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SSP Cash Power Rankings

SSP Cash Power Rankings: 3Q Senate Edition

by: DavidNYC

Mon Oct 20, 2008 at 11:58 PM EDT
Below is our final SSP Cash Power Index chart for the quarter, which looks at Senate races (both open seats and those with incumbents running for re-election). Our 1Q cash power chart is here, and our 2Q chart is here.

Once again, the same caveats apply: Many campaigns made final spending decisions before the filing deadline, so cash-on-hand figures may look artificially "low" in some cases. In other words, just looking at the final Cash Power Rankings often won't give you a complete picture of where things stand. That's why it's important to consult our 3Q Senate fundraising chart in concert with this listing. Third-party expenditures are also, of course, important indicators of a race's competitiveness.

Note that Jim Gilmore has refused to release his fundraising totals to the media (and his FEC reports are not online yet), hence our resort to mathematical symbols. But we're pretty confident Mark Warner will retain the number one slot regardless, as he has all year.

Cash
Power
Rank		 2Q
Rank		 State Challenger Party CoH Incumbent/
Defender		 Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 1 VA Warner D $3,608 Gilmore R
2 2 NM Udall, T. D $1,991 Pearce R $547 364%
3 5 MN Franken D $2,783 Coleman R-inc. $3,996 70%
4 7 AK Begich D $779 Stevens R-inc. $1,242 63%
5 6 LA Kennedy R $1,255 Landrieu D-inc. $2,395 52%
6 8 NC Hagan D $880 Dole R-inc. $1,716 51%
7 18 OR Merkley D $766 Smith R-inc. $1,503 51%
8 4 ME Allen D $1,670 Collins R-inc. $3,345 50%
9 11 NJ Zimmer R $453 Lautenberg D-inc. $922 49%
10 9 NH Shaheen D $1,763 Sununu R-inc. $3,629 49%
11 15 ID LaRocco D $408 Risch R $1,277 32%
12 13 MS Musgrove D $460 Wicker R-inc. $1,663 28%
13 12 OK Rice D $484 Inhofe R-inc. $2,024 24%
14 17 KY Lunsford D $1,244 McConnell R-inc. $5,766 22%
15 3 CO Udall, M. D $546 Schaffer R $2,734 20%
16 10 NE Kleeb D $216 Johanns R $1,434 15%
17 19 TX Noriega D $951 Cornyn R-inc. $7,322 13%
18 16 KS Slattery D $145 Roberts R-inc. $1,804 8%
19 20 GA Martin D $92 Chambliss R-inc. $1,188 8%

Discuss :: (4 Comments)

SSP Cash Power Rankings: House Open Seats (3Q)

by: DavidNYC

Mon Oct 20, 2008 at 10:17 AM EDT
The chart below (a companion to this one) shows the SSP Cash Power Index for open House seats. (Our 2Q chart is here.) The same caveats apply:

Many campaigns made final spending decisions before the filing deadline, so cash-on-hand figures may look artificially "low" in some cases. In other words, just looking at the final Cash Power Rankings often won't give you a complete picture of where things stand. That's why it's important to consult our 3Q House fundraising chart in concert with this listing.

This list also does not take into account third-party independent expenditures (you can find that information here) or 527 "electioneering" expenditures (available here), which are another important measure of a race's competitiveness.

Note: Gary Trauner and Paul Carmouche are listed with multiple prior rankings due to multi-way GOP primaries.

P.S. I think you can see why we moved NY-13 to Safe D, huh?

Cash
Power
Rank		 2Q
Rank		 District Challenger Party CoH Defender Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 1 NY-13 McMahon D $483 Straniere R $2 24,150%
2 10/15/16 LA-04 Carmouche D $145 Fleming R $5 2,900%
3 * MO-09 Baker D $326 Luetkemeyer R $43 758%
4 6 CA-04 Brown D $457 McClintock R $94 486%
5 4 NJ-03 Adler D $1,276 Myers R $288 443%
6 5 NY-25 Maffei D $599 Sweetland R $137 437%
7 10/15/16 LA-04 Carmouche D $145 Gorman R $36 403%
8 12 OH-16 Boccieri D $464 Schuring R $128 363%
9 3/8 WY-AL Trauner D $596 Lummis R $202 295%
10 9 AZ-01 Kirkpatrick D $306 Hay R $124 247%
11 2 NJ-07 Stender D $602 Lance R $258 233%
12 27 AL-05 Parker R $255 Griffith D $127 201%
13 13 IL-11 Halvorson D $275 Ozinga R $176 156%
14 14 OH-15 Kilroy D $570 Stivers R $570 100%
15 20 MN-03 Madia D $995 Paulsen R $1,101 90%
16 26 VA-11 Connolly D $646 Fimian R $719 90%
17 24 OH-07 Neuhardt D $215 Austria R $280 77%
18 18 MD-01 Kratovil D $518 Harris R $749 69%
19 - NJ-07 Hsing I $133 Lance R $258 52%
20 21 NM-01 Heinrich D $328 White R $678 48%
21 23 NY-26 Kryzan D $115 Lee R $327 35%
22 29 KY-02 Boswell D $232 Guthrie R $680 34%
23 19 NM-02 Teague D $147 Tinsley R $456 32%
24 7 AL-02 Bright D $66 Love R $307 21%
25 11 OR-05 Erickson R $42 Schrader D $233 18%
26 25 CA-52 Lumpkin D $37 Hunter R $322 11%
27 22 IL-18 Callahan D $53 Schock R $466 11%
28 28 PA-05 McCracken D $8 Thompson R $132 6%

* We did not include MO-09 in our 2Q chart because of large primaries on both sides. Had we included Baker-Leutkemeyer with their CoH at the time, Baker would have ranked 17th at 99%.

Discuss :: (5 Comments)

SSP Cash Power Rankings: 3Q House Edition

by: DavidNYC

Sun Oct 19, 2008 at 4:18 PM EDT
Once again, we are proud to present the SSP Cash Power Index - a metric designed to measure cash-on-hand competitiveness. We divide a challenger's cash-on-hand by the size of the incumbent's war chest to gauge the financial gap between candidates.

There's one very important caveat with this list, which makes it different from those we published after the first and second quarters: Many campaigns made final spending decisions before the filing deadline, so cash-on-hand figures may look artificially "low" in some cases. In other words, just looking at the final Cash Power Rankings often won't give you a complete picture of where things stand. That's why it's important to consult our 3Q House fundraising chart in concert with this listing.

This list also does not take into account third-party independent expenditures (you can find that information here) or 527 "electioneering" expenditures (available here), which are another important measure of a race's competitiveness. We also plan to release indices for open seats and for Senate races shortly.

Cash
Power
Rank		 2Q
Rank		 District Challenger Party CoH Incumbent Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 17 LA-06 Cassidy R $477 Cazayoux D $124 385%
2 63 CO-05 Bidlack D $68 Lamborn R $18 378%
3 3 TX-07 Skelly D $1,141 Culberson R $744 153%
4 14 AK-AL Berkowitz D $384 Young R $276 139%
5 2 GA-13 Honeycutt R $317 Scott D $240 132%
6 9 MI-07 Schauer D $856 Walberg R $692 124%
7 52 FL-13 Jennings D $315 Buchanan R $278 113%
8 29 KS-03 Jordan R $430 Moore D $380 113%
9 10 NY-29 Massa D $401 Kuhl R $375 107%
10 16 KY-03 Northup R $764 Yarmuth D $763 100%
11 19 WI-08 Gard R $608 Kagen D $669 91%
12 28 KS-02 Jenkins R $553 Boyda D $622 89%
13 12 OH-02 Wulsin D $305 Schmidt R $347 88%
14 4 ID-01 Minnick D $177 Sali R $202 88%
15 34 CA-50 Leibham D $334 Bilbray R $382 87%
16 37 CA-11 Andal R $850 McNerney D $1,022 83%
17 30 NC-10 Johnson D $364 McHenry R $443 82%
18 - PA-03 Dahlkemper D $275 English R $394 70%
19 46 PA-04 Hart R $812 Altmire D $1,174 69%
20 5 WA-08 Burner D $771 Reichert R $1,194 65%
21 13 VA-10 Feder D $648 Wolf R $1,007 64%
22 24 FL-21 Martinez D $1,118 Diaz-Balart R $1,743 64%
23 54 NV-02 Derby D $246 Heller R $406 61%
24 59 MS-01 Davis R $178 Childers D $302 59%
25 11 MO-06 Barnes D $304 Graves R $522 58%
26 27 NY-24 Hanna R $181 Arcuri D $316 57%
27 39 NY-20 Treadwell R $855 Gillibrand D $1,498 57%
28 - PA-10 Hackett R $331 Carney D $584 57%
29 47 PA-12 Russell R $333 Murtha D $591 56%
30 - NE-02 Esch D $266 Terry R $514 52%
31 48 FL-16 Rooney R $189 Mahoney D $371 51%
32 25 VA-02 Nye D $349 Drake R $707 49%
33 45 NJ-05 Shulman D $279 Garrett R $571 49%
34 7 FL-24 Kosmas D $356 Feeney R $736 48%
35 36 CO-04 Markey D $382 Musgrave R $798 48%
36 6 IL-14 Oberweis R $324 Foster D $692 47%
37 23 VA-05 Perriello D $321 Goode R $686 47%
38 55 GA-08 Goddard R $480 Marshall D $1,098 44%
39 38 OH-01 Driehaus D $362 Chabot R $829 44%
40 50 CT-05 Cappiello R $469 Murphy D $1,084 43%
41 1 LA-01 Harlan D $88 Scalise R $205 43%
42 42 IL-13 Harper D $333 Biggert R $833 40%
43 - TX-22 Olson R $469 Lampson D $1,176 40%
44 68 CA-45 Bornstein D $179 Bono Mack R $463 39%
45 62 IN-09 Sodrel R $264 Hill D $685 39%
46 31 TX-10 Doherty D $221 McCaul R $598 37%
47 - SC-02 Miller D $102 Wilson R $301 34%
