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SSP Daily Digest: 5/14

by: Crisitunity

Thu May 14, 2009 at 2:09 PM EDT


NJ-Gov: Believe it or not, we're in the home stretch heading toward the June 2 primary in the New Jersey governor's race, and Rasmussen takes a quick look at the GOP primary field. US Attorney Chris Christie leads former Bogota mayor Steve Lonegan 39-29, with 3% voting for someone else and 29% still undecided. That's a lot of undecideds with just a few weeks to go, and I have no way of knowing whether they'd tend to break for the better-known establishment figure of Christie, or the anti-tax raging of Lonegan.

TX-Sen: The last thing John Cornyn wants is a special election on his watch at the NRSC, but he may get one anyway. Despite his pressure on fellow Texan Kay Bailey Hutchison to remain in place while she runs for Governor, Cornyn is now publicly warning to expect her resignation "this fall sometime."

PA-Sen: Seems like the GOP is going through its whole Rolodex looking for someone more normal than Pat Toomey to run in the Pennsylvania primary. Two of the more moderate members of the Keystone State's House delegation, Charlie Dent and Todd Platts, felt compelled to announce today that they won't be running. Dent, in fact, endorsed Toomey, the previous holder of PA-15 (making him the first PA House GOPer to endorse Toomey).

AR-Sen: State Senator Kim Hendren, the GOP's only candidate so far against Blanche Lincoln (and they may want to keep looking...), has been in politics a long time (one claim to fame is that he lost a gubernatorial race to Bill Clinton). But now he actually seems to be caught in a timewarp from a different century. Today he's trying to walk back having called Chuck Schumer "that Jew" (and, in doing so, tried using The Andy Griffith Show by way of explaining himself).

IL-Sen: Speaking of shifts in the space-time continuum, Mark Tiberius Kirk's end-of-April deadline on announcing his Senate plans has seemingly disappeared into a wormhole, while the GOP waits impatiently for him to emerge at the other end. (No backup date for a decision has been set.) A likely explanation is that he's waiting to see what Lisa Madigan does, and he may meekly go wherever she doesn't.

SC-Gov: Who would've guessed that the South Carolina governor's race would be one of 2010's hottest tickets? Two more GOPers are trying to hop onto that ride: state Senator Larry Grooms, who officially launched a campaign, and state Rep. Nikki Haley, who now says she's considering it. (Haley is a young rising star who's a close ally of Mark Sanford and the hardcore anti-taxers.) They'd join Rep. Gresham Barrett and professor Brent Nelsen, as well as likely candidates Lt. Gov. Andre Bauer and AG Henry McMaster, in the hunt for the GOP nod.

NC-08: Freshman Rep. Larry Kissell has drawn a potential opponent with no previous political background, but very high name rec: Mike Minter, who was safety for the Carolina Panthers for 10 years until recently retiring. Kissell handily beat incumbent Rep. Robin Hayes in 2008 in this now R+2 district, but Minter, who's still scoping out the race, is well-connected in the local megachurch community and could also eat into Kissell's African-American support. Minter is apparently looking with Hayes' encouragement, suggesting that the 10-year Congressman is looking to spend more time with his money instead of seeking out a rematch.

NRSC: Here's a double shot of John Cornyn news: in another one of his occasional reality-based moments, Cornyn slapped down strange remarks by his NRCC counterpart, Rep. Pete Sessions, alleging that Barack Obama is intentionally sabotaging the American economy. When asked if he was comfortable with Sessions still leading the NRCC, Cornyn equivocated, deferring the judgment of the House Republicans on the matter. (Because "judgment" and "House Republicans" always go together so well.)

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 5/14
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i expect minter to command the same percentage of african americans that lynn swann got
against ed rendell

Offhand, do you
remember what percentage that was? (I'd assume there was very little difference between the African-American percentage for Swann than for a generic R... like 12% instead of 8%, but I don't remember a specific number.)

