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SSP Changes Ratings on Seven Races

by: James L.

Wed Oct 29, 2008 at 2:22 PM EDT


The Swing State Project is changing its ratings on seven House races:

  • CO-04 (Musgrave): Tossup to Lean D
  • MD-01 (Open): Lean R to Tossup
  • MI-09 (Knollenberg): Tossup to Lean D
  • NY-29 (Kuhl): Tossup to Lean D
  • VA-05 (Goode): Likely R to Lean R
  • WV-02 (Capito): Likely R to Lean R
  • WY-AL (Open): Likely R to Lean R

We're also adding GA-13 to our "Races to Watch" list. Look for write-ups to follow soon, and possibly more ratings updates in the coming days. Our full ratings chart is available here.

James L. :: SSP Changes Ratings on Seven Races
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Good moves all around
Can't say I disagree with any of them.

Glad to see the change in VA-05
Perriello is a great man and a great candidate. I would be incredibly proud to have him represent me in Congress.  

WY-AL
I'd say when the cash-strapped NRCC drops almost $350k into a race in red Wyoming, they don't consider it "Likely R" themselves. They must be concerned about this seat.

What a great result it would be if Trauner wins this one.


Curious
whats been happening in GA-13 that requires an eye to watch?

CO-02 (college)/FL-15 (home).  

close poll + DCCC dropping money
[ Parent ]
no way, that district is like
55% black and gave Kerry 64% of the vote, plus its been trending more Democratic every year.  

Call no man happy until he is dead-Aeschylus

[ Parent ]
Because of Scott
Because Rep. Scott wanted to start raking in some big donations by making people believe he might lose.  Sorry, a repub defrauder is not going to win there nor in PA-12.

[ Parent ]
What exactly happened in CO-04?
I remember that Musgrave barely won last time around, but what happened this time to make things go so sour for her?

Better candidate
Better candidate combined with a democratic surge in Colorado seem to be the biggest two factors.  We had an average at best candidate in 2006.  

[ Parent ]

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