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Monday, June 05, 2006

Where to Follow the Results?

Posted by DavidNYC

There are elections in eight states tomorrow:

Alabama - Primary
California - Primary / Special Election CD 50
Iowa - Primary
Mississippi - Primary
Montana - Primary
New Jersey - Primary / Special Primary CD 13
New Mexico - Primary
South Dakota - Primary

Local watchers and knowledgeable gurus: Can you recommend good sites to track the results? A lot of Secretary of State websites just aren't up to snuff - most are usually slower than the media, and in one recent case (WV), the folks manning the site appeared to just go home in the middle of the night, leaving the outcome of the WV-02 primary uncertain. (Fortunately, the tradmed picked up the slack.)

Anyhow, please let us know in comments where we can find good live results for all of tomorrow's elections. Thanks!

Posted at 11:45 PM in 2006 Elections | Technorati

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For Iowa's gubernatorial primary, I'd say that my personal site might be the best place to be around for results (Political Forecast). I'll try to keep up with the primary results from the 1st CD but I can't guarantee anything with that since I'm based out of the 3rd CD. There's a conservative blog I can recommend that will probably track the GOP primary in the 1st CD at least, but I'll let you guys ask for that link before I give them some linkage. ;-)

Thanks for all of your hard work!

Posted by: Chris Woods [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 12:04 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Sorry about the crappiness of my linkage above.

Posted by: Chris Woods [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 12:06 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Chris, do you have any opinions on the IA-01 primary (on both either the Dem or GOP side)? Who looks viable in the primary vs. the general? Are the Republicans too far to the right to hold on to that seat?

Posted by: James L. [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 12:09 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I'm not as up to speed on the primaries in the 1st CD as I should be, but I'm definitely a Braley supporter in the Dem primary. Gluba and Dickinson are the other two candidates, but Gluba's had his chance and hasn't succeeded and I don't think Dickinson has the ability to win in November. Braley's an all-around good guy and great politician and is just the right kind of Democrat to yank back the 1st into Democratic hands where it belongs. I'm pretty sure he'll pull off a fairly easy victory tomorrow.

In the GOP primary, things look pretty complicated. Mike Whalen is considered much too moderate for most conservatives in the 1st CD. Bill Dix and Brian Kennedy are the other two GOP candidates and it sure seems like Bill Dix has the edge, particularly with his experience he tauts from his days in the Iowa Legislature. Immigration has been a big topic of debate among the GOP candidates and if the archives of the Quad-City Times were decent, I'd say check them out (qctimes.net) but they're really hard to navigate.

If it does end up a Braley-Dix battle, it'll be interesting to see how much the GOP brings up Braley's work as a 'trial lawyer' and being too city-slicker while Dix continues to taut his rural life and work in the legislature getting things accomplished (but with a Democratic governor who deserves a lot of credit). Come November, I see it as a nice Dem pick-up now, but it could get a lot closer as the general election season gets moving.

Posted by: Chris Woods [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 12:25 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Right, it's *definitely* not a good idea to count on the Secretary of State website for up-to-the-minute results in NJ... here, it's an appointed position with little value, and whatever there is, it's mostly ceremonial.

Two sites I can recommend that will be fairly on top of things on primary night are http://www.politicsnj.com and http://www.bluejersey.net

Posted by: progressivemuslimnj [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 02:46 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I'm not sure how good Iowa's Secretary of State's page is at results updating. Minnesota's is phenominal, but I've generally been less impressed with my experience with Iowa's, where precinct-by-precinct returns are corrupted by excluding self-contained early voting returns. Complicated, but annoying for someone who simply wants to see how well Kerry did compared to Bush in Waterloo, Mason City, or Ottumwa city precincts.

