I am predicting that the Democrats will lose 28 seats (net) in the 2010 mid-term elections. I believe we will win 5 seats held by the Republicans, while losing 33 Democrat-held seats.
I have already listed what I consider the 22 most vulnerable Democratic seats in the 2010 mid-term elections. Thanks to all who have provided feedback.
33 most vulnerable Democratic-held seats in the 2010 mid-term elections
The first 22 seats were listed in my previous thread. Without further delay, here is my final list of the 33 most vulnerable House seats:
I should point out that in my own handicapping of these races, several of the above races are listed as "Tossup-Tilt D". I believe we will win several of these races. However, as most of you know, many of these races will be a nail-biter that could go either way. If it wasn't for the current political environment swinging against the Democrats, I would believe we would retain at least half of these seats. It's only February, so maybe the Democrats will pick up some momentum and retain many vulnerable seats.
As a side note, this exercise has been a lot of fun, and I really appreciate everyone providing insight on these races. Feel free to comment on potential substitutes that can replace any of these seats that I have listed.