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SSP Daily Digest: 4/15 (Afternoon Edition)

by: Crisitunity

Thu Apr 15, 2010 at 4:15 PM EDT


CA-Sen: Russian law enforcement officers raided Hewlett-Packard's Moscow offices today, as part of an investigation into whether HP paid millions in bribes to the Russian government to win a large contract. Why are we leading with this story today? Guess who was CEO of HP in 2003, when the contract was executed? That's right... Carly Fiorina.

CO-Sen: Ken Buck, the right-wing Weld County DA who's become a fave of the teabagger set (to the extent that establishment GOPer Jane Norton isn't even looking to compete at the activist-dominated state assembly), just received the endorsement of hard-right starmaker Jim DeMint. (Buck's last quarter wasn't that impressive, though: $219K raised, $417K CoH.)

CT-Sen: Here's an indication of the savvy investment skills that got Linda McMahon to the top. She revealed that she self-financed another $8 million this quarter, bringing her total self-funding all cycle to $14 million. (She also raised $37K from others.) What was the return on her gigantic investment? Now she's down a mere 25-or-so points to a guy who speaks in 10-minute-long run-on sentences. Meanwhile, ex-Rep. Rob Simmons, who has to rely on the kindness of strangers instead, has seen his fundraising get drier in a post-Chris Dodd environment; he raised only $550K last quarter.

IN-Sen: Here's a big fat fundraising fail, although it may explain why he didn't see any shame in missing the reporting deadline. Republican ex-Sen. Dan Coats' comeback bid managed to pull in a whopping $379K last quarter. (He has $331K CoH.)

MO-Sen: Roy Blunt is doubling down on the stingy: he reiterated his desire to repeal HCR, even the part about making sure that people with preexisting conditions are able to get coverage. He also lost another skirmish in the perception battle today, as Robin Carnahan narrowly outraised him for the first quarter, $1.5 million to $1.3 million.

NH-Sen, NH-01: In the New Hampshire Senate race, Kelly Ayotte and Paul Hodes are pretty closely matched fundraising-wise: she raised $671K in Q1 with $1.3 million CoH, while he raised $665K with $1.7 million CoH. Ayotte's GOP primary opponent, William Binnie, raised $400K from donors even though he's mostly focused on self-funding; he's sitting on $1.7 million CoH, despite having been advertising constantly. In the 1st, Rep. Carol Shea-Porter, never much of a fundraiser, had a so-so quarter; she raised $168K and sits on $485K.

NV-Sen: Although she's been dwindling in the polls, don't quite count out former Assemblywoman Sharron Angle yet. The Tea Party Express endorsed the one-time Club for Growth favorite in the GOP Senate primary.

PA-Sen: Arlen Specter continues to be the cash king in the Pennsylvania Senate race, now sitting on a $9 million warchest, but he was substantially outraised by Pat Toomey in the last quarter. Specter raised $1.1 million in the first quarter, half of Toomey's haul.

GA-Gov, GA-Sen: It's strange we've been dropping the ball on mentioning this poll for almost a week now, as it's good news for Democrats. Research 2000 polled the general election in the Georgia gubernatorial race, and found ex-Gov. Roy Barnes narrowly ahead in all three configurations. He leads expected GOP nominee Insurance Comm. John Oxendine, 45-42, ex-Rep. Nathan Deal 44-42, and ex-SoS Karen Handel 44-43. AG Thurbert Baker, if he somehow gets the Dem nod, loses 48-36 to Oxendine, 48-35 to Deal, and 49-35 to Handel. Over in the Senate race, GOP incumbent Johnny Isakson looks pretty safe: he beats Baker 50-34 and Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond 53-26 (not that either one is planning to run).

ME-Gov: Good news for Dems turned into bad over the course of a few days; social conservative Michael Heath (former head of the Maine Family Policy Council) launched an independent bid earlier this week (which would only serve to hurt the GOP), then did an about face and pulled the plug on it today. There's already one prominent indie candidate in the race, environmental lawyer Eliot Cutler, who seems poised to draw more from Dems than the GOP.