48 20 FL-25 Garcia D $373 Diaz-Balart R $1,132 33%
49 21 NH-01 Bradley R $166 Shea-Porter D $508 33%
50 33 PA-15 Bennett D $245 Dent R $763 32%
51 51 FL-08 Grayson D $310 Keller R $983 32%
52 57 PA-06 Roggio D $216 Gerlach R $701 31%
53 43 NV-03 Titus D $246 Porter R $836 29%
54 65 MN-01 Davis R $318 Walz D $1,083 29%
55 61 AZ-08 Bee R $255 Giffords D $917 28%
56 60 OH-02 Krikorian I $96. Schmidt R $347 28%
57 49 AZ-05 Schweikert R $150 Mitchell D $547 27%
58 - TX-23 Larson R $194 Rodriguez D $717 27%
59 - MN-06 Tinklenberg D $357 Bachmann R $1,368 26%
60 74 NJ-04 Zeitz D $142 Smith R $567 25%
61 15 CT-04 Himes D $441 Shays R $1,790 25%
62 26 MI-09 Peters D $472 Knollenberg R $1,947 24%
63 70 WV-02 Barth D $245 Moore Capito R $1,054 23%
64 - NC-08 Kissell D $250 Hayes R $1,113 22%
65 66 CA-03 Durston D $145 Lungren R $680 21%
66 - MN-02 Sarvi D $136 Kline R $676 20%
67 - NH-02 Horn R $110 Hodes D $563 20%
68 - PA-11 Barletta R $251 Kanjorski D $1,350 19%
69 - IA-05 Hubler D $65 King R $351 19%
70 - IA-02 Miller-Meeks R $83 Loebsack D $457 18%
71 64 SC-01 Ketner D $206 Brown R $1,166 18%
72 - PA-08 Manion R $370 Murphy D $2,215 17%
73 32 AZ-03 Lord D $150 Shadegg R $923 16%
74 - LA-06 Jackson I $20. Cazayoux D $124 16%
75 - OH-03 Mitakides D $91 Turner R $587 16%
Discuss :: (7 Comments)

SSP Cash Power Rankings: House Open Seats (2Q)

by: James L.

Mon Jul 28, 2008 at 12:16 AM EDT
In our series of SSP Cash Power Rankings, we previously looked at House challengers running against incumbents and the most competitive Senate races. Now it's time to close the triangle and look at the cash-on-hand competitiveness of candidates running in open seat House races.

The one race that we've left out is MO-09. Due to a large primary field without a clear front-runner on both sides, that race would be difficult to place on our chart. In other races with undecided primaries, we've either included multiple candidates (e.g. WY-AL, NY-26, LA-04), or have decided to go with the clear front-runner only. The top-ranked race here is a special case, as Jamshad Wyne is the only GOP candidate to file a fundraising report in NY-13 so far -- we don't consider him to be the front-runner of anything (except for the loser's sweepstakes, perhaps), but he was our only choice.