Not living in IA-01, I'm not fully in sync with the candidates on either side, but it definitely seems like Braley and Dix are the frontrunners. Geographically, the three Democrats are from different corners of the district. Braley's from Waterloo while the other two are from Dubuque and Davenport (can't remember which is which). Two of the three Republicans are from Bettendorf, the only genuine Republican foothold in IA-01. Running against a Republican from Bettendorf would be useful in that the Democrats would have the advantage everywhere else in the district. I'm not sure if Dix is the guy from Bettendorf or not, but if he is, it's a feather in the cap of the Democratic winner, be it Braley, Dickinson, or Gluba.

Posted by: Mark [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 09:10 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Montana! I wanna see Montana! Where do I look?

Posted by: The Caped Composer [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 09:38 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

We're covering South Dakota and Iowa at the North Central States Observer (http://ncsobserver.blogspot.com).

Chris' site is also very good for IA-01 coverage.

We've noted that although the conventional wisdom has been that Braley is the frontrunner, some internal polling has been less that encouraging over the last couple weeks. You've probably seen the adverts trying to draw some distinctions between Dickinson and Gluba on Abortion and Iraq. This is in response to bad poll numbers for Braley.

One must consider if the run to the left during the Dem primary will have negative effect come November. Particularly as it relates to abortion.

Please stop on by. In South Dakota, the state legislative primaries (in the wake of the abortion ban) will be more interesting than the gubernatorial primary.


Posted by: Max Power [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 10:27 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Montana Secretary of State (I just want to say that this website had better info back in the '90s when a Dem was SecState than it does now)

Bozeman Daily Chronicle

Billings Gazette (flagship of Lee Newspapers which also include Helena Independent Record and Missoulian).

Great Falls Tribune

and try Left in the West so you can be part of the mob that destroy's Matt's server

Also, I think Kos was the first blogger to float Tester's name (12/16/2004), his name first appeared here 12/31/2004.

Posted by: Bob Brigham [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 11:10 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Donkey Rising has a few helpful links to sites where one could find local coverage.

Posted by: James L. [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 11:11 AM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Happy Election Day 6/6/06. Running late, need to vote before I hook-up with Steve Westly & staff for a GOYV tour of San Fran.
Here's a link for San Diego County, otherwise SS Calif should be a good source:http://www.sdvote.org/election/primary.xml

California Primary Election Predictions 2006
Competitive Races
Westly* over Angelides
Lt Governor:
Speier* over Garamendi & Figueroa
Secretary of State
Bowen* over Ortiz
Chiang over Dunn*
Strickland over Maldonado
Parrish over Richman
Atty Gen:
Brown over Delgadillo*
Ins. Commish:
Bustamente over Kraft*
CD-4 Doolittle over Holmes
CD-6 Woolsey over Nation
CD-11 Pombo over McCloskey & Benigno
CD-11 McNerney over Filson
CD-22 McCarthy over the others
CD-24 Gallegy over Tenebaum
CD-26 Warner over Matthews
CD 36 Harman over Winograd
CD 45 Schwimmer over Roth
CD-50 Election: Busby 47.5% Bilbray 47% Others 5.5%
CD-50 Primary: Bilbray over Hauf et al
CD-51 Filner over Vargas
CD-51 Miles over Galley
CD-52 Rinaldi over the group
Senate: Feinstein over Fernald*
Chretien (Green)
StSen#8 Yee* over Nevin & Papan
Assembly#12 Reilly* over Ma
San Jose Mayor: Chavez

Prop 81 Yes* over No
Prop 82 No* over Yes
(Asterisked are my votes)

Posted by: Predictor [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 01:08 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

for california election returns:


Beginning live @ 8pm PST

Posted by: desi [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 02:25 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I'll be doing my best to keep track of returns in New Mexico's primary election. The two big races are for Dem. Attorney General and Republican challenger for US Senate. The winner of the latter race will face off against Bingaman in the general election come November.


Posted by: Andurin [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 04:22 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Keep up with Alabama here:


Posted by: quaoar [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 6, 2006 06:05 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment