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SSP Daily Digest: 7/17

by: Crisitunity

Fri Jul 17, 2009 at 1:35 PM EDT


NH-Sen: You may remember several weeks ago when John Sununu reassured the rabble that Kelly Ayotte was, in fact, a fire-breathing conservative. A recent hire, though, suggests she might be trying to position herself as a New England moderate -- she brought aboard Thomas Daffron for her campaign, a former Susan Collins consultant and CoS to William Cohen. Which, again, will only increase the likelihood of a Fred Tausch and/or Ovide Lamontagne challenge from the right.

NY-Sen-B: Harry Reid weighed in on the New York Senate primary, endorsing Kirsten Gillibrand, calling her a "rising star in the Democratic caucus." Meanwhile, Joe Trippi, who's been working for the Carolyn Maloney campaign (for which he received $10K in the second quarter), got busted for one of blogging's cardinal sins when posting at HuffPo: not disclosing a paid relationship with a candidate.

AK-Gov: Sean Parnell isn't even Governor yet (he takes over on the 26th), and would-be rivals are already sizing him up. The former state House Speaker, John Harris, announced that he'll run against Parnell in the 2010 GOP primary. Which may seem odd, since Parnell is nowhere near as polarizing as predecessor Sarah Palin... but that may be exactly what's motivating the more combative Harris, as he may think the inoffensive Parnell is something of a pushover, as seen by Parnell's inability to close the deal against corrupt Don Young in the 2008 GOP House primary.

MN-Gov: The field keeps growing, as two more Republicans made it official in the last couple days that they're candidates for the gubernatorial nomination next year: state Senator David Hann and former state Auditor Pat Anderson.

NY-Gov: AG Andrew Cuomo's mouth may be saying that he's not running against David Paterson in next year's gubernatorial primary, but his wallet says otherwise. Cuomo raised $5.1 million in the last six months, which more than doubles up on Paterson, who raised $2.3 million in the same period.

CO-04: The media war over cap-and-trade continues in CO-04 as well as in VA-05; the Environmental Defense Action Fund (paid for by green energy companies) is running a thank-you ad on TV in favor of Rep. Betsy Markey's cap-and-trade vote. She's already had a thank-you TV ad from Americans United for Change run in her favor, and been the target of NRCC robocalls as well (but no TV from them, at least yet).

FL-10: More bad PR for Rep. Bill Young, whose bad fundraising quarter suggests he might be looking to cash in his chips. Young had to kill a $4 million earmark for St. Petersburg defense contractor Conax, after Conax was raided by federal agents several days ago. Conax has been a frequent recipient of the largesse of Young, the ranking Republican on Appropriations, to the tune of $28.5 million in earmarks since 2005. (Perhaps not coincidentally, Young received $123,000 in contributions in the last two years from defense contractors for whom he's seeking earmarks this  year.)

FL-13: With Rep. Vern Buchanan facing big legal questions over sketchy campaign finance practices, Dems need to have someone credible on deck here to capitalize in case Buchanan implodes. Looks like they've found a credible challenger: pastor and former Bradenton city councilor James Golden.

MN-06: With local heavyweight state Sen. Tarryl Clark jumping into the Democratic field, 2008 candidate Elwyn Tinklenberg (who came within 3 points of unseating Rep. Michele Bachmann) is making noises that he may go all the way to the primary regardless of what Clark does. In most states, that wouldn't be the least bit surprising, but remember that Minnesota picks its DFL nominees by nominating endorsing convention prior to the primary and it's highly unusual to see contested primaries. With former UM regent Maureen Reed clearly also a serious candidate (based on her last fundraising quarter), this looks like it'll be dramatic.