OR-Gov: Here's a camera-ready moment from last night's debate between Democratic party candidates John Kitzhaber and Bill Bradbury at the University of Oregon. In response to calls of "is there a doctor in the house?" when an elderly audience member started having a seizure, Kitzhaber (a former emergency room doctor) hopped down from the podium, stabilized him, and once an ambulance had arrived, resumed debating.

CA-03: Ami Bera continues to do well on the fundraising front; he raised $380K in the first quarter, and is sitting on $977K CoH as he prepares for a tough challenge to Republican Rep. Dan Lungren.

DE-AL: We're going to have a big-dollar race in the at-large seat in Delaware, which just had the entry of two different Republicans with the capacity to self-finance large sums. Democratic ex-LG John Carney is working hard to stay in the same ballpark; he raised $255K in the first quarter and sits on $675K.

FL-08: Could we still see The Devil vs. Daniel Webster? Rep. Alan Grayson repelled the socially conservative former state Senator many months ago, forcing the NRCC to scramble to find a lesser replacement (businessman Bruce O'Donoghue seems to be their preferred pick, although state Rep. Kurt Kelly is also in the race). But now people close to Webster say he's giving some consideration to getting back in the race (apparently undaunted by Grayson's huge Q1 haul). Insiders seem to think that's unlikely, though, given the late date.

FL-19: Congratulations to our newest Democratic Congressperson, Rep. Ted Deutch. The winner of Tuesday's special election was sworn in this afternoon.

NY-01: The battle of the rich guys is on, in the GOP primary in the 1st. Facing well-connected Randy Altschuler, Chris Cox (son of state chair Ed Cox, and grandson of Richard Nixon) whipped out his own large balance sheet. He raised $735K for the quarter, and has $624K CoH. (Cox loaned himself $500K.)

NY-20: Republican Chris Gibson seems to have finally locked down the GOP slot in the 20th, but he has a deep hole to dig his way out of, against Rep. Scott Murphy's seven-digit warchest. Gibson raised $109K and has $92K CoH.

OH-13: Wealthy car dealer Tom Ganley is moving even more of his own money into his uphill race against Rep. Betty Sutton. He loaned himself another $2 million (although apparently his cupboard was bare before he did so, as now his CoH is also $2 million). Sutton, seeming caught off-guard by Ganley's entry, raised only $135K and is sitting on $281K.

PA-06: Rep. Jim Gerlach raised $500K in his first quarter, after his belated decision to come back for his old job; he only has $335K CoH, though. Democratic opponent Doug Pike raised $225K but has $1.2 million CoH. (No word yet from his primary opponent, Manan Trivedi.)

PA-07: Republican ex-US Attorney Pat Meehan continues to have a fundraising edge over Democratic state Rep. Bryan Lentz in the open seat in the 7th; Meehan raised $340K and has $855K CoH, while Lentz raised $235K and has $610K CoH.

PA-08: Ex-Rep. Mike Fitzpatrick put up showy numbers a few days ago in his quest to get his seat back, but Rep. Patrick Murphy surpassed Fitzpatrick's $510K. Murphy raised $586K and has $1.3 million CoH.

PA-11: Finally, in Pennsylvania, Rep. Paul Kanjorski had a decent quarter, raising $260K (less than Lou Barletta's $300K, but Kanjo has a mammoth CoH advantage, sitting on $1.2 million. Kanjorski's Democratic primary rival Corey O'Brien has quite the burn rate: he raised $115K this quarter, but has only $47K CoH.

Teabaggers: The Tea Party Express also issued a full target list today (no gun sights on their districts, though), and as befits their role as the corporate arm of the teabaggers, their goals aren't that much different from those of the NRSC and NRCC. Top targets are (with the odd toss-in exception of Barney Frank) just the usual names considered most likely to lose, making it easy for them to claim they claimed some scalps come November: Harry Reid, Blanche Lincoln, Betsy Markey, Tom Perriello, and so on. They also list some heroes, and in the interest of bipartisan cover, they actually included a Democrat. In what's not a surprise, it was ID-01's Walt Minnick. (Wouldn't it be ironic if their endorsement actually helped Minnick, likely to face a very close race this year, squeak by?) Also, on the teabagger front, Some Dude over at Salon looks at Tea Partier demographics and the roots of their resentments.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 4/15 (Afternoon Edition)
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me-gov
given the weak field on both sides, maine's history and independent streak and the anti-establishment mood, eliot could win.  it's not impossible, especially in maine.

Top ten signs you're an SSPer #1: your favorite song is "Panic At Tedisco" and no one understands what you mean.

NC-Sen
The Democratic primary debate was held last night, I'm surprised that didn't end up in the digest today. I was already an Elaine Marshall supporter, but I thought she did a good job and gave the best answers. Cal Cunningham seemed a bit too rehearsed in his responses and his arm movements while talking were kind of over the top. I think that Elaine won the debate honestly because her answers seemed more authentic and on topic and I still think she can win the primary while avoiding a runoff (+40%).

News story: http://www.newsobserver.com/20...


IA-Sen: Conlin out-raised Grassley in 1Q
Leading Democratic candidate Roxanne Conlin gave her Senate campaign $250,000 during the first quarter of 2010 and raised nearly $630,000 from other donors (she is not accepting PAC donations). She has about $1 million cash on hand.

Five-term incumbent Chuck Grassley raised $613,577 in the first quarter and has about $5.3 million cash on hand.

I am surprised that Conlin was able to out-raise the incumbent for the quarter even if you don't count her own large contribution to the campaign.

More discussion over in the recent diary section.


I wonder what Meek's fundraising
looked like this quarter. For him to have a chance I think he'd need at a haul of at least 2 million.

[ Parent ]
I'm starting to think Meek needs to go onto the Netroots-endorsed lists


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
I agree with Blumenthal
Meek has done an amazing job so far.  I still don't think he's going to win, but Blumenthal's right, with World War Three going on over on the GOP side, I'd keep an eye on this race.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...

[ Parent ]
It seems there was method to the madness of qualifying by petition
(collecting over 140,000) rather than simply paying the $10K fee.
While Democratic candidates nationwide may be up against an enthusiasm gap, Meek has a shot at generating the same sort of enthusiasm within Florida as benefited Obama in 2008 (with the side benefit of having all those first time voters that the Obama campaign registered two years ago). Meek's successful petition effort is a sign that his campaign is putting the requisite field mechanism into place for just such an effort.

That's another reason why Crist is doomed even if he decides to run as an indy: what sort of a field operation can be assembled from scratch in such a short time frame, especially in a state as large as FL?


[ Parent ]
I agree with Mark too.
This year's elections are shaping up to be very interesting.

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
GA-Gov
I'm going to go out on a limb and say I think Karen Handel will be the Republican nominee.  Handel started very far down against Oxendine, but the Ox has been making gaffe after gaffe, starting with that ridiculous Web ad and just going from there.  Add to that Nathan Deal's ethics woes, and I see Handel coming out on top.

I do think Barnes will beat any of those three, though.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...


I hope so
She is the strongest general election candidate and the only one of the 3 big ones without ethical problems.

[ Parent ]
She is the strongest
But she's also going to have a lot of trouble raising money to compete with Barnes.

Really, it's too bad for you guys that Casey Cagle didn't run.  No bruising primary; no Roy Barnes; Cagle could have romped to victory.  Our chances in GA only materialized because of Cagle's back pain.

The Crolian Progressive: as great an adventure as ever I heard of...


[ Parent ]
Once she won the nomination
She'd do better. Also, she has the benefit of being able to raise $$ during the legislative session since she resigned, something Oxedine can't do.  

