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Thursday, February 19, 2004

Bush Sinking in New Hampshire

Posted by DavidNYC

BriVT at Kos points to a new poll which shows truly wretched numbers for Bush in New Hampshire:

Approval: 47%
Disapproval: 48%

Plus some very heartening head-to-heads:

Kerry: 53%
Bush: 38%

Edwards: 52%
Bush: 37%

Both top Democratic contenders are a whopping 15 points ahead of Bush. I'm sure all the attention being paid to the Democratic primary contest is a factor here, but in a state that went for Bush by just a hair's breadth in 2000, this sure is nice to see.

My examination of New Hampshire leads me to believe that it's one of our best pickup shots, if not our very best. FWIW, Podesta said yesterday he agreed - in particular, he thinks Kerry has a very strong chance there. Obviously, NH ain't the mother lode, but I have a feeling this is going to be another close election, and we'll be glad for every EV we get.

Posted at 08:39 PM in New Hampshire | Technorati


We definitely have a shot at NH. What's even better is that if Bush is polling poorly here he's likely to look even worse in the states that
haven't been so long in the GOP camp. NH has the lowest unemployment rate in the Northeast but even without acute economic problems Georgie-boy is losing his mojo.

Posted by: AndyS at February 20, 2004 05:24 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

I think the likelyhood of Kerry picking up New Hampshire is very high, in fact, I doubt he can win the election WITHOUT New Hampshire. If he is rejected by New Englanders that close to his home, he can't carry Ohio, Louisiana, Florida etc. I doubt Bush will concede NH, but this will be a difficult up-hill fight. And remember 2000 in NH, Gore+Nader > Bush ...

Posted by: Mark at March 4, 2004 11:55 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment

If only they had not reapportioned. Winning NH would have put Gore over the top, but now the Democrat who wins the Gore states plus New Hampshire will still lose.

Posted by: Regime Change USA - Anti-Bush Apparel at March 7, 2004 12:15 PM | Permalink | Edit Comment | Delete Comment