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May Elections Calendar

by: James L.

Tue Apr 27, 2010 at 8:28 PM EDT


Elections junkies like us had to suffer through an entire month without a single exciting primary or special election to dissect. (I blame Kay Bailey Hutchison for that one.) But that's just the will of the calendar. As it turns out, our patience will be rewarded, as May is going to be filled to the brim with a number of extremely exciting contests -- primaries of all kinds and special elections alike. We've identified as many noteworthy races as we can think of in the following chart, but if there's anything we're missing, please let us know in the comments!

Needless to say, May is going to be a busy, busy month.

P.S. SSP's complete primary calendar is available here.
James L. :: May Elections Calendar
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May Elections Calendar | 34 comments
May 4th
Wow it really seems to crept up on us. I have seen no primary ads yet. So I really think Hoss could win it, I really do. Also you may want to add the Louisville Mayoral on there. It is a really interesting and fairly important race for sure. Full swing election season has now approached us. Wow.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
Louisville Mayoral Primary
I should say.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
H1-01 special election will be held on May 22.
Saturday, May 22.
Ah, you're right -- we knew that
That was an oversight. We'll fix it.
[ Parent ]
I'm most excited about KY-SEN
I'm somewhat indifferent in Ohio and North Carolina, but I'm very interested in seeing if Paul can pull this thing off (which by all indications he will). I reallllly hope Jack Conway wins... if both happen, I think KY is no doubt a tossup and quite possibly a Dem pickup at the end.

NY-14, DC-AL (college) Distraught Mets fan
KY has such a strong R lean right now
that I would still consider that prospective contest at least Tilt-R.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  
[ Parent ]
Rand Paul is the issue
Paul is really the opposite of what Kentucky likes in a politician.  His libertarian leaning views will be a disappointment in KY if he should win this race.  That being said, I also believed that Bunning was not the type of Republican that KY likes either.  

If Paul and Conway advance, I see this race as "Lean R".  If Grayson was the candidate, this race would be more like "Likely R" or "Safe R".  

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

[ Parent ]
Rand Paul reportedly is not that libertarian
Of course, you may well have read more about his positions than I have.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  
[ Parent ]
I
personally think he is hiding his views until after the election. He has greatly changed most of his views since entering the race. I wouldn't be surprised if he acts like his dad when elected, then running for President in 2012.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
Bingo
We have a winner.

Rand Paul is a closet libertarian.  He's much more like his dad than he wants people to know.

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

[ Parent ]
UT-Sen. also the May 8th Utah GOP state convention
Bennett now seems likely to be booted by coming in third place. And only the top two finishers move on to the GOP primary election.
Bennett on the Brink of Defeat
Currently thinking...
IN-Sen:
Dan Coats - 46%
John Hostettler - 36%
Martin Stuzman - 13%

Perhaps this is giving Jim DeMint too much credit/perception of influence, but I think his endorsement of Stuzman fatally wounded Hostettler's chances here. I might be wrong, but it's looked to me like the rank-and-file would get behind Coats and the teabaggers/libertarians/populists were more partial to Hostettler. Alas, Stuzman now has the seal of approval from King Tea.

NC-Sen:
Elaine Marshall - 45%
Cal Cunningham - 43%
Ken Lewis - 12%

This oughta be a nail-biter. I think Cunningham is probably the better candidate to take on Burr (that Marshall ad is downright atrocious), but Marshall should do very well among women and older voters.

OH-Sen:
Lee Fisher - 58%
Jennifer Brunner - 42%

I'll be completely floored if Brunner wins this. It could be a closer match, perhaps even a little LESS competitive (I could legit see Brunner in the high-30s), but I see no rationale out there for why/how Brunner will win this, unless there's some hidden turnout factor around the corner. It almost seems a given Fisher wins this. I'm 95% sure.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast

NC-Sen
I think NC-Sen is going to a runoff, i.e., no candidate gets 40%.
[ Parent ]
It might...
The big unknown is how much Lewis will win in the primary.  Truth be told, I don't see him getting more than 20%...he'll probably get around 15%.  If that is the case, I imagine either Marshall or Cunningham will obtain 40% of the vote.