[ Parent ]
If I weren't an Atheist
I'd pray for an Oxendine-Deal runoff.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
UK Debate Reaction
They've just had their first televised election debate ever - and the reactions are starting to come in. One source - http://www.ukpollingreport.co....

YouGov has Nick Clegg, LDP leader, winning

Clegg    51%
Cameron  29%
Brown    19%


Funny (NV-Sen)
Halperin is blasting that Ashjian is staying on the Tea Party ballot line in Nevada, but no picture of Ashjian, just a smiling Reid.

Loves it.

I love Reid's take on this regarding his re-election prospects and the number of candidates: do the math.


Ashjian
Wasn't Ashjian's mug shot available to use? ;)

[ Parent ]
What is up with Florida?
Would Crist as an indy caucus with Dems? That would be great and is another reason I'm praying for him to switch over.

I think we have a better chance with Meek.
Polls have shown him doing better against Rubio than Crist would as a Democrat.  And most polls I've seen show a three-way race going to Rubio.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
My best case scenario
Contrary to some beliefs, I think it would be best for Meek's prospects if Crist stayed with the Republicans.  I think Crist will not be blown out by Rubio because some of Crist's attacks will eventually stick.  If we can have a nasty Republican primary, and Rubio emerges (barely, and bloodied), I have a feeling that many of the Crist supporters will be reluctant to vote for Rubio, or not even voting at all.  I might be whistling a bit in the dark, but a nasty primary in the South has a history of causing a blow up in the general election.  Meek has not done anything to hurt his chances either.    

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

[ Parent ]
I agree.
Let Rubio and Crist destroy each other for months and possibly develop and center-right rift within the Republican Party.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
Hello, Kansas!
A split between the moderates and crazies sure helped us there.

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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
Yep.
And they have less room to fuck up in Florida (swing state that went Democratic last time) than they did in Kansas (crimson state).

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
$11 Million
That's the amount Evan Bayh is still hoarding right now.
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/ey...

Would he be allowed to transfer that to a Gov campaign
if he were to run for IN Gov in '12?

Or could he save that for a Presidential run in '16?


[ Parent ]
he could save it for a presidential run, I think
but I don't think he can transfer it to a gubernatorial race. Someone here correct me if I'm wrong.

[ Parent ]
Not 100%, but I think he can


Proud member of the Indiana Democratic Party from IN-9.  

[ Parent ]
If he runs for Governor in '12 can he transfer it to a state account?


[ Parent ]
I don't think so
I don't think Indiana is one of the states that lets you transfer from a federal to state account. However, he could return it to the donors if they pledged to donate to his gubernatorial campaign.  

[ Parent ]
I thought he could
but I am not from Indiana so I am not sure but I thought I read that somewhere.

[ Parent ]
I know Coats didn't get in until February
But that really looks stunningly bad to me for a former senator recruited by the national party.

I agree--very weak
Roxanne Conlin raised about $600K in 4Q after getting in the IA-Sen race in late October. Coats is so well-connected that he should have been able to raise more than that.

[ Parent ]
Louisiana fundraising roundup
Louisiana Senate: Melancon raised $543K, with $2.26 million on hand.  Not too bad, but much less than Vitter, who earlier announced he raised more than $1 million, with $5 million on hand. http://www.nola.com/politics/i...

LA-2: Cao raised only $101K, spent more than raised.  After MA-Sen I'm not taking anything for granted, but it's even harder than ever to see Cao reelected.  Not that it was ever likely.  

http://mobile.twitter.com/stat...

LA-3: I wrote about this earlier: Democrat Ravi Sangisetty had a good quarter, raising $215K, with $375K on hand.  This one bears watching.  http://hotlineoncall.nationalj...

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



Meek
is down 4 in a head-to-head against Rubio

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x129...

NY-14, DC-AL (college) Distraught Mets fan


Gillibrand gets another challeger
 From Wall Street. But he does not look too dangerous.

http://www.thealbanyproject.co...

for more election analysis, visit  http://frogandturtle.blogspot....




