« Dem Voter Registration is Up in Swing States | Main | Operation Shame on You »

Monday, September 27, 2004

Can't Keep Up

Posted by DavidNYC

There are now so many state polls every day, it's almost impossible to keep up. I may need to rethink my approach. In the meantime, to whet your appetite, we've got a few puppies in this post over here, including IA, MI, NH, OH and PA. And as always, I encourage you to check out Race2004.net - they never miss a poll.

Okay, I know everyone loves to harp on this, but Alan Keyes is at *seventeen* percent in that Illinois Senate poll? Wow. I remember in 1994, the year of the unforgettable Republican massacre, that Pat Moynihan still won re-election with 80+% of the vote. Obama is gonna pull off something similar, and he isn't even an incumbent yet - though it sure feels like he is!

Posted at 02:19 PM in General | Technorati

Comments

For those interested, I've posted my latest (9/27) survey of 48 Electoral College tracking / prediction / projection / forecast sites HERE.

Executive summary: Bush continues with a significant lead over Kerry -- all but 3 of the 48 sites surveyed show Bush winning or ahead. Nevertheless, Kerry did manage to improve his situation slightly, gaining 12 to 18 points on Bush. Bush currently has 285 to 291 votes, and Kerry has 231 to 236.5.

Posted by: Ed Fitzgerald (unfutz) at September 27, 2004 07:51 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

Just a correction: I had one website's figures reversed, so *4* of 48 sites show Kerry winning. Bush has 284 to 291 votes, and Kerry has 233 to 236.5. Kerry has improved his position by 14 to 19 points.

Posted by: Ed Fitzgerald (unfutz) at September 27, 2004 08:57 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment