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AK-Sen, AK-AL: Slimming Leads for Begich, Berkowitz

by: James L.

Sat Oct 18, 2008 at 4:13 PM EDT


Research 2000 for The Great Orange Satan (10/14-16, likely voters, 9/15-17 in parens):

Mark Begich (D): 48 (50)
Ted Stevens (R-inc): 46 (44)

Ethan Berkowitz (D): 50 (53)
Don Young (R-inc): 44 (39)
(MoE: ±4%)

Kos says that "we got spoiled by months of big leads in both these races", but aside from a quick flurry of post-indictment polls showing Begich with a bounce, the Senate race has been close for a while now. (The at-large House seat less so, but it's clear that Young is on the upswing.)

If you thought that beating these two tough old bastards would be a walk in the park, I'm afraid that you underestimated the ability of Alaska Republicans to rally around their own.

James L. :: AK-Sen, AK-AL: Slimming Leads for Begich, Berkowitz
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Is there still a half decent chance of Stevens being convicted?


It's a big indictment
Seven counts.  He should still be found guilty of something.

[ Parent ]
It was looking hopeless
Until the Stevenses themselves got on the stand. They apparently did pretty poorly.

I'd call it a tossup at this point.


[ Parent ]
The trial, the election,
or both?

Bill Posey is not half-alligator...and is outclassed by Davy Crockett anyway: http://www.washingtonmonthly.c...

[ Parent ]

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