Cash
Power
Rank		 District Challenger Party CoH Defender Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 NY-13 McMahon D $471 Wyne R $10 4710%
2 NJ-07 Stender D $1,200 Lance R $81 1481%
3 WY-AL Trauner D $702 Gordon R $69 1017%
4 NJ-03 Adler D $1,464 Myers R $155 945%
5 NY-25 Maffei D $962 Sweetland R $108 891%
6 CA-04 Brown D $675 McClintock R $117 577%
7 AL-02 Bright D $281 Love R $91 309%
8 WY-AL Trauner D $702 Lummis R $247 284%
9 AZ-01 Kirkpatrick D $668 Hay R $257 260%
10 LA-04 Carmouche D $389 Thompson R $200 195%
11 OR-05 Erickson R $400 Schrader D $231 173%
12 OH-16 Boccieri D $531 Schuring R $349 152%
13 IL-11 Halvorson D $917 Ozinga R $670 137%
14 OH-15 Kilroy D $1,163 Stivers R $880 132%
15 LA-04 Carmouche D $389 Gorman R $352 111%
16 LA-04 Carmouche D $389 Fleming R $359 108%
17 NY-26 Powers D $489 Lee R $636 77%
18 MD-01 Kratovil D $454 Harris R $609 75%
19 NM-02 Teague D $75 Tinsley R $112 67%
20 MN-03 Madia D $738 Paulsen R $1,124 66%
21 NM-01 Heinrich D $354 White R $634 56%
22 IL-18 Callahan D $155 Schock R $299 52%
23 NY-26 Kryzan D $247 Lee R $636 39%
24 OH-07 Neuhardt D $108 Austria R $361 30%
25 CA-52 Lumpkin D $54 Hunter R $198 27%
26 VA-11 Connolly D $275 Fimian R $1,039 26%
27 AL-05 Parker R $73 Griffith D $352 21%
28 PA-05 McCracken D $8 Thompson R $84 10%
29 KY-02 Boswell D $45 Guthrie R $661 7%
Discuss :: (7 Comments)

SSP Cash Power Rankings: 2Q Senate Edition

by: DavidNYC

Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 1:00 PM EDT
Just as we did for the House race scene (and as we did last quarter), we present our rankings according to the SSP Cash Power Index for competitive senate races. The main difference is that we include open seats in this chart; where there is no incumbent senator, the incumbent party candidate is used as a stand-in.

Note that the number of races on this list is a lot smaller than last time; that's because some folks have lost primaries, and also because we've left off the races which, at this point, are not competitive. So while it might look like Rick Noriega, say, has jumped a bunch, that's at least in part because the likes of Greg Fischer and Tony Raimondo aren't around anymore. Also, Tom Udall was previously ranked twice because he faced two primary opponents at the time.

UPDATE: Chart updated to reflect inclusion of KS-Sen.

Cash
Power
Rank		 1Q
Rank		 State Challenger Party CoH Incumbent Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 1 VA Warner D $5,103 Gilmore R $117 4,362%
2 2/3 NM Udall, T. D $2,889 Pearce R $533 542%
3 4 CO Udall, M. D $3,958 Schaffer R $2,817 141%
4 5 ME Allen D $3,129 Collins R-inc. $5,133 61%
5 6 MN Franken D $4,216 Coleman R-inc. $7,209 58%
6 9 LA Kennedy R $2,706 Landrieu D-inc. $5,515 49%
7 13 AK Begich D $804 Stevens R-inc. $1,681 48%
8 18 NC Hagan D $1,214 Dole R-inc. $2,706 45%
9 8 NH Shaheen D $2,158 Bununu R-inc. $5,105 42%
10 12 NE Kleeb D $454 Johanns R $1,247 36%
11 (n/a) NJ Zimmer R $411 Lautenberg D-inc. $1,291 32%
12 11 OK Rice D $748 Inhofe R-inc. $2,459 30%
13 15 MS Musgrove D $716 Wicker R-inc. $2,953 24%
14 (n/a) ID Rammell I $244 Risch R $1,022 24%
15 10 ID LaRocco D $242 Risch R $1,022 24%
16 19 KS Slattery D $599 Roberts R-inc. $2,870 21%
17 22 KY Lunsford D $1,341 McConnell R-inc. $9,136 15%
18 20 OR Merkley D $569 Smith R-inc. $4,452 13%
19 26 TX Noriega D $916 Cornyn R-inc. $9,368 10%
20 21 GA Martin D $330 Chambliss R-inc. $4,055 8%
21 (n/a) GA Jones "D" $150 Chambliss R-inc. $4,055 4%
Discuss :: (16 Comments)

SSP Cash Power Rankings: 2Q House Edition

by: James L.