17, CA-06,  


Probably the scariest
He has more money than Blakeman, connections to Giuliani and Wall Street, and he has never held elective office. He can play the outsider card the best. He is also younger, smarter, and richer than DioGuardi. Gillibrand has focused most of her attacks on him since he announced. She attacked him more at his announcement than Blakeman and DioGuardi, so she must be most afraid of him.  

[ Parent ]
I respectfully disagree
While Malpass will have the most cash to spare of the three (followed closely by Blakeman and then DioGuardi lagging way behind), I can't imagine a fmr. Bear-Sterns chief economist winning statewide in New York.

I think Blakeman could surprise people; he's very telegenic, pro-choice, widely-known in the NYC suburbs, has the ability to self-finance (to an extent), and knows the ins-and-outs of running a statewide campaign (he was the Comptroller nominee in 1998). I think he has the ability to beat Gillibrand among Indies if the climate is bad enough.

And then there's DioGuardi, who I imagine could be the front-runner to actually win the nod. The thing is, DioGuardi's more like the candidates you'll see run on New York's Conservative Party line; he's not your average NY Republican...he's an Reagan-style, '80s New York GOP-er, the kind who were around when Al D'Amato was winning by an 18% margin in his re-election bid. He'll be beloved by that crowd, but moderates won't come around.

My suspicion is Malpass will run well w/ NYC Republicans, and have problems as he goes upstate. Blakeman will run up a score on Long Island, and DioGuardi will win Westchester County.

In a New York GOP primary, the breakdown in electorate geographically should be something like...

Upstate - 65%
Long Island - 20%
NYC - 15%

If I'm correct about Malpass, the City's GOP won't get him anywhere. I think DioGuardi will play well in rural upstate NY and Blakeman will do better in the most urban Albany/Buffalo/Rochester hotspots.

So, let's say for instance the breakdown is something like...

UP LI NYC
Blakeman - 45/60/30 = 46%
DioGuardi - 35/35/20 = 33%
Malpass - 20/15/50 = 21%

Those are very rough numbers, but they showcase what a curiously-polarized primary this could be. And, that's assuming the likes of Edward Diana and C. Scott Vanderhoef don't run as well.

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast


[ Parent ]
Allen West Outraises some Senate campaigns, comes within 300k of tieing Crist
Some of this was due to BMW Direct (though obviously a lot wasn't)
http://www.rollcall.com/issues...

He has $1.1 Million on hand- that's still a lot though less than half of Klein's $2.4 million as of last quarter.  

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Its alot for a challenger tho
He doesnt seem to have been ripped off as bad by BMW Direct as other candidates

[ Parent ]
BMW direct
BMW direct seems to rip-off most of its candidates in order to heavily fund 1 or 2 possible winners.  They rob Peter to pay Paul.

26, D, MO-05, Hispanic

[ Parent ]
West is different from most of their clients/ victims because much of his fundraising is real
Still, it does exaggerate his numbers a bit.  But no denying he has real people giving him money.

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
No denying overall it was a good quarter
Still, his burn rate is fairly big: he raised $838,449 but went from $707K COH to $1.1 million COH.  That's definitely a lot but still a pretty big burn rate for a candidate at this stage.  To make a comparison, Kosmos had $834K on hand last quarter, raised $260K this time, and is sitting on >$1 million.  A bit smaller of a burn rate.  Or Ami Bera: he had $740K in December, raised $380K, and now has $977K.  Burn rate a bit less.  (those two examples were fairly randomly chosen btw)

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Let me put these numbers another way
West kept about 47% of the money he raised last quarter.  By contrast Kosmos kept 64% of her money, and Bera kept 62%.  Now maybe West is doing some big fundraising blitz or those two campaigns are stingy with their money, or I messed up with my math, but he does have a bigger burn rate than they do by a noticeable amount.  