Anyway, I don't want to make it sound like Minter is some sort of killer app, just exploring what strengths he has that, say, Robin Hayes, or Generic white guy state senator, wouldn't have. Nothing about him seems like it would turn the race into a tossup.


[ Parent ]
Yep, just 13%
Looks like Swann got 13% of the black vote against Rendell. http://us.cnn.com/ELECTION/200...

[ Parent ]
How about Blackwell v. Strickland?


[ Parent ]
20%
A shockingly low gap between races for that one.  Only 40% of whites voted for Blackwell and 20% of AA's.

[ Parent ]
In comparison
Mike DeWins got 15% of the black vote in 2006 compared to 20% for Blackwell.  Only a 5 point gap.

[ Parent ]
Not very significant
indeed.  Im surprised it was so high in Ohio.  

[ Parent ]
I'm not sure about that
Minter is going to either massively flop (which I'm hoping for) or he's going to win by a much larger margin than Hayes was able to do in most of his wins.

[ Parent ]
Getting excited for that Texas senate race
I hope the DSCC is willing to drop several million dollars, because that is what it's going to take.  The prospect of going into the 2010 elections with a 61-39 majority, when we have good chances of picking up at least four states (NH, OH, MO, KY) is going to be incredibly depressing on the GOP base.

TX Senate Race
Hey guys, I just moved to Austin TX and would love to get involved in the Senate race down here.  Does anyone have any idea who I need to speak to?  I have had experience volunteering for Obama and Scott Murphy and I'd love to do some more of tha ttype of thing.

[ Parent ]
Austin
Thats a good location to be in for such a race. Austin itself may not be 'swingy' but many of its suburbs definitely are. Im sure you could be of important help there.

[ Parent ]
Go to
http://www.burntorangereport.c...

They're the premier Texas state blog and the front pagers are mostly (all?) in Austin.  


[ Parent ]
White's based out of Houston
He just did his take of summer interns for what appears to be a fellowship program similar to waht Obama did. I'm moving back to Dallas from Houston in a month (yay Grad school acceptance!) otherwise I'd be all over that.

Go to the dem headquarters in Austin (The state party is based out of there, it's near LaVacca), they will know something.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26


[ Parent ]
If a special happens...
White will open up multiple field offices across the state.

[ Parent ]
PA-6
PA-6 is probably the most competitive district in the country.  Gerlach has not had an easy election in this district.  In 2008 he managed just 52% against a semi-active campaign. In 2006 Gerlach won by a little more than 3,000 votes. In 2004t the absolute height of Republican strength in a high turnout Presidential election, Gerlach won by 6,300 votes.  In 2002the margin was 5,500.  He's got to be desperately looking to bail out.  The district is begging for a gerrymander in 2012, being surrounded by safer Democrats.

If I was Gerlach I'd rather take on Toomey than wait to be defeated like Chris Shays, Anne Northrup, or Thelma Drake.


Nearly a 4:1 spending margin
That's how much more Gerlach spent than his opponent in 2008.

[ Parent ]
We should just get some strong candidate on board
and have the DCCC visibly ignore him, making  him look weaker than he really is.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
NH: Gov. Lynch to sign marriage equality bill
http://www.mydd.com/story/2009...

Well, he actually wants some minor tweaks to basically allow religious groups not to perform these weddings if they choose.  Doesn't sound like anything major.  Glad he's on board.


Excellent
I was hoping he'd come around

[ Parent ]
I second that
This is great news.

[ Parent ]
I dont really get
why there needs to be a provision in gay marriage bills saying religious institutions dont have to recognize them.  I certainly dont think they should have to and I think the provisions are fine to be in there, but from a legal standpoint, if it weren't in there, how does that affect religious institutions?

[ Parent ]
I think that NH
Gov. Lynch is just covering his right butt cheek...

[ Parent ]
That's exactly what it is
But it's for all intents and purposes an meaningless act.  It doesn't water down the bill at all, so who cares?