MS-03: So maybe you were wondering what was happening a year ago when thirty-something GOP rising star Rep. Chip Pickering, who'd been considered a likely successor to Trent Lott's Senate seat, instead of going for that or even running for re-election, simply dropped out of politics altogether. Well, turns out he was given an ultimatum by his mistress of choosing between her or politics (which, in rural Mississippi, would require continuing his sham marriage to his wife) -- and, somewhat unpredictably, he chose the mistress. The kicker? Pickering was, at the time, a resident of the now-infamous C Street townhouse, making him a roommate of John Ensign and ex-roomie of Mark Sanford.

NY-23: Just a reminder, in case you were thinking of running for Congress: today is the deadline for Democratic applicants for the nomination in the open seat race in NY-23 to make their intentions known. Still no word on whether or not state Sen. Darrel Aubertine is planning to take the plunge or not.

OH-AG: We finally have some confirmation about what "statewide" office former Sen. Mike DeWine was planning to run for. It's been leaked that next week he'll announce a run for Attorney General (and not Governor). He'll face Democratic incumbent Richard Cordray, who took over in mid-term from Marc Dann.

Crisitunity :: SSP Daily Digest: 7/17
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I hope Cuomo is a candidate
because Paterson simply can't win.  

To be honest
To be honest, Cuomo is almost definitely getting in the primary. And if he doesn't, someone else will and that individual will beat Paterson for sure. He's just that unpopular.

Then again, no viable candidate here in NJ had the guts to challenge Corzine, so who knows...


[ Parent ]
Corzine and Cuomo
Let's all hope Cuomo ends up challenging Paterson to a primary. With Paterson as our nominee I'm afraid that we will end up losing this race only 4 years after winning back the Governor's mansion. As for Corzine, unlike Paterson Corzine has done a lot for New Jersey but also a lot of bad too. He helped create the nation's first economic plan and made sure that all NJ children have health insurance. He is also I'm glad to say one of the nation's greenest governors by setting plans to build wind turbines off of South Jersey's coast. Im actually glad no one choice to primary him. That would have just have made him weaker amongst Democrats. DO you plan on voting for him come November?          

17, Gay Male, Democrat, NJ-8  

[ Parent ]
No, I'm for Daggett.
I won't deny that Corzine has done some good things for New Jersey. Unfortunately the bad far outweighs the good. I don't mind paying high taxes as long as I know the government is spending the money wisely. Under Corzine, government waste has been rampant; unlike Obama, who is a strong proponent of transparency in government, Corzine has done little to provide government accountability for where our tax dollars are going. His school construction program, his affordable housing program, and of course the EnCap program have been riddled with waste and completely and uttered mismanaged and ineffective. With Corzine, it's not so much that he's got the wrong ideas...his problem is sheer ineptitude and a lack of foresight when implementing programs.

And I don't want to sound like a right-winger, but at a certain point the taxes have to stop. The Democratic legislature has, with the support of Govs. McGreevey, Codey, and Corzine, levied over 100 new taxes on goods and services, hiked the income tax, hiked the sales tax, hiked the corporate business tax, hiked the car rental tax, hiked the realty transfer tax, hiked the health tax.... These trends have only escalated since Corzine took office. He also utterly failed to deliver on his main promise, to deliver sustainable property tax relief here in the state with the highest property taxes in the nation. The average New Jerseyan taxpayer has seen their property tax bill go up 20% since 2005, when Corzine was elected. And now he's making big cuts to the property tax relief we already had. I know, I know, that was because of the recession, but that shouldn't mask his disastrous policies before the recession. Also, our taxes are now so high as to make New Jersey one of the worst business climates in the nation. Again, I don't want to sound like a right-winger, but when the cost of doing business in NJ gets to be this high, corporations are going to relocate out of state -- and take jobs with them.

I would also disagree with your assertion that Corzine has been one of the nation's greenest governors. I'm fairly liberal on environmental issues, and Corzine's environmental record is hardly admirable. His record on paper looks better than it actually is because his administration has repeatedly enacted pro-environmental programs but failed to implement them. The Energy Master Plan, the Global Warming Response Act, CAFRA, and the Ocean Council are all still awaiting implementation by the Corzine administration, years later. Corzine has also failed to deliver the invasive species and endangered species rules he promised when campaigning four years ago. The Corzine administration has failed to clean up Superfund sites under its jurisdiction, garnering criticism from the EPA. In fact, the EPA has re-taken possession of some Superfund sites that Corzine failed to clean up. During the campaign, Corzine promised to increase DEP's budget; instead, he's cut it 30% and shrunk DEP's staff by 500. Under Corzine, DEP site inspections have been decreased by 60% and site investigations have been decreased by 20%. Under Corzine, the DEP has pursued far fewer hazardous substance enforcement actions, solid waste enforcement actions, water supply enforcement actions, discharge prevention enforcement actions, and air enforcement actions. In fact, the Corzine administration terminated the Office of Environmental Crimes. And while Obama has been calling for using science to support our environmental policy, Corzine has eliminated the Division of Science. Guess he needed the money to spend on ineffective and wasteful programs like COAH and school construction. Meanwhile, Corzine has weakened the state's site remediation program, weakened environmental protections on wetlands and rivers, and capitulated to developers and polluters without fail. Corzine's Pinelands and Highlands policies have also been widely criticized by environmentalists. And let's not forget Corzine's crusade against state parks, stubbornness on Open Space issues, poor water policies, and foot-dragging on offshore wind turbines. Altogether his environmental record is pretty awful, in reality.

And he's been a pretty poor governor, in reality. Daggett would be a much better governor.


[ Parent ]
I understand a lot of the frustration with Corzine and the NJ Dems.
I'm not a fan of Corzine myself, but I do want to respond to one point. High taxes do not drive businesses out of state. I can't tell you how many times I've heard that statement on California's "punishing" taxes.

http://calitics.com/diary/9370...

I used to own and run a business, and I have some news for Republicans [I know you're not a Republican, but they are who the author is aiming at]: Businesses only pay taxes on profits. You don't pay taxes unless you are making a profit. Paying taxes means you are making a profit. Making a profit is a good thing, and California businesses pay a small percentage of the profits to the state to help cover the expenses that enabled you to make that profit.

And Prop 13 places burdens on small businesses by making them pay high fees for zoning changes, water district fees, etc. when they want to expand, to make up for the low property tax revenue. Larger, more established businesses are better off because they only have to pay the property tax rates that were capped when Prop 13 passed in 1978. So that means that Prop 13 is actually hurting businesses more than it's helping them. Be lucky that you don't have your own Prop 13 in Jersey.

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
Clarification
Corporations are exempt from property taxes under Prop 13. There is a petition going around to close that loophole.

My blog
Twitter
Scribd
28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
Chip Pickering---too funny
This C Street townhouse sounds more and more like a religious brothel.  

I hate it for Pickering's family, but that's ole Chip's problem and not mine.  

40, male, Democrat, NC-04


Paterson raised 2.3 million dollars?
Seriously, that many people thought giving him money would be its most productive use?  Particularly in this economy?

Just imagine how much Cuomo would raise if he were officially a candidate for governor.


I'm wondering if
he's waiting until like the entire state Democratic Party is on their knees begging him to get in and save their bacon.

[ Parent ]
Vingt ans après
We are once again waiting, not for the big pumpkin, but for a Cuomo announcement. I hope history does not repeat itself as a farce.

[ Parent ]
New York has such a late primary
I bet Cuomo is figuring he can just wait until Spring of next year to announce...if by then Paterson's numbers have improved, then Cuomo doesn't.  If Paterson's numbers are still terrible, then I think even the governor would realize at that point that stepping down would be for the good of the party.

[ Parent ]
Also, what incentive does Cuomo have to announce now?
Your guess of Spring sounds about right.

1. A post yesterday has a poll of the "Democratic primary, and found Andrew Cuomo whomping David Paterson, 61-27."  http://www.swingstateproject.c...
2. He can currently get media almost whenever he wants with AG press conferences with perp walks happening in the background.
3. His name recognition is probably as good as Paterson's.
4. Outside of political junkies like us, no voters in NY are caring a bit.


[ Parent ]
Christine Jennings
Why did Christine Jenning almost beat Buchanan in 2006 (and may have actually won) and then lose so badly in 2008?

Probably
she came off looking like sour grapes. How dare she have the audacity to fight for her rights and the rights of the voters of FL-13?

22, Democrat, AZ-01
Peace. Love. Gabby.


[ Parent ]
I know, for some reason
she got painted that way. I mean seriously, how dare someone call out horribly partisan and unscrupulous election strategies by a supposedly nonpartisan office in order to get a Republican candidate elected. Had the ballot box been set up properly a statisician estimated she would have won by 469, making it very clear she should have contested the results.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
That was definitely unfortunate
It's clear she really won the first time. I agree that the media painted her as a sore loser and she also had a huge money disadvantage in the rematch I think people just wanted to move on.

[ Parent ]
Interesting stories today.
I hope Cuomo jumps in. By my standard, the sooner the better, although maybe it's good if he stays out of the fray for a while.

Tink needs to just step aside. I get that he wants a rematch but it's just not happening. What worries me is that he may receive the majority of outside fundraising because he has the most netroots recognition, even though IMO Clark is a better candidate for us. I'm thinking of writing a post on the GOS when Clark finally jumps in for real, trying to get other people excited about her run!

DeWine running for AG? Trying to lay the groundwork for a later, greater run or what? And how weak is Cordray?


Well Tink can go for it
but I really dont give him much of a chance with Clark in the race.  She'll probably get the delegate vote from every state rep and senator in the district (off the top of my head, that's only like 6 or 7) and she'll get all the institutional support by the power players in the party as well.

Unfortunately for TInk, he softened Bachmann up for the cream of the crop candidates to want to enter, and that's Clark.


[ Parent ]
Well that solves the Pickering mystery.
Now if we could just find out why Trent Lott quit.  

28, gay guy, Democrat, CA-08

Thought it was to avoid the stronger revolving door laws.


Follow the elections in Georgia at the 2010 Georgia Race Tracker.

[ Parent ]
I gotta say Pickering's mistress, Elizabeth Creekmore-Byrd,
must be one helluva woman for him to give up his marriage and to give up a Senate seat appointment.  Man...

I know,
I mean wow.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
The wife is crazy enough
to be suing the mistress for "alienation of affection".

It's still the 16th century in Mississippi I guess.


[ Parent ]
That's his wife...


[ Parent ]
It kinda makes sense actually
It was surprising to see Barbour open up with Wicker, even though north MS is the swing area, in state politics at least. Pickering was always seen as Lott's tailored replacement, he was the young GOP spokesman, and a favorite of the statewide base, very vocal, very public, he always seemed like the rising star. Then to see him turn in the towel and not only not get the senate appointment but to retire at the same time, crazy. Knew there was something crazy.

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
It's called "letting the little head think for the big head."


[ Parent ]
"the infamous C-street townhouse"
Question: Is Larry Craig at all associated with this?

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

Heh, actually, I might as well also inquire about
Mark Foley, Tim Mahoney, John Edwards, Vito Fossella, or David Vitter?

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
Also, Gingrich and Calvert.
There, I'm done.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
The past membership
isn't all that interesting... for now

Per Wiki:

Boarders at the Family's house on C Street currently include Senators Tom Coburn, R-Okla., John Ensign, R-Nev., Don Nickles, R-OK, Jim DeMint, R-S.C., and Sam Brownback, R-Kan. and Representatives Zach Wamp, R-Tenn., Bart Stupak, D-Mich., Joseph Pitts, R-Pa, Heath Shuler, D-N.C., and Mike Doyle, D-Pa.