I haven't decided who I will vote for.  I prefer Marshall, and she deserves a chance, but I don't see her being electable.  Cunningham is okay, albeit too conservative.  He's probably a little more moderate than McIntyre or Shuler.  However, Cunningham would be much better than Burr, and I also believe Cunningham is electable.

So do I vote with my heart (Marshall) or do I vote with my brain (Cunningham)?  I'll probably will vote for Marshall...

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

[ Parent ]
Marshall GOT her chance in 2002 ...
By your own assessment, she is not electable.  Democrats desperately need to play OFFENSE somewhere.  N.C. and KY are the best opportunities by far, IMO.

Cunningham has a shot and if he wins in May (as opposed to the June runoff), he will be able to conserve resources and starting fundraising as the NOMINEE.  

[ Parent ]
I
think we have a much better shot in MO, NH, and OH than in KY. Even with Paul as the nominee.  

Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  
[ Parent ]
Teabag-powered challenges
Howard Coble in NC-06 and Patrick McHenry in NC-10 both have challengers from the teabagger set.

In KY-03, there's a five-way contest to face off against John Yarmuth. Pizza baron Jeff Reetz seems to be the favorite.

Virginia will hold municipal elections on May 4, which is probably not of interest to out-of-state people, except that Newport News mayoral candidate McKinley Price is part of the bitchin' moustache club.

UK Election
Next week is going to be golden!! (and that is not meant as a lib dem vitory pun)
Like the Beach Boys
I can't wait for June! We will have a million more primaries including in California, and I will be watching them from Arizona!

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
Iowa primaries are on June 8
I'll be particularly watching the GOP primaries for governor and IA-03, but there's an interesting GOP primary in IA-02 and in some statehouse districts.
[ Parent ]
There's a ton to watch in the California primaries, on both sides.
I will post a diary on the races I'm watching.

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Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
And CA primaries are also June 8.


My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)
[ Parent ]
I wish Halter had more time
Getting ahead of Lincoln by the middle of May is going to be a tall order.
It may go to a runoff
if that D.C. Morrison guy draws off enough of the vote.
[ Parent ]
OH-18
It will be interesting to see who wins the repub nomination in OH-18.  The NRCC has endorsed state senator Gibbs, and the OH republican party has done a few mail pieces for him, but he hasn't raised any money and the Tea Party has been very active around a few other candidates.
Don't forget Utah
May 8 is Utah, and it might be fun to throw the British election in there just since it's gotten some airtime here recently.

22, male, VA-10
Pennsylvania Democrat Here.
  This is the most exciting primary season since I've started voting (2004).  I will be filling out my absentee ballot this weekend.  Hoeffel, Sestak, and Lentz are my choices.  Hoeffel will not win, but I'd rather Onorato win than Wagner.  I do not compromise in primaries - I leave the compromising to the general election.  Sestak still has a chance.  Lentz apparently is the only Democrat on the PA-07 ballot.

24, Male, GA-05
As Molly Ivins used to say
"In primaries, vote with your heart.
In general elections, vote with your head."

[ Parent ]
I can't wait for May 4th.
So I can vote for Elaine Marshall.
NC
doesn't have early voting?

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/
[ Parent ]
Early voting isnt nearly as fun
There's just something about going on the actual day for me.
[ Parent ]
May 11th Special Election in GA 09
Basically a GOP primary now that Mike Freeman, the only Democrat, has dropped out but is still on the ballot because he qualified.  
Actually he may be back in the Special
[ Parent ]
May 18th will be my fave night of the cycle
Since Election Day will probably be a bit of a kick in balls.
May Elections Calendar | 34 comments

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