chaffetz is just blowing smoke

so he can burnish his reputation statewide as an up-and-comer.  It would be absolute lunacy for him to make this race -- he and Shurtleff would split the ultra-right-wing vote and let Bennett sneak through, and Chaffetz would end up without a House seat, with a whole lot of enemies in the state party, and basically all-around screwed.

Barton I don't know anything about, but my feeling is that there is not an opening in the race now that Shurtleff has joined.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...

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by: Nonpartisan @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:13:41 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I think Clem meant Joe Barton (TX-06)

There has been speculation that he'd run in a special election to replace KBH if she resigned, just as he ran in the 1993 special, but I can't see why he'd give up 25 years of seniority in the House to become a freshman Senator. He was Chairman of the Energy & Commerce Committee, and would be so again if the Rethugs take back control of the House.

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by: davybaby @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 03:56:12 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Ah, okay

What surprises me is that Michael Williams hasn't raised a whole lot more.  Sharp and especially White are out in front hugely at this point.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...

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by: Nonpartisan @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 04:38:58 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Chaffetz

Hasnt announced his 2010 plans yet but he said he is thinking about running for Senate. Utah nominates by convention and the top two go to a primary if someone gets above 60% they automatically win the nomination. So raising money isnt such a big priority at this point. Also Chaffetz didnt raise much money to beat Cannon last year.

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by: ThinkBlue @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:19:42 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

What's with huge hauls from Random People?

MA   Khazei   (D)   $1,124   $1,040
MA Pagliuca (D) $2,044          $674

I mean are these random rich guys with too much money to spend? Or this:

IL   Hoffman   (D)   $888            $837
IL   Meister   (D)   $1,048   $1,038

In any case, thanks for one of the fantastic news; Rand Paul outraised Grayson by over 400k despite the complete backing of the political establishment. I dream of a Paul candidacy, lack of visibility, political experience, and connections to the state make him the perfect candidate for a smooth duck like Conway to run against. What's more with the continuing collapse of Mongiardo it looks like Conway will be the candidate; though it has simply been astonishing to see the way Mongiardo is destroying his political career, like he's determined to burn all of his political bridges in desperation while he could have continued to be a relevant and promising figure in state politics. I mean how dumb is he? Does he not realize there will be a winner and loser and that just in case he is the loser he shouldn't be souring his relations with a powerful figure like Conway? What's more his tirade against Beshear? Is he trying to destroy his position?

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:09:37 AM UTC

Khazei and Pagliuca are rich

Pagliuca is the co-owner of the Celtics if I'm remembering correctly.

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/

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by: sapelcovits @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:12:52 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Thanks, but what about

Fisher? Portman is losing badly to him but he is raising money like a machine despite the fact that nobody seems to really like him in Ohio. If he outspends him by that much he'll pull it off. I'm still waiting to see Ganley spend the 5 million of his own dollars blanketing the air waves and the state with a full fledged campaign like he threatened.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

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by: ArkDem the Ragin Cajin @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:20:42 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Portman

Portman is doing astonishingly well, but a million and a half dollars were left over from his Congressional re-election fund, so he "only" has outraised Fisher 2-to-1.

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by: boojumsnark @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:37:57 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Portman's got national connections

He is a former Bush cabinet official and is a darling of GOP insider circles.  I'm sure if you looked at his report a good chunk of his money comes from out of state donors and PACs, while Fisher probably has a much more localized donor base given his long standing in the Cleveland business community (which, given the state of Ohio's economy, is probably a big reason why he's raising less than Portman).

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by: DFLer @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 18:20:07 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Meister lent his campaign $1 million

And raised $48,000.

Hoffman lent himself $500k and raised the rest, which is still a respectable haul -- he beat Cheryle Jackson and he wasn't even in for the full quarter.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...

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by: Nonpartisan @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 02:15:46 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Whats up with Meister?

I never even heard of him until today.

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by: GOPVOTER @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 04:17:17 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Meister

Yet another rich guy. Specifically, he's a millionaire lawyer from Chicago whose twenty-year career was mostly in commercial law. He was a staffer on Capitol Hill while he was in college, and he worked for the Wisconsin Senate's Judiciary Committee while in law school. Other than that, no legislative experience. But as you can see from his numbers, his money is a force to be reckoned with.

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by: NJCentrist @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 20:07:35 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Based on this

Reid, Lincoln and Bennet should be fine. Obviously more to it than that but...

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by: conspiracy @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 19:36:26 PM UTC

KY-Sen

Conway looks like he's starting to bank some major cash just as Grayson starts to find himself in a competitive primary race with a massively well-funded Rand Paul. Here's to hoping the marginally-less-schmucky-than-Mongiardo Conway can win the primary and (please, baby Jeebus!) face Rand Paul in the general.  

Kansan by birth, Californian by choice, and Gay by the grace of God.

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by: arealmlc @ Tue Oct 20, 2009 at 19:58:56 PM UTC