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DE-AL: Carney Launches Challenge to Castle

by: DavidNYC

Wed Apr 15, 2009 at 11:33 AM EDT


Kudos to the DCCC for landing one of their first (very) big recruits of the 2010 cycle:

This morning, former Delaware Lieutenant Governor and Secretary of Finance John Carney filed an official Committee to run for Delaware's lone seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Carney, a Claymont native and long time Wilmington resident who served two terms as Lieutenant Governor from 2001 through January of 2009, issued the following statement announcing his candidacy:

"With our economy in a recession and unemployment continuing to rise, our country and our state are facing unprecedented challenges. To address them, we need strong, experienced leaders who can rise above partisanship and bring people together to address these challenges. I'll be that kind of leader in Congress - one who works with both Republicans and Democrats to move our country forward, starting with a focus on creating jobs and getting our economy back on track."

Carney mentioned back in January that he was considering a run, but I wasn't sure if he'd bite and didn't expect an announcement so soon. Of course, this is great news for Team Blue, and it's good to see that Carney realizes he needs an early start in order to beat longtime GOP Rep. Mike Castle.

Carney narrowly (and unexpectedly) lost last year's gubernatorial primary to Jack Markell (who went on to cruise in the general), but apparently the two have a good relationship. Carney also won his last two campaigns for LG with 62% of the vote, which is exactly what Obama netted here. I'm sure Carney is looking at the model set by Delaware's senior Senator, Tom Carper, who also took out a septuagenarian Republican incumbent in the Blue Hen State. It can definitely happen again.

(Hat-tip to reader CD.)

DavidNYC :: DE-AL: Carney Launches Challenge to Castle
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huge huge
but Carney still starts about ten points behind Castle. Our best chance was in 2006. But Castle has voted the party line on the really big issues so far, like the bailout and stimulus. Carney will have lots of ammo. Plus Castles is old and in ill-health. He won't be able to campaign as hard as Carney. This looks like a suggestion the Beau Biden will be given a relatively open fied to run for Senate if he wants to.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

He raised very little in the first quarter
So maybe he is planning on calling it quits anyway. This might help make up his mind. Oh, off topic, but Scott Murphy has moved ahead by 168 votes.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/...


wow, fantastic news
that's more than Tedisco's people siad they were gaining in Saratoga, wherre the more Democratic areas haven't reported yet. And this is not including the ballots he challenged which should break strongly Democratic and its not including all of Dutchess and Columbia which favored murphy, and Warren and Washington, his base, aren't even half counted yet. Looking goood for Murphy, especially that overseas and military ballots seem to be favoring him as well. I'm finally ready to call this race for Murphy by a margin of at least 50 votes.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Please remember
We now post a daily open thread (as well as a weekend thread) for all "off-topic" discussions. They usually appear in the early afternoon. Thanks.

[ Parent ]
We remember David
no need to be the on topic police, lol.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Someone's gotta do it!


[ Parent ]
indeed??
Just like some one has to pick up the trash and fix the sewage lines.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Mike Rowe?


26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

[ Parent ]
Nate Silver is projecting Murphy to win by around 500 votes


[ Parent ]
that's too large


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
You dare contradict Nate Silver?
Heresy!

[ Parent ]
Not if you consider how frivelous it appears Tedisco's challenges are.


[ Parent ]
Exactly
Murphy's numbers are currently depressed by the hundreds of frivilous challenges to ballot which in the end have no chance of being thrown out.  Once those are counted Murphy is going to win this thing by a healthy margin.

[ Parent ]
Well, he's definitely getting one more.
The Senator's.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Really?
You don't think the brilliant GOP challenge of "she was in the district on election day so she should have voted in person" will hold up?

[ Parent ]
Do I have to start carrying around
A badge? Come on, people.

[ Parent ]
I knew it
DavidNYC really is going to run for NY AG after Cuomo announces for Gov.

[ Parent ]
Attorney General David NYC
i'd give you some masugana.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
just don't tase me, bro
(sorry about that)

[ Parent ]
i'd say the chances of a castle retirement are about 50/50
at least

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

Segall in AL-03, Carney in DE-AL - If we can keep recruitments rolling...
We can continue to consolidate support in 2010.  I like it.

Blue Hen State?
That's an interesting nickname. I've only ever heard Delaware referred to as the First State.  

20 years old, male, GA-12 (home), GA-10 (school); previously lived in CA-29, CA-28, CA-23, IL-06, IL-14, GA-01.

Delaware
University known as the "Blue Hens" that's where Joe Flacco is from.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
The other 49 states don't like that
So they ganged up on Delaware to get another name :P

Politics and Other Random Topics

24, Male, Democrat, NM-01, Chairman of the Atheist Caucus, and Majority Leader of the "Going to Hell" caucus!


[ Parent ]
Segall in AL-03, Carney in DE-AL - If we can keep recruitments rolling...
We can continue to consolidate support in 2010.  I like it.

how did you post this agiain>


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
woops. I must have hit back and thought I didn't post it yet. I've got
a bunch of windows up because I'm trying to listen to music while I read political news and do homework.  Doesn't work all that well (clearly).  

[ Parent ]
an amazing accomplishment
i usually play online games in betwene, especailly on breaks.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
?
Could this push Castle into Senate race?  If he's going to face a popular, viable Dem in 2010 why not go for the gold?  

I'm sure that is a consideration of Carney's
Castle might possibly run for Senate (greater than a 0% possibility).  With a strong challenger for the House, and a lead over Biden for the Senate seat, he won't have an easy race regardless.  If he announces for teh Senate, Carney his early announcement should make the seat his.

Fram Castle's perspective, one run more race in your career, serve for six years and be done, as oppossed to facing strong challngers every two years.

I'd say Castle is more likely now to either retire or run for Senate, than run for the House again.


[ Parent ]
The Chafee Strategy
Hammer Castle over his stimulus vote, hammer him over his budget vote, rinse, repeat.  Make sure every voter in Delaware is well aware that a vote for Castle is a vote for Boehner, Cantor and the Limbaugh crowd.

Still, I have to agree with others.  There's probably at least a 50% chance Castle just retires.


Also
there's some guy names Joe Biden who happens to be from Delaware and Vice President of the United States.  That has to help.  

[ Parent ]
Chadlin is back


Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Re: Chafee Strategy
Delawareans do not respond well to negative campaigning. In Delaware Castle is seen as a saint, any direct critique of even his votes will be controversial. Carney needs to do a subtle compare and contrast much like Carper did to beat Bill Roth in 2000. Check out http://delawareonline.com/arti... Mike Castle is still seen as a moderate and trustworthy guy. As you can see in the poll on the bottom right side Delawareans are going to need to be shown why they need a true moderate and Democrat in their only congressional seat. It's going to take national and netroots support to finally get rid of Castle. The NRCC is going to pump in everything they can to hold on to this seat.

[ Parent ]
Carney needs some sort of DE equivalent
of last year's Rocking Chairs ad that helped do in Liddy Dole last year in NC.  Damaging factoids, but sugarcoated with humor.

[ Parent ]
Exactly
Allude to the fact that he voted against Obama's budget AND stimulus.  Both of those bills are extremely popular in states liek Delaware.  It's not an attack ad, it's stating the obvious facts.  

[ Parent ]
Minor error
Tom Carper is now Delaware's senior senator.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

Good
it's a deep blue state. Castle has voted against the stimulus and the budget and no doubt will vote against more popular things. It's an uphill campaign but winnable. Hopefully Castle will just call it quits.  


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