So far, the theoretically vulnerable Blanche Lincoln has been dogged by a whole pack of potential Republican challengers -- but they're more like a pack of prairie dogs than a pack of wolves, given their lack of name recognition, lack of fundraising, and propensity for racist gaffes, anti-semitic gaffes, and just generic ultra-right craziness. Unfortunately for Lincoln, she may face a somewhat smoother and more competent opponent: state Senator Gilbert Baker, who will soon enter the race according to Politico:
The Arkansas Senate picture will be getting a little more interesting: Republican state Sen. Gilbert Baker will be entering the race against Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D-Ark.) today, according to two senior Republican sources.
Baker, after mulling over the race earlier this year, initially decided not to run. But after looking at polls showing Lincoln vulnerable and in the wake of a weak Republican field, he reconsidered and will be making a campaign announcement this afternoon.
Blanche Lincoln fares the worst against Baker among three GOPers polled by PPP several weeks ago (she loses 40-42 to Baker, despite his widely-unknown 7/15 favorable rating, mostly showing just how unenthused constituents are with Lincoln). Baker represents Little Rock's northern suburbs, so he has a decent regional base to build from. He also benefits from connections from a stint as the state GOP chair, which may give him a fundraising edge.
One possible problem for Baker, though, is that some in the party view him as too moderate or at least accommodating with Democrats; Baker, for instance, is tight with Democratic state senate leader Bob Johnson, the same guy who was just talking about challenging Blanche Lincoln from the right in the Dem primary (Baker was the beneficiary of a fundraiser held by Johnson, and Baker apparently helped Johnson secure his Democratic leadership position). While that could drag him down in a primary, the hard-right end of the spectrum seems fractured among half a dozen Gong Show contestants, so, assuming he doesn't start following everyone else's lead and dropping too many racial slurs or F-bombs while on the campaign trail, he may have a good shot at being the nominee. |