[ Parent ]
In his defense
NH still has a lot of open minded people that are democratic drones like myself, lol...   Also There are some prominent conservatives out of a job such as Judd Gregg coming up.

[ Parent ]
Has to be
A reverend or a rabbi (or an imam) can say "thanks but no thanks" to a heterosexual marriage for virtually any reason (interfaith marriage, just a bad fit, etc...).  Can't see why that wouldn't be any different in any of the laws states have already passed.

30, male, Democratic, CO-01

[ Parent ]
It doesn't
It's just a meaningless provision to make religious institutions feel better about these laws.  Honestly, what person is going to sue their church in order to force them to perform a marriage?  My guess is zero.

[ Parent ]
well i think it needs,
and its a very minor compromise is the scope of things. Basically, and i support this, it doesn't force religious institutes to support it if they don't want to and they have that legal freedom, constitutionally.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Tweaks similar to Maine
Lynch wants a wall between civil marriage ceremonies and church marriage ceremonies.  Gee, a marriage is a marriage. Lynch even drafted up the wording he wants.  "Live free or die" gets to become a little less of a state slogan and a little more of a reality.


[ Parent ]
Like we didn't see this happening.
To be honest, once you had all these other states passing (or otherwise allowing) it, and the NH legislatures passing it as well, and knowing that Lynch likes to keep his ass covered...yeah, not surprising at all.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
SC Gov
As the only true Charleston area candidate, Larry Grooms is a significant addition to the GOP field.  With this many candidates, just about anybody could end up in the runoff.  

AG McMaster is in a battle with Craigslist to withdraw all sexually-oriented ads.    


In his state or across state lines?
It sounds outright illegal to force people living outside and probably even inside South Carolina to remove ads from an internet website.  Though I do think Utah has tried it before.

[ Parent ]
Looks like craigslist is already doing it
Craigslist to discontinue erotic services advertisements.

Plenty of other ways to meet people for that kind of stuff on craigslist though.


[ Parent ]
Club for Growth - please recommend Rubio for support
http://www.clubforgrowth.org/c...

The Club for Growth has a contact form where you can specfically recommend that they support a candidate.  I checked off recommend a candidate for Marco Rubio and told them that I would donate to the Club if they back him financially against Charlie Crist, saying that Rubio is a great guy, represents my conservative values, etc.  I'd recommend more people follow suit.  If we can get them to back Rubio we can really help a Democrat get elected in Florida.


sent, good idea...
though i hope you didn't sound so articulate in your letter.  might make them suspicious.

[ Parent ]
Done AND
I urged them to either support Chris Simcox against John McCain or convince JD Hayworth to run. Delicious.

22, Democrat, AZ-01
Peace. Love. Gabby.


[ Parent ]
NJ
So I guess zero chance of Corzine to step aside for Codey?  Looks like we will probably lose NJ and VA if we have McAulffie and Corzine.

29/D/Male/NY-01

VA Gov
I think Mac can win a general in Washington... Obama will probably support his eforts and Tim Kaine was brought to the DNC to make sure we kept that mansion so I doubt he will mes up on the primary objective for this year.

NJ dous look a bit bleak but doesn't it always this far out?


[ Parent ]
Their supposed top-tier recruit
Christie only polls at 29% in the latest primary poll.  Not exactly overwhelming support.  I'd still give Corzine a decent edge in that race.  He just now began running ads.

[ Parent ]
39%
Christie received 39% in the latest primary poll.  Lonegan received 29%.

[ Parent ]
Specter Flip Flop Flip on EFCA
Politico reports that Specter would be open to a compromised verion of this bill... So I wonder what that menas for conservadems...

Utah - Redistricting Commission Initiative
Former Congressman Jim Hansen has endorsed an initiative to create an independent redistricting commission in Utah. Hansen cites the legislature's effort in 2001 to "get Jim Matheson" as an example of why the commission is needed.

The commission would draw both congressional and legislative districts. If it qualifies, the initiative would appear on the November, 2010 ballot.

Salt Lake Tribune Article:
http://www.sltrib.com/news/ci_...

Initiative Website:
http://fairboundaries.org/


FL-Sen: Gelber may be out
I'll try to get a link, but I'm hearing Gelber is leaning towards departing from the Senate race in favor of the state Attorney General race.

MN Gov
new SurveyUSA poll finds that 57% of Minnesota voters don't even want him to run for a third term next year.

acording to CQpolitics.com there are 9 toss up states for gov so far, the dems need to get six of the nine in order to maintain the gov. mansions they currently have.


Total numbers mean less to me
Than winning the "key states."  And we have a big advantage there.  Our top pickup opportunities are extremely populous states like California and florida, while most of the top republicans pickup opportunities are small states where redistricting doesn't make a big difference such as Oklahoma and Kansas.

Even if we see a net loss in Governorships we should still come out ahead redistricting-wise for 2012.


[ Parent ]
Yes But...
It is very important to have a bench in these small states because it will allow us to get senate pickups.  While I agree the house is very important we need to make sure we can compete in all states for the senate which does not go by simple 50+1 percent voting rules.

[ Parent ]
The Governorships are all over the place
I think there are going to be a lot of close races.

Democrats should be assured to pick up Hawaii, Nevada, California and have excellent shots at picking up Minnesota, Rhode Island (depending on Chafee), Florida, Georgia and Arizona. Then there are the wild cards; South Dakota only if Herseth Sandlin runs, Alabama if Sparks wins the Dem nomination and it doesn't get ugly.

Republicans should be assured of Tennessee and Kansas (Wyoming if Freduenthal doesn't manage to run for a third term), with potential pickups in Oklahoma, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania.

Some I can't really judge. Pennsylvania is going to depend on who the candidates are really, Oklahoma I think is going to be down to the wire. Texas depends on how ugly the primary gets and if we get a damaged Perry out of it. New York is going to depend on how strong Giuliani really is (and he is definitely running as of now)

Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens


[ Parent ]
Oklahoma wilkl be interesting
Especially if Watts manages to beat Fallin in the repub primary.  I'm interested to see how a black republican candidate will fair in such a racist state.

[ Parent ]
I'm wondering what
a Fallin vs. Askins race would look like.  

Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens

[ Parent ]
Isn't Edmondson considered the favorite?
Either wqay, we have good candidates running in Oklahoma.  I think many are badly underestimating our chances of holding OK-Gov.  It's a 50/50 tossup at worst.

[ Parent ]
Agree
We've got good candidates.  As you say, it's 50-50 or better.  But, the Rs have top tier candidates as well; both Falin and Watts should not be underestimated.

[ Parent ]
Watts has been elected statewide before... (eom)


[ Parent ]
To what?
The only thing I see him being elected to is 4th district congressman.

[ Parent ]
Nevermind... found it
http://www.ourcampaigns.com/Ra...

Looks like he won 1-term as Corporation Commissioner in 1990.


[ Parent ]
That seems a little harsh
I mean, Watts did get elected in Oklahoma.  How many black congressman, Republican or Democrat, have ever been elected from non-Black majority districts, especially ones with as few Blacks as Watts' old district?  Of course, Sooner football is the state religion in Oklahoma, so Watts doesn't really count as a regular black person there.

[ Parent ]
Giuliani
Why do you think he's running?  I thought he burned his bridges in the R primary.

[ Parent ]
It's pretty much an open secret
everyone knows it, he's been running for like a year now. He's been tacking to the right on issues, like gay marriage. He completely abandoned his gay friends. His approval ratings are high. News of his political death have been way overstated. He could definitely win a Governor's race.

He burned his bridges nationwide, but in New York, Republicans know their only chance at winning is with him.  

Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens


[ Parent ]
If you're convinced he's running
What odds will you give me that he doesn't? 10-to-1?

[ Parent ]
I'm terrified
that Paterson might actually be the Dem candidate in November. He will lose and lose badly to Rudy.  

[ Parent ]
He won't be
but I think even Cuomo could lose to Rudy if things turn bad. Rudy is a frighteningly popular.  

Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens

[ Parent ]
Are you sure?
There's this DKos poll from January: http://www.dailykos.com/story/...

That doesn't look good for Rudy. It has him losing by 15 points to Cuomo. It didn't show him performing more than a point or two better than King. He doesn't poll above 25% in NY and is less dominant in the suburbs than rumour would have it.

Unless that poll's a major outlier or Rudy's changed his image massively, I don't think his candidacy is a big problem. It might even help, if he soaks up most of the Republican Wall Street money.


[ Parent ]
Quinnipiac's new poll
only has Cuomo up 6. I don't think it would be likely, but I think it's possible.  

Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens

[ Parent ]
Look at the whole trend
The three other most recent polls have given us Cuomo by 17, 14 and 17. This is the first time Cuomo's lead has been under 10 since January.

I'll grant that Cuomo hasn't got his act together and announced he's going to primary Paterson, but even if he chickens out somebody else will go after him and still probably poll ahead of Giuliani.

And I can't see how Giuliani has much room for growth. He tends to hove in the high 30s or low 40s. Everybody knows who he is, he can't win many undecideds. Especially once all the good material gathered from his presidential campaign is released all over again.


[ Parent ]
Paterson
Has he actually committed to running again?  It would seem a pointless exercise unless he pulls a rabbit out of a hat and his poll numbers magically rebound.

[ Parent ]
Isn't U.S. House membership a full-time job?
So wouldn't that be his former job?

Though it still hurts.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01


[ Parent ]
Vern has piles of cash
If it's only one dealership I doubt it's a major financial hit.

[ Parent ]
I meant it hurts to think of the impact on the economy
I don't doubt his campaign coffers, as he's a Republican; they always have more money.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Was just reading up on Buchanan's holdings
He sold most of his auto dealerships in 2006.  Talk about getting out at the right time!

[ Parent ]
True
It probably isnt a major hit if he has a few more laying around somewhere. A stepaunt's husband owns just one car dearlership and lets just say they do pretty well for themselves. Even being able to have a big summer house in ultra expensive Nederland, Colorado.

[ Parent ]
Barbara Ann Radnofsky for Texas Attorney General
Looks like Texas Democrats have a strong candidate for Attorney General.  Barbara Ann Radnofsky was the Democratic candidate for Senator in 2006 against Kay Bailey Hutchison.  She got beat badly, but nevertheless ran a credible campaign for someone new to politics against the popular Hutchison.  Radnofsky has an excellent reputation in legal circles and should attract pretty good support from the Texas bar.

I'm not entirely optimistic about our chances of winning the governor's office, even against a weakened Perry.  So, I've thought the best route to eventual competiveness in Texas this year lies in breaking through first in a down ballot race.  Having a good candidate like Radofsky who has at least some statewide name recognition from her prior run and will have a good network of donors for a down ballot race is essential.  The current incumbent Republican, Greg Abbott, is rumored to be interested in KBH's senate seat, so this could be an open seat race.  Winning is probably an uphill battle, but our odds just got a little better.


"Strong" in what sense?
Dems can't win dogcatcher statewide in Texas anymore.  

[ Parent ]
Strong
Strong in the sense that she's about as good an AG candidate that we could hope for.  There simply are no well known democrats in Texas as we haven't won a statewide election in 15 years.  People barely know their own congressmen let alone one of the other 30 or so, so congressmen are not particularly good statewide candidates and usually state AG is kind of a down or lateral move for them anyway.  Big city mayors are probably are best bet right now (thus guys like White and Kirk).  A fabulously wealthy businessman with a good reputation would also be a good candidate if we had one or maybe some super celebrity.  Barring candidates like that, someone like Radnofsky is about as strong as we can get.  She has some name recognition from her senatorial run as well as some state campaign experience.  I also expect that she'll be a good fundraiser based on her legal connections and prior fundraising.  I like her electoral chances much better than someone like Scheiffer.

