I'd guess Martin has a 10% shot, at best

But hey, that's something.  

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by: andgarden @ Tue Dec 02, 2008 at 03:54:13 AM UTC

I doubt it's that high.

I've always maintained it was a win in the general or bust.  Hell, he didn't even get more votes than Chambliss in the general.  It would have to be a truly perfect storm for him to win.

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by: wmlawman @ Tue Dec 02, 2008 at 04:14:42 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

I will NOT watch this race tomorrow night.

Being a Red Sox fan, when I watched the Sox in 2004, they lost three games against the Yankees.  Then I went to bed in the midst of the fourth, and they came back to win the ALCS championship and the World Series.

When I watched the specials in OH-05 and VA-01, neither of them panned out.

When I watched the special in MS-01, Childers narrowly missed a majority.

I missed watching LA-06, and we won that special handily.

I went crazy live-commenting here and in chat about the 2008 elections, and we won not 30, 40, or 50 House seats but only a measly 25 or so.  Well, granted, I followed 2006's MT-Sen and VA-Sen obsessively in the days following the election, but we'd already kinda won those.  WY-AL, OH-02, and NC-08 didn't pan out though (though we do now have NC-08).

So yeah, I'm just going to ignore the election tomorrow--or at least as much as a political junkie like myself can.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

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by: Glenn Magus Harvey @ Tue Dec 02, 2008 at 05:59:53 AM UTC

Darnit!

My not watching the election was not enough to put Martin over the top.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

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by: Glenn Magus Harvey @ Thu Dec 04, 2008 at 04:49:10 AM UTC

[ Parent ]

Martinez is not seeking re-election...

http://www.politico.com/blogs/...
Someone else should diary it, I'm busy and on the run.  

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by: JeremiahTheMessiah @ Tue Dec 02, 2008 at 15:50:05 PM UTC

Mixed emotions

I do not like Martinez, but I believe the GOP has a better chance of keeping the Senate seat with Martinez not running.  I'm not sure which Repulicans will run, but IMO whomever wins the Republican primary would have a better chance that Martinez (except, for some crazy reason, a extremist runs like what happened in 2006).  

At the same time, there may be multiple GOPers leaving their house seat for a run for the Senate.  This might open up some opportunites for the Dems in the house.  Pure speculation.

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

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by: Tarheeman1993 @ Tue Dec 02, 2008 at 16:34:36 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

Florida AG McCollum will run

Count on it.  Whether he wins the primary is another story.  

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by: ChadInFL @ Tue Dec 02, 2008 at 16:50:57 PM UTC

[ Parent ]

I hope McCollum wins the primary

and goes down in flames in the GE.

40, male, Democrat, NC-04

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by: Tarheeman1993 @ Tue Dec 02, 2008 at 16:54:12 PM UTC

[ Parent ]