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Overtime

by: DavidNYC

Thu Nov 06, 2008 at 12:10 AM EST


A roundup of races that haven't yet been decided:

AK-Sen: Will this race be finalized before Ted Stevens is carted off to the big house? Answer: Yes. Will it be over before the Senate has a chance to boot his sorry ass? Maybe not. While Unca Ted has a 3,300-vote lead, some 76,000 ballots remain to be counted. Supposedly, they need to be counted by Nov. 14th, but the "target date" for certification is not until Nov. 25th (PDF). And then, who knows - maybe we'll have a recount.

P.S. More here from Mark Begich's brother Tom.

CA-04: Conservative Icon™ Tom McClintock has a 451-vote lead with 100% of precincts counted. Absentees and provisional ballots need to be counted. But check this out:

If no candidate is more than ½ of 1 percentage point ahead in the semiofficial Election Day results, county election officials will automatically begin partial manual audits. After the counties deliver their totals to the secretary of state in December the candidates will have the option to ask for a recount. (Emphasis added.)

We could be waiting a long time on this one.

GA-Sen: This race will likely go to a run-off between Saxby Chambliss and Jim Martin. A run-off can't formally be declared until the state certifies the election results next week, and outstanding votes could possibly tip the race to Chambliss. Nonetheless, both sides are in campaign mode. If there is a run-off, it will be held Dec. 2nd.

LA-04: This seat will also feature a run-off between Dem Paul Carmouche and Republican John Fleming. The date for that face-off is Dec. 6th.

MD-01: Dem Frank Kratovil is sitting on a 915-vote lead. But some 25,000 absentee ballots need to be counted. Results get certified Nov. 14th - not too bad, compared to some other states.

MN-Sen: An automatic recount seems certain here. Dickface Norm Coleman leads by a mind-boggling 475 votes out of 2.9 million cast. (Shades of WA-Gov 2004?) Oh, and here's why I'm calling him a dickface. State law provides for an automatic recount if the margin is less than 0.5%. Yet this is what he's said:

"Yesterday the voters spoke. We prevailed," Coleman said Wednesday at a news conference. He noted Franken could opt to waive the recount.

"It's up to him whether such a step is worth the tax dollars it will take to conduct," Coleman said, telling reporters he would "step back" if he were in Franken's position. Secretary of State Mark Ritchie said the recount would cost 3 cents per ballot, or almost $90,000.

What a chiseler - ninety-fucking-thousand dollars. That's like one wealthy-donor-funded Nieman Marcus shopping spree for this douchenozzle. Anyhow, the same article says that a recount won't begin until mid-November and could take "weeks." Lawyers, ten-hut!

OH-15: As noted below, GOPer Steve "Steve" Stivers is ahead of Mary Jo Kilroy by just 321 votes. We may get final results in ten days, or maybe longer. If the final margin is under 0.5%, then there will be an automatic recount. We had one of those last time in this very same race - it took until mid-December to complete.

VA-05: Dem Tom Perriello is clinging to a 31-vote lead over incumbent Virgil Goode. Absentees need to be counted. This race will surely go to a recount. However, VA law does not provide for automatic recounts, and a candidate cannot request one until after the official canvas is complete. That isn't until Nov. 24th, so sit tight.

WA-08: Good idea: Let's allow everyone in Washington state to vote by mail! Bad idea: Let's make the rule that you have to postmark your ballot by election day. In neighboring Oregon (the vote-by-mail pioneer), ballots sensibly have to be received by election day. But Washington has decided to do things the annoying way, so it'll be a while before we get final results here - election officials say it'll take a week to count all the ballots. (Though I don't know if there is a drop-dead date by which ballots must be received.)

Anyhow, in the meantime, we know that GOPer Dave Reichert has about a 1,900-vote lead over Darcy Burner. The good news is that in 2006, Reichert won by 14.83% in Pierce County and 0.15% in King County. This time so far, he's ahead by just 12.22% in Pierce and is behind 1.62% in King, which has 80% of the district's population. My sense is that Burner probably has to start doing a little bit better in King to pull this one off.

UPDATE: Skywaker9 says that properly postmarked ballots have to be received within a week in WA.

LATE UPDATE (James): In the shocker race in California's 44th District, where unheralded Dem challenger Bill Hedrick is trailing GOP scuzzbucket Rep. Ken Calvert by 4600 votes, neither side has declared victory yet.

DavidNYC :: Overtime
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Overtime | 27 comments
Damn David! Don't hold back now on Coleman.
But yeah, that guy seems to look more like a weasel every day.