[ Parent ]
Fundraiser?
Honestly, who would give her money? I personally wouldn't consider it unless she could show me she had a chance. And she doesn't.

It would be like giving money to a Republican running in a VRA district.

Texas just isn't "there" yet.  


[ Parent ]
More Pessimitic than Realistic
Like I said above, I think it's an uphill climb, but I'll take your "Republican running in a VRA district" as hyperbole.  Because, if intended literally, it's a silly comparison.  Democrats have won loads of congressional and statewide races in much more Republican leaning districts and states than Texas currently is, nevermind the fact that Texas is definitely trending our way.  VRA districts are usually D+30 or so districts and no Republican ever wins or even comes close in these districts (Mr. Cao excepted).

[ Parent ]
Further
Speaking of fundraising and who would give to a Democratic candidate for statewide office in Texas, you really should look at White's and Sharp's fundraising numbers.  It's clear that at least some Democrats can fundraise quite well, even extraordinarily well, in Texas.

[ Parent ]
Old favors? More money than sense?
Quid pro quo for something else? The shear size of the state? The list of possible reasons is endless, but genuinely expecting to win has got to be pretty low--unless it's easier to raise money than I thought.

Personally, I would need to see a realistic chance of winning.


[ Parent ]
Where does she stand on issues that an AG would have to tackle?
Thats a key thing. I had heard she was a solid liberal when she ran for Senate against KBH (I honestly didnt pay enough attention to that race since it really wasnt in doubt whod win) and if she is a solid liberal on issues an AG would have to take up then i cant see her winning.  

[ Parent ]
From her announcement
"The Attorney General is the people's lawyer. But what happens when the people's lawyer gives bad legal advice, abuses the office for political gain? The office of Attorney General harms our everyday lives: the amount of our electric bills, the taxes we pay, and the safety of our children.  It becomes a war on the innocent as the bad guys go free.

Our state-wide elected officials aren't fighting for the people of Texas; they're fighting for themselves. The AG needs the real world anchors of life lessons and good judgment.  After 30 years of law practice, I understand that when you are fighting for people you should never give up; no government should deprive its citizens of their rights, nor tilt the playing field."

http://www.dailykos.com/story/...

The way I read it, she intends to run a populist campaign, with perhaps an anti-corporation tilt.  That's probably the best angle for a liberal Democrat in Texas, especially in these economic times.  Republicans will probably try to make the race about who can be the toughest on crime.  We'll see who's most successful in framing the campaign.


[ Parent ]
A populist campaign
Definitely seems the way to go. And energy prices are through the roof here during the summertime and so if she makes that a big issue then she could definitely have a chance.

[ Parent ]
You weren't paying attention in 2006 were you?
Cause that's the Van Os campaign. Sooner or later she'll adopt the line VanOs did about not needing any kind of corporate donations because the campaign is ran 100% on PEOPLE POWER!

The Republican campaign in 2006 was . . . we have enough money to run 1 tv ad about being tough on children sex offenders, and that should do it, >60% win was the result.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26


[ Parent ]
What About Ronnie Earle?
He's mulling a run for AG too isn't he?

[ Parent ]
He seems to be a lightning rod
Fair or unfair.  Doesn't sound like a very attractive candidate to run statewide.

[ Parent ]
He's batter than BAR
At least he's been elected to something.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

[ Parent ]
I hope she keeps the sockpuppets in the drawer this time.
I mean, I try to be a bit more open-minded than our friend Mr. andgarden, but... ouch, her 2006 campaign was some embarrassing stuff.

[ Parent ]
Demographics
Texas is a majority minority state with non-Hispanic whites at just 48% of the population.  In some ways it compares to Orange County California (far fewer Asians, a little smaller perecentage of minorities).  We ought to win occassionally and Republicans ought to have smaller margins statewide.  Some day.