Other members include Senators Charles Grassley, R.-Iowa, Pete Domenici, R.-N.Mex., James Inhofe, R.-Okla., and Bill Nelson, D.-Fla.; Representatives Frank Wolf, R.-Va., and Todd Tiahrt, R-KS, as well as former Senators Don Nickles, R.-Okla., George Allen, R-Va., Conrad Burns, R.-Mont, and Mark O. Hatfield, R.-Or., and former Representatives Steve Largent, R-Okla., Mark Sanford, R-S.C., Chip Pickering, R.-Miss., Ed Bryant, R-TN, John E. Baldacci, R.-Me., and J.C. Watts, R-OK. Senator Susan Collins, R-ME, regularly attends Wednesday morning meetings at the C Street Center.



22, Democrat, AZ-01
Peace. Love. Gabby.


[ Parent ]
Bart Stupak? What the hell!
I don't want my congressman assosciated with anything like that.  And Mike Doyle?  Also John Baldacci is a Democrat and the current governor of Maine, right?

16, Male, MI-01

[ Parent ]
MN-06
Just to be clear, the convention you mention is not a nominating convention. Rather, as an endorsing convention, it determines which candidate (if any) will receive the endorsement of the party for the DFL primary. It is the primary that then determines who the nominee will be.

While many candidates do agree to drop out if they lose the endorsement, it's not unusual for candidates who lose the party endorsement to seek the party's nomination in the primary, and some candidates skip the endorsement convention altogether. Examples off the top of my head:
In 2006, Keith Ellison's two strongest opponents contested the primary.
In 1998, the state convention endorsed Mike Freeman for governor, but Skip Humphrey won the primary before finishing third in the general to Jesse Ventura and Norm Coleman.
In 2000, Mark Dayton skipped the endorsement process entirely (which Jerry Janezich won) but won the primary and beat Rod Grams in the general.
In 1996, the Republican convention was unable to endorse a candidate for Senate, and Rudy Boschwitz won the primary before losing to Paul Wellstone for a second time in the general.
In 1994, the Republican convention actually refused to endorse their own incumbent governor, Arne Carlson, who went on to win both their primary and the general for a second term.


Thanks for the examples
It is not really rare at all for thee to be contested primaries. In fact with the huge fields on both sides for the Governor's race next I would expect we will have two contested primaries for Gov next year.

"Where free Unions and collective bargaining is forbidden, freedom is lost." - Ronald Reagan

[ Parent ]
Oh no doubt
Way to wide open of a field for I think many of them to really abide by the endorsements.  The DFL will definitely go to the primary; Dayton and Entenza definitely, Kelliher maybe (I think she'll get the endorsement, she wouldnt be running if she didnt know she had tons of delegates already in the bag), and Rybak and Coleman have nothing to lose.  With the GOP, I think many of them will run in the primary.  So many of them are state legislators and they want out!  It is definitely not fun to be in the minority party in a nearly veto-proof majority situation.  They do absolutely nothing but sustain vetoes in the house by 4 votes.

And thanks Bschak for putting into that perspective as well for everyone.  It finally hit me to put into that perspective only a few weeks ago.  I think it's just been seen as such a negative because of the Madia race.  If Bonoff wouldve taken it to the primary, she would've won and probably be a Congresswoman.  


[ Parent ]
Thanks
That's useful. I'll clarify the post.

[ Parent ]
MN-Gov
Im already not giving Anderson much of a shot.  Her website doesnt even a place where you can donate online.  While I doubt random people are really going to be going to her website (google Pat Anderson, such a common name, and Pat Anderson for Governor shows up pretty far down as well) and actually donating, come on.  That's a basic.  And she got stomped by Rebecca Otto in 2006, 52%-41%.  That's pretty impressive for a downballot race nobody really pays attention to, and for a challenger to an incumbent.


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