In WA the rule is one week
After election day is the deadline for receiving properly postmarked ballots...

Oh Washington, Oregon is glad we're not you. :-)


I bet
For sure OR is glad they arent WA. Heck Im thinking of trying to start a movement to get my county to break away from WA and join OR when Gregoire sets up a state income tax.  

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

[ Parent ]
You don't have a state income tax in WA?
Not many states are like that.  We don't have one here in Florida either.  Our politicians here steer clear of discussing instituting a state income tax.  It would be political suicide to really push for one in Florida.  Guess the same isn't true in Washington.

[ Parent ]
It is Politcal suicide.
There were attack ads in the Gov race here. It was a shock to see it even come up.

[ Parent ]
Bringing up state income tax is a killer here in TX too, where we lack one.


My blog
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28, New Democrat, Female, TX-03 (hometown CA-26)


[ Parent ]
MA
Gotta love Massachusetts.  Given the opportunity to abolish their income tax, Bay Staters said "no, thank you."

If only the rest of the nation was like that...


[ Parent ]
Ben Franklin saw through the illusion of a taxless society
too bad not that many people have yet realized that it's tax dollars that provide them roads, bridges, public schools, law enforcement, parks, and a ton of other quite necessary things.

The only question is how to spend tax dollars effectively and how much or (preferably) little to collect.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01


[ Parent ]
Man, this is all going to take WEEKS to settle!
I'm going to go hungry waiting to be sent my chocolate babka ;-)

Humm
I bet Burner would be well on her way to victory right now if she hadnt decided to fake her economics degree.....

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

Alright dude
I think you've gotta know that you're provoking a fight here.

[ Parent ]
How so?
This is fairly common infromation and my honest view that she would have done better had she not pretended she had a degree in economics. This became an issue in the closing part of this race. I know. I live in WA, right below WA-8.

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.

[ Parent ]
Any proof of that?
This is the first I've heard of such a claim against Burner.

[ Parent ]
A news artical.
Here is a Seattle Times artical about the whole thing.

http://seattletimes.nwsource.c...

A cat can have kittens in an oven but that doesn't make them biscuits.


[ Parent ]
Just for information
Obviously everybody calling troll knows the deeper background, but the reason this claim was questioned is that Harvard degrees used to do something funny where they extended over two subjects with a thesis covering it.

http://www.openleft.com/showDi...

Stoller covers this fairly well. An economics specialisation within a computer science concentration is apparently the technical term.

Also, I have to doubt the significance of this, given that it was later alleged that Reichert had been less than completely accurate about his degree.


[ Parent ]
Humm
An Internet troll, or simply troll in Internet slang, is someone who posts controversial, inflammatory, irrelevant or off-topic messages in an online community ... with the intention of provoking other users into an emotional response


[ Parent ]
Coleman using Bush's tactic
Coleman is merely being a dick. He is using the same tactic Bush used in 200 in Florida. By declaring victory and calling on his opponent to stop dragging things out, Bush established a media narrative that he won and Gore was trying to overturn his "victory". That's why there was so much more pressure on Gore to stop the counting than on Bush to allow it. That's what Coleman is trying to accomplish here, and we must fight it. At least this time we see ahead of time what he's doing, and we know it can work. We must make the media realize it's being used.

I'm Confused About Louisiana
If there is a runoff provision in LA-02, shouldn't there be one for LA-06? The Republican who won only won 48%. Shouldn't there be a runoff?

No runoffs in general federal elections anymore
LA-02 and LA-04 were primary runoffs, because the primary was delayed by the hurricane.

[ Parent ]
Great info here
I love being able to find all this info in one thread.  Beats the heck out of searching the tubes for it.


They're clogged.
There was an election result internet sent by the staff of the secretaries of state of the U.S. this past Tuesday, and...we'll be getting it this December.

party: Democratic, ideology: moderate, district: CT-01

[ Parent ]
In Maryland 1
About 25000 of the 31000 requested absentee ballots have been received.  There are slightly more Democrats than Republicans with about 3000 independents.  I think we have a decent shot of maintaining this lead.

www.trublupolitics.com

More importantly
60% of the absentees come from the Eastern Shore where Kratovil won every single county by nice margins.

20 M MD-01

[ Parent ]
AK-AL & VA-05
Have these races been called?

AK-AL largely will be called for Young soon
That margin is a bit too big for us to overcome.  VA-05 is clearly going to a recount one way or the other.

[ Parent ]
Update your electoral maps baby!
Overtime | 27 comments

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