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SSP Daily Digest: 4/1

by: Crisitunity

Wed Apr 01, 2009 at 2:08 PM EDT

Site News: SSP is delighted to announce that we've just welcomed our six millionth visitor to the site. Thank you, everyone! (D)

NY-20: The NRCC is already using the paper-thin margin in NY-20 last night as the springboard for a whole new fundraising e-mail pitch: the Dems are trying to "pull a Franken" and "steal" the election in the courts, so please send lawyers, guns, and money. Eric Kleefeld has a thought on why this is good news! For Pete Sessions!

One problem Murphy might have is that Al Franken's lawyers aren't available right now. And in Tedisco's favor, Norm Coleman's attorneys are busy, too.

The Fix has obtained some Democratic projections of how things will shake out after all absentees are counted (they're projecting Murphy by 210). This appears to be based on performance rates in the counties where the absentees came from (in other words, there seem to be disproportionately more absentees coming from pro-Murphy counties than Saratoga).

AK-Sen: It happened a few months too late to save Ted Stevens' job, but the DOJ has finally dropped its frequently-bungled case against Stevens after further instances of prosecutorial misconduct arose.

CT-Sen: One more 'oopsie' for Chris Dodd: he blew through a lot of his campaign war chest on his ill-advised 2008 presidential run (he transferred $4.7 million from his 2010 senate kitty to his presidential campaign). He's currently at only $670K cash on hand, compared with $1.6 million at this same point in his 2004 re-election.

FL-Sen: Kendrick Meek plays Gallant to Chris Dodd's Goofus: he raised a whopping $1.5 million in the first quarter, as he tries to nail down frontrunner status for the Democratic nomination.

CA-Sen: Carly Fiorina, who was briefly sidelined by treatment for breast cancer, seems ready to get back into the political arena. She's "seriously considering" entering the race against Barbara Boxer.

OK-Gov, OK-04: SSP's all-time favorite punching bag, Tom Cole, looks to be staying where he is. He's declined to run for Oklahoma governor, leaving fellow Rep. Mary Fallin in the driver's seat for the GOP nomination.

TX-10: Democrat Jack McDonald, an Austin-area businessman running for the seat of GOP Rep. Mike McCaul, has announced that his campaign has raised over $300,000 in its first five weeks. Those are some pretty impressive numbers at this stage in the game. (J)

NRCC/NRSC: Remember the brouhaha over the big NRCC/NRSC fundraising dinner where no one could figure out whether or not Sarah Palin was going to keynote, where it turned out that the governor's office and SarahPAC had no idea what each other were doing? Well, amateur hour is continuing apace in Anchorage, as now she's off again. In her place, Newt Gingrich (who would have ever predicted the day when Newt Gingrich would be seen, by comparison, as the GOP's sober, rational elder statesman?).

History: PolitickerNY takes an intersting trip down memory lane, looking at some of the greatest hits among previous close House elections, like CT-02 in 1994 and IN-08 in 1984.

Discuss :: (4 Comments)

Congressional races by state KS, NH, OK, RI, WA

by: plf515

Sun Feb 03, 2008 at 8:41 AM EST

These are all states with filing deadlines in June

The numbers after each are a) Cook PVI and b) A rating of the district based on a model I created details here - basically a logistic model based on a lot of demographics; the number is the predicted probability of being Republican, based solely on the demographics (details here .  I also have a model that includes Cook PVI, but, well....I give you the Cook number too.

KS has 4 congressional districts: 2 Democrats and 2 Republicans
NH has 2 congressional districts: Both  Democrats
OK has 5 congressional districts: 1 Democrats and 4 Republicans
RI has 2 congressional districts: Both  Democrats
WA has 9 congressional districts: 6 Democrats and 3 Republicans

There's More... :: (3 Comments, 799 words in story)

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