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
One more example: Alan Grayson
He started the quarter with 939K, ended with $1,500,000 million, and raised %803K.  He kept about 70% of the money he raised.  (These are the only examples I've looked at.  If there are any candidates who didn't have a BMW like fundraising scheme but have a high burnrate I'll bring it up if I see it).

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Also Roxanne Conlin
She had about $500K on hand at the start of the 1Q, raised $630K from donors plus $250K loan from herself, ended w/$1 million cash on hand.

[ Parent ]
She kept 73.5% of the money she kept in by my count
I'm not sure what the burn-rate should be this at this point in the cycle, but definitely not 50%.  

This isn't to say we shouldn't take West seriously- BMW or not he's bringing in money.  But he is not as terrifying as the initial numbers would indicate.  

21, male, CA-15 (home and voting there), LA-2 (college)



[ Parent ]
Crist's Career As a Republican over?
Veto of GOP backed education bid causes Connie Mack (the former senator, not congressman) to resign as chairman of campaign. http://thehill.com/blogs/ballo...
I think before next week is over, we'll have an interesting 3 way here.  

I think Meek's chances are ok
if he has the resources to boost his name recognition. There are tons of Democrats and D-leaning independents who don't know much about him.

[ Parent ]
I think Crist's would sink
Sure, he has alot of money now, but how much of that would he end up returning to donors who want their money back? He will have no party support. I think he could come in 3rd place. I'd laugh

[ Parent ]
Crist
could drop out now and be the nominee against Nelson in 12.  This is suicide.

Libertarian secular Republican, MO-7

[ Parent ]
If he stays in the GOP primary after having done that veto
I'll send the poor guy $5.

[ Parent ]
So I attended a Tax Day Tea Party Rally
today.  I did the same thing last year.  My observations:

(1) This one was much better attended.

(2) The signs and messages were more issue-focused than last year.  Last year, I couldn't have told you what the movement was about other than "Obama is a monkey/tyrant/Hitler."  This year it was at least clear that their complaints were about spending and taxes (apparently disapproving of the lowest tax rates in 60 years).  The ad hominem messages were there, but not in the majority.

(3) The level of vitriol seemed to be down and directed proportionally more towards Congress rather than Obama as compared to last year.  Not to say there wasn't a lot of Obama hate.

I am left with the clear impression that the movement is gaining steam and becoming more mainstream.  I don't know how to deal with it, but I do know that the Democrats are not generally dealing with it effectively, at least if the rally I attended is any indication.  

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


Really?!?!
I get the exact opposite impression, and I've been to several of these things.  I think they are losing steam.  They don't seem to be getting as many people at the rallys and the people that are there are died in the wool partisans.  I haven't seen to many swing voters at these things they are mostly folks who would never vote for a D if there lives depended on it.

[ Parent ]
i dont think
There are swing voters there.  Just less crazy than last time.  May just be peculiar to my location - tampa.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11

[ Parent ]
Our Guys Have To Turn Out
That's the bottom line. If they do that'll limit the electoral damage this November to the truly low hanging fruit.  

36, M, Democrat, MD-03

[ Parent ]
Yeah
but I also think we have to do a better job of messaging and voter education, and maybe that will happen once campaigns are in full swing.  What struck me about the Tea Party rally was the amount of pure misinformation motivating these people.  Although I have no delusions that there were swing voters there, I couldn't help thinking that maybe even a few of these folks are persuadable in the long run given that their views were clearly built on a foundation of bullshit.  

But we have been losing the swing voters too.  Obama's approach seems to be to plod along and try to make good policy, and let public perception change gradually.  There must be a better way to use the megaphone than what he's doing.

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


[ Parent ]
Along those lines
this is very good news.

http://www.politico.com/news/s...