Fri Jul 25, 2008 at 12:43 AM EDT
It's time. Just as we did after the first quarter, we've rounded up and ranked the top 75 non-open seat House races according to the SSP Cash Power Index -- a metric designed to measure cash-on-hand competitiveness. We divide a challenger's cash-on-hand by the size of the incumbent's war chest to gauge the financial gap between candidates.

Let's have a look at where we stand after the second quarter. You'll notice that eight of the top ten challengers are Democrats, and the top-ranked Republican is Deborah "The Defrauder" Honeycutt. 47 of the top 75 challengers are Democrats while 27 are Republicans. A lone independent makes the chart for the first time:

Cash
Power
Rank		 1Q
Rank		 District Challenger Party CoH Incumbent Party CoH Cash
Power
Index
1 (n/a) LA-01 Harlan D $554 Scalise R $211 263%
2 9 GA-13 Honeycutt R $290 Scott D $119 244%
3 2 TX-07 Skelly D $1050 Culberson R $550 191%
4 1 ID-01 Minnick D $444 Sali R $250* 178%
5 4 WA-08 Burner D $1248 Reichert R $916 136%
6 28 IL-14 Oberweis R $547 Foster D $443 123%
7 8 FL-24 Kosmas D $936 Feeney R $795 118%
8 14 IN-03 Montagano D $352 Souder R $323 109%
9 6 MI-07 Schauer D $929 Walberg R $855 109%
10 3 NY-29 Massa D $652 Kuhl R $619 105%
11 16 MO-06 Barnes D $962 Graves R $936 103%
12 7 OH-02 Wulsin D $378 Schmidt R $393 96%
13 11 VA-10 Feder D $812 Wolf R $849 96%
14 31 AK-AL Berkowitz D $399 Young R $461 87%
15 12 CT-04 Himes D $1444 Shays R $1698 85%
16 26 KY-03 Northup R $819 Yarmuth D $1002 82%
17 (n/a) LA-06 Cassidy R $195 Cazayoux D $271 72%
18 21 FL-16 Valeche R $829 Mahoney D $1172 71%
19 23 WI-08 Gard R $649 Kagen D $927 70%
20 38 FL-25 Garcia D $701 M. Diaz-Balart R $1045 67%
21 13 NH-01 Bradley R $475 Shea-Porter D $749 63%
22 (n/a) AK-AL LeDoux R $289 Young R $461 63%
23 15 VA-05 Perriello D $520 Goode R $834 62%
24 39 FL-21 Martinez D $1079 L. Diaz-Balart R $1755 61%
25 44 VA-02 Nye D $409 Drake R $682 60%
26 30 MI-09 Peters D $1082 Knollenberg R $1891 57%
27 (n/a) NY-24 Hanna R $409 Arcuri D $727 56%
28 19 KS-02 Jenkins R $489 Boyda D $892 55%
29 48 KS-03 Jordan R $616 Moore D $1140 54%
30 27 NC-10 Johnson D $219 McHenry R $411 53%
31 42 TX-10 Doherty D $260 McCaul R $489 53%
32 18 AZ-03 Lord D $707 Shadegg R $1354 52%
33 58 PA-15 Bennett D $354 Dent R $687 52%
34 25 CA-50 Leibham D $267 Bilbray R $528 51%
35 20 FL-09 Dicks D $323 Bilirakis R $643 50%
36 46 CO-04 Markey D $580 Musgrave R $1156 50%
37 33 CA-11 Andal R $663 McNerney D $1376 48%
38 29 OH-01 Driehaus D $631 Chabot R $1312 48%
39 45 NY-20 Treadwell R $1269 Gillibrand D $2803 45%
40 (n/a) AK-AL Parnell R $208 Young R $461 45%
41 36 FL-08 Stuart D $415 Keller R $935 44%
42 68 IL-13 Harper D $300 Biggert R $680 44%
43 (n/a) NV-03 Titus D $553 Porter R $1277 43%
44 50 IL-10 Seals D $1176 Kirk R $2857 41%
45 24 NJ-05 Shulman D $258 Garrett R $649 40%
46 57 PA-04 Hart R $625 Altmire D $1574 40%
47 (n/a) PA-12 Russell R $250 Murtha D $644 39%
48 37 FL-16 Rooney R $451 Mahoney D $1172 38%
49 34 AZ-05 Schweikert R $521 Mitchell D $1372 38%
50 59 CT-05 Cappiello R $711 Murphy D $1901 37%
51 (n/a) FL-08 Grayson D $345 Keller R $935 37%
52 41 FL-13 Jennings D $579 Buchanan R $1573 37%
53 64 AL-03 Segall D $411 Rogers R $1120 37%
54 73 NV-02 Derby D $353 Heller R $984 36%
55 49 GA-08 Goddard R $489 Marshall D $1372 36%
56 32 NH-01 Stephen R $257 Shea-Porter D $749 34%
57 63 PA-06 Roggio D $260 Gerlach R $762 34%
58 43 TN-09 Tinker D $247 Cohen D $727 34%
59 (n/a) MS-01 Davis R $54 Childers D $161 34%
60 (n/a) OH-02 Krikorian I $131 Schmidt R $393 33%
61 53 AZ-08 Bee R $688 Giffords D $2078 33%
62 54 IN-09 Sodrel R $379 Hill D $1160 33%
63 (n/a) CO-05 Bidlack D $77 Lamborn R $237 32%
64 (n/a) SC-01 Ketner D $432 Brown R $1340 32%
65 (n/a) MN-01 Davis R $377 Walz D $1211 31%
66 (n/a) CA-03 Durston D $189 Lungren R $615 31%
67 10 TN-04 Lankford R $140 L. Davis D $461 30%
68 56 CA-45 Bornstein D $122 Bono Mack R $421 29%
69 40 FL-08 Smith D $269 Keller R $935 29%
70 51 WV-02 Barth D $353 Moore Capito R $1237 29%
71 55 IN-04 Ackerson D $178 Buyer R $629 28%
72 (n/a) CA-46 Cook D $97 Rohrabacher R $388 25%
73 22 KS-02 Ryun R $223 Boyda D $892 25%
74 69 NJ-04 Zeitz D $125 Smith R $504 25%
75 71 FL-18 Taddeo D $457 Ros-Lehtinen R $1893 24%

