The biggest take-away here is simple: Mitch is below 50% in his own polling for the first time. Other polling in recent weeks, from both Mason-Dixon and SurveyUSA have shown a dead heat, while Rasmussen is a bit closer to McConnell's numbers.
Lunsford's favorable/unfavorable spread is 31-40, which is not great for us, but this might be the kind of year where voters are a bit more willing to accept his flaws in order to push change in a time of crisis.