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MO-06

KS, MO, MI: Pre-Primary FEC Filing Round-up

by: James L.

Thu Jul 24, 2008 at 10:31 PM EDT

On August 5th, congressional primaries will be decided in Kansas, Missouri and Michigan. The FEC requires candidates in these states to file fundraising reports covering the extended period of 4/1 through 7/16 by midnight tonight. We've rounded up all the numbers of interest in a handy chart below (which we've inserted into our 2Q round-up chart):

District Candidate Party 2Q Raised CoH CTD
KS-02 Nancy Boyda D-inc. $235 $892 $1,227
KS-02 Lynn Jenkins R $130 $489 $641
KS-02 Jim Ryun R $440 $223 $1,649
KS-03 Dennis Moore D-inc. $336 $1,140 $1,185
KS-03 Nick Jordan R $472 $616 $861
MI-07 Tim Walberg R-inc. $363 $855 $1,186
MI-07 Mark Schauer D $420 $929 $1,303
MI-09 Joe Knollenberg R-inc. $713 $1,891 $2,547
MI-09 Gary Peters D $570 $1,082 $1,301
MO-06 Sam Graves R-inc. $316 $936 $1,663
MO-06 Kay Barnes D $463 $962 $1,852
MO-09 Judy Baker D $185 $140 $391
MO-09 Steve Gaw D $107 $40 $218
MO-09 Ken Jacob D $24 $73 $54
MO-09 Lyndon Bode D $43 $5 $120
MO-09 Bob Onder R $100 $153 $220
MO-09 Blaine Luetkemeyer R $71 $141 $142

All numbers, of course, are in thousands.

You might notice that our numbers for Kay Barnes don't jive with the figure reported for her by the Politico's Josh Kraushaar. Our chart pegs Barnes' pre-primary fundraising at $463K, while Kraushaar reports that Barnes raised $601K. I'm not sure where Josh is getting his numbers from, but if you look at the actual filing, you'll note that Barnes' net contributions line matches our figure, and her total receipts for the quarter were still well under the Politico's number.

Discuss :: (23 Comments)

MO-06: Barnes Trails by 10 Points

by: James L.

Wed May 21, 2008 at 1:19 AM EDT

SurveyUSA (5/16-18, likely voters):

Kay Barnes (D): 39
Sam Graves (R-inc): 49
Other: 8
Undecided: 5
(MoE: ±4.3%)

Barnes holds Graves under 50%, but she still faces an uphill climb to close the gap.  Anyway you cut it, this one will be a marquee race this fall.

SSP currently rates this race as Leans Republican.

Discuss :: (10 Comments)

GOP's answer to our Red to Blue, BlueMajority, Obamajority, etc...

by: blueandwhite31

Tue Apr 08, 2008 at 12:44 AM EDT

Well, it looks like Boehner is starting to take matters into his own hands and rectify some of Tom Cole's incompetence.

More after the fold...

There's More... :: (2 Comments, 928 words in story)

DCCC Expands Red to Blue Ranks

by: James L.

Wed Mar 12, 2008 at 1:20 PM EDT

Today, the DCCC unveiled the second wave of participants in its Red to Blue program.  The 13 beneficiaries are:

Kay Barnes (MO-06)
Anne Barth (WV-02)
Darcy Burner (WA-08)
Robert Daskas (NV-03)
Steven Driehaus (OH-01)
Jim Himes (CT-04)
Christine Jennings (FL-13)
Larry Kissell (NC-08)
Suzanne Kosmas (FL-24)
Eric Massa (NY-29)
Gary Peters (MI-09)
Mark Schauer (MI-07)
Dan Seals (IL-10)

There are few surprises here, but the committee's stamp of approval given to replacement candidate Anne Barth, who is running against incumbent GOP Rep. Shelley Moore Capito in WV-02 seems indicative of the DCCC's desire to bust open the 2008 playing field in a big way.

Discuss :: (18 Comments)

The DCCC Plays In 14 Districts This Independence Day

by: James L.

Thu Jun 28, 2007 at 10:21 PM EDT

According to The Hill, the DCCC has targeted 14 Republican incumbents for web/phone/radio hits starting on Monday. Here's the full list, including each district's Presidential vote in the last two cycles:

State CD Incumbent Kerry '04 Bush '04 Gore '00 Bush '00
AK AL Young 36 61 28 59
CO 4 Musgrave 41 58 37 57
IL 10 Kirk 53 47 51 47
MI 9 Knollenberg 49 51 47 51
MO 6 Graves 42 57 44 53
NC 8 Hayes 45 54 46 54
NJ 7 Ferguson 47 53 48 49
NM 1 Wilson 51 48 48 47
NV 3 Porter 49 50 49 48
NY 25 Walsh 50 48 51 45
NY 29 Kuhl 42 56 43 53
PA 3 English 47 53 47 51
VA 2 Drake 42 58 43 55
WV 2 Capito 42 57 44 54

However, only seven districts (NC-08, MI-09, AK-AL, NV-03, NY-25, WV-02 and MO-06) are getting the radio ads. But this is a good indicator, perhaps, of the districts that the DCCC plans to aggressively contest next year. While many of these look tough, dynamite candidates in State Senator John Unger and Kansas City Mayor Kay Barnes (MO-06) could very well be map changers.

Discuss :: (9 Comments)
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