*Estimate.

Discuss :: (16 Comments)

SSP Cash Power Rankings: 1Q Senate Edition

by: James L.

Mon Apr 28, 2008 at 1:00 PM EDT

Just as we did yesterday for the House race scene, SSP has ranked the Senate races this year in terms of their cash-on-hand competitiveness. This measure reflects the ratio of the challenger's cash-on-hand to that of the incumbent. The only difference is that this time, in the interest of comprehensiveness, we've included several candidates who are defending open seats currently held by their party (marked in italics) and slotted them in the incumbent column -- because, hey, we had to stick 'em somewhere. So without further ado:

Rank State Candidate Party CoH Incumbent* Party CoH Rating
1 VA Mark Warner D 4,384,294 Jim Gilmore R 208,133 2106%
2 NM Tom Udall D 2,582,990 Steve Pearce R 855,203 302%
3 NM Tom Udall D 2,582,990 Heather Wilson R 1,196,053 216%
4 CO Mark Udall D 4,236,533 Bob Schaffer R 2,160,863 196%
5 ME Tom Allen D 2,687,701 Susan Collins R 4,511,493 60%
6 MN Al Franken D 3,491,480 Norm Coleman R 6,960,913 50%
7 NJ Rob Andrews D 2,232,312 Frank Lautenberg D 4,702,249 47%
8 NH Jeanne Shaheen D 1,837,539 John Sununu R 4,313,762 43%
9 LA John Kennedy R 1,623,391 Mary Landrieu D 4,564,082 36%
10 ID Larry LaRocco D 253,707 Jim Risch R 935,876 27%
11 OK Andrew Rice D 597,478 Jim Inhofe R 2,221,848 27%
12 NE Scott Kleeb D 281,095 Mike Johanns R 1,335,390 21%
13 AK Mark Begich D 204,207 Ted Stevens R 1,318,722 15%
14 IL Steve Sauerberg R 1,074,982 Richard Durbin D 7,567,277 14%
15 MS-B Ronnie Musgrove D 337,249 Roger Wicker R 2,765,229 12%
16 KY Greg Fischer D 854,557 Mitch McConnell R 7,741,422 11%
17 NE Tony Raimondo D 140,720 Mike Johanns R 1,335,390 11%
18 NC Kay Hagan D 312,000 Elizabeth Dole R 3,200,000 10%
19 KS Jim Slattery D 286,125 Pat Roberts R 2,986,794 10%
20 OR Jeff Merkley D 473,833 Gordon Smith R 5,149,251 9%
21 GA Jim Martin D 333,132 Saxby Chambliss R 3,637,392 9%
22 KY Bruce Lunsford D 666,373 Mitch McConnell R 7,741,422 9%
23 TN Bob Tuke D 217,093 Lamar Alexander R 2,874,512 8%
24 SC Buddy Witherspoon R 257,911 Lindsey Graham R 4,777,019 5%
25 OR Steve Novick D 197,007 Gordon Smith R 5,149,251 4%
26 TX Rick Noriega D 329,294 John Cornyn R 8,688,954 4%
27 WY-B Nick Carter D 26,743 John Barrasso R 1,139,381 2%
28 MA Jim Ogonowski R 186,929 John Kerry D 9,323,486 2%
29 AL Vivian Figures D 44,628 Jeff Sessions R 4,033,195 1%
30 SD Joel Dykstra R 20,393 Tim Johnson D 2,523,586 1%
31 MT Kirk Bushman R 8,097 Max Baucus D 6,394,024 0%
32 SD Sam Kephart R 2,107 Tim Johnson D 2,523,586 0%
33 MT Michael Lange R 1,976 Max Baucus D 6,394,024 0%

A few notes:

  • There are several incumbent Senators who have either not drawn challengers, or their opponents have not filed FEC reports: Biden (DE), Cochran (MS-A), Enzi (WY), Harkin (IA), Levin (MI), Pryor (AR), Reed (RI), and Rockefeller (WV).
  • These numbers were compiled from the National Journal and the Senate Guru.
Discuss :: (16 Comments)

SSP Cash Power Rankings: 1Q House Edition

by: James L.

Sun Apr 27, 2008 at 9:00 AM EDT
Back in 2006, DavidNYC posted a chart tracking the top 50 House challengers in terms of their cash-on-hand competitiveness. In other words, he divided challenger CoH by incumbent CoH to arrive at a "competitiveness" percentage for each race. It's a useful measure because, as David said at the time:

If you've got $500K, that's all well-and-good - but your opponent has $2M, then you've got a lot of ground to make up.

So let's take a look at the top 75 non-open seat House races this cycle in terms of each challenger's cash-on-hand competitiveness, listed on the far right. You'll notice that of the top ten challengers, eight of them are Democrats. Only 26 of the top 75 challengers are Republicans.

