Chris Christie (R): 46 (39)
Steve Lonegan (R): 35 (29)
Undecided: 15 (29)
(MoE: ±5%)
The primary is tomorrow, June 2nd, and Chris Christie has led in every single public poll of the race:
Rasmussen has actually shown some of the closer results we've seen, and the trendline shows Lonegan closing a bit, but Christie still looks to be in command. The conventional wisdom says Corzine would be better off against the far-right Lonegan - the DGA went so far as to run ads bashing Christie in the hopes of bolstering Lonegan, Gray Davis/Crisitunity-style - but a win for the former Bogota, NJ mayor seems unlikely. Of course, it's possible pollsters have badly misjudged the nature of Jersey's likely GOP voters circa mid-2009, and indeed this same group has gone with wingers over moderates in the past (see Brett Schundler, 2001).
Either way, we'll be here tomorrow to liveblog the results.