34, WM, Democrat, FL-11


[ Parent ]
More fundraising numbers
Don't have time to go through all of them, I made it through Indiana:

AL-02:

Bobby Bright (D) - $176k raised, $658k on hand
Martha Roby (R) - $127k raised, $223k on hand

AL-05:

Steve Raby (D) - $185k raised, $187k on hand
Mo Brooks (R) - $41k raised, $214k on hand
Parker Griffith (R) - $152k raised (he had to refund $94k!), $412k on hand

AR-01:

Tim Woolridge (D) - $240k raised, $181k on hand

AR-02:

David Boling (D) - $160k raised + $100k loans, $210k on hand
Joyce Elliott (D) - $123k raised, $99k on hand
Robbie Wills (D) - $327k raised, $221k on hand
Tim Griffin (R) - $184k raised, $404k on hand

AR-04:

Mike Ross (D) - $233k raised, $1.12m on hand

AZ-08:

Jesse Kelly (R) - $95k raised, $206k on hand

CA-03:

Dan Lungren (R) - $220k raised, $650k on hand

CA-11:

Brad Goehring (R) - $131k raised, $437k on hand
David Harmer (R) - $381k raised, $327k on hand

CA-18:

Dennis Cardoza (D) - $151k raised, $525k on hand
Mike Berryhill (R) - $21k raised + $225k loans, $244k on hand

CA-44:

Ken Calvert (R) - $264k raised, $702k on hand

CA-45:

Mary Bono Mack (R) - $336k raised, $1.074m on hand

CA-47:

Loretta Sanchez (D) - $259k raised, $1.077m on hand
Van Tran (R) - $86k raised, $312k on hand

CO-03:

John Salazar (D) - $303k raised, $1.1m on hand

CO-04:

Cory Gardner (R) - $273k raised, $539k on hand

CT-04:

Thomas Hermann (R) - $83k + $300k loan, $365k on hand

FL-02:

Allen Boyd (D) - $230k raised, $1.52m on hand
William Southerland (R) - $155k raised, $157k on hand

FL-08:

Bruce O'Donoghue (R) - $305k raised + $50k loans, $309k on hand

FL-24:

Suzanne Kosmas (D) - $263k raised, $1.038m on hand
Sandy Adams (R) - $73k raised + $100k loan, $168k on hand
Karen Diebel (R) - $118k raised, $221k on hand

GA-08:

Jim Marshall (D) - $407k raised, $850k on hand

GA-12:

John Barrow (D) - $203k raised, $825k on hand
Regina Thomas (D) - $10k raised, $4k on hand

HI-01:

Ed Case (D) - $157k raised, $214k on hand

IA-03:

Leonard Boswell (D) - $167k raised, $578k on hand

ID-01:

Vaughn Ward (R) - $168k raised, $290k on hand

IL-11:

Debbie Halvorson (D) - $419k raised, $1.25m on hand
Adam Kinzinger (R) - $224k raised, $299k on hand

IN-02:

Jackie Walorski (R) - $167k raised, $201k on hand

IN-08:

Larry Bucshon (R) - $90k raised + $50k loans, $163k on hand

IN-09:

Baron Hill (D) - $234k raised, $908k on hand
Todd Young (R) - $139k raised, $226k on hand


I apologize
running on 5 hours of sleep and pre-coffee--

does Parker Griffith's money raised figure have the refunded money subtracted? is that the net amount of money raised or the amount raised separate from the refunding?

21, dude, RI-01 (registered) IL-01 (college)
please help Japan. click "donate funds" in upper right and then "Japan Earthquake and Pacific Tsunami." http://www.redcross.org/


[ Parent ]
Yes, that's the net receipts.


[ Parent ]
The SSP Editors
Always make a really awesome comprehensive table of numbers if you dont want to kill yourself going through them.  But if you do like killing yourself, by all means.  Theirs usually takes awhile as they have to wait for all the numbers.

[ Parent ]
I enjoy it, but then, I have no life.


[ Parent ]
NV-Sen: Tea Party endores Angle over Ashjian
No surprise, methinks. Angle's problem is Lowden and Tarkanian are also running as teabag-friendly outsiders; there's no establishment figure for her to run against, except Harry Reid of course.

http://www.lasvegassun.com/new...

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast


NY-AG: Holtzman with commanding lead in Dem primary
That is, if she runs, although she paid for the damn poll, so read what you want into that. Her favorables are 47/5 among registered Dems.

http://www.nydailynews.com/blo...

For daily political commentary, visit me at http://polibeast.blogspot.com/ and http://twitter.com/polibeast


In time everyone forgets...
I guess with enought time everyone forgets the scandals that surrounded her time as NYC Comptroller.

AG race should be one to watch. On the GOP side if St Sen. John Flanagan runs watch for Randy Altschuler (and his cash) in NY-1 to drop down to the state senate race and Cox to have the GOP nod all to himself.

Fight global warming & help disaster relief efforts by raising money for Music for Relief when you search the web! Click here for more info:
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[ Parent ]
It's a shame
If Liz had defeated Al D'Amato in 1980 she surely would have been the VP candidate, rather than Ferraro, in '84. But why is she trying to make a comeback now, at 70? I luv her, but it's time for new blood.

[ Parent ]
GA-Sen: Thurmond leaning toward running
Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond says he's leaning toward a run.

http://www.gwinnettdailypost.c...

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.


I gather he's won statewide twice
and his basic bio is promising

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/M...

Any info on his positions on the issues?


[ Parent ]
Three times actually
1998, 2002, and 2006.  He's never gotten above 55%, but those last two races where bad years for Democrats at the top of the ticket.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
He sounds like a credible candidate
Especially since he's held political office since 1998.  I don't feel that Isakson is particulary a popular Senator, but I'm not from GA so I could be wrong.

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

[ Parent ]
I'm going to askt he same of him that is asked of Thurbert Baker
Can an African American win statewide in Georgia at the top of the ballot where everyone knows what their race is, especially in a negative year for democrats/incumbents?

26, Male, Democrat, TX-26

[ Parent ]
No way to know
unless it's tested.

I mean, who thought a black, fairly liberal Northern Democrat could have won a Presidential election in 2008, and with Southern states including North Carolina voting for him?

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
And Georgia coming pretty damn close to voting for him, too.


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
5% margin of victory
for McCain, and the Senate seat in a runoff.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
This sounds very definitive
"I'm happy that he announced himself well and recooperated [sic - should be recuperated]," Thurmond said. "But I'm running for the seat. I don't see myself necessarily running against Johnny Isakson."

How do you run for a seat that's occupied by a man running for reelection without running against that man? However, if what Thurmond means is that he will be presenting a positive vision that inspires people to vote for him, and not merely against Isakson, that's exactly the right thing to do.

"I'm not a member of any organized political party, I'm a Democrat!"
--  Will Rogers  


[ Parent ]
You're right.
That makes it sound like he's made up his mind and only the formality of a big announcement event remains.

Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
AZ-Sen
Apparently McCain is only leading Hayworth by 5 points.

http://www.rasmussenreports.co...

While I take ras polls with a grain of salt, I actually hope this is the case, Hayworth is damaged goods, and getting Glassman into the senate would be fantastic.

20, Male, Democrat, CA-44 (home) CA-12 (college)


Isnt he only 31?
Him in 2010 and Giffords in 2012 would be an absolute treat.  Although two Tuscon Senators, that'd sure bug the Phoenix metro area I bet.

[ Parent ]
Possibly.
Though having both Senators, plus the House Speaker, from San Francisco doesn't seem to bother SoCal all that much. (And I know Phoenix makes up a far greater share of Arizona than L.A. does California.)

My blog
Twitter
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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
And, I don't know about Phoenix vs. Tucson
but L.A. and S.F. have a long-standing rivalry, especially since the Giants and the Dodgers brought their rivalry across the country from New York more than 50 years ago, though it doesn't seem to translate into where the Senators come from.

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]

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