Rank District Challenger Party CoH Incumbent Party CoH Chal. %age
1 ID-01 Minnick D 327,909 Sali R 124,191 264%
2 TX-07 Skelly D 666,506 Culberson R 270,726 246%
3 NY-29 Massa D 565,320 Kuhl R 365,722 155%
4 WA-08 Burner D 921,615 Reichert R 698,035 132%
5 NY-13 Recchia D 325,175 Fossella R 248,496 131%
6 MI-07 Schauer D 751,359 Walberg R 604,466 124%
7 OH-02 Wulsin D 212,410 Schmidt R 176,670 120%
8 FL-24 Kosmas D 580,940 Feeney R 549,237 106%
9 GA-13 Honeycutt R 206,033 Scott D 195,432 105%
10 TN-04 Lankford R 201,117 Davis D 199,306 101%
11 VA-10 Feder D 700,046 Wolf R 715,954 98%
12 CT-04 Himes D 1,105,211 Shays R 1,137,726 97%
13 NH-01 Bradley R 516,105 Shea-Porter D 545,837 95%
14 IN-03 Montagano D 267,771 Souder R 293,000 91%
15 VA-05 Perriello D 500,274 Goode R 593,133 84%
16 MO-06 Barnes D 954,363 Graves R 1,132,310 84%
17 SC-02 Miller D 203,475 Wilson R 255,765 80%
18 AZ-03 Lord D 632,485 Shadegg R 937,672 67%
19 KS-02 Jenkins R 486,228 Boyda D 811,225 60%
20 FL-09 Dicks D 312,402 Bilirakis R 521,511 60%
21 FL-16 Valeche R 589,380 Mahoney D 1,032,397 57%
22 KS-02 Ryun R 459,048 Boyda D 811,225 57%
23 WI-08 Gard R 427,903 Kagen D 760,112 56%
24 NJ-05 Shulman D 245,549 Garrett R 457,521 54%
25 CA-50 Leibham D 239,584 Bilbray R 449,284 53%
26 KY-03 Northup R 428,205 Yarmuth D 811,722 53%
27 NC-10 Johnson D 166,188 McHenry R 325,663 51%
28 IL-14 Oberweis R 132,717 Foster D 262,939 50%
29 OH-01 Driehaus D 567,302 Chabot R 1,132,939 50%
30 MI-09 Peters D 644,931 Knollenberg R 1,336,212 48%
31 AK-AL Berkowitz D 287,306 Young R 604,268 48%
32 NH-01 Stephen R 257,871 Shea-Porter D 545,837 47%
33 CA-11 Andal R 531,817 McNerney D 1,153,586 46%
34 AZ-05 Schweikert R 514,092 Mitchell D 1,121,680 46%
35 NV-03 Daskas D 453,213 Porter R 1,033,693 44%
36 FL-08 Stuart D 316,211 Keller R 735,113 43%
37 FL-16 Rooney R 442,345 Mahoney D 1,032,397 43%
38 FL-25 Garcia D 316,069 M. Diaz-Balart R 747,694 42%
39 FL-21 Martinez D 592,605 L. Diaz-Balart R 1,451,793 41%
40 FL-08 Smith D 295,667 Keller R 735,113 40%
41 FL-13 Jennings D 446,436 Buchanan R 1,123,318 40%
42 TX-10 Doherty D 122,453 McCaul R 318,097 38%
43 TN-09 Tinker D 227,629 Cohen D 605,292 38%
44 VA-02 Nye D 222,936 Drake R 593,620 38%
45 NY-20 Treadwell R 928,931 Gillibrand D 2,474,445 38%
46 CO-04 Markey D 376,372 Musgrave R 1,014,007 37%
47 NY-13 Harrison D 91,131 Fossella R 248,496 37%
48 KS-03 Jordan R 307,599 Moore D 889,584 35%
49 GA-08 Goddard R 403,825 Marshall D 1,186,917 34%
50 IL-10 Seals D 745,275 Kirk R 2,252,039 33%
51 WV-02 Barth D 305,388 Capito R 926,562 33%
52 AZ-05 Ogsbury R 353,094 Mitchell D 1,121,680 31%
53 AZ-08 Bee R 525,439 Giffords D 1,672,821 31%
54 IN-09 Sodrel R 308,643 Hill D 991,212 31%
55 IN-04 Ackerson D 149,899 Buyer R 492,373 30%
56 CA-45 Bornstein D 104,267 Bono Mack R 344,124 30%
57 PA-04 Hart R 393,396 Altmire D 1,305,875 30%
58 PA-15 Bennett D 182,829 Dent R 615,534 30%
59 CT-05 Cappiello R 420,316 Murphy D 1,544,639 27%
60 NJ-05 Abate D 116,215 Garrett R 457,521 25%
61 PA-08 Manion R 416,736 Murphy D 1,659,350 25%
62 FL-16 Harrell R 256,151 Mahoney D 1,032,397 25%
63 PA-06 Roggio D 168,258 Gerlach R 714,579 24%
64 AL-03 Segall D 223,616 Rogers R 957,067 23%
65 PA-18 O'Donnell D 200,485 Murphy R 876,171 23%
66 IN-02 Puckett R 155,266 Donnelly D 715,526 22%
67 OH-03 Mitakides D 100,888 Turner R 496,409 20%
68 IL-13 Harper D 103,463 Biggert R 511,741 20%
69 NJ-04 Zeitz D 90,770 Smith R 468,385 19%
70 PA-10 Hackett R 174,569 Carney D 966,458 18%
71 FL-18 Taddeo D 300,532 Ros-Lehtinen R 1,722,168 17%
72 IL-06 Morgenthaler D 163,458 Roskam R 967,286 17%
73 NV-02 Derby D 133,763 Heller R 808,384 17%
74 IA-02 Miller-Meeks R 68,619 Loebsack D 425,501 16%
75 IA-04 Meyer D 108,605 Latham R 677,601 16%
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