Wow. These are ground-shaking numbers. No wonder Lee Terry has been fishing so furiously for "Obama-Terry voters" -- he might need a few to survive this November.
Terry's favorables: 54-39 (down from 60-33), while Esch is at 51-30 (from 35-13 in July). Terry's job approval rating has also taken a dive -- from 60-34 in July to 53-43 today. With the DCCC currently pounding Terry on the airwaves, these numbers could fall even further.
Update: One thing that's worth mentioning is the sample's composition. This poll pegs the African-American vote at 4%, while the population of the 2nd District is 10.2% black according to the Almanac of American Politics. If those voters turn out, they could tip the balance here.
Partial crosstabs given exclusively to the Swing State Project are available below the fold.