I imagine the problems are 1) Texas hispanics are not as solidly Democratic as say Texas blacks; 2) the voting universe is less diverse than the population universe due to age, citizenship, disenfranchisement; 3) money.

For all his shortcomings, W was not anti-hispanic.  The Texas Pete Wilson (whoever it is) could propel Democrats forward mightily.  Is there any hope that Perry will veer in that direction?


[ Parent ]
We would have won
We likely would have won in 2008 if the electoral demographics matched the population demographics.

Population Demographics (Census Quickfacts 2007)
White, non-Hispanic: 47.9
Black:  12.0
Hispanic:  36.0
Asian:  3.4
American Indian:  0.7
Mixed Race:  1.2

Electoral Demographics (CNN Exit Poll)
White, non-Hispanic: 63
Black:  13
Hispanic:  20
Asian:  2
Other:  2

Obama-McCain Vote by Race (CNN Exit Poll)
White, non-Hispanic: 26-73
Black:  98-2
Hispanic:  63-35
Asian:  n/a
Other:  n/a

If you multiply the percentages Obama and McCain won in the different groups by the actual population demographics in Texas, then you'll see that it is virtually a tie (and a slight Obama lead if you make the reasonable assumption that Asians and Others voted for Obama by about 2-1).

I'd say the real problem is number 2 on your list.  If Texas Democrats could get Hispanics voting anywhere close to their current share of the population, then we'd instantly be competitive statewide.  This should happen over time, but the question is how long.


[ Parent ]
HELL NO!
NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO! NO!

I am not voting for her in the primary in anyway! Who is stupid enough to run tv ads featuring sock puppets with odd looking after effects graphics slapped on over them in 2006?!?!

Here's what I learned about her from her stump speeches in 2006 - She won a contest for speed typing on a blackberry, her dad was a war hero, and she could speak Spanish to 99% white audiences in suburban neighborhoods. She spent more time talking about her dad's time at war than she did about any kind of campaign platform.

Fuck this, I'm not getting on this train, again. I had her bumper sticker on my car in 2006 and in the last month was so embarrassed by her I ripped it off.

Now we need Ronnie Earle to run for AG to prevent this train wreck from going again.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26


[ Parent ]
I take it
that BAR is not your first choice.  

[ Parent ]
As someone that like to win and not be embarrassed by my candidates
No, I do not like her as a candidate.

Perhaps if she were to run a smaller campaign, get on as a Judge in Harris county for a few cycles and get some experience,with some people who know how to work and serve as opposed to running around to small time Democratic event across the state with your one intern saying "look at my great campaign team! It's my office intern!"

Yeah, I know a loser when I see one.

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26


[ Parent ]
About that Arkansas idiot
Sadly a lot of people still think that way.

http://www.presstv.ir/detail.a...


Results from a recent opinion poll show at least one third of Americans more or less blame the Jewish community for the current economic recession.

A survey by the Boston Review in its May/June issue indicates some 38 percent of the non-Jews in the United States blame the Jews in some way for the financial crisis, while an estimated 25 percent blame the Jews a moderate amount or more for the global economic slump.

The study was conducted by Neil Malhotra, Assistant Professor of Political Economy in the Graduate School of Business at Stanford University, and Dr. Yotam Margalit from the same university.

2,768 American adults participated in the survey.

 

That's not surprising
I hear people joke about "the Jews" all the time.

When I was a kid, I remember sitting at a neighbor's house during the 1992 Senate race and I remember someone saying "I'd vote for Ferraro or D'Amato, but not the Jew" The Jew, of course, being Robert Abrams who ended up the Democratic nominee for Senate and barely lost to D'Amato.


Liberty Avenue Politics - a place for politics in Southern Queens


[ Parent ]
Ouch
Who's next on deck?

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

[ Parent ]

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